Tag: Fantasy Football Player Trends

Targets, Touches and TDs: Week 4

Is it time to push the panic button yet?

Panic … or patience?

Through the first three weeks of the season, that’s the question a number of fantasy football general managers are asking of themselves in regards to some of their injured or underwhelming top draft picks this summer.

Now, sure, perhaps the first three rounds of your draft played out something like this: Derrick Henry-Najee Harris-Kyler Murray.

But, for some, it could’ve gone like this: Jonathan Taylor-Calvin Ridley-Josh Jacobs.

Or this: Saquon Barkley-A.J. Brown-Allen Robinson.

And those latter two scenarios — or even some combination of above three — is where the panic or patience question comes into play with a number of struggling fantasy squads already staring at a 0-3 hole.

Below we look at some of the under-performing players from the first three rounds, going by MyFantasyLeague.com ADP, and where they slot into the panic-or-patience (POP) spectrum going forward.

Indianapolis Colts RB Jonathan Taylor

Preseason ADP: 12 (ninth among running backs)

Position rank through Week 3: 28th with 32.1 total fantasy points (point-per-reception scoring) in three games

2021 stats: 42 rushes-171 yards-0 TDs; 11 targets-8 receptions-70 yards-0 TDs

POP spectrum: Justified concern.

In his rookie season a year ago, Taylor certainly was off to a slow start before finishing with a sizzling stretch late. But the fantasy concerns with Taylor this year have more to do with the Colts in general.

Indy is one of five teams off to a winless start, and of that quintet, only the New York Jets (20) and Jacksonville Jaguars (53) have scored fewer points than the Colts’ 56 so far. Indy has managed all of four offensive touchdowns to date, with wide receiver Zach Pascal accounting for three of them.

Taylor, as just mentioned, has none. While he’s accounted for an even two-thirds of the team’s rushing attempts, Nyheim Hines has been more involved in the passing game (16 targets and 12 receptions to Taylor’s 11 and 8). Hines also has been more efficient, averaging 6.5 yards per touch to Taylor’s 4.8 while finding his way into the end zone once.

With Pro Bowl guard Quenton Nelson going down with an injury Sunday, joining right tackle Braden Smith, it furthers the concerns that Indy’s offensive line has taken a noticeable step back this season, and there is a similar view about the Colts defense as well following a top-10 season in 2020.

Banged up and still struggling, QB Carson Wentz certainly hasn’t been able to offset the declines elsewhere, and it all adds up to a forecast for more negative game-scripts and a less-than-stellar fantasy outlook for Taylor.

Trade him if you can recoup close to top-two-round value in return.

Buffalo Bills WR Stefon Diggs

Preseason ADP: 14 (third among wide receivers)

Position rank through Week 3: 25th with 44.1 PPR points in three games

2021 stats: 31 targets-19 receptions-191 yards-1 TD

POP spectrum: Patience, please.

Most all of Diggs’ efficiency and productivity metrics are down across the board following his top-three fantasy wideout season of 2020.

His catch rate has fallen to 61.3 percent after he finished at 76.3 a season ago, and his yards-per-catch (12.1 to 10.1) and yards-per-target (9.2-6.2) averages are down as well here in the early going of 2021.

With one TD grab so far, Diggs also is on pace for six this season after snaring eight scoring passes a season ago.

Only five players — TE Darren Waller and WRs Davante Adams, Cooper Kupp, Keenan Allen and Brandin Cooks — have been targeted more frequently this season than Diggs (31), and he still has a healthy team-leading target share of 25.8 percent in one of the league’s top aerial attacks.

That’s more than enough reason to maintain patience and hold tight with Diggs, who likely — and predictably — will fall short of his 2020 career highs but should still comfortably finish as a top-15 fantasy wideout when all is said and done.

Atlanta Falcons WR Calvin Ridley

Preseason ADP: 19 (sixth among wide receivers)

Position rank through Week 3: 26th with 43.5 PPR points in three games

2021 stats: 29 targets-20 receptions-175 yards-1 TD

POP spectrum: Concerning start but stay the course.

Ridley is coming off a breakout third season in which he finished fifth among fantasy wideouts with 281.5 total PPR points, an average of 18.8 per game.

