Canelo Alvarez vs. Dmitry Bivol odds, picks and predictions

Breaking down Saturday’s Canelo Alvarez vs. Dmitry Bivol WBA light heavyweight championship fight, with boxing odds, picks and predictions.

In a WBA light heavyweight championship bout, Canelo Alvarez and Dmitry Bivol meet Saturday at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. The fight can be viewed on DAZN, with the Pay-Per-View card beginning at 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Canelo vs. Bivol odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Canelo enters this one with an impressive 57 victories, including 39 knockouts, and he’ll be up against a guy without a blemish in his career. The 31-year-old Kyrgyzstan-born fighter Bivol has won all 19 of his career bouts with 11 knockouts, although this obviously is a huge step up in competition.

Bivol has won his past six fights via unanimous decision since a TKO in the 12th Round against Sullivan Barrera at Madison Square Garden in New York back in March 2018. His last fight in Ekatarinburg in Russia was a snoozer UD against Umar Salamov in Dec. 2021.

Canelo still has a lot of tread on the tires at 31 years of age despite the high amount of fights on his ledger. He planted Caleb Plant via TKO in the 11th Round last time out at MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas in Nov. 2021, following up an 8th Round RTD against Billy Joe Saunders in Arlington, Texas. Before that was a title defense fight in Miami against Avni Yildirim, which barely had him break a sweat in the 3rd-Round win.

Canelo Alvarez vs. Dmitry Bivol odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:10 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Canelo -600 (bet $600 to win $100) | Bivol +340 (bet $100 to win $340)
  • Over/Under: 10.5 rounds (Over -360 | Under +235)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -290 | No +180)

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Canelo Alvarez vs. Dmitry Bivol picks and predictions

Records: Canelo (57-1-2) | Bivol (19-0-0)

Fight result (2-way line or money line)

Canelo (-600) will cost you six times your potential return, and that’s just way too outrageous of a price, especially in a bout that has a good chance of going to the judges. It’s hard to envision Canelo losing, however.

Instead, play CANELO BY DECISION (-170), which is a much, much better price.

Over/Under (O/U)

Over 10.5 Rounds (-360) is way too expensive, costing you over three-and-a-half times your potential return. You can’t make any money that way. Yes (-290): Fight to go the distance is too pricey, too.

AVOID, and just play the Method of Victory as your primary wager in this title bout.

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Dmitry Bivol vs. Craig Richards fight odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s WBA light heavyweight title fight between Dmitry Bivol and Craig Richards with boxing odds, picks and predictions.

We get a 12-round WBA light heavyweight title bout Saturday when Dmitry Bivol and Craig Richards meet at AO Arena in Manchester, U.K. The undercard is set to begin at 2 p.m. ET, with the Bivol-Richards fight set for approximately 3 p.m. ET. Below, we break down the Bivol vs. Richards odds, with boxing picks and predictions. The fight card is televised on DAZN.

Bivol vs. Richards: Fight odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:20 a.m. ET.

Dmitry Bivol -2500 (bet $2,500 to win $100) | Craig Richards +1000 (bet $100 to win $1,000) | Draw +2500

Bivol has an implied win probability of 96.15% with the -2500 money line odds. Those odds can be expressed as a fraction of 1/25 or a decimal of 1.04.

Bivol vs. Richards: Tale of the tape

Dmitry Bivol

Bivol (17-0, 11 KOs) enters this bout as the heavy favorite. The Kyrgyzstan-born fighter will be making his sixth defense of the WBA world light heavyweight title. He eased by Lenin Castillo in an uneventful unanimous decision win on Oct. 12, 2019 in Chicago. The balanced, attacking Bivol is looking to wow the masses and potentially set up a unification fight against Artur Beterbiev.

Bivol has never lost in 17 professional career bouts, but he has forced to go the distance with four straight unanimous-decision victories, last posting a TKO win over Sullivan Barrera March 3, 2018.

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Craig Richards

Richards has worked hard to improve since a unanimous-decision loss to Frank Buglioni Oct. 28, 2017 at Principality Stadium in Cardiff, Wales. He is 6-0-1 across the past seven fights, with just a draw against Chad Sugden Dec. 19, 2019 as the non-win. He dropped Shakan Pitters in the ninth round in his most recent fight Dec. 18, 2020 in Redditch, and he has 24 rounds of action under his belt since Bivol last was in the ring.

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Bivol vs. Richards: Odds, predictions and picks

Bivol (-2500) is the overwhelming favorite in this one, and there is no way to ever justify risking 25 times your potential return, or $100 for every $4 won, on such a heavy favorite.

Instead, I like BIVOL ON POINTS (+240) for a surprising payday. He hasn’t fought since Oct. 2019, so there could be a little rust, as he gets back into the swing of things. Richards has two full fights under his belt since Bivol strapped on the gloves last.

Bivol topped Castillo 119-108, 119-108 and 120-107 against Castillo, and he has four straight wins by decision. I don’t think he gets the knockout against “Spider” Richards, who will give the big Russian everything he can handle.

If you want some action on this bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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