Women’s NCAA Championship Game: Iowa vs. South Carolina odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Iowa vs. South Carolina odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Iowa Hawkeyes (34-4) and South Carolina Gamecocks (37-0) meet Sunday in the National Championship Game of the Women’s NCAA Tournament. Tip-off from Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland is slated for 3 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Iowa vs. South Carolina odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

It will be a rematch of a 2023 semifinal as a pair of No. 1 seeds clash in Cleveland.

Iowa advanced after a 71-69 win against No. 3 seed UConn Friday. Things got off to a slow start, but the Hawkeyes came on late. However, there was a controversial offensive foul on the Huskies with 3.9 seconds left with them trailing 70-69. Iowa got the ball back and it hung on for the win, although a late G Caitlin Clark missed free throw helped UConn grab the cover as a 2.5-point underdog.

The Hawkeyes shot just 45.8% (27-of-59) from the field, and just 28.0% (7-of-25) from behind the 3-point line, while turning it over 16 times. Iowa finished with a 37-to-29 rebounding margin as G Sydney Affolter, Clark and G Kate Martin combined for 24 of those boards. Meanwhile, it was F Hannah Stuelke who led the team with 23 points as Clark scored 21 points while struggling from behind the 3-point line (3-for-11).

Iowa has managed a 2-3 against the spread (ATS) mark in its 5 NCAA Tournament games, while the Under holds a slight 3-2 edge.

South Carolina rolled to a 78-59 semifinal win over 11th-seeded NC State Friday. The Gamecocks actually led just 32-31 at halftime, but the Gamecocks used a 29-6 run in the 3rd quarter to pull away for the win and cover as 11.5-point favorites, while the Under (139.5) hung on.

The Gamecocks were led by C Kamilla Cardoso, who went for a game-high 22 points with 11 rebounds and 2 blocked shots, while shooting an efficient 10-of-12 from the field. G Raven Johnson chipped in with 13 points, while G Te-Hina Paopao ended up with 10 points and a team-best 6 assists.

Like Iowa, South Carolina is 2-3 ATS in the Tournament, while the Under is 4-1 in the 5 outings.

South Carolina is No. 1 and Iowa is No. 2 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

Iowa vs. South Carolina odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook’s; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 6:08 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Iowa +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | South Carolina -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Iowa +6.5 (-110) | South Carolina -6.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 159.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Iowa vs. South Carolina and predictions

Prediction

South Carolina 81, Iowa 76

Moneyline

South Carolina (-275) will cost 2.75 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not enough reward.

The unbeaten Gamecocks should get the job done in this revenge game after being bounced by the Hawkeyes last season in the Final Four, but I’m not willing and can’t suggest backing a -275 favorite in any sport.

However, expect Iowa (+220) to put up a good fight. This should be an epic cap for one of the most memorable seasons in women’s basketball history.

AVOID a moneyline play unless you’re willing to take a chance with Clark and the Hawkeyes.

Against the spread

IOWA +6.5 (-110) is worth backing, catching more than 3 buckets. Clark and Co. will be a tremendous test for unbeaten South Carolina.

Iowa stunned South Carolina last season 77-73 in the Final Four in Dallas, snapping a 42-game win streak for the Gamecocks. Clark scored 41 points to set a Final Four record, and you can bet she’ll be front and center for the Hawkeyes Sunday, especially after an ugly shooting performance in the semifinal against UConn.

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Over/Under

UNDER 159.5 (-110) is the lean in this title game.

The Under has cashed in 4 of 5 NCAA Tournament games for South Carolina, while cashing in 3 of 5 outings for Iowa. The total almost went low in the UConn game, too, but a late free throw by Clark flipped the total in favor of the Over by a half-point.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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College Sports Wire: Men’s hoops / Women’s hoops / High School

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March Madness: Championship Game strategy for the $2.5K USA TODAY’s Women’s NCAA Tournament Survivor Pool

Win $2.5K in the Women’s NCAA Tournament Survivor Pool: National Championship Game pick and prediction.

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The 2024 Women’s NCAA Tournament wraps up Sunday at Cleveland’s Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse. Only 53 entries in USA TODAY’s Women’s NCAA Tournament Survivor Pool contest remain out of the 3,754 who signed up.

The tournament favorite South Carolina Gamecocks (37-0) meet the Iowa Hawkeyes (34-4) for all the marbles in the Women’s NCAA Tournament Championship Game Sunday at 3 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN).

