Bad decisions, rookie mistakes stunt Panthers in loss to Buccaneers

That’s no string theory, but the Carolina Panthers proved it correct on Sunday in their 31-17 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Playing football with a young and talent-deficient team is pretty hard. Playing dumb football with a young and talent-deficient team is even harder. That’s no string theory, but the Carolina Panthers proved it correct on Sunday in their 31-17 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Carolina’s mental miscues began early, on Tampa’s second offensive drive of the game, when first-round pick Derrick Brown was flagged for unnecessary roughness on a short third-down completion. The rookie defensive tackle flew in and dropped all 320 pounds of himself on the already downed ball–carrier, turning a fourth and three and likely field goal try into an eventual touchdown stroll for Ronald Jones. Brown picked up another ill-advised foul in the third quarter, which also extended a Tampa possession off a failed third-down conversion.

The most egregious blunder came courtesy of the coaching staff six minutes before the half. Down 14-0 on fourth and two, the Panthers elected to fake a punt, calling up rookie safety Jeremy on a direct snap up the middle. He was stopped for a turnover on downs.

Why not just run your regular offense out there? Why not let Teddy Bridgewater, who is lauded for his short-field accuracy – to try throwing for two yards? Or maybe hand the ball off to the highest-paid running back in the history of the NFL.

That questionable play-calling was a sore spot last week when offensive coordinator Joe Brady opted for fullback Alex Armah to convert on a fourth and one run to try and keep the Panthers’ hopes alive against Las Vegas. In case you forgot, he did not succeed.

Additionally, another late-game choice by coach Matt Rhule is worth questioning. While facing a 10-point deficit and a fourth and goal on the Tampa Bay five-yard line at the two-minute mark of the fourth quarter, Rhule trotted out kicker Joey Slye for a chip-shot field goal instead of going for the touchdown.

Mistakes like that are even more difficult to overcome with underwhelming quarterback play. That’s precisely what Carolina from Bridgewater today.

Teddy missed big on his two interceptions, one on a screen pass for McCaffrey in the first quarter and the other on a throw behind an open DJ Moore early in the fourth. The second pick halted a potential game-tying drive that started with a 39-yard reception by Robby Anderson. Bridgewater, to be fair, didn’t see an optimal amount of help from his offensive line, eating five sacks thanks to sloppy protection.

Unfortunately for Carolina, that was five more sacks than their defense had. With zero sacks from last week and zero sacks this week, that brings the Panthers’ grand sack total up to . . . zero through two games! Despite being relatively tight throughout, the unit’s failure to come up with game-changing stops and plays compounded earlier shortcomings.

On the bright side, the team’s young defensive studs showed out rather nicely. Chinn, defensive end Brian Burns and cornerback Donte Jackson all played fast and effective football. Chinn was all over the field with a team-high seven tackles, Burns consistently disrupted the backfield and Jackson chalked up his first interception of the year and ate up 44 yards on the return.

This performance was more of what most expected out of Carolina in 2020. We saw the growing pains, almost from start to finish, from each side of the ball and from the sidelines. But to their credit, they’re now two-for-two in putting together competitive outings. If they’re trying to tank, at least they’re disguising it well.

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Panthers retooling, not rebuilding: What it means for 2020

According to Charles Robinson at Yahoo Sports, Carolina general manager Marty Hurney will aim towards a “mixed reboot” rather than a total rebuild.

Good news, Carolina Panthers fans! Your team won’t stink this year. . . . Well, at least they won’t deliberately try to stink as part of a total rebuild.

According to Charles Robinson at Yahoo Sports, Carolina general manager Marty Hurney will aim towards a “mixed reboot” rather than a total rebuild. That “everyone is on the table” sentiment, which was their reported approach heading into the scouting combine two weeks ago, is gone. So, what does a reboot look like as opposed to a good old-fashioned blow-the-whole-thing-up scenario?

For one, your Cam Newton and Christian McCaffrey jerseys won’t be outdated for the upcoming season (assuming that still happens). The roster’s key pieces who aren’t about to become free agents will likely all remain in place. That should include defensive tackle Kawann Short, wide receivers Curtis Samuel and D.J. Moore, safety Eric Reid and linebacker Shaq Thompson, who is just three months moved from inking a four-year, $54.2 million extension.

The try-to-compete-in-2020 mode also jives with their recent acquisition of left tackle Russell Okung. One season of Okung, who is on an expiring contract, is arguably more valuable than one year of right guard Trai Turner given the importance of blindside protection as well as Turner’s recent regression.

