Tag: Diamondbacks Marlins odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Arizona Diamondbacks at Miami Marlins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (71-56) and Miami Marlins (46-80) close out a 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch from loanDepot Park is at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Diamondbacks lead 3-2

The Diamondbacks, who had lost 3 in a row entering the series, seek a 3-game sweep of Miami. They won the Monday opener 9-6 and picked up a 3-1 win Tuesday. OF Corbin Carroll homered for the 5th time in 10 games. They have won 10 of their last 11 series.

The Marlins have lost 5 straight series. They have lost 5 of their last 6 games and 8 of their last 11.

Diamondbacks at Marlins projected starters

LHP Jordan Montgomery vs. RHP Roddery Munoz

Montgomery (8-6, 6.25 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.66 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 through 89 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 8 K in 11-4 home win over Colorado Rockies Aug. 14
  • 2024 vs. Miami: 1-0, 1 home start (May 25), 6 IP, 2 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 3-2 victory
  • Career vs. Miami: 2-0, 2.35 ERA (23 IP, 6 ER), 1.30 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 in 4 starts

Munoz (2-7, 5.88 ERA) makes his 16th start and 17th appearance. He has a 1.47 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 through 78 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 1/3 IP, 4 ER (5 R), 5 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 7-3 road loss to New York Mets Friday
  • Is 0-2 with 8.25 ERA in 3 August starts
  • Has never faced Arizona

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Diamondbacks at Marlins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Marlins +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks -1.5 (-105) | Marlins +1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Diamondbacks at Marlins picks and predictions

Prediction

Marlins 6, Diamondbacks 5

Moneyline

Montgomery has been the Diamondbacks’ least consistent starter this season. He has allowed 4+ runs in 7 starts this season.

Munoz hasn’t been good this month, posting an 8.25 ERA, but the Marlins haven’t been swept since losing 3 games to the Houston Astros July 9-11.

BET MARLINS (+140).

Run line/Against the spread

In 9 of the last 10 games that the Marlins have covered the spread, they have won outright.

The Diamondbacks are 6-16 ATS on the road as favorites this season.

So while betting the run line isn’t a bad wager, the +140 odds on the moneyline are better.

PASS. 

Over/Under

Twelve of Montgomery’s 19 starts have had at least 9 runs.

Seven of Arizona’s last 10 games have had totals of 9 or more runs.

Nine of Miami’s last 14 games have reached 9 or more total runs.

BET OVER 8.5 (-105).

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Miami Marlins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Miami Marlins (46-78) welcome the Arizona Diamondbacks (69-56) to loanDepot Park Monday for the 1st game of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 6:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Marlins lead 2-1

The Marlins, who are 58-66 against the spread (ATS), beat the New York Mets 3-2 Sunday to avoid a sweep. Miami has lost 3 of its last 4 games and 6 of its last 9, but it hasn’t been swept in a 3-game series since July 2-4 against the Boston Red Sox. Miami is 24-39 at home.

The Diamondbacks were swept on the road in their last series, losing 8-7 Sunday, 6-1 Saturday and 5-4 Friday to the Tampa Bay Rays. The Diamondbacks are still a playoff-contending team, sitting 3rd in the NL West. They are 32-30 on the road and 61-64 ATS. Arizona is 1-5 ATS in its last 6.

Diamondbacks at Marlins projected starters

RHP Brandon Pfaadt vs. Undecided

Pfaadt (7-6, 3.98 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 144 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 11 K in 5-4 home win over the Colorado Rockies Monday
  • 2024 away stats: 2-4, 4.24 ERA (76 1/3 IP, 36 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 in 13 starts
  • Career vs. Marlins: 0-1, 10.80 ERA (5 IP, 2 ER), 1.80 WHIP, 5.4 K/9 in 1 start

There’s no inclination on who will take the mound for the Marlins, but the odds being posted suggest they shouldn’t have a major outcome on the battle.

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Diamondbacks at Marlins odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:38 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks -205 (bet $205 to win $100) | Marlins +172 (bet $100 to win $172)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks -1.5 (-118) | Marlins +1.5 (-102)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Diamondbacks at Marlins picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 5, Marlins 4

Moneyline

PASS.

The Diamondbacks are too pricey here, and they aren’t worth wagering almost double your money for half a unit of potential return. The Marlins similarly aren’t worth the moneyline risk.

Run line/Against the spread

BET MARLINS +1.5 (-102).

The Diamondbacks are the better team here, but they haven’t been beating opponents by a sizable margin as of late. They are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games and 3-3 straight up in those battles, going 1-2 ATS in their wins.

In its series prior to Tampa Bay, Arizona played Colorado, another one of the worst teams in the MLB. It swept the series yet was 1-2 ATS, winning 2 of the 3 games by 1 run. Miami is 26-21 ATS as a home underdog as well.

Considering those trends, expect a close game and take the underdog. Back MARLINS +1.5 (-102).

Over/Under

BET OVER 8 (-115).

Both teams are trending toward the Over as of late. The Marlins are 4-3 O/U in their last 7 games, scoring at least 3 runs in 6 of those 7 and at least 5 runs in 4 of those 7.

