MLS playoffs: New York Red Bulls vs. FC Cincinnati odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New York Red Bulls vs. FC Cincinnati odds and lines, with MLS picks and predictions.

In the first round of the MLS Playoffs, the New York Red Bulls (15 wins, 11 losses, 8 draws) welcome FC Cincinnati (12-9-13) to Red Bull Arena. Kickoff is set for noon ET. Below, we preview Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the New York Red Bulls vs. FC Cincinnati odds, and make our best MLS bets, picks and predictions.

With the top seed in each conference getting a bye, this will be the No. 4 seed hosting the No. 5 seed with the chance to play the top-seeded Philadelphia Union (19-5-10) on the line.

These played twice in the regular season, both resulting in a 1-1 draw. They split the two games in terms of expected goals as both played better as the home side.

FCC is spearheaded by captain M Luciano Acosta, who has 10 goals 12 assists on the season. Offensively, it is F Brenner and F Brandon Vazquez, who did the heavy lifting, both scoring 18 goals this season.

The Red Bulls were led by F Lewis Morgan, who tallied 14 goals. No other New York player had more than 5 goals. They are certainly a defensive-heavy club, allowing just 1.21 goals per game.

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New York Red Bulls vs. FC Cincinnati odds

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:04 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: New York Red Bulls +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | FC Cincinnati +250 (bet $100 to win $250) | Draw +250
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Prediction

New York Red Bulls 2, FC Cincinnati 1 (full time draw)

Moneyline (ML)

LEAN DRAW (+250).

How can you not love a draw here? For this value, it is great. These teams drew both matches during the regular season, and FC Cincinnati has proven time and time again that it plays to the level of its opponent.

New York doesn’t have a lethal attack either, averaging just 1.47 goals per game. Its defense is solid, but it doesn’t have an attack that generates goals often. The Red Bulls drew 5 games at home this season.

FCC has been a drawing machine for the last few weeks of the season, and it almost killed its playoff hopes in the end. Cincy drew 12 of its last 20 games, a remarkable amount.

Considering that and the limited attack for Red Bulls that should slow the game, I’d back the full-time DRAW.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (-112).

This full-time Under 2.5 has value, mainly due to the way the Red Bulls play. Both games this season also went Under this total with neither team exceeding 2.0 expected goals in either battle.

The Red Bulls had the 3rd-fewest shots against them in the MLS this season. Their defense is the real deal and should be able to calm a quick FCC attack.

Against the top-4 defensive teams in the East, FCC was 3-5 O/U this total. I’ll back UNDER 2.5 (-112) here.

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D.C. United vs. FC Cincinnati odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s D.C. United vs. FC Cincinnati odds and lines, with MLS picks and predictions.

D.C. United (7 wins, 20 losses, 6 draws) hosts FC Cincinnati (11-9-13) at Audi Field Sunday. Kickoff is set for 2:30 p.m. ET. Below, we preview Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the D.C. United vs. FC Cincinnati odds, and make our best MLS bets, picks and predictions.

If FC Cincinnati wins, they will seal their 1st playoff appearance in club history. Cincinnati is tied with Columbus with 46 points, but has more wins. It is 1 point ahead of the 8th place Orlando City. All teams have 1 game remaining.

FCC has been led by F Brandon Vazquez, who has 17 goals on the season. F Brenner trails him with 15, and the captain, M Lucho Acosta, has 9 goals and 11 assists.

As for United, they will be home, but they have little to play for here as DC has just 27 points in 33 matches and a -32 goal differential. They’ve scored just 34 and allowed 66 this season.

United is 4-8-4 at home, so they have won and drawn as many as they’ve lost at Audi Field. It is led by 27-year-old F Taxiarchis Fountas with 12 goals and F Ola Kamara, who has 9.

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D.C. United vs. FC Cincinnati odds

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:53 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: D.C. United +280 (bet $100 to win $280) | FC Cincinnati -112 (bet $112 to win $100) | Draw +290
  • Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +135 | U: -175)

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Prediction

FC Cincinnati 3, D.C. United 1

Moneyline (ML)

BET FC CINCINNATI (-112).

