ESPN FPI predictions – Syndication Server

ESPN matchup predictor updates chances of Ohio State winning its two remaining games

Did ESPN change Ohio State’s chances of beating Michigan at all since last week? #GoBucks

College football odds and metrics ebb and flow with the results on the field, and it’s no different with Ohio State football and the ESPN FPI matchup predictor we like to check in on every week.

When the ESPN sauce was originally made with some Scarlet and Gray at the beginning of the season, it was a savory one. The Buckeyes enjoyed the better chance of winning against every team on the schedule. As the season wore on, there’s one team that drew closer and closer and finally overtook OSU. We’re sure you know what team that is.

Now, just a couple weeks ahead of playing Michigan, have percentages changed? Especially after the Buckeyes dismantled Michigan State? Ohio State only has a game against Minnesota before the massive one at the Big House, so what does ESPN think of those matchups after the Wolverines disposed of Penn State in Happy Valley?

Here’s how ESPN and its FPI matchup predictor see the percentage chances of winning each of the two remaining games on the Buckeyes schedule ahead of Week 12.

We’ll start by looking at the schedule and results so far, see where OSU is in the FPI rankings, go through what the matchup predictor says about each game, then look at trends from last week to end it all.

Updated ESPN FPI predictions still have Ohio State as underdog in one game

It’s time again for the updated look at what the ESPN FPI Matchup Predictor says about Ohio State’s chances of winning each remaining game on the schedule. #GoBucks

The Ohio State football team stayed undefeated last weekend with a win over Wisconsin. That win will not win any detractors over, but it keeps the Buckeyes on the trajectory toward the College Football Playoff. Win and advance. All you have to do is look around the country and see many teams falling when they shouldn’t to understand that winning a Big Ten contest on the road is nothing to sneeze at.

Each week we like to check in on how the ESPN FPI (Football Power Index) changes the percentage chances of the Ohio State football team winning each remaining regular season game of the 2023 season. Now that we’re nine weeks in, there’s a significant set of data points to dump into the ESPN machine, and it’s that time of the week again to check in.

So far, believe it or not, ESPN’s crazy model that predicts future performance of a team based on current metrics in combination with its opponents has been very kind to the Buckeyes. It predicted them to win every game on the regular season schedule until last week.

The year-end donnybrook with Michigan is still to come, but before that, OSU has to travel to Piscataway to take on a Rutgers team that’s already clinched a bowl berth and is a much more formidable foe this year than previous ones.

Here is what the ESPN FPI matchup predictor says about each remaining game on the schedule and OSU’s chances of winning, including games against those Scarlet Knights, Michigan State, Minnesota and, of course, those Wolverines. We also take a look at how things might have changed since last week when we went through the same exercise.

Updated ESPN FPI predictions has Ohio State losing a game for the first time this season

For the first time this year, the ESPN FPI matchup predictor has Ohio State losing against one team. #GoBucks

The Ohio State football team made a huge statement on Saturday afternoon, knocking off a top-10 Penn State team with suffocating defense and an offense that made enough plays at key moments to win the biggest challenge so far.

So far, believe it or not, ESPN’s crazy model that predicts future performance of a team based on current metrics in combination with its opponents, has been very kind to the Buckeyes. It has predicted them to win each game on the schedule. We don’t ask how the sausage was made, we just consume it and enjoy how it feels on our taste buds.

There’s still a couple of huge tests ahead. Next week in Madison is no picnic, and then of course, the year-end donnybrook with Michigan that’s looking more and more like a massive game.

Here is what the ESPN FPI matchup predictor says about each remaining game on the schedule and OSU’s chances of winning, including games against Rutgers, Wisconsin, Michigan State and, of those Wolverines. We also take a look at how things might have changed since last week when we went through the same exercise.

What does the ESPN FPI Matchup Predictor say about Ohio State’s chances of beating Penn State, Michigan, rest of schedule

Did last week’s performances on the gridiron change Ohio State’s chances of winning against Penn State, Michigan and the rest of the schedule? #GoBucks

Each week we like to check in on how the ESPN FPI (Football Power Index) changes the percentage chances of the Ohio State football team winning the each remaining regular season game of the 2023 season, and it’s that time of the week again.

And in case you haven’t been paying attention, Ohio State has a massive matchup this weekend with Penn State. Both are undefeated. Both are in the top 10, and the winner will have a significant leg up in the race for the Big Ten title and perhaps a berth in the College Football Playoff. The loser isn’t out of it, but it will have to grab the pom-poms and start researching conspiracy theories the rest of the way.

Here is what the ESPN FPI matchup predictor says about each remaining game on the schedule and OSU’s chances of winning, including games against those Nittany Lions, Rutgers, Wisconsin, Michigan State and, of course, Michigan. We also take a look at how things might have changed since last week when we went through the same exercise.

ESPN FPI final predicted Big Ten football standings after Week 6

What about these final ESPN FPI predicted Big Ten standings surprise you? #B1G

We’re almost halfway through college football season, and that means the Big Ten conference is starting to take shape. It’s looking like Ohio State, Michigan, and Penn State are going to battle it out in the East for the division and conference crown to potentially stake a claim to one of the four College Football Playoff spots, but the West division is a different story.

We can’t really call the West wide open, but it’s clearly the weaker of the two divisions. Right now, it appears to be a race between Wisconsin and Iowa, but we could still see a surprise team rise up and make the finishing kick an interesting one.

So what will it all look like when the dust settles? There are models for that that like to predict how things will finish, and one of the ones we like to follow is ESPN’s FPI Matchup Predictor. We keep track of what it says about Ohio State’s chances of winning each of its remaining games, but we can expand it further and see what it says about every Big Ten team and the forecast for the end of the regular season standings.