The Diamondbacks are 6-2 O/U in their last 8 games and have scored at least 4 runs in 7 of the 8 games while allowing at least 4 runs in 6 of their last 7 outings. Considering those trends, back OVER 8 (-115).

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Miami Marlins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (8-5) and Miami Marlins (6-7) open a 3-game set at loanDepot Park on Friday. First pitch is at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Arizona won 5-1 last year

The D-backs had Thursday off after taking 2 of 3 from the Milwaukee Brewers earlier in the week. Arizona has won 5 of its 6 games and 7 of the last 10. Arizona hitters are taking good at-bats as they are the 2nd-hardest team to strike out in the early going. 3B Josh Rojas is white-hot right now. After going 0-for-7 to open the season, he is 14-for-24 (.583) with 6 RBIs.

Miami had the day off Thursday as well after taking the final 2 games of a 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies. 2B Luis Arraez has been a difference-maker hitting .500 (23-for-46) with 6 extra-base hits and 5 RBIs. He has been dropped from leadoff to 3rd in the order.

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Diamondbacks at Marlins projected starters

LHP Madison Bumgarner vs. LHP Trevor Rogers

Bumgarner (0-1, 7.27 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 2.19 WHIP, 10.4 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 8 2/3 IP.

  • Has allowed 10 BB and 9 H in just 8 2/3 to start the season; both starts were against the LA Dodgers
  • Last 5 GS vs. Miami (dating back to 2019): 2-0, 1.98 ERA
  • Marlins hitters have just a .198 BA with a .236 wOBA in 122 plate appearances against him

Rogers (0-2, 6.00 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 4.9 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 9 IP.

  • Had 2 pretty similar starts against the New York Mets to begin the season, allowing 3 ER in under 5 IP
  • The D-backs roughed him up for 5 ER on 6 H and 2 BB while fanning 4 in 4 1/3 IP in 1 GS last year

Diamondbacks at Marlins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:22 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Marlins -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-140) | Marlins -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Diamondbacks at Marlins picks and predictions

Prediction

Marlins 5, Diamondbacks 3

Moneyline

With Arizona coming off a cozy 7-game homestand, I’m going to side with the Marlins here. I believe they have the better pitcher on the mound despite the early rough results. Miami is just 3-4 at home to start the year so there’s no chance I’m taking them at -165.

Instead, head to BetMGM’s Win/Total section and take MARLINS AND OVER 5.5 RUNS (-105).

Run line/Against the spread

The Marlins are just 5-8 on the RL and 2-5 at home. You’re going to have to give me something better than +125 to take that leap.

How about a One Game Parlay?

MARLINS ML + OVER 5.5 TOTAL RUNS + ROGERS 4 K’S comes out to +140. And I’d rather risk my money there. Rogers has 4+ K’s in 6 of his last 7 GS and both career starts against Arizona.

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Over/Under

You can pass here since we’re getting creative and adding some risk with the above wagers. I like the Under, but the juice is on the Over. Both teams are 5-4-1 O/U. The Under is 6-0 in MadBum’s last 6 road starts with a total between 9.0-10.5. The wind is also blowing in at 9 mph. I’ll take the UNDER 9 (-105) or PASS.

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Miami Marlins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (15-15) and Miami Marlins (13-16) play the finale of a three-game set Thursday at loanDepot park with a 6:40 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Marlins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Madison Bumgarner is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He is 3-2 with a 5.58 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 9.7 K/9 and 2.9 BB/9 over 30 2/3 IP through 6 starts.

Bumgarner started off super shaky in allowing 5 or more runs in each of his first 3 outings, but he has allowed 2 earned runs over 17 innings across his past 3 contests. That includes a 7-inning no-hitter against the Atlanta Braves April 25.

RHP Pablo Lopez is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins. He is 0-2 with a 2.34 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 and 2.6 BB/9 over 34 2/3 IP through 6 starts.

Lopez is coming off his best start of the season. He allowed just 6 hits with 2 walks and 2 strikeouts across 7 scoreless innings in a no-decision Friday against the Washington Nationals. He allowed just 1 earned run across his past 19 innings over 3 starts.

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Diamondbacks at Marlins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Diamondbacks +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Marlins -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Diamondbacks +1.5 (-185) | Marlins -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (Over +100 | Under -120)

Prediction

Diamondbacks 3, Marlins 2

Money line (ML)

The DIAMONDBACKS (+110) are looking to salvage a victory after being thoroughly outplayed through the first two games of this series.

The Marlins outscored the Snakes 17-3 in the first two outings and cashed as favorites. I like MadBum to serve as the stopper and give Arizona something positive before flying out.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Diamondbacks +1.5 (-185) are a little too expensive for my liking, as I’d prefer to just play them straight up for the plus-money upset.

AVOID.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 7.5 (-120) looks like a risky play since the first two games saw a total of 20 runs scored.

Bumgarner and Lopez have each been humming along and tossing up plenty of donuts, so the runs will be at a premium on getaway day.

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