Additionally, Carolina’s crop of young up-and-comers isn’t far from hitting their stride. Outside linebacker Brian Burns, cornerback Donte Jackson, tight end Ian Thomas and right tackle Taylor Moton – to name a few – have all flashed signs of promise and are primed to begin contributing more. Those players should all be returning in 2020.

Now that they’ve decided not to blow it all up, the front office’s main challenge is reconstructing a much-depleted defense, one that was already embarrassing this past year.

As of right now, they’ll only have approximately $30 million in cap space and a few high-end draft picks, headlined by No. 7 overall selection, to either bring back or help replace the likes of cornerback James Bradberry, defensive tackle Gerald McCoy, pass rushers Mario Addison and Bruce Irvin and of course retired linebacker Luke Kuechly. It will probably take more than just one year to accomplish.

In the meantime, this sheds more light on two other key pieces inside the organization.

First, the team will very likely allow Cam Newton to play out the final year of his contract. This lets them reevaluate their commitment to the soon-to-be 31-year-old quarterback. If Newton heals up and returns to his former MVP form, then they’ll already have their franchise QB and won’t have to go through a potentially long and painful process of finding another. All they’d have to do is extend him.

Secondly, this reveals not every part of the Panthers’ brass is on the same page. Hurney, whose deal only runs through 2020, is on a mission to compete now and extend his shelf life in Charlotte. New head coach Matt Rhule, though, has been given a lucrative seven-year blessing from owner David Tepper to build up a winning organization “the right way.”

The mixed signals continue.

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Colts vs. Panthers: 3 key matchups to watch in Week 16

Key matchups to watch in Week 16.

With their playoff hopes officially dashed, the Indianapolis Colts will have to find another source of motivation as they play in their second to last game of the season. Coming to town on Sunday are the Carolina Panthers, who are looking for a strong end to their struggling season.

On Monday night, the Colts were greatly embarrassed by the New Orleans Saints in a 34-7 defeat and there was little to no positives from that game. But as they say, “today is a new day.”

Here are three key matchups to watch in Colts’ Week 16 bout:

Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports

RB Christian McCaffrey vs. Colts’ defensive front seven

In what is easily this game’s biggest matchup, the Colts are facing one of the most dynamic and versatile offensive players this league has seen in a long time. Third-year running back Christian McCaffrey is literally having an all-time season and at one point, he was even considered a front runner for this year’s MVP award.

Between his incredible efforts as a runner (1,307 rushing yards and 14 touchdowns) and receiver (94 catches and 814 receiving yards), McCaffrey forces defenses to always keep their eyes on him, which allows other Panthers offensive targets to play in favorable situations.

The Colts’ defense, especially linebacker Darius Leonard, has to play with an extra burst and anticipation while defending McCaffrey. This has to be done because one mistake could literally turn into a game-changing play for the Stanford product.

In fact, McCaffrey is actually 388 total yards (2,121) away from tying the record of most scrimmage yards gained in a season (2,509), set by former Tennessee Titan Chris Johnson in 2009.

Change feels inevitable after the Panthers’ latest loss to Redskins

No matter how we try to quantify this, the Panthers’ 29-21 loss was nothing short of shameful.

On Sunday afternoon the New York Jets, riding a three-game win streak, fell victim to the previously 0-11 Cincinnati Bengals. Not too long after, the Philadelphia Eagles, with a chance to move into a first-place tie atop the NFC East, were caught with their pants down against the 2-9 Miami Dolphins. Neither game was the most embarrassing defeat of Week 13, though.

That honor actually belongs to the Carolina Panthers, who spotted themselves a 14-0 lead at home and still lost to a two-win team with an interim head coach, a struggling rookie quarterback and fewer total touchdowns than Christian McCaffrey.

Here are some cold hard facts about the loss:

  • The Washington Redskins came into Bank of America Stadium ranked dead last in points per game (13.1). They scored 29.
  • Washington also came in ranked last in rushing touchdowns, having pieced together only two. They bested that 11-game sum with three on the day.
  • Again, they came in ranked last in another offensive category, total yards at 253.4. Today, they gained 248 on rushing alone.

No matter how we try to quantify this, the Panthers’ 29-21 loss was nothing short of shameful, particularly for a head coach and a quarterback both looking for some sort of job security in 2020.

We’ll start with the latter – Kyle Allen – who appeared to have carried over what was an impressive effort in New Orleans early on. Allen and the offense started out hot, taking their first eight plays for 75 yards into the end zone. The swift four-minute drive was capped off on a four-yard touchdown catch for Curtis Samuel, his fifth on the season.