Simply put, FC Cincinnati is the far more talented side and their backs are against the wall.

United has also lost 3 in a row and 7 of their last 10, so they aren’t necessarily playing at a high level either. United has had fewer expected goals in their last 4 games.

FCC has come on strong as of late, taking down Charlotte, San Jose, and Real Salt Lake over their last 6 games.

While they did have a disappointing 3-2 home loss to Chicago, FCC had .9 more expected goals in that battle. They’ve had more than 2 expected goals in 3 of their last 4 matches.

Considering where the motivation should come out coupled with United’s relatively poor play at home this season, I’d back FC CINCINNATI (-112).

Over/Under (O/U)

SPRINKLE OVER 3.5 (+135).

FCC has been playing well offensively as of late, and they’ve actually had one of the better offenses this season, averaging 1.79 goals per game. They have the 3rd-most goals in the Eastern Conference.

Helping with the reasoning of backing more goals here, United has allowed 2 goals per game, the 2nd-highest per-game average in the MLS. They’ve allowed 7 goals in their last 3 matches and 17 goals over their last 8.

They have also scored 6 goals in their last 7 matches, so their offense has the potential to break down a weak FCC backline. FCC has allowed 1.64 goals per game as well.

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Orlando City vs. FC Cincinnati odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Orlando City vs. FC Cincinnati odds and lines, with MLS picks and predictions.

FC Cincinnati (0 wins, 2 losses, 0 draws) heads south to take on Orlando City (1-0-1) Saturday at Exploria Stadium. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Orlando City vs. FC Cincinnati odds and lines, and make our best MLS bets, picks and predictions.

FC Cincinnati lost 5-0 to Austin FC in its season opener. Austin FC finished in 14th place in the Western Conference the season prior, so it was a demoralizing loss. Not quite as demoralizing as a 98th-minute penalty kick loss to D.C. United in its home opener though.

FCC has yet to score this season, having lost both its first two games by a combined 6-0. F Brenner, FCC’s premier attacker, should be active for its battle with Orlando City.

As for Orlando City, it started off the season strong with a 2-0 win over Montreal CF. However, it drew 0-0 against Chicago last weekend, having put together little offensively in that showing.

Orlando City will enter as the heavy favorite, and rightfully so, as it won 8 of 16 games at home last season and has started off 1-0.

Orlando City vs. FC Cincinnati: Odds, picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Orlando City -205 (bet $205 to win $100) | FC Cincinnati +550 (bet $100 to win $550) | Draw +350
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

[tipico]

Prediction

Orlando City 2, FC Cincinnati 0

Money line (ML)

PASS.

Betting against FC Cincinnati has been free money so far this season, but at -205, it’s just not worth it in this situation. I would lean to BOTH SIDES NOT TO SCORE at -125 for a myriad of reasons.

For starters, Orlando City has yet to give up a goal while FC Cincinnati has yet to score a goal this season.

However, after giving up 5 to Austin, Cincinnati’s defense looked far better in its second game. It allowed just 10 shots and 4 on goal to D.C. United, a team that opened the season with a 3-0 win over Charlotte.

Orlando, while the strong favorite, has just 3 shots on goal this season and 2 goals. It has the second-fewest shots on goal in the MLS this season, only behind Vancouver who has just 1.

Over/Under (O/U)

LEAN to the UNDER  2.5 (+105).

For all the reasons above, the Under feels like the better play here.

FC Cincinnati has been getting shots off yet doesn’t have that clinical finishing ability in the final third. It has 29 shots and 8 on target yet not a single goal. That’s a problem, and it’s not one easily corrected.

Both teams also rank in the bottom half of the league in shooting accuracy, both under 30%. Orlando has the 4th-least accurate shooting, and FCC sits with the 8th-worst percentage.

With that in mind, given the value, I’d play the plus-money Under odds.

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Austin FC vs. FC Cincinnati odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Austin FC vs. FC Cincinnati odds and lines, with MLS picks and predictions.

In an MLS opener, Austin FC welcomes FC Cincinnati Saturday to Q2 Stadium for a 6 p.m. ET kickoff. Below, we preview the Austin FC vs. FC Cincinnati odds and lines, and make our best MLS bets, picks and predictions.

