The lowdown on Florida State from a ‘Noles beat writer

The Clemson Insider recently caught up with Carter Karels to get some insight on Florida State ahead of Clemson’s game against the Seminoles. Karels covers FSU football for the Tallahassee Democrat. Hass hit on a number of topics during the …

The Clemson Insider recently caught up with Carter Karels to get some insight on Florida State ahead of Clemson’s game against the Seminoles. Karels covers FSU football for the Tallahassee Democrat.

Hass hit on a number of topics during the following question-and-answer session, including FSU’s offensive transformation, what’s given the Seminoles’ defense trouble this season and and more heading into Saturday’s game at Doak Campbell Stadium.

Note: This interview has been edited for clarity

Aside from this being a rivalry game, Florida State comes into this one having dropped its last two games. What’s your sense in talking with FSU coach Mike Norvell and players there of just how big this one is for the Seminoles?

It’s huge game for Florida State. You set this three-game stretch up for them, and it’s really the most difficult stretch of the season. Wake Forest, NC state and then Clemson. They just haven’t shown that killer instinct yet. They were in both of those games (against Wake Forest and NC State), but they had a lot of miscues and a lot of self-inflicted errors. There’s no question that this roster is improved. Where this program was when Mike Norvell took over two years ago, they’re a much better team. But they still haven’t learned yet how to have that killer instinct and win a game that maybe requires extra toughness mentally. They just have’t done that. So this is a game where it’s your toughest game of the year and you have a chance to really put a statement out there that, hey, this is a team on the rise.

I think they’re past the point of moral victories, so it’s not really a matter of oh let’s play them close. This is your last chance to show, hey, this is a team that can beat an elite team. Now they have some others games to really show something. This is a team that hasn’t made a bowl in five years, so just getting to .500 and getting to a bowl is considered progress for this team, but their expectations shifted a little bit when they started 4-0.

How has FSU quarterback Jordan Travis developed as a passer since a year ago when it wasn’t necessarily a strong part of his game?

It looks night and day. I think in the past, because of his playmaking ability and maybe because of the lack of weapons around him and being early on in his development, he was someone who would rely on his playmaking a little too much. He would abandon plays and try to use his legs, and he would run himself into trouble sometimes. Now you don’t even see him run all that much. He’s been much more of a pocket passer this season. He’s anticipated his receivers getting open better. He makes a lot of the right reads. You rarely see him make a bad decision. I think NC State is the one exception where you saw him make some bad decisions. It was definitely one of the worst starts he’s hard in a long time. I consider that to be kind of an outlier, but on the year as a whole, he’s someone who’s shown improvement in just about every area.

I think a lot of it, too, is the guys around him. They put in (receiver) Johnny Wilson. They put in (another receiver) Mycah Pittman. It’s just night and day the wide receiving corps they’ve had. Last year, I think they had probably the worst wide receiving corps in the ACC. And this year, they’re one of the best if not the best. Having those weapons has allowed him to be more confident. You see him testing defenses more. You see him not afraid to throw one-on-one to guys. Last year, they didn’t have a single receiver that exceeded 400 receiving yards, which is one of the craziest statistics I can think of when it comes to college football. That’s just nuts. Now they’re going to have three or four that pass the 400-yard mark this year.

So how has that changed the way FSU’s offense operates?

In every way that you can think of. I think they liked where their running backs were, but every other position besides maybe tight end has improved dramatically. Their offensive line is still far from a finished product. They’ve struggled and had some injuries that have definitely hurt them, but they’ve got better depth there. They’ve added some guys to where it’s not a complete disaster like it was a couple of years ago. Wide receiver, just a lot of guys that can win one-on-one battles where as last year and the year before, they could not win one-on-ones in man-to-man coverage on a consistent basis. Now they’ve got guys that can do that, and it just allows you to be aggressive down the field. It used to be a lot more dink and dunk. Now you can be aggressive.

This has been one of the most explosive offenses in the country. I think they’re No. 1 in play of 20-plus yards, and a lot of that has been because of that down-the-field passing game. And it’s made it to where Jordan Travis, he struggled with kind of his durability early on in his career and he was never 100% the guy. And they bring in (former UCF quarterback) McKenzie Milton. Well this offseason was kind of the first offseason he became the guy, and they put the right pieces around him. And now you’re just seeing him really develop into the guy that he’s capable of.

