Oregon vs Oregon State Prediction, Game Preview: Pac-12 Tournament

Pac-12 Tournament: Oregon Ducks vs Oregon State Beavers prediction and college basketball game preview.

Pac-12 Tournament: Oregon Ducks vs Oregon State Beavers prediction and college basketball game preview.


Oregon vs Oregon State Broadcast

Date: Friday, March 12
Game Time: 8:30 ET
Venue: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
Network: Pac-12 Network

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All of the CFN Fearless Predictions

Oregon (20-5) vs Oregon State (15-12) Game Preview

For latest lines and to bet on college basketball, go to BetMGM


Why Oregon State Will Win

Yeah, the Beavers lost to Oregon in the last game of the regular season, but they won 75-64 in Eugene back in late January by nailing 22-of-24 free throws and getting a bad shooting day from the Ducks.

But that’s what Oregon State does. It might not be a high-powered shooting team, but it’s just that good at stopping teams from three and on the other side it’s fantastic at moving the ball around.

It took a massive comeback and overtime to do it, but they beat UCLA in the Pac-12 Tournament quarterfinal by hitting from three, stopping the Bruins from the outside, and nailing their free throws.

However …

Why Oregon Will Win

The Oregon State three point defense doesn’t always work. It might be good at keeping everyone to around 30%, but Oregon couldn’t seem to miss in the 80-67 win in Corvallis a few days ago.

The best three-point shooting team in the Pac-12 nailed a season-high 15 against the Beavers, and that was coming off a hot shooting day against UCLA coming off big days against Arizona and Cal.

On Thursday, the Ducks hit 56% from three to win 91-73 in an easy rout. Oregon State might be playing well overall, but if Oregon gets going, that’s it. The Beavers can’t keep up.

What’s Going To Happen

The Beavers won’t keep up.

This is a fun Oregon State team that can all of a sudden start to make a whole lot of noise for the NCAAs if it can pull this off, but it’s just not consistent enough from three to do this.

Yeah, it nailed 40% from three against UCLA, but it’s been painful at times over the last few games including an 0-for-10 performance from the outside against Cal and hitting 4-of-17 against the Ducks.

Oregon won’t hit 65% from three this time around, but it’ll make enough to move on.

Oregon vs Oregon State Prediction, Line

Oregon 79, Oregon State 69
Bet on college basketball with BetMGM
Line: Oregon -9, o/u: 139
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2.5

Must See Rating: 3

5: The other 17 holes at the TPC
1: The focus on the TPC 17th

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Oregon at Oregon State college basketball odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s Oregon Ducks at Oregon State Beavers sports betting odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks and bets.

The Oregon Ducks (18-5) travel up the road to Corvallis to take on the Oregon State Beavers (13-9) Saturday. Tip-off for the Pac-12 contest at Gill Coliseum is set for 10:30 p.m. ET. We analyze the Oregon-Oregon State odds and betting lines, with college basketball betting advice and tips around this matchup.

Oregon at Oregon State: Three things you need to know

1. Oregon (76.8 points per game) and Oregon State (73.8 PPG) rank second and third, respectively, in Pac-12 scoring. The Ducks get quite a few points from beyond the arc — they’re shooting a robust 38.7% (first Pac-12) on 3-point attempts. The Beavers get it done on twos and at the charity stripe — they rank 12th in the nation in getting to the free-throw line with 22.8 attempts per game.

2. Oregon State has lost five of its last six games. Over those half-dozen contests, the OSU defense has yielded a 49.5% accuracy mark from the field. In all five losses, the Beavers trailed throughout.

3. The Ducks are 0-3 against the spread over their last three on the road. One common thread in the road woes has been Oregon’s shooting inside the arc. The Ducks have had some road games where they’ve shot under 35% on 2-pointers. Oregon State is proficient in its inside defense; if the Ducks can’t knock down enough mid-range jumpers, they could be in for trouble in this visit to Corvallis.


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Oregon at Oregon State: Odds, betting lines and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Oregon State 72, Oregon 69

Moneyline (ML)

Oregon has two players out for this one. Freshman C N’faly Dante (knee) and sophomore F Francis Okoro (personal) will miss the game. Both have figured prominently in the Ducks’ rotation, Dante’s getting 15 minutes per per game and Okoro sees 18 MPG. Three-point-dependent Oregon went just 7-for-24 from beyond the arc in a loss to Stanford last Saturday (the Ducks’ last game). Oregon has put together a few multi-game runs of subpar shooting from distance.

The OREGON STATE (+135) straight-up play has the best value among the three main plays listed here.

Against the Spread (ATS)

The Ducks are 3-4 ATS on the road; the Beavers are 7-4 against the number at home. The home team is 9-4-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings in this in-state rivalry.

Only getting 2.5 points here is part of the equation that makes the moneyline play more attractive. PASS on the spread, as Oregon State fetches a better profit on the moneyline.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Over is 6-1 in the Beavers’ last seven games as an underdog. This Saturday contest figures to have 3-pointers and free-throws leading to another Over as well, but the public has this total well bracketed. PASS on the Over 139.5 (+110).

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