Tag: Giants Dodgers odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

NLDS Game 4: San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers NLDS Game 4 odds and lines, with expert MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants meet the Los Angeles Dodgers Tuesday for Game 4 of the National League Division Series at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 9:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Giants vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Giants edged the Dodgers 1-0 in a well-pitched Game 3 behind LHP Alex Wood and three relievers. A solo home run by 3B Evan Longoria in the fifth inning against RHP Max Scherzer was the difference.

Series: Giants lead series 2-1.

Giants RHP Anthony DeSclafani (13-7, 3.17 ERA) posted a 1.09 WHIP, 8.2 K/9 and 2.3 BB/9 in 167 2/3 IP during the regular season.

  • Posted a 5-4 record, 3.22 ERA and .225 opponent batting average across 17 road starts.
  • Went 0-3 with a 7.33 ERA across six starts against L.A. during the regular season; allowed 6 homers, 33 hits and 15 walks with 27 strikeouts across 27 innings.

Dodgers RHP Tony Gonsolin (4-1, 3.23 ERA) is projected to start for the Dodgers. He posted a 1.35 WHIP, 10.5 K/9 and 5.5 BB/9 through 55 2/3 IP during the regular season.

  • Registered a 2-1 record, 2.70 ERA and .202 opponent batting average across 30 IP over seven starts at home.
  • Lost his only start against the Giants July 19 at Dodger Stadium, allowing 3 runs, 5 hits and 4 walks in just 3 1/3 IP.

Giants at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Dodgers -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants +1.5 (-170) | Dodgers -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Prediction

Dodgers 6, Giants 4

Money line (ML)

The DODGERS (-155) have their backs up against the wall, and it will be all hands on deck in Game 4. I expect Gonsolin, and whomever else pitches, to have a very short leash, as manager Dave Roberts breaks out all the stops. There is still a chance the Dodgers name RHP Walker Buehler as the starter on short rest.

The Giants won a pitcher’s duel in Game 3, but this one should see a lot more offense. L.A. had its way with DeSclafani during the regular season, and there is no reason to believe that won’t continue.

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The DODGERS -1.5 (+135) are worth a roll of the dice on the money line, but it’s only worth a small-unit play. Confidence would be much higher with a better Dodgers pitcher on the bump.

Over/Under (O/U)

The offense was non-existent in Game 3. Look for the OVER 7.5 (-112) to come through in Game 4. In fact, it might be the best play on the board. DeSclafani was very giving against Los Angeles during the regular season, and they’ll be able to get to him again early and often.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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NLDS Game 3: San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers NLDS Game 3 odds and lines, with expert MLB picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers host the San Francisco Giants Monday for the third game of their National League Division Series at Dodger Stadium with the first pitch scheduled for 9:37 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Giants vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

L.A. tied the NLDS with a 9-2 win over San Francisco in Saturday’s Game 2. Every Dodgers hitter in their starting lineup had a hit, aside from 3B Justin Turner. Starting LHP Julio Urias‘ RBI single in the top of the second inning was the first run scored in the game.

Series: Tied 1-1.

LHP Alex Wood takes the ball for the Giants. He was 10-4 with a 3.83 ERA (138 2/3 IP, 59 ER), 1.18 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 over 26 regular-season starts.

  • Second-half: 2-1 with a 4.07 ERA (55 1/3 IP, 25 ER), 1.23 WHIP and 5.4 K/BB across 11 starts.
  • Wood was 0-2 in three regular-season starts against L.A., with a 4.76 ERA (17 IP, 9 ER), 1.35 WHIP and 7.3 K/BB.
  • vs. Dodgers on the current roster (128 PA): 7.22 FIP with a .313 batting average (BA), .435 wOBA, .580 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 18.0 K% and 92.6 mph exit velocity (EV).

RHP Max Scherzer is on the mound for the Dodgers. He was 15-4 with a 2.46 ERA (179 1/3 IP, 49 ER), 0.86 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 11.8 K/9 across 30 regular-season starts for L.A. and the Washington Nationals.

  • Since joining the Dodgers (Aug. 4): 7-0 with a 1.98 ERA (68 1/3 IP, 15 ER), 0.82 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 11.7 K/9 over 11 starts.
  • Scherzer earned a no-decision against San Francisco while pitching for the Nationals after exiting due to a groin injury with just 6 pitches.
  • vs. Giants on the current roster (122 PA): 2.94 FIP with a .168 BA, .259 wOBA, .299 xSLG, 38.5 K% and 88.3 mph EV.