Speaking of Johnny Wilson, for those who are unfamiliar, he’s a 6-foot-7 transfer receiver from Arizona State. Do you see him potentially being an X-factor in this game given Clemson’s struggles in coverage at times?

I do. When I watched Clemson-Wake Forest — and they’ve been very banged up (in the secondary) – but it seemed like they struggled on those 50-50 balls down the field. That’s where Johnny Wilson can really, really beat you. And he’s not just a one-trick pony either. He can be your security blanket over the middle. He can get yards after the catch. And probably the most underrated thing about him is his blocking is exceptional. He’s kind of that all-around guy.

It’s shocking that when he entered the transfer portal, Florida State was one of two schools that wanted him. It was FSU and Oregon State. And now he’s their best receiver in a little bit of time. So he’s someone that’s WR1 for sure, and with a the secondary has been banged up and struggled deep with 50-50 balls, he can be an X-factor.

Defensively, FSU has allowed the 14th-fewest passing yards in the country. What’s factored into that?

I do think it doesn’t tell the full story. I think also it kind of is reflective of who they’ve played and what teams have tried to exploit against them. I think they’ve struggled against the run, and they’ve also played a lot of teams that are good with running the football or their quarterback is a really good runner. I think of (Louisville quarterback) Malik Cunningham, he did a lot of damage. And Jayden Daniels of LSU, he did a lot of damage there. Even NC State’s backup quarterback, when he came in, had some really nice runs. So teams haven’t really had to throw the ball a whole lot.

It sounds crazy that they’re No. 14 in passing yards allowed, but I’d say they still have questions. Their corners, they’ve got some questions for sure. But safety, that’s certainly a strength. Jammie Robinson was a first-team all-ACC safety guy. Had his first pick last week. He’s obviously a guy to watch. A very versatile player. But overall I think teams are running the ball a little bit more agains FSU. And you look at Clemson, not only have you got a guy like Will Shipley, but with (quarterback) D.J. (Uiagalelei) and how effective he’s been as a runner this year, and then seeing what other running quarterbacks have done to this team, I just feel like this could be a game where Clemson runs for 200 or more yards.

FSU running back Treshaun Ward posted a photo of himself in the hospital following the NC State game last week. How healthy is the team leading up to this game?

(Defensive lineman) Fabien Lovett is someone who has not played since the last drive against LSU (in the season opener) when he went down with a lower-leg injury. Not having him has been tough. That has been a lot of the reason for those runs they’ve given up up the middle. FSU kind of has a weird deal where they let us go to practice, but we can’t report anything injury-related or practice participation-related. So they would ban me from practice if I told you who may or may not play, but we asked Norvell about it (Tuesday) and he said that Ward, after further evaluation, does not need surgery and he’s going to try his best to play Saturday. That seems pretty hard to believe, but we’ll see.

That will be a big one to watch just because of how great Clemson’s run defense is and now Clemson’s whole defensive line is intact. And this o-line has really, really struggled with some stout defensive fronts. They struggled with NC State for sure, and I think Clemson, with even better of a front seven, could do some damage. It may be a game where if you don’t have Treshaun Ward, maybe Jordan Travis throws it 40 times or maybe you’ll have to get a little bit more creative with jet sweeps, running with the quarterback and establishing the run in more creative ways.

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‘Wanted to vomit’: Last year’s Florida State game a reminder of Clemson’s offensive progress

They weren’t his exact words, but when thinking back to Clemson’s most recent meeting with Florida State, head coach Dabo Swinney expressed the general sentiment about his offense: The Tigers still aren’t exactly where they want to be, but thank God …

They weren’t his exact words, but when thinking back to Clemson’s most recent meeting with Florida State, head coach Dabo Swinney expressed the general sentiment about his offense: The Tigers still aren’t exactly where  they want to be, but thank God they’re not where they used to be.

“I wanted to vomit watching the Florida State game last year,” Swinney said.

It largely fit right in with the other offensive clunkers Clemson had a season ago. The Tigers had less than 250 yards through three quarters, and even when Clemson managed to move the ball with some success, points were hard to come by.

Clemson compounded its issues with against the Seminoles last October with three missed field goals and a turnover margin in the red. The nation’s No. 2 scoring defense helped the Tigers stay close, but one of their three giveaways was a strip sack of D.J. Uiagalelei that was returned for a touchdown to give FSU a three-point lead midway through the fourth quarter.

