NFL Player Prop Bet Payday: Week 18

Five prop bets to close out the NFL regular season.

The final week of the regular season is upon us, and we have picked out five prop bets that can take you to the pay window. We’re spreading the wealth – picking one quarterback, one running back, two wide receivers and one tight end in hopes of hitting a payday in five different games on Sunday.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook (updated Friday, Jan. 7 at 7:15 p.m. ET) … If you’re in CO or NJ, place all of your legal, online sports wagers with Tipico Sportsbook

Diggstown

Buffalo Bills WR Stefon Diggs hasn’t had the lights-out season that he had in 2020, but his best game of the season came in his first meeting with the New York Jets, catching eight passes for 162 yards. It’s little surprising that his Over/Under is as low as it is (73.5 receiving yards at -114 for both the Over and Under). The Bills need to win this game to clinch the AFC East and not be a wild-card team on the road, so Josh Allen will be leaning on Diggs. If he does half well as the first matchup, he still hits. Take the Over (-114).

Jobsite Foreman

Few players have been more hit-and-miss recently than Tennessee Titans running back D’Onta Foreman. The Titans need a win to earn a first-round bye and will be getting Derrick Henry back. Foreman is playing lowly Houston but has a modest Over/Under (69.5 rushing yards at -114 for both). In the five games since the Titans last played Houston, Foreman has topped 100 yards three times. The Titans won’t take any chances to lock down the coveted top seed, and Foreman should have 20 carries or more as they get back into Henry mode. He should only need 15 to hit this number. Take the Over (-114).

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Law & Order

It’s been a long, painful rookie season for Jacksonville Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence, and it’s coming to an end. His Over/Under is very low (209.5 passing yards at -108 Over, -120 Under). But, it’s low for a reason. He hasn’t hit 210 yards in six of his last nine games. In his first meeting with the Colts, despite throwing 35 times, he had just 162 passing yards. There are better times ahead, but Lawrence will be happy to see this miserable season come to a close. Take the Under (-120).

Kittle in Bits

San Francisco 49ers tight end George Kittle is a big reason the 49ers have beaten the Los Angeles Rams five straight times. In his last seven games against the Rams, he has 98 or more yards in five of them and has just one game in which he didn’t blow out his Week 18 Over/Under (60.5 receiving yards at -112 Over, -115 Under). The Rams typically don’t put Jalen Ramsey in the slot — where he spent most of his time in the earlier meeting, dude to injuries. Kittle does his most damage from the inside, and the results have been impressive. The Niners need to win to get in, so expect to see Kittle targeted 10 times or more. If he catches half of those, he hits the point. Take the Over (-112).

Hollywood or Bust

The Baltimore Ravens have had a slew of injuries this season, so WR Marquise Brown hasn’t had the kind of season that was expected of him. He hasn’t hit 45 yards in any of the four games since Lamar Jackson went down, but the Pittsburgh Steelers are a risk-taking defense, and Brown will get some single coverage. His Over/Under is very low (45.5 receiving yards at -111 Over, -116 Under). The feeling is that he won’t hit the point, but he has had some good games against the Steelers, and it may only take one splash play plus a couple short receptions to hit this number. Take the Over (-111).

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NFL Player Prop Bet Payday: Week 3

A five-pack of NFL player prop bets for Week 3.

We’re starting to get a feel for how teams are shaking out in the 2021 edition of the NFL. Injuries at key positions and early success or failure are making prop bets a proposition that gets more qualified over time.

These are five prop bets that you can take to the pay window with confidence, because they make too much sense.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook (updated Friday, Sept. 24, at 10:30 p.m. ET) … If you’re in CO or NJ, place all of your legal, online sports wagers with Tipico Sportsbook.

There’s Something About Terry

There aren’t a lot of people who think the Washington Football Team Without a Name is going to slap down the Buffalo Bills in their house. When it comes to a bet on wide receiver Terry McLaurin, those setting the odds know what they’re doing. Washington is likely to be behind in for much, if not all, of this game. His reception Over/Under (5.5 receptions at -164 Over, +125 Under) is begging to bet the Under. Typically, I don’t like giving up that much to win less. That said, Take the Over.

Chief of Staff

There is a belief that the Bucs-Rams game is going to be shootout. As such Matthew Stafford’s passing yardage Over/Under is markedly high (310.5 yards at -114 Over, -114 Under). That’s the kind of number you expect to see from a team winning by 14 or losing by 14. The Rams aren’t in either category against Tampa Bay. This is going to be treated like a playoff game because a rematch is likely in January. Both teams are going to play it tight to the vest, and it should be noted that defensive players get played, too – and the Bucs have enough of them. Take the Under.

In the Nick of Time

Let’s see if we have this right. Jarvis Landry is out. OBJ is a hopeful question mark. And Nick Chubb has a modest rushing number against Chicago at home (73.5 yards at -114 Over, -114 Under). The Browns are going to count on its run game to win, and 20 carries should be the minimum expected from Chubb in this one. The game is done at 3:45, and Chubb has 20-plus carries. Take the Over.

Headley Lamar

The Baltimore Ravens get the Detroit Lions this week and quarterback Lamar Jackson has a fat rushing number (75.5 yards at -114 Over and -114 Under). There are legitimate running backs that have that number. By all accounts, the Ravens should dominate the Lions, who don’t have the pass rushers to force Jackson to bail out of the pocket and do his magic. Against this opponent, he should be able to hand the ball off to others (and throw it) without being expected to be the primary rusher. Take the Under.

Curious George

The Packers defense has had its share of issues getting off the field, especially against offenses trying to move the chains. George Kittle should be expected to catch eight passes. Will that be expected to hit his number (60.5 yards at -115 Over, -112 Under)? I’ll jump on board. Take the Over.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).