The Arizona Diamondbacks (0-3) and San Diego Padres (3-0) close out a four-game series Sunday at 4:10 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Taylor Widener takes the ball for the Diamondbacks. A year ago, he went 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 9.9 K/9, and 5.4 BB/9 in 20 IP over 12 relief appearances. Widener was stretched out as a starter in spring training. He finished the Cactus League with a 3.68 ERA and 1.02 WHIP over 14 2/3 innings.
RHP Chris Paddack is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. In 2020, he went 4-5 with a 4.73 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 8.8 K/9, and 1.8 BB/9 in 59 IP over 12 starts. Current Arizona batters own an aggregate .555 OPS against the 25-year-old righty.
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Diamondbacks at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:09 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Diamondbacks +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Padres -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Diamondbacks +1.5 (-105) | Padres -1.5 (-115)
- Over/Under: 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Prediction
Padres 4, Diamondbacks 3
Money line (ML)
San Diego went 31-16 against under-.500 teams in 2020. The Friars have a versatile top-10 offense, and its one that figures to be at its best against right-handers.
The Snakes have had their struggles against Paddack. The Friars hurler was undone by a high rate of fly balls leaving the yard a year ago. Advanced-analytic ERA measures are kinder to Paddack than the 4.73 surface mark he posted in 2020. The last five times San Diego had two-game win streaks last season, it turned them into three-game win streaks.
Take the PADRES -225.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS in this wind-in, pitcher’s park game with Paddack being a starter whose skills outpace his stats.
Over/Under (O/U)
The forecast calls for a 10-mile-an-hour breeze in the hitters’ faces. Peg this one as a get-away-day six-or-seven-run contest.
Take UNDER 9 (-115).
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