“It was so painful to watch it,” Swinney said. “We were so bad.”

Yet Clemson won the game thanks in part to one of the offense’s lone bright spots that day, then-freshman running back Will Shipley, who weaved his way through the FSU defense for 21 of his 128 yards to paydirt on the Tigers’ final possession. Shipley’s game-winner capped a three-play, 58-yard drive in the last 3 minutes, which surprised Swinney in a sense as he further reflected on it Tuesday.

“We hadn’t moved the ball,” Swinney said. “We hadn’t had a game-winning drive (all season), and all of a sudden, here we go.”

Given the ineptitude of an offense that finished last season ranked in the bottom third nationally in points and yards, Swinney chalked up that win to pure want-to and a refusal to lose. But from an execution and personnel standpoint, Clemson isn’t taking the same offense with it to Tallahassee when the Tigers make the return trip Saturday. 

Clemson enters this year’s matchup with the 18th-highest scoring offense in the country. The Tigers have posted at least 30 points in every game so far. They also rank in the top 56 nationally in total yards, passing yards and passing efficiency. Uiagalelei, who’s had the benefit of throwing to the same group of receivers behind the same starting offensive line, is completing nearly 65% of his passes with 14 touchdown tosses against just two interceptions.

Swinney said that growth shows up when reviewing the film after games.

“Grading our tape this year versus last year is night and day in every area,” Swinney said. “You just watch our game (against FSU) from last year, and you’re just going, ‘Holy cow, we won this game?”

That doesn’t mean Clemson is content with where it is offensively. The Tigers took a while to get going last week against Boston College, scoring 21 of their 31 points after halftime. And finding balance has been a consistently inconsistent task.

Clemson is averaging a respectable 4.6 yards per carry but has eclipsed 147 rushing yards just twice this season. The running game has gotten a boost from Uiagalelei, the Tigers’ second-leading rusher. Swinney said it’s an area that could use some improvement all the way around.

“I think we can get a lot better,” Swinney said. “And it’s everybody. It’s not just your (offensive line). It’s making the right decisions in the run game because a lot of it will come on our quarterback, too. But it’s not just the quarterback but also the right decisions with our backs as far as trusting things, not cutting on air and pressing blocks. It’s got to all sync up.”

But Swinney said the tape this season looks a lot different than how it did this time a year ago.

“It was a frustrating season as far as just grading, correction and teaching week in and week out,” Swinney said. “This year, it’s been better. It’s a lot every week still, but it’s more stuff that you would expect. More corrections and normal teaching and not some of the just frustrating things that we did last year.”

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LSU announces full 2023 football schedule

Here’s the Tigers’ full slate of games next fall.

On Tuesday night, the SEC announced its full slate of conference games and dates for the 2023 season. With non-conference matchups already contractually set, we now know the Tigers’ full schedule next season.

It will begin with a rematch against Florida State, this time in Orlando. Other non-conference opponents will be Grambling, Army and Georgia State. It will be the first time LSU has faced Grambling or GSU, and only the second time it has faced Army (and the first since 1931).

As far as conference matchups go, in addition to facing the SEC West and Florida, LSU will also face Missouri out of the East. There are some quirks in scheduling as the Tigers will face Arkansas in September for the first time as well as hosting the Gators in November.

Here’s LSU’s full schedule for the 2023 season.

COLUMN: LSU might lose this week, and that’s okay

LSU might lose to Mississippi State on Saturday. Tiger fans should not overreact to a loss.

Conference play is once again upon us.

LSU will host Mike Leach and Mississippi State on Saturday night as the underdog. The Tigers aren’t supposed to be an underdog at home against MSU, right?

Well, these are different times, and LSU is in the midst of a rebuild.

A 65-17 win against Southern has helped reset the negative feelings that dwelled after the loss to Florida State. LSU begins conference play in a similar spot to where it began the season — with a lot of questions, but also a lot of potential. If the team that showed up in the fourth quarter against Florida State shows up against Mississippi State, LSU will win this game.

However, I’m not sure how wise it would be to count on that team to show up. That loss was just two weeks ago, and [autotag]Brian Kelly[/autotag] might be a good coach, but he doesn’t have a magic wand.

