The New York Giants (2-8) visit the Chicago Bears (4-6) Sunday at Soldier Field. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET. We analyze the Giants-Bears odds and sports betting lines, while providing sports betting tips and advice on this matchup.
Giants at Bears: Week 12 preview, betting trends and notes
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- The Giants have lost six straight games. Each of those losses (and their first two of the season) were by six or more points.
- The Bears are coming off of their second-biggest loss of the season, dropping their Sunday Night Football matchup with the Los Angeles Rams 17-7 on the road.
- Bears QB Mitchell Trubisky has been held below 200 passing yards in three straight games. Only seven teams allow more passing yards per game than the Giants’ 259.0.
- Chicago ranks fourth in the NFL with 17.4 points allowed per game. It’s fifth-last with 16.9 points scored per outing.
- New York’s 28.9 points allowed per game ranks 30th. It’s 27th in average total yards allowed.
- The Giants are 2-18 when committing two or more turnovers in a game since the start of the 2017 season. The Bears have forced 14 turnovers this year.
Giants at Bears: Key injuries
Giants WR Sterling Shepard (concussion) is expected to return. TE Evan Engram (foot) is questionable.
Bears QB Mitchell Trubisky (hip) could be forced to sit after suffering a hip pointer. Chase Daniel could draw the start.
Giants at Bears: Odds, betting lines and prediction
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 7:20 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Bears 20, Giants 13
Moneyline (?)
The Bears are 2-3 at home while the Giants are 1-4 on the road. Chicago has the defense to stifle New York and Trubisky (or Daniel) will receive a boost against the Giants’ woeful pass defense.
The Bears are my pick to win this game outright, but there’s no way they should be worth the -278 odds in any matchup. The Giants still aren’t worth much thought at +220 on the road.
New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Bears to win outright returns a profit of just $3.60. This is termed a chalky play and isn’t worth the risk.
Against the Spread (?)
Both teams are 3-7 against the spread. The Bears fall an average of 2.5 points shy of the cover, with the Giants falling 4.8 points short. Chicago is 2-3 ATS at home and New York is 2-3 on the road.
The BEARS (-6.5, –110) will pull this out at home, winning by seven or more points in a strong defensive effort, thanks to mistakes from the Giants offense.
Over/Under (?)
The best play with this game is the UNDER 40.5 (-115). Neither team is capable of handling the bulk of the scoring if the other is shut down. It’s unlikely we get a mutual effort.
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Esten’s NFL betting record: 27-31
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