Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (35-76) seek to clinch a road series win over the San Diego Padres (62-49) Saturday after winning Friday’s opener, 8-5. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Diamondbacks RHP Taylor Widener (1-1, 5.05 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 41 IP.

  • Widener pitched 6 scoreless innings and picked up the win in a 3-1 victory April 4 over the Padres.
  • He has allowed 5 earned runs in each of his last three starts giving him a 10.66 ERA since July 20.

Padres RHP Yu Darvish (7-6, 3.48 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 through 121 2/3 IP.

  • The Padres have beaten the Diamondbacks both times Darvish has started against them, although he did not get the decision in either game. He has a 4.22 ERA in those two games despite allowing just 1 run through 6 innings in the most recent contest.
  • He has a 7.36 ERA in his last five starts, spanning 25 2/3 innings.

Diamondbacks at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Diamondbacks +250 (bet $100 to win $250) | Padres -320 (bet $320 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Diamondbacks +1.5 (+111) | Padres -1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Prediction

Padres 7, Diamondbacks 4

Money line (ML)

The Diamondbacks won the first game of the series but are only 14-41 on the road this season. They haven’t won two games in a road series since they took two of three in Atlanta April 23-25.

Only the Chicago White Sox have more home wins than the Padres’ 36 at Petco Park, although they are 3-4 in their last seven games there.

Picking the Padres to win is easy but at -320, there are much better bets to make. PASS and look to the spread and the total.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

In addition to having the second-fewest road wins the Diamondbacks have the fifth-worst road cover percentage, although they have covered the spread in four of their last five road contests.

The Padres’ last five wins have been by at least 2 runs. In their six wins over the Diamondbacks this season, four have been by at least 2 runs.

Take the PADRES -1.5 (-140).

Over/Under (O/U)

Six of the 10 games between the two teams this season have had totals of 9 or more runs.

Considering the ERA of both pitchers over their last few starts (Widener 10.66 in his last three and Darvish 7.36 in his last five), we can expect some runs on the board.

Take OVER 8.5 (-102).

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Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (34-76) start a five-game road trip with the first game of a three-game series against the San Diego Padres (62-48) Friday. First pitch is 10:10 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Diamondbacks LHP Caleb Smith (3-8, 5.04 ERA) makes his 13th start and 31st appearance. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 4.9 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 through 85 2/3 IP.

  • Smith lasted only 1 2/3 innings in his last start, allowing 5 runs in a 13-0 loss to the L.A. Dodgers.
  • The Diamondbacks are 2-10 when Smith starts this season. He lost his only start this season against the Padres, allowing 4 runs (3 earned) and 5 hits in 3 innings in a 7-0 defeat.

Padres LHP Ryan Weathers (4-3, 3.65 ERA) makes his 14th start and 20th appearance. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 through 66 2/3 IP.

  • He has faced the Diamondbacks once as an opener this season. The Padres won that game, 7-0, as he pitched 1 scoreless inning April 28.
  • The Padres are 1-4 in his last five starts.

Diamondbacks at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:42 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Diamondbacks +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Padres -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Diamondbacks +1.5 (-120) | Padres -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Prediction

Padres 6, Diamondbacks 3

Money line (ML)

The Diamondbacks are the worst team in the majors this season and have the league’s worst road record at 13-41. They are 3-6 against the Padres with seven games against them in the next 10 days. Smith has a 10.97 ERA in his last five starts.

The Padres’ 36 home wins this season are bested only by the Chicago White Sox but they are only 6-7 in their last 13 at Petco. Weathers is coming off his worst appearance of the season where he allowed 8 earned runs in 4 innings of a 9-4 loss to the Colorado Rockies.

Take the PADRES (-220).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

At 23-31 ATS on the road, the Diamondbacks have the second-fewest road covers and third-lowest road cover percentage. All four losses in Smith’s last five starts have been by at least 2 runs.

The Padres are only 28-30 ATS at home this season and 4-5 ATS against the Diamondbacks. They have covered the spread in three straight and are 6-5 ATS in their last 11 games.

Take the PADRES -1.5 (-105).

Over/Under (O/U)

53.4% of the games at Petco Park have gone Over the projected total this season. Five of the nine games between the two teams have had totals of 9 or more runs.

10 of the Diamondbacks’ last 14 games have had totals of 9 or more runs.

Seven of the last nine games for the Padres have had totals of 9 or more runs.

Take OVER 8.5 (-125).

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (22-56) close out their three-game road series against the San Diego Padres (46-33) Sunday afternoon. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Zac Gallen is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He is 1-3 with a 3.67 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 11.3 K/9 and 3.9 BB/9 in 34 1/3 IP over 7 starts.

Despite taking the loss in his last start, he allowed only 1 run on 3 hits in 5 frames, striking out 8 and walking none. Gallen looked like the pitcher the Snakes expect him to be.

