Tag: Giants Mets odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

San Francisco Giants at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s San Francisco Giants at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

The San Francisco Giants (27-26) welcome the New York Mets (21-30) to Citi Field Sunday for the finae of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Giants lead 4-1

The Mets lost 7-2 Saturday and 8-7 Saturday, closing as a -144 and -140 favorite in each. They have now lost 5 in a row, going 1-4 against the spread (ATS). New York is 2-10 over its last 12 games. It is 23-28 ATS this season.

The Giants have won 4 straight games and have covered in each. Having won 8 of their last 9 games, the Giants sit 2nd in the NL West. San Francisco has struggled on the road and is just 12-16 away from home this season.

Giants at Mets projected starters

RHP Logan Webb vs. LHP Sean Manaea

Webb (4-4, 3.03 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 65 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 6 K in a 7-6 road loss to the Pittsburgh Pirates Tuesday
  • 2024 road splits: 1-3, 5.34 ERA (30 1/3 IP, 18 ER), 40 H, 2 HR, 11 BB, 30 K in 6 starts
  • Career vs. Mets: 3-1, 1.73 ERA (26 IP, 5 ER), 0.77 WHIP, 12.1 K/9 in 5 starts

Manaea (3-1, 3.11 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 46 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 7-3 road win over the Miami Marlins Sunday
  • 2024 home splits: 0-1, 3.48 ERA (20 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 17 H, 1 HR, 10 BB, 21 K in 4 starts
  • Career vs. Giants: 3-3, 2.78 ERA (64 2/3 IP, 20 ER), 1.14 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 in 12 starts

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! BHQ offers Draft Prep and full-season subscriptions. Sign up today and start winning!

Giants at Mets odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:04 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Giants -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Mets +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants -1.5 (+130) | Mets +1.5 (-156)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -106 | U: -114)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Giants at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Giants 4

Moneyline

BET METS (+102).

The Mets may be struggling as a team, but they have been almost unbeatable with Manaea on the mound, having won 5 of his last 6 starts.

While the Giants have performed well as of late, San Fran hasn’t been good as a road favorite and is just 4-6 on the season. Considering those trends, back METS (+102).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s not a lot of value in either option here. The Mets +1.5 (-156) are too expensive as a run-line underdog while the Giants -1.5 (+130) are too risky, especially given Manaea’s recent success, as a run-line favorite.

Avoid a run line play.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 7.5 (-106).

The Mets have allowed at least 6 runs in 4 straight games and have scored at least 6 runs in 2 of those. They have gone Over in 8 of their last 10 and 8-1-1 O/U in the stretch. New York is 27-23-1 O/U on the season.

The Giants have gone Over in 5 straight games and have topped the total in 10 of their last 12 games. The bats for both teams have been hot. Expect that to continue and take OVER 7.5 (-106).

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

San Francisco Giants at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Francisco Giants at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

The San Francisco Giants (25-26) open a 3-game road series against the New York Mets (21-28) on Friday. First pitch from Citi Field is at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Giants lead 2-1

The Giants won the final 2 games of their 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates, closing it out with a 7-6 win on Thursday. They have won 6 of their last 7 games.

The Mets return home after going 2-6 on their road trip and finishing it by getting swept in 3 games by the Cleveland Guardians. Before their off day on Thursday, they lost the series finale 6-3. They are 2-8 in their last 10 games.

Giants at Mets projected starters

LHP Kyle Harrison vs. RHP Christian Scott

Harrison (4-1, 3.60 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 55 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 3 R, 5 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 14-4 home win over the Colorado Rockies on Saturday
  • Giants have won his last 7 starts

Scott (0-2, 4.32 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 4 BB and 17 K in 16 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 4 R, 7 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 8-0 road loss to the Miami Marlins last Friday
  • Is 0-2 with 6.30 ERA in last 2 starts
  • Mets have lost all 3 of his starts

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! BHQ offers Draft Prep and full-season subscriptions. Sign up today and start winning!

Giants at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:07 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Giants +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Mets -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants +1.5 (-175) | Mets -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Giants at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Giants 6, Mets 5

Moneyline

The Giants have struggled more on the road this season, going 10-16, but they have not lost in Harrison’s last 7 starts. Meanwhile, the Mets have yet to win in Scott’s starts and have scored a combined 2 runs in Scott’s 3 starts.

The Mets have a losing record (10-14) at home. They are 3-10 in their last 13 games while the Giants have won 6 of their last 7.