And even though Ridley has 12 more targets so far than any other Falcon, and his catch percentage is up 6.1 percentage points from 2020 (69.0 from 62.9), Riley’s fantasy-points-per game average has dipped to 14.5 so far this season.

Blame it mainly on average depth of target. Ridley is only averaging 8.8 yards per reception and 6.0 yards per target — well down from his 2020 average of 15.3 and 9.6, respectively — as Falcons QB Matt Ryan ranks dead last among quarterbacks who have started at least three games with average of 4.2 intended air yards per target.

That average should most definitely improve, though, going forward as Ryan and Co. settle into new head coach Arthur Smith’s offensive system. With Julio Jones now gone and rookie TE Kyle Pitts finding his way, Ridley remains the unquestioned No. 1 target in Atlanta, so hang tight if you have him or perhaps attempt to buy low on him if you don’t.

Kansas City Chiefs RB Clyde-Edwards-Helaire

Preseason ADP: 24 (14th among running backs)

Position rank through Week 3: 26th with 33.7 PPR points in three games

2021 stats: 44 rushes-189 yards-0 TDs; 5 targets-5 receptions-38 yards-1 TD

POP spectrum: More patience, but it’s most definitely wearing thin.

Many CEH owners were in full-blown panic mode entering Sunday as KC’s lead back had totaled only 80 scoreless yards on 30 touches through his first two games.

But then came Sunday’s 109 total yards, including a 10-yard scoring reception, against the Los Angeles Chargers as the second-year back posted 16.9 PPR points (including his second lost fumble in as many games).

It was his fifth career game with at least 15 points, and therein lies the rub.

That’s only five definite fantasy start-worthy contests out of the 18 Chiefs games CEH has played in since the start of last season. In all, he’s totaled a modest seven TDs and 44 receptions in those 18 games, including a pair of playoff contests.

Edwards-Helaire still has much fantasy appeal as the lead back (49 touches to backup Darrel Williams’ 13 so far this season) in a Patrick Mahomes-led offense, but his lack of reliable usage and TD production is still rather worrisome.

Tennessee Titans WR A.J. Brown

Preseason ADP: 27 (ninth among wide receivers)

Position rank through Week 3: 69th with 22.5 PPR points in three games

2021 stats: 19 targets-7 receptions-92 yards-1 TD; 1 rush-3 yards-0 TDs

POP spectrum: Not quite at panic-button level but getting kinda nervous.

Brown, fantasy’s 14th-best wide receiver in 2020, caught just seven of 17 targets for 92 yards in the first two games — saved only by a Week 1 TD grab — and then left early Sunday in his third contest with a hamstring issue, finishing with all of 0.3 fantasy points on a 3-yard run.

Not quite the start fantasy GMs were hoping for when they used an early-round pick on the third-year wideout.

QB Ryan Tannehill and the Titans’ passing game have formed a potent 1-2 fantasy punch with elite RB Derrick Henry in recent seasons. But while Henry still is roaring along as the overall RB1 so far this season, Tannehill has fallen off the pace with declines in completion percentage (64.7 so far) and yards per attempt (7.4) while putting up a 4:3 TD-to-interception ratio.

The Tannehill-to-Brown connection has been particularly inefficient with a 36.8 completion percentage and a 4.8 yard-per-target average on his team-leading 19 looks.

Things don’t figure to be nearly this bad going forward, but the WR1/high-end WR2 season you were seeking from Brown when you drafted him already feels like it will remain out of reach.

His current hammy issue certainly won’t help, but start feeling out the Brown trade possibilities to see if anyone in your league still believes in Brown’s low-end WR1 upside.

Las Vegas Raiders RB Josh Jacobs

Preseason ADP: 35th (17th among running backs)

Position rank through Week 3: 53rd with 17.0 PPR points in one game

2021 stats: 10 rushes-34 yards-2 TDs; 2 targets-1 reception-6 yards-0 TDs

POP spectrum: Patience needed for now, but there remains cause for concern.

Jacobs didn’t do much, yardage-wise, in the Week 1 overtime win over the Baltimore Ravens, gaining 34 yards on 10 carries and catching one 6-yard pass. But he did salvage his fantasy week with a pair of rushing scores.

He was in and out of the opener with ankle and toe injuries, and he’s missed the Raiders’ two games since as Peyton Barber and Kenyan Drake have shouldered the backfield load.

