Tag: Duke Blue Devils vs. Virginia Cavaliers odds predictions pick betting line spread

ACC Tournament: Duke vs. Virginia odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Duke vs. Virginia odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 21 Duke Blue Devils (25-8) face the No. 11 Virginia Cavaliers (25-6) Saturday in the ACC Tournament championship. Tip from Greensboro Coliseum is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Duke vs. Virginia odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

The Blue Devils covered as 2.5-point favorites in Friday’s 85-78 victory over No. 13 Miami. Duke is currently on an 8-game win streak and is 4-1 against the spread over its last 5 outings.

The Cavaliers beat Clemson 76-56 Friday to cover as 3-point favorites as the Over (126.5) connected. Virginia has won 4 games in a row and 8 of its last 10 contests but is just 4-5-1 ATS along that stretch.

This will be the second meeting between Duke and Virginia this season. The Cavaliers secured a 69-62 overtime victory to cover as 6-point home favorites and the Over (126) connected on Feb. 11.

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Duke vs. Virginia odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Duke -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Virginia +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Duke -2.5 (-105) | Virginia +2.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 123.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Duke vs. Virginia picks and predictions

Prediction

Duke 66, Virginia 62

Moneyline

DUKE (-135) is who I side with Saturday. The Blue Devils are getting hot at the perfect time and the Cavaliers are struggling to score consistently.

Against the spread

LEAN DUKE -2.5 (-105).

The Blue Devils have been impressive in the ACC tournament and have won 8 straight conference games. Duke is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games overall, and Virginia is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games overall.

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Over/Under

OVER 123.5 (-105) is how I’d bet the total despite that both squads have strong defenses. Duke has scored 77 or more points in 5 of its last 7 games and has made 76.8% of its free-throw attempts this season (23rd in the nation).

The Blue Devils are 4-2 to the Over in their last 6 games overall and the Cavaliers are 4-1 to the Over as underdogs this season.

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Duke at Virginia odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Duke at Virginia odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Duke Blue Devils (17-7, 8-5 ACC) will look to take down the No. 9 Virginia Cavaliers (18-4, 10-3) in Charlottesville Saturday at 4 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Duke vs. Virginia odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

No. 24 Duke, after defeating rival North Carolina 63-57 as a 2.5-point favorite last Saturday, proceeded to be trounced 81-59 two days later at 20th-ranked Miami as a 3-point underdog. This continued the up-and-down season for the Blue Devils, especially with F Dariq Whitehead sidelined with a leg injury. Lucky for Duke, Whitehead will be returning soon, possibly Saturday against the Cavaliers. His return would be a great sign for Duke, which has had trouble scoring with Whitehead out of the lineup.

Virginia, after losing 74-68 as a 2-point underdog to Virginia Tech Feb. 4, came back home and gained a 63-50 victory as a 7.5-point favorite against No. 22 NC State. Heading into Saturday, Virginia is tied with Clemson and Pittsburgh — all 10-3 in conference — atop of the ACC heading into the final month of the regular season.

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Duke at Virginia odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:11 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Duke +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Virginia -280 (bet $280 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Duke +5.5 (-105) | Virginia -5.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 126.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Duke at Virginia picks and predictions

Prediction

Virginia 65, Duke 57

Moneyline

PASS.

Duke has been struggling lately, and a road game in Charlottesville against the best team in the ACC is not a way to get things on the right track.

Virginia, fresh off its 13-point home win over NC State, will win here, too, for the team’s 9th victory in the last 10 games — Virginia Tech being the lone loss.

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Against the spread

TAKE VIRGINIA -5.5 (-115).

Not only has Virginia played a better schedule, but it has also won against that schedule.

Virginia is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 home games and is also 4-0 ATS in its last 4 contests against teams with a winning percentage over .600, per Covers.com. In its last 6 games, Virginia is 4-1-1 ATS.

Duke has not fared well as of late. The Blue Devils are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. They’re also 0-7 ATS in their last 7 on the road against teams with home-win percentages above .600.

This has all the markings of a VIRGINIA -5.5 (-115) cover.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 126.5 (-115).

With Duke struggling to score and going Under in 3 of its last 4 games — plus, cashing Under tickets in its last 5 Saturday games — the fact Virginia plays at one of the slowest paces in the country might not even matter.

Both teams will want to play ball control and limit possessions.

Virginia ranks 10th in team defense, allowing  60.4 points per game, while Duke is 41st at 64.1 PPG. These defenses will be able to contain the limited offense of the other.

Neither team has an offense ranked inside the top 150. Duke averages just 71.9 PPG, good for 169th, while Virginia scores 70.0 PPG to rank 219th.

In what should be a defensive matchup, I will ride with the UNDER 126.5 (-115).

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Duke at Virginia odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Duke at Virginia odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 6 Duke Blue Devils (23-4, 13-3 ACC) and Virginia Cavaliers (17-10, 11-6) tangle Wednesday evening at 7 p.m. ET in John Paul Jones Arena in Charlottesville, Va. Below, we look at the Duke vs. Virginia odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Duke has won four consecutive games and nine of its last 10. The lone loss in that period came against this UVA five (69-68, Feb. 7). The Blue Devils have been especially solid on the road during that stretch. DU is 4-1 against the spread across its last five road tilts.

The Cavaliers won at Miami Saturday and have won five of their last six games. Virginia plays at one of the slowest tempos in NCAA-I. It excels in avoiding turnovers and keeping opposing teams off the free-throw line. Across its last seven games, the Wahoos have yielded an average of just 11.7 throws.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Duke at Virginia odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 6:47 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Duke -205 (bet $205 to win $100) | Virginia +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Duke -4.5 (-110) | Virginia +4.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 129.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Duke at Virginia odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Duke 69, Virginia 65

Money line

Virginia is a decent lean against the spread, but this price on Duke outright is fair. Some bettors may want to consider middling this game if the prices at both ends cooperate: that’s taking Duke to win on the money line and UVA against the number. A Blue Devils one-possession victory nets two wins for such bettors. Otherwise, PASS.

Against the spread

The Cavaliers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a home underdog. The underdog is 19-6-1 ATS in the last 26 Duke-Virginia series meetings.

Virginia is fighting for its NCAA Tournament life and is playing its best, most consistent basketball of late. TAKE THE CAVALIERS +4.5 (-110).

Over/Under

The Cavaliers do play a slow pace, and that’s accounted for. What may not be is their efficient offense that looks to be peaking. Mix in a Duke five that has been a frequent Over call in recent weeks, and BACK THE OVER 129.5 (-112).

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