On Friday, No. 1 overall seed South Carolina took care of NC State 78-59 with C Kamilla Cardoso going for 22 points with 11 rebounds and 2 blocked shots. The superstar center was a very efficient 10-for-12 from the field, and she was one of three South Carolina players to go for double-digit points.

Gamecocks G Raven Johnson added 13 points, with most of her damage coming on 3 triples, while G Te-Hina Paopao was good for 10 points, 6 assists and a steal, while knocking down a pair of 3-pointers.

South Carolina shot 50.0% (30-for-60) from the field, including 42.1% (8-for-19) from behind the 3-point line. It managed to get to the free-throw line just 4 times, but it converted 4 shots.

Iowa advanced to the title game for the 2nd consecutive season, easing by UConn 71-69. With 10 seconds to go, the Huskies trailed 70-69 and had the ball, but a controversial offensive foul on F Aaliyah Edwards against G Gabbie Marshall gave the Hawkeyes the ball back with 3.9 seconds to go. G Caitlin Clark was fouled with 3.5 seconds left, hit the 1st free throw and missed the 2nd, but G Sydney Affolter came down with the offensive board and Iowa hung on for the 2-point win.

The Hawkeyes were just 45.8% (27-for-59) from the floor, while going 28.0% (7-for-25) from behind the 3-point line and 71.4% (10-for-14) from the charity stripe. Clark didn’t have her best game but finished with 21 points on 7-of-18 shooting, while going 3-for-11 from downtown. F Hannah Stuelke actually led the Hawkeyes with a game-high 23 points on an efficient 9-of-12 shooting performance.

South Carolina is No. 1 and Iowa is No. 2 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

As for the USA TODAY’s Women’s NCAA Tournament Survivor Pool contest, I had 3 correct picks in the opening round for 12 points but stumbled in the 2nd round and was eliminated when 4th-seeded Kansas State lost to 5th-seeded Colorado. Another 4-seed, Indiana, won for me that round, but the KSU pick did me in.

Despite the loss, I still offered picks in an attempt to help you in your chase for the $2.5K 1st-place prize. Only having to make 1 pick the remaining rounds, rebounded with LSU (3 points) in the Sweet 16 upsetting UCLA in a 78-69 thriller. In the Elite 8, I won with UConn (3 points) against USC. And I won with Iowa (1 point) in the Friday’s semifinal.

As an employee, I wasn’t eligible to win this contest, but there was no rule against me helping you.

A rules reminder: Remaining entries are required to pick the National Championship Game winner — if you still have an eligible team to select.

Points are earned equal to your winning teams’ seeds.

Here is my strategy of which team to pick for Sunday’s championship.

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National Championship Game pick

PICK: SOUTH CAROLINA GAMECOCKS

I intentionally held off from selecting South Carolina in the earlier rounds in the event it managed to avoid the upset and get to the title game. The strategy worked — excluding my darn K-State pick in the 2nd round.

After selecting Iowa in the Final Four, I didn’t have any other choice for the this round anyway.

Clark and the Hawkeyes are back in the National Championship Game for the 2nd consecutive season.

Unfortunately for them, coach Dawn Staley’s Gamecocks are on a mission, will finish 38-0 and grab the title as Iowa will once again be the bridesmaid — the Hawkeyes lost to LSU in last year’s title game.

Stream select live college basketball games and full replays: Get ESPN+

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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CBS Sports stamps Gabbie Marshall’s block the defensive play of the week

Gabbie Marshall made the defensive play of the season for the Iowa Hawkeyes. Her effort is the CBS Sports’ defensive play of the week.

The block heard around the world. That claim may not be that hyperbolic based on how the women’s Big Ten Tournament was essentially a home game for the Iowa Hawkeyes in what has been deemed “Carver-Hawkeye North.”

Gabbie Marshall made the defensive play of the season for the Iowa Hawkeyes when she got her entire hand on a Nebraska 3-point attempt as it tried to track down the Hawkeyes. Marshall not only swatted the thing backward, but collected the loose ball and had the wherewithal to call a timeout to grant the Hawkeyes possession.

The play by Marshall has earned the honor of being CBS Sports’ defensive play of the week.

Stop of the week: Gabbie Marshall, Iowa

The Hawkeyes survived an upset scare during the Big Ten championship game against Nebraska. The game went into overtime, and Iowa had a slight 91-87 lead with 30 seconds remaining. The Huskers were on the attack, but Gabbie Marshall came up with a huge block to kill the momentum that could’ve led to a comeback. – Isabel Gonzales, CBS Sports

Marshall didn’t only do things on the defensive end, either. She has been a spark plug for the Hawkeyes the entire month of March as she has found her stroke from outside.

