The No. 21 Duke Blue Devils (24-8) take on the No. 13 Miami Hurricanes (25-6) Friday in the semifinal round of the ACC Tournament. Tip from Greensboro Coliseum is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Duke vs. Miami odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.
Duke easily covered as a 5.5-point favorite when it destroyed Pittsburgh 96-69 in the quarterfinal round of the tournament Thursday. It has now won 7 games in a row and is 4-3 against the spread (ATS) in that span. The Blue Devils are just 13-19 ATS this season.
Miami snuck past Wake Forest 74-72 in the quarterfinal round of the tournament Thursday but failed to cover as a 6.5-point favorite. It has now won 9 of its last 10 games and is 6-4 ATS in that span. The Hurricanes are 18-13 ATS this season.
Miami and Duke split the season series this year with Duke beating Miami 68-66 at home on Jan. 21 while failing to cover as a 6-point favorite and Miami beating Duke 81-59 on Feb. 6 to cover as a 3-point home favorite.
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Duke vs. Miami odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:05 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Duke -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Miami +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Against the spread (ATS): Duke -2.5 (-110) | Miami +2.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 144.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Duke vs. Miami picks and predictions
Prediction
Duke 71, Miami 69
Moneyline
PASS.
Duke (-145) has been playing solid basketball lately, but this should be a tight game and this line doesn’t contain enough value.
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Against the spread
LEAN MIAMI +2.5 (-110).
The Blue Devils are just 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an outright victory of more than 20 points and just 4-5 ATS in their last 9 games.
Miami is 7-0-1 ATS in its last 8 Friday games, 18-6 ATS in its last 24 games following an ATS loss and 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games against a team with a winning outright record.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 144.5 (-110).
The Under is 5-1 in the Blue Devils last 6 neutral site games and 6-1 in the Hurricanes’ last 7 neutral site games, with a combined 7-2 record this season for both teams at neutral sites. The Under is also 9-2 in the Hurricanes’ last 11 games following an ATS loss.
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