The Florida International Panthers (6-6) square off with the Arkansas State Red Wolves (7-5) in the Camellia Bowl Saturday in Montgomery, Ala., at 5:30 p.m. ET. We analyze the Florida International-Arkansas State odds and betting lines, while providing college football betting tips and advice on this matchup.
Florida International-Arkansas State: Three things you need to know
- The Red Wolves own the better of the two offenses. ASU averaged 33.7 PPG (while yielding 34.8 PPG). The Panthers averaged just 26.5 PPG (allowing 26.7 PPG). However, ranked by yards per point, Florida International will be the third-best defense Arkansas State has seen this season.
- Arkansas State won four consecutive games – from Oct. 26-Nov. 23 – before losing 34-31 at the South Alabama Jaguars Nov. 29. During their streak, the Wolves had three wins by seven points or less and piled up hidden yards by way of turnovers, special teams and uneven possessions. That stretch sent ASU into its game against South Alabama as a 10-point favorite to be faded.
- ASU averages just 3.6 yards per carry, so the Panthers pass defense – one putting up its best games the second half of the season – figures as a big key in this matchup. Since Oct. 5, FIU foes have completed just 51% of their pass attempts, gaining 149 yards per game with seven touchdowns and seven interceptions.
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Florida International-Arkansas State: Odds, betting lines and picks
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 11:30 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Florida International 31, Arkansas State 27
Moneyline (ML)
The 2017 and 2018 recruiting classes – which make for the bulk of talent on the field – show a definitive talent advantage for FIU. FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL +105 is a go on the moneyline.
New to sports betting? A $10 wager on FIU returns a profit of $10.50 if it wins.
Against the Spread (ATS)
The Panthers are 11-5 ATS over their last 16 games as an underdog. The Red Wolves are 1-4 ATS over their last five bowl games and 1-5 ATS over their last half-dozen non-conference affairs. Advantage FIU in talent and conference. Arkansas State is also a slight fade based on recent-game analytics. FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL +2.5 (-110) is a solid play.
Over/Under (O/U)
PASS. No lean either way on the O/U of 63.5 (+115, -139).
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