LSU has made adjustments. [autotag]Jay Ward[/autotag] is now at the nickel spot and [autotag]Greg Brooks Jr.[/autotag] will slide back to safety. We saw a new-look offensive line last week with [autotag]Charles Turner[/autotag] at center, [autotag]Garrett Dellinger[/autotag] at guard and [autotag]Miles Frazier[/autotag] bumping over to right tackle.

On top of personnel adjustments, these coordinators should have a better understanding of these players and we should see improved playcalling. Even after the loss to Florida State, I said this LSU team is better than the one we have seen the last two years.

It still might not be enough. This is a hard league to play in. Mississippi State is a good team, but it’s far from the best LSU will see this year. Mike Leach has his program close to where he wants it to be while Kelly is rebuilding. These programs are on different planes right now, even if the teams are similar in ability.

My expectation is that LSU will lose this game. That’s okay.

Nobody wants to start 1-2, especially after the way 2020 and 2021 played out, but it’s part of the process. Mississippi State has experience. It’s a group that’s well-coached on both sides of the ball.

It’s not that LSU isn’t well-coached. I have faith in this coaching staff, but it’s going to take some time for LSU to be able to compete on a consistent basis. I think the players have bought in and I think this is a team committed to winning, but again, issues can’t be fixed overnight or one offseason.

I’m excited to see where this LSU team goes over the course of the year, but we should be prepared for a few more growing pains in the meantime.

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College football Week 3 Friday best bets

College football week 3 @tipico best bets

If you’re looking to do some last-minute betting research, you’re in luck! We are diving into our favorite picks against the spread for this Friday, but if you are looking for more information or to place a bet check out Tipico Sportsbook.

We are doing okay with a nice record of 15-10 after finishing last week at 3-3. The Iowa Hawkeyes were once again terrible on offense and the Texas A&M Aggies underachieved out of the gate once more. But thank goodness the Penn State Nittany Lions were out for blood and the USC Trojans can’t be stopped. Friday night features two games that I am lukewarm on, but let’s see what we can do!

Jayden Daniels rated as top QB in the SEC by ESPN’s QBR

Daniels has impressed in his first two games

After two games, ESPN’s QBR metric likes [autotag]Jayden Daniels[/autotag]. The Tigers’ QB sits atop the SEC in the latest QBR ratings.

ESPN describes QBR as a rating “which values the quarterback on all play types on a 0-100 scale adjusted for the strength of opposing defenses faced.” Daniels’ QBR is now 90.9.

Daniels’ total EPA of 14.6 also leads the league, putting him just ahead of Arkansas‘ K.J. Jefferson. Daniels’ QBR is good enough for fifth in the country. Max Duggan, Caleb Williams, Jalon Daniels, and Drake Maye sit ahead of the LSU starter.

At this point, Tiger fans seem to be happy with what they have seen from Daniels. There were some struggles in the first half against Florida State, but Daniels has been improving and looks in control of the offense. His legs have added another dimension to this offense that hasn’t been there in some time.

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Gators predicted to flip this 4-star FSU offensive line commit

The Florida Gators are looking to add a blue-chip offensive lineman to the class of 2023 and it could come at the expense of in-state rival FSU.

When four-star interior offensive lineman [autotag]Roderick Kearney[/autotag] committed to the Florida State Seminoles over the summer, UF was viewed as the runner-up. Two months later, it appears the Gators are well positioned to flip the in-state recruit after hosting him on an unofficial visit.

On Tuesday, On3’s Chad Simmons reported that Kearney’s pledge to the ‘Noles was “shaky,” and Corey Bender of Gators Online followed with a flip prediction in favor of UF. Georgia is the other team that kept in touch with Kearney enough to warrant consideration, and he could open his recruitment  back up to the two SEC teams in the near future.

Florida seems to have the leg up in the race, though. The Gators expect to host Kearney for the second-straight week on Saturday when they take on the Kentucky Wildcats. He took to Twitter after those reports came out to ask fans to let him enjoy his recruitment, adding the hashtag “stillanole.”

Even with Kearney’s reassurance to the FSU faithful, Florida at least appears in play for him. Recruiting doesn’t truly end until the papers are signed, so expect Florida to pursue him until they are officially out of the race. The 2023 class could use another offensive lineman or two, and he’d be a big addition to the group.

The On3 consensus ranks Kearney No. 128 overall in the class and No. 8 among interior offensive linemen. On3’s individual rankings are even more bullish on him, ranking Kearney No. 61 overall and No. 5 in his position group.