Allen promptly followed that up with another touchdown throw, this time one that found the hands of DJ Moore for his fourth (and easiest) score of 2019. That possession took even less time for the Panthers to assert their dominance, finishing off the 55-yard drive in six plays and just over three minutes.

However, in a performance that eerily mirrored how Allen’s campaign has gone, they hit a steep decline after that. The unit ended up averaging 3.8 yards per play, totaled 65 rushing yards, allowed seven sacks and converted only five third downs in 16 tries.

They also lost the turnover battle thanks in part to an interception and another lost fumble by Allen, who once again didn’t manage the pocket well. He fell far too much in love with the dump-off pass and failed to fully diagnose his options in a handful of frantic moments, particularly on the loss-clinching snap where he missed a wide-open Jarius Wright in the end zone.

As for Ron Rivera, this loss may be that proverbial final nail in the coffin.

Rivera is supposed to be a defensive guru, but time and time again this unit has come up short in the critical the stop-the-run and takeaway departments. That theme was no different in this contest, with the Panthers forcing zero turnovers and Washington’s backfield duo of Derrius Guice and Adrian Peterson combining for 228 yards (9.9 per carry) and three scores.

Rivera, who had so often led his Panther teams to considerable success in the season’s final two months over his previous eight years at the helm, now heads a ship that has lost four straight and is completely sunk in the playoff race.

Change is coming.

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DFS PROS favorite plays: Week 13

Top-ranked DFS PRO Jason Mezrahi, founder and CEO of WinDailySports.com, breaks down his favorite Daily Fantasy Football plays at various salary ranges for Week 13 of the NFL. Find out who Jason will be locking in his lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel.

Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports

Top-ranked DFS PRO Jason Mezrahi, founder and CEO of WinDailySports.com, breaks down his favorite Daily Fantasy Football plays at various salary ranges for Week 13 of the NFL. Find out who Jason will be locking in his lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel.

QUARTERBACKS

PATRICK MAHOMES- $7400 DRAFTKINGS, $8600 FANDUEL

Patrick Mahomes is a stud and if you can find the way to pay up for him I think you should. He has the highest upside of the slate and is consistently averaging 24 points per game this season. Now he’s presented with a home matchup versus the Raiders who rank 25th against opposing quarterbacks. Couple that with the fact Vegas has this game projected to be a shootout with an over/under of 51.5 points and Mahomes is safe for both cash games and tournaments.

NICK FOLES- $5700 DRAFTKINGS, $7500 FANDUEL

Nick Foles is coming off 2 solid games that were against stingy defenses. Now he gets a dream matchup versus the Buccaneers who rank 31st against opposing quarterbacks. His price is discounted due to the fact he has been out for most of the season with the injury so I advise you to take advantage of the low price tag. Foles is a strong value versus terrible pass defense and will exceed value in Week 13.

RUNNING BACKS

CHRISTIAN MCCAFFREY-  $10500 DRAFTKINGS, $1100 FANDUEL

Christian McCaffrey is having one of the best seasons I have seen while playing fantasy football. The man is a lock and is averaging a whopping 32 points per game. He gets points in good and bad matchups, he scores when his team is winning or trailing in games. As long as he is healthy he is on the field accumulating fantasy points. McCaffrey will torch them on the ground and the air. If you have followed this column all season I have written him up in 80% of them and the trend will continue. Play if safe and pay up for McCaffrey and get different in other spots of your lineup.

JOSH JACOBS-  $6900 DRAFTKINGS, $7700 FANDUEL

Josh Jacobs is in the highest projected scoring game by Vegas in Week 13. Jacobs is averaging 16 points per game and is the focal point of this Raiders offense. He is the featured running back and he is involved in the passing game as well. The Chiefs rank 32nd against the run and Jacobs should find the endzone at least once in this matchup. Jacobs has high upside and provides a nice floor at a nice price to provide some value.

WIDE RECEIVERS

DJ CHARK JR-  $6600 DRAFTKINGS, $86900 FANDUEL

DJ Chark Jr. has been somewhat of a boom or bust play each week. I think Chark brings the boom versus the Buccaneers in Week 13. He is averaging 18 points per game and he has two 30 point games this season. I think the third 30 point game could come in Week 13. The Buccaneers rank 32nd against opposing wide receivers and have allowed 289 passing yards per game. It’s the best matchup on the board and I will be pairing Foles with Chark in both tournaments and cash games this week.