Since the calendar has hit March, Marshall has shot 44% (11 of 25) from 3-point range to come on at just the right time. She has added in seven steals and 10 assists.

She is doing all of the little things right that help this team come together and go when it matters. With the NCAA Tournament on the horizon, Marshall is going to be called upon to hit from deep.

While the Hawkeyes await who they will meet in the first round, one thing almost a lock at this point is that she will get to fine tune her shot at home in Carver-Hawkeye Arena. Iowa is waiting to have a No. 1 seed stamped by their name.

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Gabbie Marshall eclipses 1,000-career points in Minnesota win

Gabbie Marshall is officially a 1,000-point scorer in her Hawkeye career after Wednesday night’s performance at Minnesota.

On a night senior superstar guard Caitlin Clark collected her 17th career triple-double, don’t overlook the contribution of fifth-year guard Gabbie Marshall.

The 5-foot-9 guard from Cincinnati, Ohio, knocked down four 3-pointers and registered 16 points in the 108-60 blowout win over Minnesota.

In the process, Marshall tracked down some history of her own.

Marshall is now a part of the 1,000 career points club at Iowa.

It’s a credit to Marshall’s contributions to the Hawkeyes over her career.

One of the key starting cogs during this run with Clark and graduate guard Kate Martin, Marshall has started 127 games and appeared in 156 games in her Hawkeye career.

After her 4-for-7 day beyond the 3-point line at Minnesota, Marshall has connected on 235 3-pointers in her Hawkeye career.

Marshall’s 16-point outing against the Gophers represented her seventh game this season with double-figure points. In each of those games, Marshall knocked down four or more 3-pointers.

She was one of the primary reasons that Iowa advanced to the Final Four and then the national championship game against LSU last spring. Marshall connected on 5-of-8 3-pointers against Georgia in the NCAA Tournament’s second round and then on 3-of-9 3-pointers versus Louisville in the Elite Eight.

She also made 2-of-3 3-pointers against LSU in the national championship game.

Perhaps her performance against Minnesota is the first sign that she’s ready for another run through the Big Ten Tournament and then into March Madness.

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Iowa Women’s Basketball 2023-24 Snapshot Profile: Gabbie Marshall

Grit like Gabbie. The fifth-year guard is back to help anchor the perimeter of a team with lofty expectations. What does she have in store?

Caitlin Clark is great. We all know that. It’s been very well established that Caitlin Clark is one of the faces of collegiate sports currently, a player who will undoubtedly go down as one of the sport’s all-time greats.

She’s won nearly every award available out there already, and should once again sweep the awards at the end of the year.

We will get to Caitlin Clark eventually, profiling what could be her last season in Iowa City. That’s still to come. Before that though, I have to draw attention to something. While Caitlin Clark is great and deserves all her acclaim, she is not the entire Iowa women’s basketball team.

While propping up Clark, please don’t forget about the entire other roster of valuable contributors! This isn’t a David Ruffin and the Temptations situation here where “ain’t nobody coming to see you, Otis!” You don’t make an NCAA championship game based on one player. Caitlin Clark is the leader, but she’s supported by an entire quality team. She would surely agree with that, especially being the great leader she is.

Just looking through preseason watchlists and such, it doesn’t feel like the rest of Iowa’s squad is getting enough shine. Well, instead of just sitting here and complaining about it, it’s time to give these girls the coverage that they deserve!

Starting our series of snapshot profiles is fifth-year guard Gabbie Marshall. One of Iowa’s multiple returning starting guards, Marshall plays one of the most important roles on the team.

She is tasked with providing elite defense while being a knock-down shooter. While the 3-pointer was cold to start last season, she showed just how lethal she can be from beyond the arc to close out the season. She was second on the team in 3-pointers made and attempted.

With the departure of McKenna Warnock, coach Lisa Bluder will depend on Marshall to excel in her role even more. Here is a look at Iowa guard Gabbie Marshall.

Iowa will have to overcome these LSU stats to become national champions

In order to become national champions, Iowa will need to overcome these LSU stats.

Iowa women’s basketball finally did it! Your Hawkeyes are heading to their first national championship game! They became the first team in over a year to beat defending national champion South Carolina.

