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The Florida State Seminoles (1-5, 1-4 ACC) and Duke Blue Devils (5-1, 1-1) clash in a Friday showdown in Durham. Kickoff from Wallace Wade Stadium is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Florida State vs. Duke odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Florida State heads into this game off a bye week. The Seminoles last played Oct. 5, dropping a 29-13 home game against Clemson. FSU was doubled up in total yardage in that game 500 to 250, and the Seminole offense has yet to crank out even 300 yards in a single game.
Duke, also coming off a bye week, was tripped up 24-14 at Georgia Tech in its last game (Oct. 5). The Blue Devils were outperformed in 3rd and 4th-down plays in that contest, and the Yellow Jackets ran 80 plays to the Devils’ 51.
– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Florida State at Duke odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Thursday at 4 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Florida State +130 (bet $100 to win $135) | Duke -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Florida State +3 (-115) | Duke -3 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 42.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Florida State at Duke picks and predictions
Prediction
Blue Devils 24, Seminoles 17
Moneyline
Duke is adept at creating havoc, and Florida State has often been pushed into passing downs by abysmal performance rates on early downs. On offense, the Blue Devils figure to be able to stay on schedule with a short passing game. In the red zone, DU has turned its last 9 trips into 7 TDs, and for the season the Devils are the better offense in punching in 6s.
DUKE (-155) has solid value.
Against the spread
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Over/Under
The Under has cashed in 5 of FSU’s 6 games, and the Under is 4-2 across DU’s last 6 league games and 8-4 in the Blue Devils’ last dozen October games.
Both sides rank in the bottom half of FBS plays-per-game rankings; the Seminoles rank in the bottom 20%.
Florida State is adept in preventing 6s in opposing drives that reach the red zone. The Seminoles struggle in producing TDs on their own such drives. Down-and-distance-wise, both schools lean toward more clock-eating run plays than average.
Last year’s meeting cashed on an Over 49, but that game had 3 scoring drives under 50 yards in length, 2 defense/special teams scores and a garbage-time TD.
BACK THE UNDER 42.5 (-110) in this Friday nighter in Durham.
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