Giants at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Dodgers -205 (bet $205 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants +1.5 (-130) | Dodgers -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Prediction

Dodgers 4, Giants 1

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the DODGERS (-205) because Wood’s pitching peripherals against L.A.’s lineup are scary and the Dodgers are a top-10 lineup against left-handed pitching across several advanced hitting metrics.

San Francisco’s bullpen might have a slight edge in the relief pitching matchup, but Scherzer is one of the best big-game pitchers of his generation and may win the 2021 NL Cy Young award.

On top of that, Scherzer’s advanced pitching numbers correspond with his outstanding basic stats. Wood grades in the 33rd percentile for hard-hit rate and the 29th percentile for EV.

That said, L.A.’s money line is appropriately priced and a vast majority of the betting splits are on the Dodgers so it’s a chalky play. Maybe go a little lighter on the DODGERS (-205) and save some cash for the Under.

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because the Dodgers -1.5 (+105) offer far too small of a payout considering the Giants were 34-5 ATS as road underdogs during the regular season.

Scherzer hasn’t been that good in his past three starts. He pitched only 4 1/3 innings in the NL Wild Card play-in game and gave up five earned runs in each of his last two regular-season starts. That’s enough to keep me away from L.A.’s run line.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 7.5 (-125) for 1 unit because we are getting “reverse line movement” with the total and the weather forecast is predicting nearly 15 mph winds blowing in from left-centerfield.

According to Pregame.com at the time of writing, more than 80% of the cash and nearly two-thirds of the action is on the Over but the Under is far pricier. What that tells me is the House is taking “sharp” action on the Under and are willing to entice more pro-Over money.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (60-35) and Los Angeles Dodgers (59-38) play the finale of a four-game set Thursday at Dodger Stadium on ESPN+. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Anthony DeSclafani is the projected starting pitcher for the Giants. He is 10-4 with a 2.78 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 8.2 K/9 and 2.3 BB/9 over 113 1/3 innings across 19 starts.

DeSclafani lost his last start, allowing three runs on five hits and no walks in six innings at the St. Louis Cardinals Saturday. It was his third consecutive quality start.

While he has been on fire against most everyone else, he is 0-2 with a 10.95 ERA with five homers allowed in 12 1/3 innings in three outings against the Dodgers this season.

RHP Walker Buehler is the projected starting pitcher for L.A. He is 10-1 with a 2.37 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 and 2.1 BB/9 over 121 1/3 innings across 19 starts.

Buehler has won back-to-back starts, and three consecutive decisions across his past four outings.

He allowed just one unearned run with three hits and a walk and seven strikeouts across 6 2/3 innings in a 3-1 win over the Giants June 29. He is 2-0 with a 0.92 ERA across 19 2/3 innings with a .185 opponent batting average in three starts against San Francisco this season.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Giants at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 5:39 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Dodgers -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants +1.5 (-140) | Dodgers -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Giants 1

Money line (ML)

The DODGERS (-175) are moderate favorites and the play in this series finale. DeSclafani has struggled against L.A., while Buehler has handled his business against San Francisco.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The DODGERS -1.5 (+115) are worth a roll of the dice at plus-money on the run line. Buehler has been untouchable against the Giants this season, while DeSclafani hasn’t been able to solve the Dodgers.

Look for the dominance to continue for Buehler against Frisco.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 7.5 (-105) is the play.

The Under has cashed in eight of the past 11 for the Giants as underdogs. The Under is also 14-6 in the past 20 road outings for San Francisco. Plus, the Under is 11-2-2 in the past 15 at home for Los Angeles against a right-handed starter.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (59-35) meet the Los Angeles Dodgers (59-37)  Wednesday at Dodger Stadium for the third of their four-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

These teams split the first two games of the series with San Francisco winning the first 7-2 and L.A. taking the second meeting 8-6.

Season series: Dodgers lead 7-4.

RHP Logan Webb is San Francisco’s projected starter. Webb is 4-3 with a 3.54 ERA (56 IP, 22 ER), 1.25 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 across 11 starts and one relief appearance.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 4 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 2 K in San Francisco’s 7-2 victory at the St. Louis Cardinals Friday.
  • Webb beat L.A. earlier this season (May 29) with a stat line of 5 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 0 BB and 7 K in the Giants’ 11-6 road win.
    • vs. Dodgers on the current roster: 2.78 FIP with a .234 batting average (BA), .316 wOBA, .406 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 27.8 K% and 86.1 mph exit velocity (EV) in 54 plate appearances.