BET GIANTS (+120).

Run line/Against the spread

The difference between +120 to win and -175 to cover is huge. And why wouldn’t you go for the plus odds if you think they will win?

And the Giants have only 7 1-run losses in 26 total losses. Better to go for the outright win.

PASS.

Over/Under

The Giants themselves have scored 6 or more runs in 3 straight games and in 5 of their last 6 outings. Eight of their last 10 games have had totals of 8 or more runs.

Seven of the Mets’ last 8 games have had 8 or more total runs.

BET OVER  7.5 (-115).

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
Bas-1eballHQ Fantasy Baseball

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

San Francisco Giants at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s San Francisco Giants at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Francisco Giants (46-37) and New York Mets (37-46) meet on Sunday Night Baseball for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from Citi Field is set for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 3-3

San Francisco lost 4-1 on Saturday as +130 road underdogs while the Mets were -141 home favorites. The Mets scored 3 runs in the 3rd inning on 3 solo HRs to back SP Justin Verlander (7 IP, 0 ER, 6 K).

With Saturday’s loss the Giants have now lost 3 of their last 4 and sit at 5-5 in their last 10 games. New York’s win broke a 3-game losing streak and they are 3-7 in their last 10. San Francisco is 23-18 on the road while the Mets are 19-19 at home on the year.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Giants at Mets projected starters

RHP Ross Stripling vs. LHP David Peterson

Stripling (0-2, 6.88 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.56 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 35 1/3 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 3 K in a 6-1 road loss Wednesday vs. Toronto Blue Jays
  • Career vs. New York: 0-0, 4.09 ERA (11 IP, 5 ER), 15 H, 9 K, 1.55 ERA in 4 appearances (2 starts)

Peterson (2-6, 7.00 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.69 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 10 K/9 in 45 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 5 K in a 7-2 home win Wednesday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
  • Career vs. San Francisco: 1-1, 7.36 ERA (11 IP, 9 ER), 10 H, 14 K, 1.09 WHIP in 2 starts

Giants at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:42 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Giants -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Mets -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants -1.5 (+155) | Mets +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 9/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!

Giants at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Giants 3, Mets 1

Moneyline

LEAN GIANTS (-105). 

The Giants are hotter overall and are a better road team than the Mets are a home team. San Francisco is 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter and 5-2 in the last 7 Giants-Mets meetings overall.

Run line/Against the spread

GIANTS -1.5 (+155).

I fully expect the Giants to cover this bet and at plus-money it’s worth taking a shot.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Over/Under

BET UNDER 9 (-110). 

For San Francisco the Under is 5-0-1 in their last 6 overall and 4-0-1 in their last 5 road games. The Under for the Mets is 4-0-2 in their last 6 overall and 4-0-3 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record, per covers.com.

The Under is also 6-2-3 in the last 11 meetings overall and 5-2-2 in the last 9 meetings in New York, per covers.com.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @payton_shanks on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

San Francisco Giants at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Francisco Giants at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Francisco Giants (45-36) and New York Mets (36-45) meet Friday to kick off a 3-game series. First pitch from Citi Field is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

San Francisco lost 2-1 as +140 road underdogs Thursday vs. the Toronto Blue Jays, losing the series 2-1. The Giants have now dropped back-to-back games after winning 3 straight. They are 7-2 in their last 9 road games and 22-17 on the road this season.

The Mets lost 3-2 as -187 home favorites Thursday vs. the Milwaukee Brewers, losing the series 3-1. The Mets have also dropped back-to-back games and are 1-4 in their last 5 games and 3-7 in their last 10. New York is  at 18-18 at home.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Giants at Mets projected starters

RHP Alex Cobb vs. RHP Carlos Carrasco

Cobb (5-2, 3.09 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 78 2/3 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 4 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 11-3 road win on June 13 vs. St. Louis Cardinals
  • Career vs. New York: 1-2, 5.87 ERA (23 IP, 15 ER), 25 H, 4 BB, 24 K in 4 starts

Carrasco (2-3, 6.19 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.56 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 48 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 4 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 4-2 road win Sunday vs. Philadelphia Phillies
  • Career vs. San Francisco: 1-2, 2.86 ERA (34 2/3 IP, 11 ER), 24 H, 3 BB, 28 K in 5 starts

Giants at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:47 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Giants -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Mets +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants -1.5 (+135) | Mets +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 9/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!

