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The Indiana Fever and the Connecticut Sun play Game 2 of their 1st-round best-of-3 series Wednesday at Mohegan Sun Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s WNBA odds around the Fever vs. Sun odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.
Playoff series: Sun lead 1-0; Sun won regular season series 3-1
The No. 3 seed Sun belted the No. 6 seed Fever 93-69 in Game 1, coasting to a cover as 6.5-point favorites as the Under (165.5) held on.
Connecticut shot 49.3% (36-of-73) from the field, including 50.0% (9-of-18) from behind the 3-point line. It also outrebounded Indiana at a 36-to-29 margin, while turning it over 3 times less. That’s a good recipe for victory.
Indiana hit 40.3% (27-of-67) from the field, and just 21.4% (6-of-28) on 3-pointers. Superstar Caitlin Clark struggled mightily against Connecticut’s suffocating defense, hitting just 4-of-17 from the field, including 2-of-13 from behind the arc. The Rookie of the Year was limited to 11 points, 8 assists, 4 rebounds, 3 steals and a blocked shot.
Clark was poked in the eye by Connecticut’s DiJonai Carrington, suffering some minor bruising, but she is fine and ready to go for Game 2.
Fever at Sun odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 8:02 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Fever +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Sun -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Fever +6.5 (-115) | Sun -6.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 163.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Fever at Sun picks and predictions
Prediction
Sun 84, Fever 79
Moneyline
The Sun (-275) looks to cash out at Mohegan Sun, and move onto the 2nd round. However, risking nearly 3 times your potential return against the Fever (+230), and a player like Clark, is dangerous. Indiana is fighting to keep its season alive, so expect the Fever to put up a much better effort, playing with a lot of urgency.
AVOID.
Against the spread
INDIANA +6.5 (-115) is worth playing lightly in Game 2, as its season is on the line.
Connecticut -6.5 (-105) has 3 wins over Indiana by double digits this season, but after the 1st 2 victories, Indiana came back and kept the score within 4 points, including an outright win Aug. 28.
The Fever are desperate for a victory to get the series back to Indianapolis for a decisive Game 3. Obviously, Connecticut doesn’t want that. But with a sharpshooter like Clark, she could single-handedly get it done, or struggle mightily like she did in Game 1, and this could be a blowout. There is plenty of risk playing Indiana, but sit back, get your popcorn, and hope the streaky shooter catches fire.
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Over/Under
UNDER 163.5 (-105) is the lean in Game 2.
While Indiana cashed high in 7 of the final 9 regular-season games, the playoffs are different animal. The Fever saw tremendous defense thrown at them, and they handled it poorly.
The Under is 7-2 in the past 9 games for the Sun, while going 4-1 in the previous 5 outings at home. The Under is 5-2 in the past 7 meetings in this series, too.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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