LHP Julio Urias makes his 20th start for the Dodgers. Urias is 12-3 with a 3.78 ERA (112 IP, 47 ER), 1.09 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Win, 10-4, with 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 1 BB and 3 K Friday at the Colorado Rockies.
  • Urias is 1-1 against L.A. this season with a 6.55 ERA (11 IP, 8 ER), 14 H, 2 BB and 15 K in two starts.
    • vs. Giants on the current roster: 3.15 FIP with a .300 BA, .354 expected wOBA, .417 xSLG, 26.7 K% and 86.8 mph EV in 90 plate appearances.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Giants at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Dodgers -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants +1.5 (-135) | Dodgers -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Giants 3

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the DODGERS (-175) for 1 unit because both L.A.’s bullpen and lineup edge out San Francisco’s while this starting pitching matchup is essentially a wash.

For instance, this month, the Dodgers’ batters have the highest WAR, second-highest in both wRC+ and hard-contact rate and third-highest wOBA.

Furthermore, L.A’s bullpen is good to very good whereas San Francisco’s is average to below average. The Dodgers relievers rank ninth in WAR (the Giants 19th), sixth in xFIP (the Giants 15th) and fifth in home runs allowed per nine-inning rate (the Giants 14th).

However, these margins are thinner than I’d like so I’m only putting 1 unit on L.A.’s money line. As in, if your usual sports betting wager is $100 then bet that on DODGERS (-175) to earn a profit of $57.14.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because San Francisco has the best cover rate as a road underdog this season (24-4 ATS) with the highest run line margin (plus-3.3 runs) while L.A. is 20-21 ATS in games against divisional foes.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 8.5 (-110) for a quarter unit because both lineups have been cranking this month, the Dodgers are 13-4 O/U when Urias gets the start, and the Under has cashed in five of the past seven Giants-Dodgers meetings.

However, we do have split action in the betting market with the presumed “sharp” money on the Under and the “public” backing the Over. So I’m a little hesitant about my Over since I’m rolling with the “average Joe”.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (59-34) and Los Angeles Dodgers (58-37) play the second game of a four-game set Tuesday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Alex Wood is the projected starting pitcher for the Giants. He is 8-3 with a 3.67 ERA and 1.15 WHIP with 9.4 K/9 and 2.9 BB/9 over 83 1/3 IP across 15 starts.

Wood has won back-to-back starts, and three straight decisions across his past five outings. His last loss was June 1 against the Los Angeles Angels. Wood is 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA across 12 innings in two starts against the Dodgers this season.

The Dodgers hadn’t confirmed a starting pitcher at the time of publishing but are expected to go with a bullpen day.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Giants at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:17 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Dodgers -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants +1.5 (-165) | Dodgers -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Giants 7, Dodgers 5

Money line (ML)

The GIANTS (+120) are a value play on the road against the Dodgers, who are in a bind. They’re likely to turn to a young pitcher before transitioning to the bullpen this NL West showdown as they look to bounce back after a 7-2 loss in Monday’s series opener. It will end just like Monday did.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The GIANTS +1.5 (-165) are a little on the expensive side, and I’d prefer to play them just straight up. However, Wood has struggled against his former team this season so if you would like a little insurance this price isn’t too steep.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 8.5 (-115) is the play again Tuesday after cashing in the series opener. The Over is 3-0-1 in the last four for the Dodgers following a loss, and the Over is 23-9-1 in the last 33 for the Giants against NL West foes.

Look for San Francisco to roll up plenty of offense against a young hurler.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (58-34) start a four-game series Monday against the Los Angeles Dodgers (58-36) at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

San Francisco dropped two of three games on the road against the St. Louis Cardinals in its first series back from the All-Star break. The Giants are just one game in front of the Dodgers for first place in the NL West.

L.A. took two of three at the Colorado Rockies over the weekend but failed to complete the sweep by losing 6-5 in 10 innings Sunday.

Season series: Dodgers lead 6-3.

RHP Kevin Gausman takes the mound for the Giants. He is 9-3 with a 1.73 ERA (114 2/3 IP, 22 ER), 0.82 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 over 18 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 3-1, with 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB and 9 K against the Washington Nationals last Sunday.
  • Gausman is 1-1 with a 2.45 ERA (11 IP, 3 ER), 5 H, 5 BB and 11 K in two starts against L.A., this season.
    • vs. Dodgers on the current roster: 150 at-bats with a .273/.353/.467 slash line, 32/18 K/BB, 7 HR and 22 RBIs.