DJ MOORE-  $6800 DRAFTKINGS, $6800 FANDUEL

DJ Moore is quietly having one of the best seasons at the wide receiver position. He should eclipse the 1000 yard marker this week and is averaging 17 points per game. He is coming off four consecutive big games and I see a fifth one coming. The Redskins defense is suspect and Moore should put up points. Take the value he provides and lock in a consistent player with the upside for tournaments.

TIGHT ENDS

TRAVIS KELCE-  $7200 DRAFTKINGS, $7100 FANDUEL

Travis Kelce should be in line for a big week against the Raiders. In Week 2 Kelce hauled in 7 passes for 107 yards and a touchdown on the road in Oakland. Now he gets a matchup at home with a hobbled receiving core around him. I think Kelce is as safe as it gets at the tight end position with Kittle and Andrews in tough matchups this week. Kelce is averaging 15 points per game and has eclipsed 20 points in the last 2 games. I will take a repeat performance from Kelce and he will be mixed into my cash games and tournament lineups.

JACK DOYLE-  $3300 DRAFTKINGS, $5000 FANDUEL

Jack Doyle should see an uptick in targets and receptions with Eric Ebron put on injured reserve. I like Kelce, Ertz, and Waller at higher price tags but if you need to pay down Doyle is one of the best value tight ends of the slate. Doyle should be the number two target on this offense this week and the Titans struggle to cover the tight end. They rank 15th against opposing tight ends and allow 255 yards passing per game. I see Doyle with at least 5 receptions for 55 yards and if he can find his way into the endzone we should be looking pretty. Lock Doyle in for the best value tight end of the slate.

DEFENSES

NEW YORK JETS-  $3700 DRAFTKINGS, $4900 FANDUEL

The Jets have been better defensively the last couple of weeks and now gets a matchup versus the banged up Cincinnati Bengals. They have sacked the quarterback 17 times in the past 4 games and creating turnovers. A matchup versus the Bengals should continue the trend and the Jets come in with one of the safest floors in Week 13.

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES-  $3600 DRAFTKINGS, $5000 FANDUEL

There are a lot of interesting defenses this week with good to great matchups. I like the Browns, Eagles, and Panthers but the Ravens present the best value at the price. The Ravens are looking like true Super Bowl contenders with the way Lamar Jackson is playing. They are controlling the clock and playing with the lead in most of their games. Their defense is much improved after the trade acquisitions they made and have been dominating teams as of late. A matchup versus the 49ers could go either way but I think their defense makes sense at the value price they present.

Jason Mezrahi has been a professional, top-ranked Daily Fantasy Player on FanDuel and DraftKings for more than seven years. He has won FanDuel’s $155,555 King of the Diamond competition and placed second in DraftKings’ Fantasy Basketball World Championship, earning him $300,000. He owns and operates WinDailySports.com, which supports the DFS and Sports Betting community with resources such as tools, projection models, in-depth written analysis and podcasts, plus much more.

Valiant comeback effort from Kyle Allen and the Panthers gets wasted

Allen was confident and effective once again in an extraordinarily difficult venue to win in.

In sacrificing better judgment for the sake of a juicy storyline, much of the football world has done its darnedest over the past 10 weeks to prop up Kyle Allen as the future of the Carolina Panthers. Well, he’s not. Allen, for the most part, will keep you in games – not put you over the top as do many of the league’s premier players at the position.

He’s someone you can feel relatively comfortable with in a pinch, given his aptitude to allow his offense’s best play-makers to make plays and not utterly self-implode. But his handful of flaws—most notably his feel for the pocket, his frantic processing, lack of downfield arm strength and a recent absence of ball security—won’t get you too far.

Today, however, was the day we finally saw that propped up Kyle Allen—that gritty, poised, moxie-filled Kyle Allen those overly excited folks have been so eager to die on a hill for.

Coming off his worst career outing, an afternoon where he threw four interceptions at home against a largely lost Atlanta Falcons defense, Allen shined under difficult circumstances in New Orleans. Allen was confident and effective once again in an extraordinarily difficult venue to win in.

Unfortunately for the Panthers and their playoff hopes, it just wasn’t enough.

Down 14-0 midway through the first quarter, Carolina got a boost from their quarterback. Allen shook off those downfield cobwebs and connected with wide receiver DJ Moore on a beauty of a 51-yard touchdown pass to keep the Panthers afloat in what was otherwise quickly turning into a thorough beat-down.

He’d do the same late in the third, leading the offense to a seven-play, 71-yard scoring trek to cut off the New Orleans Saints, who nearly broke away on a touchdown the possession prior, and cut into their 31-18 lead. Running back Christian McCaffrey (133 total yards, two touchdowns) put the 4-yard cherry on top of the drive to chop the deficit to seven.

