The Anaheim Ducks (22-26-6) visit the Toronto Maple Leafs (28-19-7) Friday night at Scotiabank Arena. Puck drop is set for shortly after 7 p.m. ET. We analyze the Ducks-Maple Leafs odds and lines, while providing NHL betting tips and picks around this matchup.
Ducks at Maple Leafs: Projected starting goalies
Ryan Miller vs. Michael Hutchinson
Miller figures to start Friday in Toronto with starter John Gibson playing Tuesday and Thursday and going past regulation time in both efforts. In 14 games this season, Miller owns a 2.86 goals against average and .912 save percentage. He stopped 71 of 73 shots over his last two starts.
Hutchinson is the most likely Toronto netminder for this start. Injured workhorse Frederik Anderson (upper body) was originally slated for a Friday return, but that prospect was listed as doubtful as of Thursday. Hutchinson was not sharp in the Leafs’ last game. He allowed four goals on 34 shots Wednesday in a loss to the New York Rangers. Hutchinson is 4-9-1 with a 3.66 GAA and .886 SV%.
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Ducks at Maple Leafs: Odds, picks and betting tips
Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access them at USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Toronto 4, Anaheim 2
Moneyline (ML)
Anaheim (+195) is on game No. 4 of a five-game road trip. In a hard-fought game against the Tampa Bay Lightning preceding the trip and during the road stretch itself, puck-possession numbers have been solid for the Ducks. Anaheim has looked better on defense than it did in January. The club allowed 3.3 goals per game last month.
Toronto (-238) has lost back-to-back games and seven of its last 11. The Maple Leafs have perhaps been a bit puck-unlucky during the stretch. Trends and analytics don’t make for a lean in any direction on a line well-bracketed by extra juice. PASS on the moneyline.
Puck Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
Six of the Maple Leafs’ last seven wins have been of the multi-goal variety, but Toronto has lost a couple of win-able games over that same span. Still, the +115 price stands out here and makes the puck line — TORONTO -1.5 (+115) — worth at least a small play.
Over/Under (O/U)
The Over is 6-1 in the last seven Ducks-Leafs’ meetings in Toronto. That’s a four-year trend, and there are some likable Under signals in the analytics, but the price overshoots the lean.
PASS on the Under 6.5 (-154).
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