RHP Tony Gonsolin is on the bump for the Dodgers. He is 1-0 with a 2.13 ERA (25 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.30 WHIP, 5.3 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 across six starts and one relief appearance.

  • Last outing: No-decision in L.A.’s 7-4 victory over the Arizona Diamondbacks last Sunday with 4 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB and 6 K.
  • 2019-21 home stats: 3-1 with a 2.10 ERA (51 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 0.94 WHIP and 3.5 K/BB over 10 starts and one relief appearance.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Giants at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:25 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Dodgers -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants +1.5 (-185) | Dodgers -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Giants 2

Money line (ML)

GIMME the DODGERS (-135) for 1 unit because there’s been heavy “sharp” line movement toward L.A., despite Gonsolin being a back of the rotation starter for the Dodgers and Gausman being a frontrunner for the NL Cy Young now that New York Mets ace Jacob deGrom is on the injured list.

This game opened as a coin-flip with each team laying -105 on the money line before the market steamed L.A., down to the current number.

I don’t think this is just the public blindly betting the defending champions at home because most bettors that are wagering on baseball at this point know the Giants aren’t a fluke and Gausman made his first All-Star Game this year.

Furthermore, L.A.’s projected lineup Monday will look more like the team that beat Gausman and the Giants June 29 whereas the Dodgers were without OFs Mookie Betts and A.J. Pollock when Gausman beat them May 30.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Dodgers -1.5 (+150) because Gonsolin has impressive numbers thus far but he still has a small sample size and the Giants have MLB’s best cover rate as road underdogs at 23-3 ATS.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 8 (-110) for a quarter unit, if at all, because I much prefer the L.A., side more than the total.

However, there’s a “line freeze” in the betting market as nearly three-fourths of the cash wagered is on the Over, according to Pregame.com, but the total hasn’t budged from the 8-run opener.

Again, Gausman has been fantastic all season and Gonsolin didn’t allow more than 1 earned run in any of his six starts this year.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (48-31) host the San Francisco Giants (50-28) Tuesday at Dodger Stadium for the second game of their two-game miniseries. First pitch is set for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Dodgers beat the Giants 3-2 Monday by outslugging them. L.A. hit three home runs to San Francisco’s two homers while Trevor Bauer outdueled Anthony DeSclafani by giving up one fewer long ball.

Season series: Dodgers lead 5-3.

RHP Kevin Gausman makes his 16th start for the Giants. Gausman is 8-1 with a 1.49 ERA (96 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 0.77 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: No decision with 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB and 9 K Wednesday in San Francisco’s 9-3 win at the Los Angeles Angels.
  • Gausman beat the Dodgers in L.A. May 30 by pitching 6 scoreless frames, allowing only 2 hits and striking out 7 batters with 0 walks in San Francisco’s 5-4 victory.
  • vs. Dodgers on the current roster: 150 at-bats with a .280/.355/.453 slash line, 35/18 K/BB, 6 HR and 20 RBIs.

RHP Walker Buehler is on the mound for the Dodgers. Buehler is 7-1 with a 2.51 ERA (96 2/3 IP, 27 ER), 0.92 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 across 15 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 4-0, with 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 BB and 6 K Thursday against the Chicago Cubs.
  • Buehler is 1-0 this season vs. the Giants with 13 IP, 2 ER, 9 H, 4 BB and 8 K over two starts.
  • vs. Giants on the current roster: 110 at-bats with a .200/.280/.273 slash line, 32/12 K/BB, 1 HR and 8 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Giants at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:52 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Dodgers -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants +1.5 (-155) | Dodgers -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Giants 1

Money line (ML)

GIMME the DODGERS (-160) for 1 unit because L.A. has the edge in the three most important phases of the game: starting pitching, relief pitching and hitting.

First of all, both starters are having an All-Star caliber season but Buehler’s advanced pitching numbers vs. active Giants hitters are far better than Gausman’s against current Dodgers batters.

For instance, Buehler has a 3.06 FIP against these San Francisco hitters with a .275 expected wOBA, .314 expected slugging percentage, 86.8 mph exit velocity and a 24.2% strikeout rate.

Gausman has a 4.87 FIP vs. the Dodgers with a .349 expected wOBA, .454 expected slugging percentage, 89.3 mph exit velocity and 20.8% strikeout rate.

Moreover, for my money, Buehler is the ace of this Dodgers rotation and I expect him to bounce back from a subpar, losing effort in his last outing.

Buehler has pitched in at least six innings in every start and has only given up more than three earned runs in two of those starts.

