Los Angeles Dodgers at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (29-32) meet the Los Angeles Dodgers (38-25) in PNC Park for the finale of their 3-game series Thursday. First pitch is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pirates lead 2-0

The Pirates kicked off the series with a 1-0 win on Tuesday and then compounded that Wednesday by taking the 2nd game 10-6, covering in both. Pittsburgh used a 7-run 2nd inning to pull away and never looked back.

The Pirates have won 3 of their last 4 games and sit 4th in the NL Central. They are just 3-3 straight up over their last 6 at home. Pittsburgh is 33-27 against the spread (ATS) on the season.

The Dodgers will look to avoid having been swept for just the 2nd time on the season. Los Angeles has won 5 of its last 8 games, yet has lost 5 of its last 8 on the road. The NL West leaders are 32-31 ATS.

Dodgers at Pirates projected starters

RHP Walker Buehler vs. LHP Bailey Falter

Buehler (1-3, 4.32 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 25 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 4 BB, 7 K in a 4-1 home loss to the Colorado Rockies Friday
  • 2024 road splits: 0-2, 6.00 ERA (9 IP, 6 ER), 11 H, 4 HR, 3 BB, 6 K in 2 starts
  • Career vs. Pirates: 2-0, 2.37 ERA (19 IP, 5 ER), 0.90 WHIP, 7.1 K/9 in 3 starts

Falter (3-2, 3.22 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 5.3 K/9 in 64 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 5-3 14-inning road loss to the Toronto Blue Jays Friday
  • 2024 home splits: 2-0, 2.56 ERA (31 2/3 IP, 9 ER), 21 H, 5 HR, 8 BB, 17 K in 5 starts
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (3 IP, 0 ER), 0.33 WHIP, 3.0 K/9 in 1 relief appearance

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Dodgers at Pirates odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:41 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -188 (bet $188 to win $100) | Pirates +158 (bet $100 to win $158)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (-120) | Pirates +1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -106 | U: -114)

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Dodgers at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Pirates 3

Moneyline

PASS.

The Dodgers are far too expensive on the moneyline here, especially considering they have lost 2 straight and scored a combined 6 runs through those 2 games.

The Pirates aren’t worth a play here, neither is a plus-money home team.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PIRATES +1.5 (+100).

Pittsburgh has a strong pitcher on the mound, one of that has helped the Pirates cover in 3 of his last 4 starts. Pittsburgh is 10-3 ATS as a home underdog on the season and has covered in 4 straight games.

The Dodgers are 5-6 ATS in their last 11 and 2-3 ATS in their last 5. They have also lost 2 straight games in which Buehler has started. Considering those trends, back PIRATES +1.5 (+100).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 9 (-114).

The Pirates have scored 4 or fewer runs in 3 of their last 5 games, going Under the projected total in 2 of their last 5. The Dodgers, on the other hand, are far more prone toward the Under.

They have allowed 1 or 0 runs in 3 of their last 4 and have gone Under the projected total in 8 of their last 10 games, as well as in Buehler’s last 4 starts. With both teams having solid options on the mound, back UNDER 9 (-114).

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Los Angeles Dodgers (38-24) and Pittsburgh Pirates (28-32) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set at PNC Park Wednesday. First pitch is set for 6:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pirates lead 1-0

The Pirates took the 1st game of the series Tuesday, winning 1-0 as RHP Jared Jones kept the Dodgers scoreless for 6 innings.

Pittsburgh has traded off winning and losing over its last 6 outings, including 2 losses over a 3-game weekend series at the Toronto Blue Jays. It sits 4th in the NL Central and is 32-27 against the spread (ATS) on the season.

The Dodgers had previously won 5 of 6 and snapped a 2-game winning streak with the loss Tuesday. Los Angeles is 32-30 ATS on the season and sits atop the NL West.

