Tag: Dodgers Marlins odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

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The Los Angeles Dodgers (84-54) and Miami Marlins (72-67) meet Thursday to close out a 3-game series. First pitch at loanDepot park is slated for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Miami leads 3-2

Los Angeles has dropped the first 2 games of this series, including an 11-4 drubbing on Wednesday, and is just 1-5 over its last 5 games. The Dodgers have filed a higher-than-normal 27.8% strikeout rate over those 6 games — L.A.’s season whiff rate is 22.7%.

The Marlins have won 6 in a row on the heels of a 3-10 stretch in the back half of August. Miami owns a .949 OPS over its last half-dozen games.

Dodgers at Marlins projected starters

RHP Ryan Pepiot vs. LHP Braxton Garrett

Pepiot (1-0, 1.29 ERA) is tabbed for his 2nd start and 4th appearance. He has notched a 0.71 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 14 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 7-0 home win vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Aug. 30
  • Pitching his 2nd game on the road this season; career on the road: 0-0, 2.81 road ERA over 16 IP across 3 starts and 1 relief appearance
  • 2023 vs. Marlins: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 5 K as a reliever in 3-1 home win on Aug. 19.

Garrett (8-5, 3.86 ERA) is lined up for his 27th start and 28th appearance. He’s posted a 1.15 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 140 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 6-1 win at Washington Nationals last Thursday
  • 2023 home stats: 3-3, 4.94 ERA in 71 IP across 14 games
  • Only career start vs. Dodgers: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 3-1 road loss on Aug. 19

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Dodgers at Marlins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:21 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Dodgers -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Marlins +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+135) | Marlins +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Dodgers at Marlins picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Marlins 4

Moneyline

There are some questions plaguing both sides of this wager: Pepiot starting, Garrett hurling at home, Los Angeles is in a mini-slump and a mercurial Marlins bunch teetering on being about a .500 team.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Mixed signals here. Pepiot is too much of a question mark and the return on L.A. is not enough.

AVOID.

Over/Under

Pitchers on both sides can be dinged, and the Los Angeles offense figures to come around.

The Over has hit in the first 2 games of this series and in 7 of the Dodgers’ last 10.

BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-105).

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

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The Los Angeles Dodgers (84-53) visit the Miami Marlins (71-67) in Wednesday’s middle game of a 3-game series. First pitch at loanDepot park is slated for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: tied 2-2

Los Angeles dropped the series opener 6-3 and is just 1-4 over its last 5 games. The Dodgers have been exceptional on the road in the second half. Tuesday’s setback in South Beach marked only L.A.’s 7th away from home since the All-Star break.

The Marlins are 5-0 since Thursday. Over that span, Miami has averaged 7.40 runs per game on the strength of a high-contact .913 OPS.

Dodgers at Marlins projected starters

RHP Lance Lynn vs. RHP JT Chargois

Lynn (10-10, 5.81 ERA) makes his 28th start this season. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 through 155 IP for the Dodgers and Chicago White Sox.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 7 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 1 K in 8-7 home loss vs. Atlanta Braves Thursday
  • 2023 road stats: 6-5, 5.75 ERA in 81 1/3 IP across 14 starts
  • Last 5 starts vs. Marlins: 2-2, 3.62 ERA in 27 1/3 IP (2014-18)

Chargois (1-0, 3.78 ERA) is tabbed for his 2nd start and 36th appearance. He owns a 1.23 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 33 1/3 IP across.

  • Last start: No-decision, 1 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 2-1 win vs. Washington Nationals Aug. 27
  • 2023 Home stats: 0-0, 2.45 ERA in 18 1/13 IP across 1 start and 17 relief appearances
  • Has never faced the Dodgers as a starter
  • Expected to serve as a 1-inning opener for the Marlins. RHP Edward Cabrera may be called up from Triple-A and is a likely bulk hurler behind Chargois

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Dodgers at Marlins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:47 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Dodgers -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Marlins +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+100) | Marlins +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Dodgers at Marlins picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Marlins 4

Moneyline

The Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.00 Units, 20% ROI).

Miami pitching does not have its best foot forward in this one, as the Fish are expected to use a bullpen game. Lynn is likely still a bit undervalued as he’s been pitching to softer contact of late and a good September finisher in recent years, so we get what should be at least a -170 line at a discount.

The Marlins figure to be overvalued by a 28-12 mark in 1-run games. The opposite is true for the Dodgers. a powerful club that is just 14-13 in such games.

FanDuel Sportsbook has the best value here: TAKE THE DODGERS (-158).

Run line/Against the spread

Look for +105 or better if you want the Dodgers minus the cushion. Otherwise, PASS.

Over/Under

Indicators point to the Dodgers as being a tad overcooked with their offensive numbers and the Marlins a bit undercooked with theirs, so no value there. The pitching for this game does not have much leverage either way, so a STEER CLEAR is recommended.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (53-34) and Miami Marlins (38-47) close out a four-game series Thursday. First pitch is scheduled for 12:10 p.m. ET at loanDepot park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Marlins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Julio Urias is the projected starting pitcher for the Dodgers. Urias is 10-3 with a 3.81 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 10.0 K/9, and 1.9 BB/9 in 99 1/3 IP over 17 starts.

Urias has had some control problems of late. He’s posted a 4.67 ERA over his last 5 starts, but overall expected ERA metrics tell the story of a 6-year hurler having his best season in the majors.

RHP Sandy Alcantara is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins. He is 5-7 with a 2.96 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 7.8 K/9, and 2.6 BB/9 in 112 2/3 IP across 18 starts.

