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The Florida Gators (18-2, 5-2 SEC) pay a visit to the Tennessee Volunteers (17-4, 4-4) for Saturday-matinee Southeastern Conference action. The opening tip in the top-10 tilt from Thompson-Boling Arena will be at noon ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Florida vs. Tennessee odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
Florida heads into this showdown ranked No. 6 in the USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll; Tennessee is No. 8.
The Gators have been off since last Saturday (Jan. 25), when they covered an 11½-point spread in an impressive 89-59 victory over Georgia. UF shot 53.1% from the field while holding the Bulldogs to a 35.6% mark. For the season, Florida has held foes to a 43% effective field-goal percentage; that ranks third in the nation.
The Volunteers, who lost at UF Jan. 7, dropped a Tuesday game against Kentucky (78-73) as 10½-point favorites and have been defeated in 3 of their last 4. UT was buried by 30 (73-43) in that Jan. 7 game in Gainesville but since 2019 is 6-0 vs. the Gators when playing on home hardwood.
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Florida at Tennessee odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:50 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Florida +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Tennessee -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Florida +4.5 (-102) | Tennessee -4.5 (-118)
- Over/Under (O/U): 143.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Florida at Tennessee picks and predictions
Prediction
Tennessee 77, Florida 72
Moneyline
These are two statistically similar teams. The respective paces — faster-than-average for UF and molasses-slow for UT — drive scoring averages on a sliding scale.
But Florida has not played a particularly strong schedule, especially with regard to the offenses it has faced. The venue looks large here, and the VOLUNTEERS (-220) are a slight lean, Holding out for a -190 tag here may figure to be the best side or non-play.
Against the spread
The last 6 series meetings in Knoxville have seen UT go 5-1 ATS.
Look for Tennessee to get more key looks at the rim. But in a relatively slow game, the 4-and-a-hook makes for enough of an obstacle. The lean is on the Volunteers, but holding out for -3.5 or better is the prudent choice.
Over/Under
The Jan. 7 meeting hit the Under but was tabbed at 152.5 points, so this figure could well be too low.
Both sides have tremendous — and somewhat suspect, perhaps — 3-point defense numbers. Both teams get good looks near the rim and both are adept on the offensive glass. Fading the perimeter defense somewhat, the OVER 143.5 (-110) is the value side here.
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