We went through and ticked and tied all of the matchups based on the Football Percentage Index and are sharing what the “worldwide leader” predicts for Big Ten after Week 6. It’ll change week-by-week, but here’s how it sees each team’s remaining games going, and what the final standings will be in the Big Ten.

We’ll start with the West Division teams, move on to the East, then summarize the final standings.

NEXT … The West Division teams

Updated ESPN FPI predictions for each remaining Ohio State football game after Week 6

Which game are you the most worried about? Here is what the ESPN FPI matchup predictor now says about the Buckeyes chances of winning each remaining game. #GoBucks

After taking a week off, Ohio State was back in action against an undefeated Maryland team. And if you didn’t watch the game, the CliffsNotes version of events is that the Terrapins are no longer undefeated. The Buckeyes sleepwalked through the first half but found their mojo in the second half and finished the job, winning 37-17.

That wasn’t the only action that was interesting in Week 6. Texas lost to Oklahoma, and Notre Dame — a team that would help OSU if it continued to do well — lost at Louisville and now has a Lord of the Rings journey to make it back into the College Football Playoff picture.

All of those results helped update the ESPN Football Power Index (FPI) matchup predictor determine the likelihood of Ohio State winning each of its remaining regular season games for the 2023 season.

To date, the mad-scientist formula that goes into ESPN’s model has favored the Buckeyes to win each game, but the chances for each have fluctuated. So what does it say about OSU’s chances of beating Michigan, Penn State, Wisconsin, Michigan State and others after what we saw over the weekend?

Here’s how ESPN sees each game panning out for Ohio State from here through “The Game.”

Updated ESPN FPI predictions for each remaining Ohio State football game after Week 5

Another week means we get another opportunity to check in on the ESPN FPI Matchup Predictor to see what the chances of Ohio State winning each of its remaining games are. #GoBucks

If you were suffering from withdrawal last week without Ohio State football to watch last weekend, welcome to the club. Despite the Buckeyes having a week off, there was still plenty of action across the country, including in the Big Ten that gave us many data points and observations to ponder.

It also helped update the ESPN Football Power Index (FPI) matchup predictor determine the likelihood of Ohio State winning each of its remaining regular season games for the 2023 season.

To date, the mad-scientist formula that goes into ESPN’s model have favored the Buckeyes to win each game, but the chances for each have fluctuated. So what does it say about OSU’s chances of beating the likes of Michigan, Penn Sate, Wisconsin, Michigan State, and others?

Here’s how ESPN sees each game panning out for Ohio State from here through “The Game.”

Updated ESPN FPI predictions for each remaining Ohio State football game after Week 4

Here’s what the updated ESPN FPI model says about Ohio State’s chances of winning each of its remaining regular season games after the Notre Dame win. #GoBucks

We’ve had a chance to catch our breath and come down from what we witnessed about half a week ago when Ohio State found a way to pull an instant classic out in South Bend over a top-10 (at the time) Notre Dame team. It kept a lot of goals and desires on the table, and now it’s off to the next leg of a still demanding journey.

There were many national media members picking the Fighting Irish to knock off a Buckeye team still kind of figuring things out on offense. This was a significant test OSU passed, and it changed a bit of the narrative surrounding what this team can do.

One thing we like to keep tabs on weekly is how the last week’s docket of games affected Ohio State’s chances of winning each of its remaining games according to the Football Percentage Index’s (FPI) matchup predictor. There has indeed been some slight changes with the ESPN model.

Here’s a look at what the percentage chance of the Buckeyes winning games against Wisconsin, Penn State, and yes — Michigan — after Week 4, and the changes from the previous week. Keep in mind, these trends and percentages have just as much to do with the opponents’ performance as with Ohio State.

Here’s where things stand 1/3 of the way through the 2023 season.

Updated ESPN FPI predictions for each remaining Ohio State football game after Week 3

How did things change with ESPN’s matchup predictor for each remaining game after the impressive performance against Western Kentucky? What does it say about the Michigan and Notre Dame games? #GoBucks

We are three weeks into the college football season, and we saw the Ohio State offense come out of its shell for the first time in 2023 during the dismantling of Western Kentucky on Saturday. It hopefully bodes well for the massive contest with Notre Dame this weekend — and beyond — but only time will tell.

One thing we like to keep track of during the season is the ESPN Football Power Index (FPI) and its matchup predictor after the results for the week, and it’s time to check in on it again.

We don’t pretend to know what goes into making the sausage over at the “Worldwide Leader,” but we know the FPI matchup predictor is supposed to take into account a team’s performance and metrics in combination with its opponents to look forward, and that’s exactly what we want here.

Here is what ESPN says about each remaining game on Ohio State football’s remaining schedule and whether the percentage of winning each went up or down after the impressive showing against the Hilltoppers in Week 3.

ESPN FPI updates Ohio State’s chances of winning its last two regular season games

Did Ohio State’s chances of winning each of its last two games (Maryland and Michigan) go up or down based on all that occurred last weekend? #GoBucks

Believe it or not, there are just two regular-season games left in the 2022 Ohio State football season. It’s gone by fast, as it seems to always do, and there are plenty of special things still out on the table for this team to achieve. There is a potential Big Ten East and conference crown at stake as well as a potential spot in the College Football Playoff.

To get there though, the Buckeyes still have to take care of business over its last two games. There’s this week on the road vs. Maryland, and then the season-ending finale in “The Game” against Michigan.

Each week, ESPN’s FPI metric updates the percentage chance of Ohio State winning each of its games in its “matchup predictor” and we’ve followed it along all season. Now that we are down to two games and there are all kinds of data points to use, what does the model do with the last two games?

Here is a look at where the percentages have gone after Week 11 as we head down the final stretch of the regular season.