The lingering fantasy concerns with Jacobs are his health and his use in the passing game with Drake now there. And Barber, who was one of the team’s unsung heroes of Sunday’s 31-28 overtime win over the Miami Dolphins with 142 total yards and a TD on 26 touches, likely earned himself some touches going forward as well.

Jacobs’ injuries have likely doused most fantasy trade possibilities for the time being, so you’ll likely have to hold tight and see what develops after he gets back on the field.

Chicago Bears WR Allen Robinson

Preseason ADP: 36 (12th among wide receivers)

Position rank through Week 3: 65th with 24.6 PPR points in three games

2021 stats: 21 targets-10 receptions-86 yards-1 TD

POP spectrum: Definite panic.

Robinson’s fantasy owners could talk themselves into things being OK after he received 11 targets in Week 1 and then at least salvaged double-digit fantasy points with a TD in a two-catch, 24-yard outing in Week 2.

But then the Bears’ whole offense devolved into a Week 3 trash fire with six first downs and all of 47 total yards on 42 plays after losing 67 yards on nine sacks in Sunday’s 26-6 beatdown in Cleveland.

With veteran QB Andy Dalton injured and out with a knee bruise, raw rookie Justin Fields made his first start and finished 6-of-20 for 68 yards while doing his best to dodge constant pressure. Robinson was targeted a team-high six times but they only resulted in two catches for 27 yards, which again led the team.

Yikes.

Now in his eighth season, Robinson infamously has been married to below-median QB play throughout his career in Jacksonville and Chicago, and given this season’s start, 2021 looks like it could even be worse than usual — especially if Dalton winds up missing more than a few games.

Trade Robinson without hesitation if anyone is offering up anything comparable to low-end WR2 or starting-flex fantasy value.

Fantasy Football Market Report: Week 1

Fantasy football player value trends entering Week 1.

There has been an old coaching axiom that if an offense throws too often, it’s a sign of failure – you lose more times than you win if you throw 50 times. But, we’re living in the middle of seismic shift in the NFL – a transformation by design.

Typically, the NFL didn’t change with the times. As college programs perfected “gimmick offenses” and three and four receivers became the norm, it has slowly made its way up to the NFL. Two generations into this metamorphosis, throwing 40 to 50 times a game is no longer the kiss of death.

In the first 90 years of professional football, only 15 quarterbacks attempted more than 600 passes in a season. In the last 10 seasons, the number has grown to 50 as 35 quarterbacks have thrown more than 600 passes from 2011-20. Prior to 2006, only nine quarterbacks had thrown more than 600 passes in a season. Since 2007, Drew Brees matched that total by himself, posting nine of the top 26 seasons for pass attempts, and Tom Brady has done it six times – including last year when he won the Super Bowl with Tampa Bay.

In fantasy football all that matters is scoring points, and a QB who throws a ton has value – even if he isn’t elite. The 50 guys who have thrown 600 or more passes in a season includes Joe Flacco (twice!), Jared Goff, Jameis Winston, Blake Bortles and Jay Cutler. Flacco has the same number of appearances on this list as Peyton Manning, as well as the career total of Aaron Rodgers and Brett Favre combined. Finding the guy who is chucking the ball all over the yard on a weekly basis for a mediocre or bad team can be a valuable asset as a backup QB.

Here is season kickoff Fantasy Football Market Report.

Fantasy football risers

Backup running backs

Many fantasy owners hate the idea of handcuffing one of their top running backs with his backup, but injuries always happen at the position. Last year, we weren’t even a month into the season and the top two selections in most drafts and auctions (Christian McCaffrey and Saquon Barkley) were gone.

We’ve already seen promising young players J.K. Dobbins, Travis Etienne and Cam Akers go down for the season, propping up the value of Gus Edwards, Darrell Henderson and James Robinson – all of whom proved themselves last season when pressed into duty. The hits will keep on coming, and more backups will be thrust in the limelight.

Downfield tight ends

In most drafts and auctions where wide receivers and tight ends are clumped together, the TEs get the short end of the stick, being devalued when in direct draft competition with wide receivers. But, last year, there were 14 tight ends who caught 50 or more passes, including two (Darren Waller and Travis Kelce) catching more than 100 balls and three who caught nine or more touchdowns (Kelce, Waller and Robert Tonyan).

