The Florida State Seminoles (4-10, 2-1 ACC) and the No. 14 Duke Blue Devils (10-3, 1-1) meet Saturday at Cameron Indoor Stadium in Durham, N.C. Tip-off is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Florida State vs. Duke odds and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
The Seminoles got off to a dreadful start this season, including straight-up losses to Stetson and Troy on its home court. However, FSU has picked up a pair of ACC wins against Louisville and Notre Dame, and it is 5-1 ATS across the past 6 games overall.
The Blue Devils were shocked at Wake Forest by an 81-70 score before the holiday break Dec. 20. However, Duke is 7-0 SU and 4-3 ATS in 7 home games in front of the Cameron Crazies, including a win and cover over a ranked Ohio State side.
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Florida State at Duke odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Florida State +800 (bet $100 to win $800) | Duke -1800 (bet $1,800 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Florida State +17.5 (-115) | Duke -17.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 143.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Florida State at Duke picks and predictions
Prediction
Duke 79, Florida State 68
Moneyline
You cannot risk 18 times your potential return by playing Duke (-1800). There is just no value there, even in a multi-team parlay. It makes no sense betting such heavy favorites, and in the long haul, it’s a losing strategy.
PASS.
Against the spread
FLORIDA STATE +17.5 (-115) comes with some risk, as we covered the ugly losses against lower-level teams above.
However, Duke -17.5 (-105) is just 3-6 ATS across the past 9 games overall, including 0-4 ATS in the previous 4 games as a double-digit favorite.
FSU has won 3 of the past 4 games overall, while cashing in 5 of the past 6 games overall, finally jelling after a brutal start.
Over/Under
OVER 143.5 (-110) is the lean, ever so slightly.
The Over is 4-1 in the past 5 games overall for Duke, and it will likely be looking to run. The Over is also 4-1 in the past 5 games at home for the Blue Devils. The Over has hit in the past 2 games for FSU, too, yielding 82.5 PPG during the span.
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