Tag: Georgia Texas odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

SEC Championship Game: Georgia vs. Texas odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Georgia vs. Texas odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The No. 5 Georgia Bulldogs (10-2, 6-2 SEC) take on the No. 2 Texas Longhorns (11-1, 7-1) in the SEC Championship Game at Mercedez-Benz Stadium in Atlanta Saturday. Kickoff is set for 4 p.m. ET (ABC). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Georgia vs. Texas odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Bulldogs had their eyes opened and fortitude tested as they needed 8 overtimes to take down Georgia Tech 44-42 Nov. 29. The Dogs failed to cover as 17-point favorites to cap off a 3-9 season against the spread (ATS). Georgia went 6-2 in SEC play, losing at the Ole Miss Rebels 28-12 and at the Alabama Crimson Tide 41-34.

The Longhorns finished up with an impressive 17-7 win over Texas A&M Nov. 30, covering as 4.5-point favorites. Texas went 7-5 ATS during the regular season and 7-1 in the conference. The Longhorns’ only loss was to these Bulldogs, at home, in a 30-15 setback Oct. 19 as 4-point favorites.

Georgia QB Carson Beck threw 3 INTs, but RB Trevor Etienne ran in 3 TDs. Texas didn’t score a point until the second half and were down 23-0 at the break. QB Quinn Ewers was 25-for-43 for 211 yards, 2 TDs and 1 INT. He lost 2 fumbles, though.

– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

Stream select live college football games and full replays: Get ESPN+

Georgia vs. Texas odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Friday at 5:10 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Georgia +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Texas -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Georgia +3 (-115) | Texas -3 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 50.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Georgia vs. Texas picks and predictions

Prediction

Georgia 24, Texas 21

Moneyline

Etienne is listed as questionable with a rib injury, and he has missed 3 straight games. He has been limited in practice this week, but this feels like a situation that he was held out in order to be ready for this one. If the Longhorns lose this game, they can probably still get in the college playoff. However, it’s probably lights out for the Bulldogs if they don’t win.

With this game being in Atlanta, that motivation for the Bulldogs, and the previous win by them, I like Georgia here. Texas has a little bit of a quarterback controversy with Arch Manning mixing in the offense, and Ewers averaged just 195 yards passing the last 3 games.

Take GEORGIA +125.

Against the spread

Since we’re going with the value at the ML, forget the spread. Instead, take QUINN EWERS UNDER 233.5 YARDS PASSING (-115). He has not eclipsed this moderate number in 6 of his last 8 games.

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Over/Under

Texas is 3-6-1 O/U in its last 10, and Georgia is 6-4. These teams have met twice since 2019; both went Under and had fewer than 51 total points scored.

I look for a tightly contested matchup where the run game will be key.

Take the UNDER 50.5 (-115).

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Georgia at Texas odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Georgia at Texas odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The 4th-ranked Georgia Bulldogs (5-1, 3-1 SEC) meet the top-ranked Texas Longhorns (6-0, 2-0) Saturday at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin. Kickoff in the SEC game is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Georgia vs. Texas odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Dawgs head down to Austin trying to avoid a 2nd regular-season loss. Georgia hasn’t lost 2 games in a regular season since the COVID campaign of 2020, when Georgia lost 41-24 at Alabama, and 44-28 against Florida in Jacksonville at a neutral site.

The Longhorns racked up a 34-3 win over the rival Oklahoma Sooners in the Red River Rivalry game in Dallas last weekend. Texas has scored 31 or more points in every game this season, going 5-1 against the spread (ATS), while cashing the Under in each of the past 2 outings.

Georgia has failed to cover the past 5 games since thrashing Clemson 34-3 in the season opener on Aug. 31. The Over and Under have alternated in each of the past 4 outings.

Texas leads the all-time series 4-1, last meeting in the Allstate Sugar Bowl on Jan. 1, 2019. The Longhorns won that meeting 28-21. Georgia’s only win in the series came in the previous battle at the Cotton Bowl Jan. 2, 1984, a 10-9 victory. The teams haven’t met in the regular season since 1958, Georgia’s only trip previous trip to Austin. The ‘Horns won 13-8 that day.

– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

Stream select live college football games and full replays: Get ESPN+

Georgia at Texas odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Georgia +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Texas -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Georgia +4.5 (-105) | Texas -4.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 57.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Georgia at Texas picks and predictions

Prediction

Texas 30, Georgia 23

Moneyline

Texas (-200) will cost you 2 times your potential return, and that’s a just a little too expensive for a standalone bet. If you were to toss the Longhorns into a multi-leg parlay, that isn’t priced out of line.

Georgia (+165) has the experience of these big games, but something has been off for the Dawgs on the road. They barely escaped 13-12 at Kentucky on Sept. 14, and they fell 41-34 at Alabama Sept. 28. UGA was getting blown out, but did make a game of it, though.

PASS.

Against the spread

TEXAS -4.5 (-115) is a decent play at the DKR in this marquee battle. This game should have a little bit of everything, but the Longhorns should get the job done in the end.

Everyone talks about the Texas offense, and rightly so, as QBs Quinn Ewers and Arch Manning have each been strong when called upon. The team goes for 495.7 total yards per game, while piling up 306.7 yards per game through the air. But, it’s the defense which has been rock-solid, allowing just 6.3 points and 229.7 total yards per game, and both marks are No. 1 in the nation.

This might be a passing of the torch game, as Texas ascends to the throne in its 1st season in the SEC.

Over/Under

UNDER 57.5 (-110) is worth a look based on the defense for Texas, although Georgia will certainly be able to move the ball.

The Georgia offense, led by QB Carson Beck, has managed 318.0 yards per game through the air. Texas hasn’t seen anything like it to date. And the UGA defense can hold its own, allowing 312.5 total yards, 120.2 rushing yards and 17.2 PPG.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:
Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / Duke / Florida / Florida State / Georgia / Iowa / Kentucky / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / UCLA / USC / Washington / Wisconsin / Recruiting / Transfer portal / College Football Playoffs / College Sports Wire / High School

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