Tag: Georgia Bulldogs betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

The Florida Gators (3-1 overall, 3-1 SEC) meet the Georgia Bulldogs (4-1, 4-1) Saturday in a top-10 showdown at the neutral site of TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville. Georgia is the designated home team with kickoff set for 3:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Florida-Georgia college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The Bulldogs are No. 5 in the Amway Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports, while the Gators are No. 8.

Florida at Georgia: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 3:36 a.m. ET. 

• Money line: Florida +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Georgia -143 (bet $143 to win $100)
• Against the spread/ATS: Florida +3 (-106) | Georgia -3 (-115)
• Over/Under: 54.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Florida at Georgia: Three things to know

1. Florida came back from a three-week COVID-related layoff to beat the brakes off of Missouri 41-17. QB Kyle Trask continued his hot start this season, throwing for 345 yards, four touchdowns with one interception and a 169.9 passer efficiency rating.
2. Georgia came out of its bye to beat Kentucky 14-3 last week. The Bulldogs defense stymied Kentucky, holding the Wildcats to just 229 total yards. The week prior, Georgia took a 41-24 beating at the hands of second-ranked Alabama.
3. The Florida-Georgia rivalry was first played in 1904 and while there is a discrepancy on the head-to-head records, the Bulldogs have won the previous three contests, including a 24-17 victory last season.

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Florida at Georgia: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Florida 28, Georgia 20

Money line (ML)

Georgia’s (-143) defense has smothered opponents all season but it did give up 41 to Alabama, which is the highest-ranked team in ESPN’s offensive SP+ ranking.

FLORIDA’S (+120) offense is hardly a downgrade as it is fourth-ranked in SP+ offense. The Gators will have success on offense against Georgia because their offensive line has been phenomenal this year. Florida’s offensive line is 16th in line yards per carry, 15th in stuff rate, ninth in sack rate and first in sack rate in passing downs (according to Football Outsiders).

If the Gators can have success in the run game, it’ll open up passing lanes for Trask. It could be a big game for Florida TE Kyle Pitts, who is a future first-round draft pick in several according to several NFL Draft experts. Pitts leads the Gators with seven touchdown catches.

The Bulldogs secondary is missing a crucial piece as senior SS Richard LeCounte is out a “few weeks” into a dirt bike accident last weekend. LeCounte, a five-star recruit, will likely be playing professional football on Sundays next year. Georgia allows the fewest fantasy points to opposing tight ends and LeCounte is a big reason why.

TAKE FLORIDA (+120) to upset Georgia.

Against the spread (ATS)

FLORIDA +3 (-106) has 67% of the money wagered on it and 56% of the bets placed, according to Pregame.com/game-center. Money wagered typically signifies which side the sharps are on and bets placed is “public money.”

We are a little late to the party since this line has been steamed from the opening line of Florida +6 to its current price. Regardless, I am with the sharps and TAKING FLORIDA +3 (-106).

Over/Under (O/U)

Georgia’s defensive is ranked first in defensive SP+ ranking, but Florida isn’t too shabby with a 25th ranking itself and it could show up against a Bulldogs team that lost a lot of production from last season.

Former Georgia QB Jake Fromm and RB D’Andre Swift moved onto the NFL and the Bulldogs were ranked 99th in returning offensive production by ESPN. The Under is 6-2-1 in the last nine Florida-Georgia games. I “LEAN” UNDER 54.5.

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