Also, L.A.’s lineup is slightly more productive vs. right-handed pitching (the Dodgers have a 118 wRC+ and the Giants have a 112 wRC+).

Furthermore, the Dodgers bullpen is 12th in WAR with the fourth-lowest home runs allowed per nine innings while the Giants’ bullpen is 23rd in WAR and 16th in HR/9.

Lastly, the Dodgers are getting “sharp” line movement after opening as -150 favorites but they’ve been bet up to the current number.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because San Francisco has an MLB-high 91.7% cover rate as a road underdog this season (22-2 ATS) with a plus-3.4 run line margin and four of the eight Giants-Dodgers meetings this year have been decided by a run.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 7.5 (-110) for a half unit since both teams have “top of the rotation” starters on the hill Tuesday and most of the situational trends point to the Under.

However, a vast majority of the market is taking the Under in Giants-Dodgers and I hate following a crowd of people in sports gambling.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

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San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (50-27) and Los Angeles Dodgers (47-31) begin a two-game series Monday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Dodgers lead 4-3

Sunday: The Dodgers beat the Chicago Cubs 7-1 winning the final three games of a four-game home series. The Giants lost to the visiting Oakland A’s 6-2 but still took the series 2-1.

Giants RHP Anthony DeSclafani is projected to start Monday. He is 8-2 with a 2.77 ERA (87 2/3 IP, 27 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 8.2 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9 in 15 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 9 K in 8-2 victory at Los Angeles Angels Tuesday
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 1-6, 6.43 ERA (42 IP, 30 ER), 1.56 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 in 8 starts

RHP Trevor Bauer is projected to start for the Dodgers. He is 7-5 with a 2.57 ERA (101 2/3 IP, 29 ER), 0.97 WHIP, 11.4 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 in 16 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 10 K in 5-3 loss at San Diego Padres Wednesday
  • Career vs. Giants: 1-0, 6 1/3 IP, 1 R, 0 ER, 2 H, 4 BB, 11 K in 1 start, a 2-1 victory at San Francisco May 21

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Giants at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Dodgers -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants +1.5 (-135) | Dodgers -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Giants 5, Dodgers 3

Money line (ML)

The value is with the GIANTS (+155), making them the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager.

They are 15-8 as road dogs, have the best overall record in baseball and won their last three games at Dodger Stadium.

Plus, DeSclafani won his last four starts allowing 3 earned runs in 27 innings for a 1.00 ERA.

He was hammered for 10 runs in 2 2/3 innings of an 11-5 home loss to the Dodgers May 23 but bounced back with a better outing five days later, yielding 2 runs in 4 2/3-innings of a no-decision in an 8-5 road win.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS. If you prefer a bit of insurance, it would be reasonable to divvy up the Giants’ ML wager with a Giants +1.5 (-135) bet.

ATS records: Giants 50-27 (MLB’s best record) | Dodgers 37-41

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 7.5 (-115) is worth a HALF-UNIT PLAY.

The O/U is 5-2 in the seven head-to-head meetings between the NL West rivals this season including 3-1 in four games at Chavez Ravine.

The O/U is also 8-7 in DeSclafani’s starts but 6-10 in Bauer’s starts.

O/U records: Giants 37-38-2 | Dodgers 39-36-3

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

JOHNNY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
2021 MLB 67-73-3 21-29-1 -12.1475
2020 MLB 80-59-1 39-21 +24.79
2021 (all sports) 173-160-4 72-71-1 +2.9625
*–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

Follow @JohnnyParlay11 on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (32-20) go for a three-game sweep of their NL West rival Los Angeles Dodgers (31-21) on Sunday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The bats have come to play in this series as San Francisco won the first two games of this series by a combined score of 19-11.

Season series: Dodgers 4-2.

RHP Kevin Gausman makes his 11th start for the Giants. Gausman is 5-0 with a 1.53 ERA (64 2/3 IP, 11 ER), 0.85 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9, and 10.6 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Win, 8-0, in 5 IP with 0 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, and 9 K on May 25 at Arizona Diamondbacks.
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 0-2 with a 4.44 ERA (24 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.44 WHIP, and 9.6 K/9 over 4 starts and 1 bullpen outing.
  • vs. Dodgers on the current roster: 119 at-bats with a .328/.404/.538 slash line, 23/16 K/BB, 6 HR, and 20 RBIs.