Dodgers at Pirates projected starters

LHP James Paxton vs. RHP Paul Skenes

Paxton (5-0, 3.29 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 4.8 BB/9 and 5.4 K/9 in 52 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 10-3 road win over New York Mets May 29
  • 2024 road splits: 3-0, 3.68 ERA (29 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 25 H, 3 HR, 13 BB, 20 K in 6 starts
  • Career vs. Pirates: 0-1, 5.40 ERA (5 IP, 3 ER), 6 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 1 start, a 10-1 road loss with Seattle Mariners July 27, 2016

Skenes (2-0, 2.45 ERA) makes his 5th start. The rookie has a 0.91 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 12.3 K/9 in 22 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 10-2 road victory over Detroit Tigers May 29
  • 2024 home splits: 0-0, 3.60 ERA (10 IP, 4 ER), 12 H, 1 HR, 3 BB, 10 K in 2 starts
  • Has never faced Los Angeles before; made MLB debut May 11

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Dodgers at Pirates odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -104 (bet $104 to win $100) | Pirates -112 (bet $112 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+152) | Pirates +1.5 (-184)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Dodgers at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 3, Pirates 2

Moneyline

BET DODGERS (-104).

The Pirates have been too inconsistent over the last few weeks. They have lost 6 of their last 10 games and 3 of their last 5 at home while trading off winning and losing over their last 6, which suggests they’re primed to come up short.

While Skenes has pitched well over his 4 starts, the team as a whole has given up 21 runs in those games. The Dodgers are 14-9 after a loss and should be able to avenge their series-opening defeat. Back DODGERS (-104).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Dodgers are too risky as run-line favorites here, while the Pirates are far too expensive to take as run-line underdogs. Ultimately, avoid this play regardless of the preferred side.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-115).

Both teams will have a strong starting option, and neither is hot after the 1-0 finish to Tuesday’s game. The Pirates have gone Under in 2 of their last 4 games and scored 4 or fewer runs in 3 of their last 4.

The Dodgers have gone Under in 4 straight games and held opponents to 1 run or fewer in 3 straight. They are 1-8 O/U in their last 9 games. Put it all together, and back UNDER 8.5 (-115).

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Los Angeles Dodgers (38-23) open a 3-game series on the road Tuesday against the Pittsburgh Pirates (27-32). First pitch from PNC Park is at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Dodgers took 2023 series 4-3

The Dodgers have won 2 straight games and 5 of their last 6. They were off on Monday after closing out their home series against the Colorado Rockies with a 4-0 shutout win Sunday to take the series.

The Pirates went 2-3 on a recent road trip and have lost 4 of their last 6. They were also idle on Monday. They lost their series finale on Sunday 5-4 to the Toronto Blue Jays on the road to lose the series.

Dodgers at Pirates projected starters

RHP Tyler Glasnow vs. RHP Jared Jones

Glasnow (6-3, 3.04 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 0.91 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 in 74 IP.

  • Last start: No decision, 7 IP, 2 R, 2 H, 4 BB, 8 K in 5-2 loss in the 1st game of a road doubleheader against the New York Mets last Tuesday
  • Is 2-0 with 1.69 ERA in 5 road starts

Jones (3-5, 3.55 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 63 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 7 R (5 ER), 5 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 8-0 road loss to Detroit Tigers in the 1st game of a Wednesday doubleheader
  • Has had quality starts in 7 of his 11 starts this season

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Dodgers at Pirates odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook, one of the most popular betting apps; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:27 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Pirates +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (-110) | Pirates +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Dodgers at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Pirates 2

Moneyline

The Dodgers have won 3 straight games on the road and are 17-11 on the road this season while the Pirates are 12-15 at home.

The Pirates are 11-13 against teams with winning records like the Dodgers.

The Dodgers have allowed 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 6 games, all wins.

Expect the Dodgers with Glasnow to take the opener but don’t bet them at -190.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Fifteen of the Dodgers’ last 16 wins have been by 2 or more runs.

The Pirates are 33-26 ATS overall this season but are 13-14 ATS at home. In their 7 losses when Jones has started, 6 have been by 2 or more runs.

BET DODGERS -1.5 (-110).

Over/Under

The Pirates have had totals of 8 or more runs in 6 straight games and in 10 of their last 11.

The Dodgers have had 7 of their last 8 stay Under 8 runs. Four of Glasnow’s 5 road starts have not reached 8 runs.

BET UNDER 8 (-120).