That list doesn’t include George Kittle, Rob Gronkowski, Zach Ertz, Jonnu Smith, Jack Doyle, Dallas Goedert, Austin Hooper, Cameron Brate, Kyle Rudolph and O.J. Howard – all players with 50-plus reception resumes and potential – and fourth overall draft pick Kyle Pitts. Don’t sleep on tight ends, because more than half the teams in the NFL have one (or more) capable of big things.

The NFC West

By all accounts, the 2021 season for the NFC West is going to be a weekly bloodbath/track meet. With four distinctly unique offenses and a recent deep playoff run for three of them, they know what it means to win often and win big. The other – Arizona – is one of the bandwagon teams people looking for a “Next Big Thing” sleeper are latching onto. All four are legitimate playoff contenders and all could end up making the postseason – thanks in part to landing the NFC North and AFC South in their non-division schedules.

There is a chance that for the first time in NFL history every team from one division makes the playoffs, which makes each game count more than most and will likely have all of them playing full-out down the stretch of the regular season … because they will have to.

Cowboys receivers

Fans may have forgotten the incredible pace the Dallas offense was setting before Dak Prescott went down in Week 5 last season. Through the first four games of the season, Amari Cooper had 37 catches for 401 yards and one touchdown. CeeDee Lamb had 21 catches for 309 yards and two touchdowns.

While those numbers would have been difficult to maintain over a full season, at the quarter pole of 2020 the Dallas offense was showing no signs of slowing down. Dak is back and so are the expectations that the Cowboys offense can be the most potent in the league.

Old quarterbacks

Much of the focus of the NFL world is on the shiny new quarterbacks who are going to lead the next generation of the game, but of the 10 quarterbacks that had a passer rating of 100.0 or above last season, seven of them were in their seventh NFL season or later – Aaron Rodgers, Drew Brees, Russell Wilson, Kirk Cousins, Brady, Ryan Tannehill and Derek Carr. The young guys get much of the attention, but the old guys continue to show why they’re franchise quarterbacks and that they can still get the job done at a high level.

Fantasy football fallers

Placeholder quarterbacks

Every year, organizations make the claim that, in a perfect world, they’re going to give their first-round rookie quarterbacks a “redshirt season,” if possible. It never happens. At some point the future becomes the present and the rookie gets thrown in. This season, teams aren’t even waiting. Jacksonville shipped out Gardner Minshew to pave the way for Trevor Lawrence. The New York Jets traded Sam Darnold to do the same for Zach Wilson. New England cut Cam Newton to anoint Mac Jones as the starter. How long do Andy Dalton and Jimmy Garoppolo have to be their respective starters? Probably until their first bad game or injury that brings the Justin Fields or Trey Lance, respectively, off the bench and allows history to repeat itself.

Any Buccaneer not named Brady

The defending champs have an embarrassment of riches coming back for one more title run, but in fantasy terms, they have too many quality players. Fantasy owners want a clear stud who leads his team, like Derrick Henry, Davante Adams or Travis Kelce. Those guys are dominant every week. The Bucs have too much depth at fantasy positions to make the individuals as valuable as they should be.

At running back, they have Leonard Fournette, Ronald Jones and Giovani Bernard – all of whom will likely have a specific role that cuts into the others’ time.

They have All-World wide receivers in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, but you also have Antonio Brown, Scotty Miller and Tyler Johnson – all of whom have carved out a role for themselves. At tight end? Gronk, O.J. Howard and Cameron Brate – all of whom are strong red zone targets. There’s only one ball and too many guys who want it. Brady should be in line for big numbers again, but the rest of the fantasy position players will find a lot of competition among one another.

Ravens receivers

Baltimore has made significant investment in receivers over the last four years, using first-round draft picks on Marquise Brown and Rashod Bateman and third-round picks on Mark Andrews, Miles Boykin and Devin Duvernay. But the problem with Ravens receivers is obvious – Baltimore doesn’t throw enough. Lamar Jackson played in 15 games last year and had 376 pass attempts. Eight quarterbacks had more completions than that and several others were close.

It’s by design in Baltimore. The Ravens had the top-rated run game in the league (191.9 yards) last season and the 32nd-ranked passing attack (171.2 yards) – continuing a trend of being a dominant run offense and one of the lowest-ranked pass offenses. Jackson has a career record of 30-7 as a starter – due in large part to the Ravens’ run game. You need opportunities in fantasy football and the Ravens just don’t pass enough to make a ton of chances possible for their receivers, because the team makes its makes money running the ball.