LHP Clayton Kershaw is the projected starter for the Dodgers. Kershaw is 7-3 with a 2.94 ERA (64 1/3 IP, 21 ER), 0.90 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9, and 9.9 K/9 across 11 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 9-2, in 7 2/3 IP with 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, and 6 K at Houston Astros on May 25.
  • Career vs. Giants: 24-13 with a 1.79 ERA (352 2/3 IP, 70 ER), 0.88 WHIP, and 9.2 K/9 over 49 starts and 2 relief appearances.
  • vs. Giants on the current roster: 361 at-bats with a .191/.232/.288 slash line, 99/17 K/BB, 8 HR, and 19 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Giants at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:15 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Dodgers -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants +1.5 (-150) | Dodgers -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Prediction

Giants 5, Dodgers 3

Money line (ML)

Slight “LEAN” to the GIANTS (+145) for a quarter unit because this game is priced as if Kershaw is far better than Gausman when in reality these starters are fairly comparable and, if anything, Gausman is having the better season.

In fact, Gausman has a better FIP and xFIP than Kershaw, and San Francisco’s lineup is almost as tough on lefties as L.A.’s is against righties.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the GIANTS +0.5 (-105) FIRST 5 INNINGS for a three-fourths unit because Gausman is having a career season and I want to avoid the late innings since both bullpens are sketchy.

For instance, 8 of Gausman’s 10 outings have been quality starts, 4 of which were against the tough lineups of the San Diego Padres and Cincinnati Reds.

Also, I want to isolate my handicap to the First 5 Innings because while the Dodgers may lead the majors in blown saves with 14 the Giants are second with 13.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the OVER 7.5 (+100) because the Giants have a 12-7 O/U record as a road dog, the Dodgers are 13-11-1 O/U as a home favorite and they’re 7-4 O/U in Kershaw starts.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (31-20) play Game 3 of a four-game series at the Los Angeles Dodgers (31-20) Saturday. First pitch at Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET (on FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

2021 series: Dodgers lead 4-1

San Francisco evened this series with an 8-5, 10-inning victory Friday to claim its first W vs. Los Angeles in five tries this season.

As expected with this rivalry, there was some drama. Dodgers C Austin Barnes ripped a game-tying, pinch-hit, 3-run homer with two outs in the bottom of the ninth, which was followed by Giants LF Mike Tauchman (a defensive replacement) robbing PH Albert Pujols of a walk-off homer.

RHP Logan Webb is expected to be activated off the injured list to start for the Giants Saturday. Webb, who missed one start due to a right shoulder strain, is 3-3 with a 4.09 ERA (44 IP, 20 ER), 1.41 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 and 3.5 BB/9 in 8 starts and 1 relief appearance this season.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 6-3 victory at Cincinnati Reds May 17
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 0-2, 5.27 ERA (13 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 16 H, 4 BB, 11 K in 3 starts

LHP Julio Urias is the Dodgers’ projected starter. He is 7-1 with a 3.03 ERA (62 1/3 IP, 21 ER), 0.82 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 and 1.0 BB/9 in 10 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 10 K in 11-5 victory at Giants Sunday
  • Career vs. Giants: 1-2, 2.22 ERA (52 2/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.23 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 in 10 starts and 6 relief appearances
  • 2021 vs. Giants: 1-0, 3.00 ERA in 1 start (Sunday)

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Giants at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:56 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Dodgers -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants +1.5 (-125) | Dodgers -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Giants 4, Dodgers 3

Money line (ML)

There’s good value in the Giants (+165), who aren’t 11 games over .500 because of luck.

They rank second in the NL with 71 homers – behind the Atlanta Braves’ 80 – and the rotation is fifth in the NL with a 2.99 ERA.

However, I’m going to PASS on an ML play and focus on the spread.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

SAN FRANCISCO +1.5 (-125) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. The Giants have the best ATS record in baseball, but beware, the Dodgers are 8-2 in Urias’ 10 starts.

If you want to take a shot at the nice payoff with the Giants ML, I could see divvying up the 1½-unit ATS wager with San Francisco +165.

ATS records: Giants 33-18 | Dodgers 24-27

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS. The Over is 7-2 in Urias’ starts but 3-5 in Webb’s starts. Don’t be surprised if this turns into a pitcher’s duel, but I don’t trust the bullpens enough to back the Under 7.5 (-105).

O/U records: Giants 24-25-2 | Dodgers 26-24-1

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

JOHNNY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
2021 MLB 52-51-2 16-18-1 -3.16
2020 MLB 80-59-1 39-21 +24.79
2021 (all sports) 155-137-3 65-60-1 +8.74
*–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

Follow @JohnnyParlay11 on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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