RHP Yu Darvish is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. He is 7-2 with a 2.50 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 10.8 K/9 and 2.2 BB/9 in 90 IP over 15 starts.

The Padres are 12-3 when he starts. His only start against the Diamondbacks this season was April 1. Darvish allowed 4 runs on 8 hits over 4 2/3 innings in a no-decision.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Diamondbacks at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Diamondbacks +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Padres -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Diamondbacks +1.5 (+100) | Padres -1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under: 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Padres 4, Diamondbacks 2

Money line (ML)

The Diamondbacks’ 10-1 win over the Padres Saturday night was just their second win in the past 22 games, their 10th road win of the year and their fourth win in the last 38 games.

The Padres are 29-15 at home and had won eight straight before their loss Saturday. They aren’t likely to lose two in a row to Arizona.

Take the PADRES (-275).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Even with the win and the cover Saturday, only one team in the majors has a lower road cover percentage than Arizona’s 40.5%.

The Padres have still covered the spread in seven of their last nine games at home. Nine of their 12 wins when Darvish pitches were by at least 2 runs.

Take the PADRES -1.5 (-120).

Over/Under (O/U)

Seven of the last nine games at Petco Park went Over the projected total. However, Gallen appears to be back on track with his pitching and Darvish has only a 2.50 ERA.

Expect a low-scoring game in this getaway game. Take UNDER 7 (+100).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (21-56) take on the San Diego Padres (46-32) in the second game of their three-game series Saturday. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Merrill Kelly is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He is 3-7 with a 5.06 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 and 2.6 BB/9 in 85 1/3 IP over 15 starts.

Kelly was the starter that helped end the Diamondbacks’ 17-game losing streak. The victory Monday over the Milwaukee Brewers also ended a five-decision skid for the righty, as he went 7 innings allowing only 1 run on 5 hits. He is 1-1 with a 3.60 ERA in two starts against the Padres this season.

RHP Dinelson Lamet is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. He is 2-2 with a 2.81 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 10.4 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 in 32 IP over eight starts and two relief appearances.

He threw a season-high 81 pitches in his last outing Sunday against Cincinnati, tossing 5 scoreless innings and allowing only 4 hits. This will be his first start against Arizona this season.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Diamondbacks at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:58 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Diamondbacks +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Padres -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Diamondbacks +1.5 (+110) | Padres -1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Padres 4, Diamondbacks 1

Money line (ML)

The Diamondbacks extended their major league record road losing streak to 24 Friday after dropping the series opener 11-5. They are now 9-34 on the road this season and have only three wins in their last 37 games overall.

The Padres have rattled off eight straight wins to improve to 29-14 at home. They are 5-2 this season against the D’backs and have won four of five at home against this year.

Take the PADRES (-275).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Diamondbacks road cover percentage of 39.0% is the second-lowest in the majors, and they’re 3-6 ATS in their last nine games. Kelly was great in his last outing but it was against a Brewers team that bats only .221 away from home.

The Padres have covered the spread in seven of their eight-game win streak. They are 23-20 ATS at home.

Take the PADRES -1.5 (-135).

Over/Under (O/U)

Only 46.5% of the games at Petco Park have hit the Over this season.

Five of Dinelson’s eight starts have had totals of seven or fewer runs.

Both Kelly and Dinelson are coming off their best starts of the season, so don’t expect a ton of runs.

Take UNDER 7.5 (-110).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (0-3) and San Diego Padres (3-0) close out a four-game series Sunday at 4:10 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Taylor Widener takes the ball for the Diamondbacks. A year ago, he went 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 9.9 K/9, and 5.4 BB/9 in 20 IP over 12 relief appearances. Widener was stretched out as a starter in spring training. He finished the Cactus League with a 3.68 ERA and 1.02 WHIP over 14 2/3 innings.

RHP Chris Paddack is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. In 2020, he went 4-5 with a 4.73 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 8.8 K/9, and 1.8 BB/9 in 59 IP over 12 starts. Current Arizona batters own an aggregate .555 OPS against the 25-year-old righty.

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Diamondbacks at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:09 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Diamondbacks +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Padres -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Diamondbacks +1.5 (-105) | Padres -1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Padres 4, Diamondbacks 3

Money line (ML)

San Diego went 31-16 against under-.500 teams in 2020. The Friars have a versatile top-10 offense, and its one that figures to be at its best against right-handers.

The Snakes have had their struggles against Paddack. The Friars hurler was undone by a high rate of fly balls leaving the yard a year ago. Advanced-analytic ERA measures are kinder to Paddack than the 4.73 surface mark he posted in 2020. The last five times San Diego had two-game win streaks last season, it turned them into three-game win streaks.

Take the PADRES -225.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS in this wind-in, pitcher’s park game with Paddack being a starter whose skills outpace his stats.

Over/Under (O/U)

The forecast calls for a 10-mile-an-hour breeze in the hitters’ faces. Peg this one as a get-away-day six-or-seven-run contest.

Take UNDER 9 (-115).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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