Road warrior quarterbacks

One of the side effects of COVID-19 last season was empty stadiums. One of the great advantages a home team routinely has in the NFL was a raucous home crowd that could elicit a false start or two and generally make life miserable for a QB trying to audible out of a call. It should come as no surprise that veterans, like Aaron Rodgers, Drew Brees, Russell Wilson and Tom Brady, had some of the highest passer ratings of their careers. For younger QBs who posted career-best numbers, the fans are going to be back, and the decision-making process is going to be more difficult.

Anyone from Houston

With the exception of expansion teams, no other team in NFL history has undergone a greater internal upheaval than the Texans. There has been so much turmoil surrounding this team, some projections say if Houston has a record of 4-13, it will be overachieving. There aren’t many times you don’t want a single player from a team on your roster. The 2021 Texans may be that team.

Fantasy Football Market Report: Week 4

In the Fantasy Football Market Report, we look at the top players gaining momentum and a number of blue-chippers quickly losing it.

As if 2020 hasn’t been bizarre enough, three weeks into the season, we’re witnessing things the NFL has never seen in terms of passing yardage. Blame the pandemic for the lack of training camp and a preseason, but offenses are routinely shredding defenses in the early stages of the season and it doesn’t matter if they’re winning or losing.

There was a time when 4,000 passing yards was viewed as the gold standard. You needed to play all 16 games and average 250 yards a game or more. It wasn’t impossible, but not that many quarterbacks met that lofty standard. That has changed the last couple of years. In 2017, just eight made it to that benchmark. In 2018, there were 12. Last season, there were 11.

Heading into Monday night’s game, there are 18 quarterbacks (not including Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson) that are on pace to throw for 4,000 yards and, barring injury, you can expect one of both of them to approach those numbers, which could push to number to 20.

Ben Roethlisberger, Drew Brees and Tom Brady are no strangers to the 4,000-yard club, but, in 2020, they rank 16, 17 and 18.

If things stay at their current pace, Derek Carr, Gardner Minshew, Ryan Tannehill, Joe Burrow, Jared Goff and Teddy Bridgewater will be in “the Club.”

But, in what may be the strangest twist of all, Dak Prescott and Josh Allen find themselves in truly rarified air. Through three weeks, Prescott is on pace to throw 763 passes for 6,336 yards. More impressive is Allen, who is on pace to throw for 5,536 yards and 53 touchdowns.

A strong start doesn’t mean a strong finish to the season, but we’re seeing passing numbers the likes of which the NFL has never seen before and it shows no signs of slowing.

Here is the Week 4 Fantasy Market Report:

Fantasy Football Risers

James Robinson, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars

Only owners who were in desperate need for RBs on their roster snapped up Robinson when the Jaguars cut Leonard Fournette. But, he’s making it more difficult all the time not to start him. Few running backs have cornered the market on carries like Robinson. He has 43 carries for 210 yards and three touchdowns through three games.

The Jags No. 2 rusher is QB Gardner Minshew (12 carries, 60 yards) and No. 3 is versatile wide receiver Laviska Shenault (eight carries, 48 yards). The only other running back with any carries is Chris Thompson (four carries, 10 yards). Robinson isn’t a sexy pick, but few backs can claim a carry-share like him.

Justin Jefferson, WR Minnesota Vikings

Much like his predecessor Stefon Diggs, Jefferson needed time to work his way into the Minnesota offense. In Week 1, he was on the field for 69 percent of snaps. In Week 2, that number dropped to 54 percent. In those two weeks, he was targeted just six times, catching five for 70 yards. He got his first opportunity to be a primary weapon in Week 3.

He was in on 78 percent of snaps and caught seven passes for 175 yards, including a 71-yard touchdown. One game does not make a season, but Jefferson has put himself on the map in a big way, especially for a team that appears to need to score 35 points to win.

James Conner, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers

Those who saw Conner on the sideline in Week 1 looking on as Benny Snell rolled up 113 yards (while Conner had just six carries for nine yards), it looked as if there may be a changing of the guard in Pittsburgh. No so fast, my friend.

