Jessica Eye and Cynthia Calvillo tangle in a women’s flyweight bout on the main card at UFC Fight Night 172 Saturday at the UFC’s Apex Facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 6 p.m. ET, followed by the main card set for 9 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+.
Eye (15-7) looks to keep things going in a positive direction after losing in a title shot against Valentina Shevchenko June 8, 2019 at UFC 238. Eye rebounded with a nice unanimous decision win over Viviane Araujo six months later at UFC 245, and has been victorious in four of her previous five fights after an ugly four-fight losing skid from July 25, 2015 to Sept. 10, 2016. Eye will look to use her two-inch reach advantage and two-inch height advantage Saturday, but she isn’t quite the puncher as her opponent.
Calvillo (8-1-1) heads into this one with the more superior punching stats, posting a 4.12 to 3.79 edge in significant strikes landed per minute, while posting a 43.15 to 38.38 advantage in significant strikes-accuracy percentage. In addition, she has a 1.83 to 0.46 takedown-average advantage, and a 1.65 to 0.65 submission-average difference. In other words, she has a slight edge in the toe-to-toe game, but a distinct advantage on the canvas. Calvillo is coming off a majority draw against Marina Rodriguez Dec. 7, 2019 at UFC Fight night: Overeem-Rozenstruik, and she is 5-1-1 in seven bouts since arriving at the UFC level.
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Jessica Eye vs. Cynthia Calvillo betting odds
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday, June 10 at 7:05 a.m. ET.
CALVILLO (+100) is a strong play at even money against Eye (-120). Calvillo holds her own against Eye in the punching statistics, but will likely try to get the fight down to the mat early and often. That’s where Calvillo is at her best and holds the largest advantage.
Four of Calvillo’s past five bouts have ended up going the distance, while Eye has had eight of her past nine fights decided by the judges. As such, taking YES (-182): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is a very good play, and a slightly better value that taking Over 4.5 rounds (-200).
New to sports betting? A $10 bet on Calvillo pays even money, fetching a $10 return. A $10 wager on Yes (-182): the fight goes the distance returns a profit of just $5.49, while Over 4.5 Rounds (-200) pays just $5.
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