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (13-11) and Pittsburgh Pirates (16-8) meet Wednesday to continue a 3-game series. The first pitch in the contest at PNC Park is slated for 6:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Los Angeles leads 1-0

The Dodgers took Tuesday’s opener 8-7 and have won 3 straight games. Pittsburgh played Los Angeles tough last season, winning 5 of 6 contests.

Pittsburgh had a 7-game win streak snapped Tuesday. The Pirates had outscored foes 45-15 over that stretch.

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Dodgers at Pirates projected starters

RHP Tony Gonsolin vs. RHP Roansy Contreras

Gonsolin is coming off the 15-day IL to make his 2023 debut. The 28-year-old has filed a 2.89 ERA, 0.99 WHIP over 59 career games.

  • Likely part of a bullpen day for the Dodgers as RHP Andre Jackson also figures to get some bulk innings
  • Tossed 5 frames of 1-hit, scoreless ball against the Pirates last season on May 10

Contreras (2-1, 4.57 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.52 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 through 21 2/3 IP.

  • Last 2 starts: 12 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 11 H, 5 BB and 14K
  • Notched a 3.33 ERA across 9 starts and 1 relief appearance at home last season

Dodgers at Pirates odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Dodgers -148 (bet $148 to win $100) | Pirates +126 (bet $100 to win $126)
    Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+114) | Pirates +1.5 (-137)
    Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -118 | U: -104)

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Dodgers at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Pirates 3

Moneyline

Gonsolin and the bullpen day make for some gray area, but the bullpens are a point of betting leverage in this series. Early numbers favor the Pirates’ relievers, but they have a league-low 5.5% HR/FB — that marks some good fortune. The Dodgers have worked around a .343 batting average on balls in play, and that marks some bad fortune.

Los Angeles is a lean, but the price comparison favors the run line for this game. PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

L.A. has banged out 11 home runs in 5 games on its current road trip. On Wednesday — with the forecast of an outward breeze at PNC — the Dodgers draw a fly-ball pitcher in Contreras.

The Pittsburgh righty threw 93 pitches in his last start. A year ago, he made 3 starts after throwing 93 or more pitches the game before, yielding 11 ER in 10 1/3 IP. Look for the Dodgers to get into the Pirates’ ‘pen by the middle innings Wednesday.

BACK LOS ANGELES -1.5 (+114).

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Over/Under

The Over is a slight lean for this game, but only at a tag of -115 or better. PASS.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (36-25) try to complete a three-game sweep of the Pittsburgh Pirates (23-37) Thursday at 12:35 p.m. ET at PNC Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Pirates odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Julio Urias is the projected starting pitcher for the Dodgers. He is 8-2 with a 3.48 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 10.0 K/9 and 1.4 BB/9 in 72 1/3 IP over 12 starts. Urias has six starts in which he has gone at least six innings and allowed two or fewer earned runs. He has won four of his last five starts.

RHP Mitch Keller is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. He is 3-6 with a 6.65 ERA, 1.72 WHIP, 9.7 K/9 and 5.2 BB/9 in 44 2/3 IP over 11 starts. He has pitched into the sixth inning only twice this season. He pitched only two innings in his last start, exiting with a heat illness.

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Dodgers at Pirates odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3:51 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Pirates +195 (bet $100 to win $195)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -2.5 (+105) | Pirates +2.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Pirates 2

Money line (ML)

The Dodgers have swept only one road series this season and are 17-15 on the road so far. They are 4-6 in the final game of road series this season.

The Pirates have been swept at home twice this year already and face a lopsided pitching matchup.

Take the DODGERS (-250).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Pirates are only 14-17 ATS at home this season but have covered the spread in four of their last six games.

The Dodgers are only 13-19 ATS on the road this season, one of the worst records in the league. However, in Urias’ last five wins, the Dodgers have done so by no fewer than four runs.

Even with the longer spread, take the DODGERS -2.5 (+105).

Over/Under (O/U)

The first two games of this series finished Under the projected total.

In each of Urias’ last four starts and in six of his last seven, the total has gone Over eight runs.

However, in four of Keller’s last six starts, the total was fewer than eight runs.

Take UNDER 8.5 (-110).

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