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First impressions of LSU’s newcomers in Week 1

LSU had a lot of fresh faces take the field against Florida State. Here’s how they fared in their debuts.

There were a lot of fresh faces on the field for LSU in the opener. Aside from almost the entire coaching staff, returning starters were hard to find.

LSU’s entire cornerback group was new. [autotag]Jayden Daniels[/autotag] and [autotag]Noah Cain[/autotag] were making their LSU debuts. [autotag]Will Campbell[/autotag] started at left tackle as a true freshman, and we saw highly-touted transfer [autotag]Miles Frazier[/autotag] get the start at left guard.

How these newcomers come into form over the course of the year will determine LSU’s season. They could begin to gel and this team could really start to improve. It also could take awhile, meaning there are more growing pains to come.

Let’s evaluate how LSU’s newcomers fared against Florida State.

LSU sticking with Jayden Daniels after up-and-down debut

Brian Kelly said a quarterback change was never considered on Sunday night.

LSU quarterback Jayden Daniels is probably catching too much flack following his debut in the purple and gold.

The Arizona State transfer made a lot of plays with his legs in Sunday night’s loss to Florida State, and he found his footing a bit in the passing game during the second-half comeback. Poor offensive line play didn’t help him get into a rhythm as he was sacked four times.

The passing attack felt limited at times, but fans hoping to see [autotag]Garrett Nussmeier[/autotag] will likely be disappointed. Based on Kelly’s comments at his press conference on Tuesday, it’s clear the coaches plan to stick with Daniels.

“It was never a conversation,” Kelly said on making a quarterback change. “There was never a time during the game where Mike and I — Mike Denbrock, that is, or Joe Sloan — had a conversation about, ‘Hey, let’s make a change here. Let’s see if that’s the best option for us.’ That was never a conversation. And right now, it’s — Jayden’s our No. 1 quarterback.”

It makes sense that the Tigers don’t want to consider a change already. Daniels was brought in by Kelly to start, and a change would be premature. Still, his leash moving forward may not be quite as long as we thought it might be.

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COLUMN: Where do we go from here?

After a loss like that, it’s tough to make sense of everything. Here are some initial thoughts about where this LSU team is headed.

LSU’s loss to Florida State is one that will linger in the minds of the fans for a long time. It didn’t have many expectations heading into 2022. It’s the first year of the [autotag]Brian Kelly[/autotag] administration, and we knew this was going to be a rebuild.

This team is full of transfers and young guys. Even players that do have experience, like offensive lineman [autotag]Garrett Dellinger[/autotag], found themselves in a new role and position.

[autotag]Jayden Daniels[/autotag] had never played a game with these wide receivers. The defenders are still developing chemistry and learning how to communicate with one another.

There’s a lot that’s new here. New pieces can be cause for excitement, and in this case, many still are. Things needed to change, new players needed to be brought in. That doesn’t mean a transition is going to be easy.

We didn’t expect much, but that’s still a loss that hurts.

Optimism built throughout the summer as LSU gained momentum on the recruiting trail and we heard good thing after good thing about how players looked in camp.

After dropping the season opener in 2020 and 2021, this looked like a time where LSU might be able to start the year on the right foot.

With the way that game ended, what’s important here can become blurry. There’s so much to think about here and the blame doesn’t belong at the feet of any single entity. This was as much of a team loss as a loss can be.

Every unit had their good moments and their bad and the same can be said for individual players. Jayden Daniels legs kept LSU in the game, creating big first downs when LSU needed it most. He also marched LSU the entire length of the field to set up that final touchdown.

Daniels struggled in the first half, though. It’s hard to tell how much of his struggles were his own doing, the offensive line, the playcalling or the wide receivers. In the first half, nobody on offense really stepped up.

Daniels showed enough to keep the job moving forward. LSU doesn’t need to play musical chairs at quarterback right now. The Tigers need consistency, and it needs to allow someone to get comfortable back there.

It shouldn’t be lost on us that LSU did not quit. This team crawled back into this game and made some big plays in some big moments. The heartbreaking way in which it ended can make that easy to forget, but this was a one-point loss where a lot of the underlying numbers were solid.

Going forward, my opinion of this team has not changed much. It’s going to take some time to fix some of these issues, it always was, but they showed enough to where I think a fix is possible.

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