Conventional box score knowledge would tell you the Gamecocks should have won this game. South Carolina had nearly double the rebounds as the Hawkeyes, 49-25, and made their money on second-chance points. In an extreme rarity, South Carolina had more offensive rebounds (26) than defensive rebounds.

The size advantage Dawn Staley’s squad held over the Hawkeyes was evident. At times, South Carolina made Iowa look like middle schoolers in comparison to the Monstars wearing red.

Despite getting vastly outrebounded and not even shooting lights out from deep, the Hawkeyes were pulled out this tight contest. Caitlin Clark led the way with a Kobe-like 41-point performance, aided by the threat of Iowa’s shooters to hit from downtown. Those 3s didn’t always fall, but South Carolina knew it couldn’t just leave lethal shooters such as Gabbie Marshall open from 3.

It was a David vs. Goliath performance for Lisa Bluder’s squad, and they’it will have to do it again if it hopes to become national champions. The LSU Tigers also possess great size. Ten players are listed as 5-foot-10 or taller, and the Tigers are led by dominant big Angel Reese.

Prior to the start of the Final Four, the Tigers averaged 16 more rebounds than their opponents on a given night. LSU ranked third nationally in total rebounds and offensive rebounds per game behind just Troy and South Carolina. The Tigers came into Dallas averaging 46.6 rebounds and 17.1 offensive boards per contest.

LSU is another team that looks to beat up its opponent inside, opting to drive and crash the glass rather than settling for the jumper. The Tigers have not shot particularly well in recent tournament games, but have played tough defense and dominated the glass. Just like SC, they will make you work for every single bucket, every single rebound.

If Iowa can hold its own on the glass — particularly the offensive glass — the Hawkeyes are likely going to be cutting down nets in Dallas and hoisting a national championship trophy.

It all takes place at 2:30 CT on ABC.

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Final Four: Here come the Hawkeyes! The biggest takeaways from Iowa’s Elite 8 win

Final Four bound! The Iowa Hawkeyes’ magical season continues with their Elite Eight victory. Here are the biggest takeaways.

Your Iowa Hawkeyes are headed to the Final Four!

This season has been an incredible ride already but it has leveled up from something fun to thrusting itself into the history books and memories as one of the best seasons ever for a Hawkeyes’ squad.

In what was essentially like playing another game at Carver-Hawkeye Arena last night due to the support from Iowa fans, the Hawkeyes put on a show to make the trip worthwhile. The 97-83 win over Louisville in the Elite Eight sends the Iowa Hawkeyes to the Final Four in Dallas. It just their second time advancing this far into the tournament and the first since 1993.

The incredible part about this game was that it took everyone. There were contributions across the board and some to dive deeper into but all deserve their flowers. Monika Czinano once again showed her dominance in the paint with a masterclass on footwork.

Kate Martin is a glue piece that makes this team go and her contributions can’t be forgotten. Hannah Stuelke played significant minutes and played them well in the biggest moment of her young career. Assistant coach Jan Jensen, coaching with a heavy heart, dug deep and helped lead this family of Hawkeyes to a Final Four.

There are countless takeaways to discuss from this performance, but here are five of the biggest takeaways from the Hawkeyes’ Elite Eight victory over Louisville.

They’re back! Iowa’s Kate Martin, Gabbie Marshall announce they are returning next season

The Iowa Hawkeyes women just secured their backcourt for next season with Kate Martin and Gabbie Marshall announcing they are returning.

The backcourt for the Iowa Hawkeyes women’s basketball team is already one of the best, if not far and away the best, in the nation this season.

Everyone knows Caitlin Clark and the household name she has become, but without her two backcourt teammates, who knows what things would look like.

Those two teammates are Iowa’s Kate Martin and Gabbie Marshall. They have each announced that they will be returning to the Hawkeyes next season to continue what they have built.

Kate Martin has appeared in 113 games as a member of the Hawkeyes. She is averaging seven points and 4.2 rebounds per game this season, but her contributions may come more so in her ability to calm things down, be the glue within the offense, and make the smart play. She excels with her instincts and intelligence. Next year will be Martin’s sixth collegiate season.

Another backcourt member returning is Gabbie Marshall. She has 117 games under her belt and is a defensive menace for the Hawkeyes. With 170 steals, she provides a defensive stopper to go with the high-powered offense. Next year will be Marshall’s fifth season with the Iowa program.

The two returners know that they are part of something special at Iowa and want to continue on their path of wins, excitement, and laying another brick to the foundation they have been so key in building.