Giants at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Giants 4, Mets 3

Moneyline

BET GIANTS (-120).

Neither team is particularly hot, but the Giants are a much better road team than the Mets are a home team. The Giants are also 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a team with a losing record and 7-1 in Cobb’s last 8 starts on grass, per covers.com, while the Mets are 0-4 in Carrasco’s last 4 starts on grass.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I like New York’s chances of covering here, but at -165 the line is simply not worth the juice, especially when the moneyline and O/U are both much safer bets.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Over/Under

BET UNDER 9 (-115).

For San Francisco the Under is 4-0 in their last 4 games overall and 6-3 in their last 9 overall. For New York the Under is 2-0 in each of their last 2 games and 5-1-1 in their last 7 games overall.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @payton_shanks on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

San Francisco Giants at New York Mets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s San Francisco Giants at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (82-44) and New York Mets (61-65) conclude their three-game set Thursday at Citi Field with first pitch scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Giants vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

San Francisco won the first two games of the series including a 3-2 victory Wednesday thanks to yet another late-inning rally with SS Brandon Crawford‘s 2-RBI double in the 7th inning.

Season series: Giants lead 4-1.

LHP Alex Wood is San Francisco’s projected starter. Wood is 10-4 with a 4.11 ERA (120 1/3 IP, 55 ER), 1.22 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 22 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 4-1, with 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB and 9 K at the Oakland Athletics Friday.
  • vs. Mets on the current roster (52 PA): 3.74 FIP with a .220 batting average (BA), .260 wOBA, .389 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 21.2 K% and 88.1 mph exit velocity (EV).

RHP Carlos Carrasco makes his sixth start for the Mets. Carrasco is 0-2 with an 8.82 ERA (16 1/3 IP, 16 ER), 23 H, 4 BB and 18 K.

  • Last outing: Loss, 3-2, with 5 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 6 K Friday at the Los Angeles Dodgers.
  • vs. Giants on the current roster (29 PA): 1.70 FIP with a .111 BA, .163 wOBA, .248 xSLG, 31.0 K% and 84.4 mph EV.

Giants at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:38 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Mets +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants -1.5 (+130) | Mets +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Prediction

Giants 6, Mets 2

Money line (ML)

GIMME the GIANTS (-130) for 1 unit because they have an edge in the three most important phases of the game, they’ve been profitable in similar situations and both the pros and the joes are backing San Francisco.

San Francisco’s bullpen has the second-best FIP since the All-Star Game, Wood has a much better FIP than Carrasco on the season and the Giants’ hitters rank sixth in wRC+ while the Mets are 19th.

On top of that, the Giants are 12-5 overall on the road against righty starters as -120 money line or greater favorites and 4-1 in those spots when Wood gets the start.

Since both sides of the market are betting San Francisco according to pregame.com, oddsmakers have moved New York from a slight favorite on the opening line to the current price.

Also, the Mets are just 14-25 overall against lefty starters and the Giants have the second-best road winning percentage in baseball.

FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because New York is 10-5 ATS as a home underdog and San Francisco is 11-19 ATS as a road favorite so I don’t see much value in laying it with the Giants -1.5 (+130).

For what it’s worth, three of Wood’s four road victories against righty starters as a -119 money line or greater favorite have been by at least 2 runs, San Francisco has the cover rate in MLB at 77-49 ATS and New York has the third-worst cover rate at 54-72 ATS.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 8.5 (-110) for a tiny wager – if at all – because San Francisco’s money line is my favorite bet in this Giants-Mets contest.

However, we have an obvious “line freeze” as roughly 75% of the cash is on the Over according to Pregame.com yet the total hasn’t budged from the opener.

More importantly, both teams have played more to the Under in their location-based splits and the Under has cashed in four straight meetings between the two clubs.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

San Francisco Giants at New York Mets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s San Francisco Giants at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (61-64) host the San Francisco Giants (81-44) Wednesday for the second of their three-game set at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Giants vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

San Francisco drilled New York 8-0 in the first game of the series as Giants 1B Brandon Belt stood out by going 4-for-5 at the plate with 2 home runs and 3 RBIs.

Season series: Giants lead 3-1.

RHP Johnny Cueto is San Francisco’s projected starter. Cueto is 7-6 with a 3.89 ERA (104 IP, 45 ER), 1.28 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 19 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 3 K in San Francisco’s 5-4 win at the Milwaukee Brewers Aug. 4.
  • 2021 road splits: 1-3 with a 4.93 ERA (45 2/3 IP, 25 ER), 1.56 WHIP and 2.7 K/BB in nine starts.
    • vs. Mets on the current roster: 3.96 FIP with a .298 batting average (BA), .356 wOBA, .484 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 26.6 K% and 89.8 mph exit velocity (EV) in 64 plate appearances (PA).