Over the last two weeks, Conner has re-established his dominance. While Snell has taken his place in the back seat (10 carries, 16 yards), Conner has posted back-to-back 100-yard rushing games, carrying 34 times for 215 yards (a 6.3 yard average) and two touchdowns. He was drafted to be a high RB2 in most leagues and is back to posting RB1 numbers like 2018.

Allen Lazard, WR, Green Bay Packers

Everyone has waited for someone other than Davante Adams to step up and be the No. 2 guy since Randall Cobb was shown the door. Have they found their guy in Lazard? Through three games, he has averaged 19.5 yards per reception (13-254), has at least one catch of 25 or more yards in each game, has scored two touchdowns from the 5-yard line in (the Super Red Zone) and, in the one game Adams has missed, he caught six passes for 146 yards and a TD in a road win against the Saints.

He’s making a strong case that Aaron Rodgers has a No. 2 guy to go to when Adams returns.

Myles Gaskin, RB, Miami Dolphins

He hasn’t been “crazy productive” for the Dolphins, but when you look at potential, you look at competition. The Dolphins signed bruising Jordan Howard as a free agent and traded for Matt Breida.

Howard has three belly-flop touchdowns, which hurts Gaskin’s value a little, but he has just 12 yards on 16 carries. Breida has 15 carries for 63 yards.

Gaskin not only leads the team with 38 carries for 152 yards, but he is also Miami’s leading receiver with 15 receptions. He hasn’t set the world on fire yet, but that sort of a touch concentration – featured back and leading receptor – is a rarity and, with bye weeks coming, his value only increases as a potential spot starter.

Fantasy Football Fallers

Joe Mixon, RB, Cincinnati Bengals

Mixon is one of the few players consistently drafted as a RB1 that would get benched during the season. He’s streaky. Few running backs were as hot as Mixon the second half of last season, but it took a lot of patience (and bad weeks) for owners to see any production. He didn’t score a rushing touchdown until the 10th week of the season and many owners had long since given up in frustration.

Here we are in 2020. He was in the RB1 discussion in most leagues again and, through three games, has 52 carries for just 164 yards, has caught seven passes for 58 yards and has no TDs. He’s the only rushing show in town (Giovani Bernard has two carries), but the production just isn’t there to keep starting him every week unless you have to.

Rob Gronkowski, TE, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Part of what made Gronk great in New England was that he was Tom Brady’s best passing option near the goal line. A year away from the game, many expected to see that magic rekindled in Tampa Bay for both. Not only has Gronk given fantasy owners almost nothing – eight catches, 59 yards, no touchdowns and a long reception of 10 yards – in that same span, Mike Evans has three touchdowns from the 2-yard line in (one of two yards and two from the 1-yard line).

Those who snapped up Gronk on draft day remember the Gronk of old. This may just be the old Gronk.

D’Andre Swift, RB, Detroit Lions

Remember when all the buzz in Detroit was that their long running back drought post-Barry Sanders was going to end with the arrival of Swift?

Veteran Adrian Peterson leads the team with 43 carries for 209 yards.

Kerryon Johnson is second with 18 carries for 62 yards and a touchdown.

Through three games, Swift has just eight carries for 20 yards and a TD – fewer rushing yards than glacial QB Matthew Stafford (7-24). We’re still early in the season, but Swift hasn’t ascended to No. 2 on the depth chart, much less No. 1. Is he being punished for dropping a game-winning TD in Week 1? It sure looks like it.

Carson Wentz, QB, Philadelphia Eagles

Typically, if you see Washington and Cincinnati on your schedule in two of the first three games of the season, you expect huge numbers. Wentz hasn’t produced that. He has twice as many interceptions (6) as touchdown passes (3) and his passing yardage totals have dropped each week (270, 242, 225).

Wentz was a player taken in fantasy leagues to be a starter more weeks than not. Now he’s a liability if you have to start him and don’t have another viable option (which you should at this point).

Sony Michel, RB, New England Patriots

If you have Michel, you should know better than to depend on a Patriots running back. Sure, he had a touchdown in Week 1 and 117 rushing yards on Sunday, but he has yet to have more than 10 carries a game and doesn’t bring much as a receiver – much less when James White returns to the team.

You’re getting what you get with Michel. You roll the dice when you have to and hope for production, but don’t go into any game confident you will see it.