Alcantara has been the beneficiary of a .258 batting average on balls in play. Albeit in a small sample (24 plate appearances) current L.A. bats own a 1.636 OPS against him.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Dodgers at Marlins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:19 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers -155 (bet $155 to win $100) |  Marlins +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -1.5 (+110) | Marlins +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Marlins 3

Money line (ML)

Miami has a chance at a four-game sweep in this contest. The Marlins won the first three games of the series, logging a pair of 1-run victories on Monday and Tuesday and then taking Wednesday night’s game, 9-6.

The potential Marlin sweep comes against a Los Angeles nine which had won nine straight, and 19 of its previous 25, games heading into the series.

Miami had been playing .333 ball over a similar stretch: the Fish were just 11-22 over their previous 33 games.

The Marlins have been the general lean in the series but the starter equation changes that in the series finale. PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The DODGERS -1.5 (+110) are a sliver of a lean with Urias being a tad undervalued and Alcantara being overvalued. The Marlins being undervalued from a team angle makes for enough crossed wires as to put this in partial-unit or pass territory.

Over/Under (O/U)

Both bullpens have logged sub-3.00 earned run averages over the last month, and looking at some generous rates around the margins both are way out over their skis.

Throw in the Alcantara fade and the Dodgers being a high-octane offense. TAKE THE OVER 7.5 (-105).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Miami Marlins (37-47) host the Los Angeles Dodgers (53-33) Wednesday at loanDepot park for the third game of their four-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Marlins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Miami won the first two games of the series, each by a single run and Marlins reliever RHP David Hess was credited with the win in both outings.

Season series: Marlins lead 3-2.

RHP Jake Reed makes his first career start for the Dodgers. He has 2/3 IP under his belt, in which he allowed 1 earned run on 3 hits with 1 walk and 1 strikeout in his only other appearance in L.A.’s 2-1 loss to Miami Tuesday.

  • In Triple-A for two different teams this season, Reed was 0-0 with a 5.57 ERA (21 IP, 13 ER), 1.52 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 12.0 K/9 across 17 relief appearances.

LHP Ross Detwiler is on the rubber for the Marlins. He is 1-0 with a 3.23 ERA (30 2/3 IP, 11 ER), 1.08 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 across two starts and 28 relief outings.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 3 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB and 1 K in Miami’s 1-0 loss at the Atlanta Braves Friday.
  • vs. Dodgers on the current roster: 26 at-bats with .115/.207/.154 slash line, 8/3 K/BB, 0 HR and 4 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Dodgers at Marlins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 5:15 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Marlins +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -1.5 (+100) | Marlins +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Marlins 6, Dodgers 4

Money line (ML)

Since it’s a “bullpen day” for both ball clubs and Miami’s bullpen ranks higher in WAR, I have a slight “LEAN” toward the MARLINS (+135) for a quarter unit, if at all, especially because I “like” Miami’s run line in this spot.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Definitely BET the MARLINS +1.5 (-120) heavier than or instead of Miami’s money line since the Marlins are 9-5 ATS as home underdogs and the Dodgers are just 20-23 ATS as road favorites this season.

Furthermore, the last three Dodgers-Marlins meetings were decided by a single run with Miami winning each contest.

Also, each team has played in several one-run games already this season; the Dodgers are 11-16 in one-run games and the Marlins are 9-19 in one-run games, so I’ll happily take Miami plus 1.5 runs at a reasonable price.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 8.5 (-115) for a half unit since both bullpens have pitched a ton over the past three days so there should be several less effective relievers on the bump throughout the game.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (53-32) hope to even things up Tuesday against the Miami Marlins (36-47) in the second game of a four-game road series. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET at loanDepot park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Marlins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Tony Gonsolin is the projected starting pitcher for the Dodgers. He is 1-0 with a 2.81 ERA, 1.56 WHIP, 22 K and 13 BB in 16 IP over four starts and one relief appearance.

Gonsolin has allowed exactly one earned run in every appearance this season. He has not gone longer than 4 innings in any game this season.

RHP Pablo Lopez is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins. He is 4-5 with a 2.97 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 and 2.2 BB/9 in 91 IP over 17 starts.

Lopez picked up his first win of the season May 11 against the Dodgers, allowing 2 runs in 5 innings of a 3-2 Marlins win. He has allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in 14 of his 17 starts.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Dodgers at Marlins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:56 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Marlins +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -1.5 (+125) | Marlins +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Marlins 2

Money line (ML)

The Dodgers had their nine-game win streak snapped when they lost Monday to Miami, 5-4, in the series opener. They are 25-19 on the road and are 5-0 in Gonsolin’s five appearances.

The Marlins are 19-18 at home and have won three of their last four there. They are 4-5 at loanDepot park when Lopez starts.

This is a good pitching matchup, so I LEAN DODGERS (-135).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Dodgers have covered the spread in six of their last nine games and are 20-24 ATS on the road this season. They are 3-2 ATS when Gonsolin pitches.

The Marlins have covered the spread in their last five games and in seven of their last nine games. It is the third time this season they have had a five-game cover streak, but they have not gone past that number.

Again, I LEAN the DODGERS -1.5 (+125).

Over/Under (O/U)

Monday’s game went Over the projected total but only 45.7% of the games in Miami have hit the Over.

Only two of the Dodgers’ last 14 games have had totals of more than eight runs.

Only five of the Marlins’ last 13 have finished with totals of more than eight.

Take UNDER 8 (-110).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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