RHP Taijuan Walker gets the start for the Mets. Walker is 7-8 with a 3.86 ERA (123 2/3 IP, 53 ER), 1.18 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 24 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 4-1, 6 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 1 BB and 4 K Thursday at the Los Angeles Dodgers.
  • 2021 home splits: 4-2 with a 3.05 ERA (62 IP, 21 ER), 1.08 WHIP and 2.7 K/BB in 11 starts.
    • vs. Dodgers on the current roster: 3.20 FIP with a .271 BA, .337 wOBA, .366 xSLG, 24.1 K% and 89.4 mph EV in 58 PA.

Giants at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:40 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Mets -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants +1.5 (-205) | Mets -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Prediction

Mets 4, Giants 2

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the METS (-125) for a half unit because they have been very profitable at home with Walker on the mound, and bettors would’ve lost money if they blindly backed the Giants on the road with Cueto getting the start.

For instance, New York is 8-3 at home when Walker starts with a plus-32.4% return on investment (ROI) and an average money line of -130. While San Francisco is 4-5 on the road with Cueto on the bump with a minus-18.4% ROI and an average money line of -111.

However, I can only “lean” toward the Mets because the Giants are 3-0 as road underdogs when Cueto gets the start, and New York’s lineup has been terrible following the All-Star Game.

FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because the Mets -1.5 (+155) isn’t a fat enough payout considering New York is 14-31 ATS as a home favorite and San Francisco is 30-4 ATS as a road underdog.

Over/Under (O/U)

TAKE the UNDER 8.5 (-105) for 1 unit because the Mets are 13-27-3 O/U as a home favorite, and we have a “pros vs. joes” scenario in the betting market.

According to Pregame.com, more than 60% of the cash is on the Under whereas a slight majority of the action is on the Over. Typically, in sports gambling, it’s wise to follow the money especially when it’s flowing in the opposite direction as the public.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

San Francisco Giants at New York Mets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s San Francisco Giants at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (80-44) are still hanging on to the lead in the NL West and open a three-game road series against the New York Mets (61-63) Tuesday. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET at Citi Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Giants vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Giants LHP Sammy Long (1-1, 5.72 ERA) makes his ninth appearance of the season in what will be his fifth start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 through 28 1/3 IP.

  • Long has been shuffling back and forth between Triple-A and the majors lately. He held the Colorado Rockies to 1 ER over 2 IP while recording 4 K in his last start with the Giants Aug. 14.
  • In 10 minor league appearances this year, half of which came at Triple-A Sacramento, Long has a 1.95 ERA and 13.6 K/9 across 32 1/3 IP.

Mets RHP Tylor Megill (1-2, 3.21 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 56 IP.

  • Megill has been very good since his June call-up, but did go through a rough stretch in his first three August starts. He allowed 11 ER over 14 2/3 IP but rebounded last time out to hold the Giants to 1 ER in 6 IP.
  • He has made six starts at home, where he has posted a 2.45 ERA and 10.7 K/9 across 29 1/3 IP.

Giants at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Mets -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants -1.5 (+150) | Mets +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Prediction

Mets 5, Giants 3

Money line (ML)

Megill has been very impressive in his first taste of the majors, as he’s missing plenty of bats and while keeping the walks in check. He has been especially good at home and is likely to deliver a second straight strong performance against the Giants.

Long has pitched better than his ERA would suggest, as a 56.2% strand rate has played a key role in his struggles. He isn’t likely to work deep into the game, though, and the pitching edge has to go to Megill.

Back the METS (-115).

FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Giants come into this game with a 38-25 road record that is second-best in the league. The Mets are 36-23 at home but they average a league-worst 3.51 runs per game in their home park.

This sets up to be a pretty close game and there’s not enough value on either side of the run line. PASS. 

Over/Under (O/U)

The Under hit in four of the last five games for the Giants and in five of the last six for the Mets. Megill has been very solid through 11 starts and has allowed 2 or fewer runs seven times, while the Mets struggle to score at home.

Neither team is likely to have a big day offensively, and a small play on UNDER 8.5 (-112) looks like the way to go.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @RuddHQ on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]