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Gabbie Marshall on ESPN’s breakout season watch list

Iowa Hawkeyes women’s basketball sees their guard, Gabbie Marshall, among those on ESPN’s breakout season watch list for 2022-23.

The Iowa Hawkeyes women’s basketball team is primed up for another great season. The talent is there. The expectations are there. Everything is in place for the No. 4 ranked team in the AP Poll to be there when the season comes to its end.

To add to the mix of point guard Caitlin Clark running things, ESPN has named senior guard Gabbie Marshall to their breakout season watch list for the 2022-23 season.

Iowa has the luxury of returning all five starters from the previous two seasons, a group headlined by Caitlin Clark and Monika Czinano. So where does Marshall come in? Any pressure she can alleviate from Clark needing to produce from the backcourt would be helpful, and she could be a great recipient of Clark’s dimes off her paint penetration. Marshall has been a strong 3-point shooter since arriving to Iowa, but if she can get closer to her clip from her sophomore season (47.1% on 4.0 3-point attempts per game), then Iowa might really be cooking. For Iowa to advance to its first Final Four since 1993, though, the team will need to play better defense; Marshall can help spearhead that effort, as she has led the team in steals each of the last two seasons. Alexa Philippou, ESPN.

Marshall appeared in 30 games last season and produced at a high level. In her career, she has tallied 135 three pointers, 158 assists, and 129 assists.

After touching on her team’s two biggest stars in Clark and forward Monika Czinano at Big Ten Media Days, Iowa head women’s basketball coach Lisa Bluder discussed what Marshall and the rest of the supporting cast brings to the Hawkeyes.

“Not only with those two women, but we have all the people around her. We have Gabbie Marshall, who is lethal from three-point range. We have Kate Martin, who I honestly believe can just contribute in so many areas. She’s a great captain, the glue to our team. We have McKenna Warnock at the power four position. Return all five starters from last year.

“We have some newcomers. I think Molly Davis is somebody that you’re really going to hear a lot about. Molly Davis transferred from Central Michigan. She has two years of eligibility left. She is going to give us depth at the point guard, which we did not have last year. We’re extremely excited to have Molly join our team,” Bluder said.

Iowa opens its season on Monday, Nov. 7 at 8:30 p.m. against Southern University on Big Ten Network Plus.

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Updating a flurry of recent Iowa women’s basketball summer 2022 offers

Iowa women’s basketball added Central Michigan transfer Molly Davis last month. Now, they’re busy on the recruiting trail with six offers.

It’s a great time to be a fan of Iowa women’s basketball. The Hawkeyes enter the 2022-23 women’s college basketball season after a 24-8 season that included a share of the Big Ten regular season championship and the Big Ten Tournament title.

Of course, Iowa returns one of the frontrunners for national player of the year honors in point guard Caitlin Clark. The 6-foot junior from West Des Moines just capped a season where she led Division I in both points and assists per game with averages of 27 points and eight assists per contest.

In the process, Clark became the first women’s college basketball player to accomplish that feat. She also averaged eight rebounds per contest.

Last season, she was named Big Ten Player of the Year, earned unanimous first-team All-Big Ten honors and also earned Big Ten Tournament MVP and was named to the Big Ten All-Tournament Team.

Clark was named the Nancy Lieberman Point Guard of the Year and was the Dawn Staley Guard of the Year Award recipient, becoming the first student-athlete to win the Dawn Staley Award in consecutive seasons. She was also a finalist for the Naismith Award, the WBCA Wade Trophy, the John R. Wooden Award and the Honda Sport Award.

Joining Clark is a nucleus of talented players that will have the Hawkeyes back in the mix for both of the Big Ten championships next season as well as one of the contenders for the national championships once the 2023 NCAA Tournament rolls around.

Forward Monika Czinano is back after registering averages of 21.2 points and 6.2 rebounds per game. Guards McKenna Warnock, Kate Martin and Gabbie Marshall all return as well. That trio averaged 11 points and 6.5 rebounds, 7.2 points and 6.8 points, respectively. Warnock and Marshall connected on 40.4% and 39.3% of their 3-point tries last season.

With all of that excitement in tow for the 2022-23 season, there’s really no better time than the present to parlay it into recruiting successes. Iowa head women’s basketball coach Lisa Bluder and her staff have stayed busy this offseason as they look to bolster this current roster and ensure exciting basketball stays in Iowa City for years to come.

Let’s take a look at an addition from last month to next season’s roster and break down six recent offers the Hawkeye staff has doled out.