Having disappointed since joining the MLS from the USL, FC Cincinnati is in store for another rough season, returning most of the same roster that finished 4-22-8 (W-L-draw) last season. It was 3-11-3 on the road last year.

F Brenner is expected to start and be Cincinnati’s key offensive weapon.

Austin lost its leading scorer per 90 minutes (0.42 goals), F McKinze Gaines, to newcomer Charlotte FC. Austin still has F Sebastián Driussi, who should take Gaines’ spot up top – Driussi scored 5 goals in 17 matches last season.

Austin didn’t do much better than Cincy last year, finishing 9-21-4 last season, placing second-to-last (out of 13 teams) in the Western Conference.

Austin FC vs. FC Cincinnati: Odds, picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:14 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Austin FC -170 (bet $170 to win $100) | FC Cincinnati +450 (bet $100 to win $450) | Draw +320
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -125 | U: +102)

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Prediction

Austin 2, FC Cincinnati 1

Money line (ML)

PASS.

Austin FC (-170) is a bit too pricey in this situation, especially as FC Cincinnati’s roster should have built some chemistry over the last year of competition.

The two clubs combined to surrender 130 goals last season. FC Cincinnati allowed 74 and Austin FC yielded 56. Offensively, they both averaged just over a goal per game.

This is why BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE (-122) is my favorite bet of the match.

Over/Under (O/U)

LEAN to the OVER 2.5 (-125).

FC Cincinnati gave up 2.18 goals per game last season and didn’t do much to strengthen its backline. Austin added Columbian M Jhojan Valencia this offseason, dubbed its most important addition by several publications.

MF Alex Ring should be able to get more involved in the attack, helping produce goals, which is what the club lacked last season.

Given both soft defenses, goals should be plentiful.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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FC Cincinnati at Houston Dynamo odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s FC Cincinnati at Houston Dynamo odds and lines, with MLS betting picks, tips and best bets.

In one of many MLS matches Saturday, FC Cincinnati (3 wins, 5 losses, 1 draw) travels south to take on the Houston Dynamo (3-3-5) at BBVA Stadium in Houston, Texas. Kickoff is set for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the FC Cincinnati at Houston Dynamo odds and lines, and make our best MLS bets, picks and predictions.

FC Cincinnati, after losing back-to-back games at home by a combined 3 goals, has outscored its last two opponents 3-0 in back-to-back wins. It has done so with a drastically improved defense led by D Geoff Cameron.

Houston is sixth in the Western Conference; however, the Dynamo have struggled lately, playing to a draw in each of its last three matches.

FC Cincinnati at Houston Dynamo: Odds, picks and predictions

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: FC Cincinnati +270 (bet $100 to win $270) | Houston Dynamo -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Draw +250
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -150 | U: +110)

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Prediction

FC Cincinnati 1, Houston Dynamo 1

Money line (ML)

BET on FC CINCINNATI (+270) because it’s the best value as FC Cincinnati is hot, and the odds still reflect a dismal record. Despite ranking sixth in the West, the Dynamo really haven’t looked great.

Prior to the draw streak, Houston lost to Sporting KC, beat the last-place Vancouver Whitecaps, and lost to the Colorado Rapids. Houston has given up 16 goals this season, which is tied for the third-most in the conference. As for FC Cincinnati, it has found out how to defend.

The leadership of Cameron has been huge, and Cincinnati has gone from giving up 5 goals to New York City FC earlier in the season to shutting out its last two opponents.

Also, FC Cincinnati’s only 3 wins were on the road, so it somehow plays better away from TQL Stadium.

While it’s risky, one can tame the odds down with FC Cincinnati to win or draw for -120. That’s a solid bet given the form both sides have been in.

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Over/Under (O/U)

BET on the UNDER 2.5 (+110) because Cincinnati is finding its stride and Houston’s also hit the Under in two of its last three matches. Two of the three draws ended at 1-1.

On top of that, only 3 goals have been scored in FC Cincinnati’s last two games. While both defenses have had trouble this season, I expect a low-scoring affair in this one.

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