After tying the game on a two-yard strike to Moore (six receptions, 126 yards), who also had his most impressive performance of 2019, Allen again pushed the Panthers into range, this time leaving a potential go-ahead, 28-yard field goal try for kicker Joey Slye with 2:00 left.

But, like he did on the pair of extra point tries on the two aforementioned scoring drives, Slye missed. And Wil Lutz, who was set up for a 33-yard game-winner by the Saints offense, did not.

Carolina’s crushing 34-31 loss in New Orleans can partly (and obviously) be attributed to Slye’s misses. The other portion of the blame can be placed on the team’s defense, who not only folded on the last stand of the game, but also failed to come up with big plays earlier in the contest.

Save for an interception by Tre Boston, the unit’s first takeaway since Week 9, and a fourth-down stop by safety Eric Reid (15 tackles), the Panthers struggled to take advantage of a Saints offense that wasn’t up to its usual standards. One sack through the game’s first 58 minutes and forcing just nine incompletions for quarterback Drew Brees won’t get much done in that particular dome.

While the Panthers’ postseason outlook was already fading even before the loss, this one stings a tad more for Allen (23-of-36, 256 yards, three touchdowns) and that valiant comeback. It may sting even harder for head coach Ron Rivera, who has his team at 5-6 and could be coaching out the rest of the season for his job in 2020 and beyond.

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Rivera, Allen and Panthers humbled in 29-3 loss to Falcons

As for the Panthers’ immediate future, it’s bleak.

Last Sunday left a clear conclusion for the struggling Atlanta Falcons: they had finally figured something out. A defense that had managed a measly seven sacks over their eight games nearly matched that total, taking Drew Brees down six times while holding his normally potent offense to zero touchdowns in a shocking 26-9 win.

This week, Atlanta figured something else out: The Carolina Panthers are nothing to be afraid of with Kyle Allen at quarterback.

Carolina helped the visiting Falcons keep their good times rolling in Week 11, cowering in an embarrassing 29-3 thrashing—their third loss over their last four games.

Once again, the supposed successor to Cam Newton had a considerable hand in the defeat.

Allen was simply overwhelmed throughout the afternoon, with each of his career-high four interceptions all coming off unforced mental errors. Those started right away, when he seemingly tried to avoid a sack on the offense’s first drive and spiked the ball . . . into the hands of Falcons linebacker De’Vondre Campbell.

Allen threw two more picks before the half, one in the end zone on a route that cornerback Marcus Trufant ran for DJ Moore and the other on an errant overthrow, again, to Moore. Both came with the Panthers inside the Falcons’ 25-yard line.

In a humbling revelation at the break, with his team down 20-0, head coach Ron Rivera seemingly figured out exactly what his opposition had. Rivera, who may have traded in his riverboat for a broken-down bus on Sunday, outwardly expressed his concern over Allen’s play to Fox sideline reporter Jennifer Hale.

“This isn’t a timing issue with the line or receivers, this is a bad decision issue on Kyle,” he said as he threw his quarterback under whatever was left of that broken-down bus. “He’s got to address it.”

Rivera was right.

Allen’s moxie wouldn’t be enough to spark a Super Bowl LI-esque comeback, as he capped off the outing with another bad choice on another bad throw in another bad spot, inside Atlanta’s 25-yard line. He finished the day having completed 31 of his 50 tries for 325 yards and a 47.5 passer rating, lower than that of Falcons running back Kenjon Barner (one-of-one, three yards).

Carolina’s defense didn’t provide much resistance, either.

Wideout Calvin Ridley tore up cornerback Donte Jackson for much of their matchup, reeling in all of his eight targets for 143 yards and a touchdown. While they did clean up their historically porous run defense – allowing just 54 yards on 26 Atlanta rushes – the Panthers forced zero turnovers and sacked Matt Ryan (21-of-31, 311 yards) just three times.

But, again, the moral of this story is what the Falcons, Rivera and the rest of the football world should have figured out by now. Allen is not the answer for Carolina. He’s a passable backup – not someone that’s worth betting your future on.

As for the Panthers’ immediate future, it’s bleak. At 5-5, the playoffs are very likely out of reach in a heavily contentious NFC conference.

Much like Rivera did by opting for a 31-yard field goal down 26-0 in the fourth quarter instead of taking a shot at the end zone, it may soon be time to take a knee on the season and see what third-round pick Will Grier has to offer.

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