Fantasy football: Where to draft Las Vegas Raiders QB Gardner Minshew

Analyzing Las Vegas Raiders QB Gardner Minshew’s 2024 fantasy football ADP and where to target him in fantasy drafts.

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Las Vegas Raiders QB Gardner Minshew II earned his first Pro Bowl appearance after starting 13 games for the Indianapolis Colts a season ago. Taken in the 6th round of the 2019 NFL Draft, Minshew was originally selected 178th overall by the Jacksonville Jaguars and made a name for himself there in 2019. He eventually found his way to Philadelphia for two seasons and then to Indy for 1 before ending up with the Raiders.

Below, we look at Gardner Minshew’s 2024 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.

Entering 2024, Minshew will not be the among the highest-taken QBs, but he has been efficient, consistent, and productive over the years. The dual-threat signal-caller is intriguing in terms of fantasy value.

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Gardner Minshew’s ADP: 145.63

(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)

Minshew has an ADP of 145.63 in redraft leagues, which puts him in the 13th to 19th round, depending on the size of the league. His ADP is behind teammate RB Dylan Laube (136.88).

Among quarterbacks, Minshew’s ADP puts him 33rd at the position, behind Derek Carr (New Orleans Saints, 136.81), Will Levis (Tennessee Titans, 137.43) and Bryce Young (Carolina Panthers, 143.56) and slightly ahead of Russell Wilson (Pittsburgh Steelers, 152.27), Jacoby Brissett (New England Patriots, 158.73) and Justin Fields (Pittsburgh Steelers), 160.57.

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Gardner Minshew’s 2023-24 stats

Games: 17

Passing yards: 3,305

Completions | attempts: 305 | 490

Passing touchdowns: 15

Interceptions: 9

Carries | rushing yards: 34 | 100

Rushing touchdowns: 3

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Where should you draft Minshew?

Minshew’s fantasy value isn’t much, but in some leagues, he does bring tremendous value.

In 2 of his 5 seasons in the league, Minshew finished as a top-26 QB. He finished as a top-21 fantasy QB in both seasons in which he topped 10 starts. Minshew might not get much publicity, but he is consistent.

Minshew has a 62.6% completion rate as well. The Raiders are expected to be among the worst teams in the NFL, but Minshew has stars like TE Brock Bowers and WR Davante Adams, both of which can make plays. Minshew has a starting spot locked up which is more than many QB1s can say.

Minshew has thrown for north of 3,200 yards when he’s started 10 or more games. He is consistent, and he can contribute to your team. Minshew might be a low-end QB2 in the fantasy ranks, but he’s worthy of being taken in 2-QB leagues. Minshew is also worth a look in superflex leagues and should taken higher than many of his similarly-ranked peers like Young and Wilson.

Draft Minshew in the 9th round and after in 2-QB or Superflex leagues and certainly ensure he’s off the board in those styles of leagues.

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The best fantasy football gamble of Week 12

Fresh off a bye, the Colts face a pass-friendly fantasy matchup to exploit.

Every week, at least one player becomes my fascination of whether he’s worthy of a fantasy football start as a streamer. The decision can be a mental wrestling match, but for the purpose of brevity, only one player can be chosen as my favorite fantasy football gamble of the week.

The players chosen in this series are meant to be fliers for fantasy owners in desperate situations or those willing to take an intentional risk. No player is intended to be a lineup lock for guaranteed results, hence the name of the series.

The best fantasy football gamble for Week 12

Tracking my 2023 predictions: 4-7-0
All-time record: 23-38-3 (38.3%)

Win: Player produces ≥ 75% of projected fantasy points
Loss: Player produces >75% of projected fantasy points
Tie: Player is ejected, leaves with an injury, or is ruled out after publishing

This year, we’ll also track the accuracy on a percentage basis to show relative results, since sometimes calling a player a loss doesn’t actually hurt gamers. An example would be if a projection narrowly falls short of the 75 percent threshold, the player is still of use in a lineup.

Wk 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
% 55 74.7 41.7 20.8 150.3 66.5 16.1 25.5 88 121.4 138.8
Grade E C F- F- A+ D F- F- B+ A+ A+

Last week, Jacksonville Jaguars wide receiver Calvin Ridley was the selection and made it three straight successful recommendation. He turned in a monster effort after failing to reach seven PPR points in three of the previous four games. Scratching and clawing my way back to getting even, this week’s choice is a former Jaguar who is trying to navigate a divisional foe to victory over a member of the NFC South.

Indianapolis Colts QB Gardner Minshew vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Minshew returns from the bye with wide receiver Josh Downs no longer on the injury report, which helps his odds. Another factor working in the quarterback’s favor is that Tampa Bay has been strong against running backs, which should lead to a bit more passing from Indy.

In addition to Downs, who is having a strong rookie campaign, Minshew will have Michael Pittman Jr., Alec Pierce and tight end Kylen Granson available. The Bucs have given up a fair amount of work to TEs so far, and the position has been rocked by receivers not only on the year but even more so in the last few weeks. This matchup for wideouts sits 60.4% easier than the league average in the last three weeks, 33.8% over the last five, and 24.1% on the season. That kind of success rarely occurs without a strong quarterback performance.

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At home, Indianapolis battles a Bucs defense that has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points per game (23.2) to quarterbacks in 2023. Over the last five weeks, no defense has given up more points to the position (28.2). In the past three contests, we’ve seen Brock Purdy (30.1) and C.J. Stroud (44.4) explode vs. Tampa as injuries and a lack of pressure have played major roles in the aerial success.

Every passer but rookie Will Levis posted at least 250 yards and 22 or more fantasy points following the Buccaneers’ Week 5 bye. Three of those guys went for 30 or more points, and Josh Allen is the only name on that list anyone drafted as a fantasy QB1.

As long as Minshew puts the ball up 30 times, he’s a decent bet to finish as a fantasy starter this week. The major risk at play here is he hasn’t done either of those things in the last three games.

My projection: 21-of-31 attempts, 277 yards, 2 TDs, 1 rush, 7 yards (22.6 fantasy points)

Fantasy football preview: Anthony Richardson vs. Gardner Minshew

A fantasy football breakdown of Colts QBs Anthony Richardson and Gardner Minshew.

The Indianapolis Colts are looking to usher in a new era under center after spending the No. 4 overall pick in the 2023 NFL draft on Anthony Richardson out of Florida.

While the future of the position currently belongs to Richardson, the organization hedged their bets by signing veteran Gardner Minshew in free agency as a bridge option in Shane Steichen’s scheme.

For fantasy football purposes, we’re here to examine the outlook of the new quarterback room in Indianapolis and which signal-caller managers should target in their upcoming drafts for the 2023 season.