Tag: Diamondbacks Dodgers odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (23-26) and Los Angeles Dodgers (33-18) wrap a 3-game series Tuesday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 3-2

The Dodgers hung on for a 6-4 victory in the series opener Monday as big favorites (-233) with the Over (8) hitting. The Diamondbacks returned the favor in Tuesday’s battle, winning 7-3 as moderate underdogs (+142), again as the Over (8.5) connected.

Arizona has still won just twice in the past 5 games, but the Over has connected in each of those contests. The 3 runs allowed Tuesday was quite an improvement as Arizona pitching had coughed up 31 runs in the previous 4 outings.

The Dodgers saw a 4-game winning streak snapped and suffered just their 2nd loss in the last 13 home games. The 7 runs allowed tied for the 2nd-most the staff allowed since yielding 9 runs to the New York Mets back on April 19. The Over is 6-3 in the past 9 for the Dodgers.

Diamondbacks at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Ryne Nelson vs. RHP Tyler Glasnow

Nelson (2-3, 7.06 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.88 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 29 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 8 ER, 11 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 13-0 home defeat vs. Detroit Tigers Friday
• 2024 road splits: 0-1, 4.63 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.46 WHIP, .347 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 3 HR, 0 BB, 10 K in in 3 starts

Glasnow (6-2, 2.90 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 0.90 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 11.8 K/9 in 62 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 7-2 home setback vs. Cincinnati Reds Thursday
• 2024 home splits: 4-2, 3.89 ERA (37 IP, 16 ER), 1.05 WHIP, .224 OBA, 5 HR, 7 BB, 45 K in 6 starts

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Diamondbacks at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Dodgers -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (+120) | Dodgers -1.5 (-145)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Diamondbacks at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 7, Diamondbacks 4

Moneyline

The Dodgers (-300) cost way too much money straight up as you’ll need to risk 3 times your potential return on the moneyline.

Over the long haul, that’s a bad betting strategy which will have you in the red really quick.

PASS and look to the run line instead for better value.

Run line/Against the spread

The DODGERS -1.5 (-145) cost a pretty penny on the run line, but the risk is lessened considerably.

Nelson has been very giving for the Diamondbacks and can’t be trusted against the high-octane offense of Los Angeles, which is starting to get its swagger back lately. Plus, the Dodgers are going to be madder than a disrupted hornets’ nest after losing Tuesday, which is the perfect storm for Wednesday’s L.A. bettors.

Over/Under

OVER 8 (-115) is a strong play in this series finale.

First off, Arizona has cashed Overs 5 games in a row. Second, Nelson has been very giving, allowing 15 earned runs and 29 hits across 13 2/3 innings in his past 3 outings, while coughing up 3 or more runs in 5 of his 7 starts overall.

While Glasnow has a much better overall body of work, he has been tremendous on the road, and a little more giving at home. His road ERA is 1.44 this season compared to 3.89 at Chavez Ravine.

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (22-26) and Los Angeles Dodgers (33-17) play the middle contest of a 3-game series Tuesday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 3-1

The Dodgers took the Monday’s series opener 6-4 as big -233 home favorites and the Over (8) cashed. The Diamondbacks plated a run in the top of the 3rd, but the Dodgers scored all 6 of their runs in the bottom of the frame. Arizona had a valiant comeback in the late innings, scoring 3 runs against the Los Angeles bullpen to make things interesting, but the Dodgers held on for the victory.

Arizona has dropped 3 of the past 4 games, while the Over has cashed in each outing. The Diamondbacks have allowed 31 runs in the span, or 7.8 runs per game. The Over is on a 7-2 run for the Snakes, too.

The Dodgers have racked up 4 wins in a row, and they’ve picked up victories in 11 of the past 12 games in Los Angeles. The offense has come back alive, too, averaging 5.0 runs per game in the past 4 outings after totaling just 3 runs in a mini 2-game losing streak May 15-16. The Over holds a slight 5-3 edge in the past 8 outings.

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Diamondbacks at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Brandon Pfaadt vs. RHP Gavin Stone

Pfaadt (1-3, 4.17 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 54 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 1 HR, 2 BB, 9 K in 2-1 home win vs. Cincinnati Reds Wednesday
• 2024 road splits: 0-1, 4.70 ERA (23 IP, 12 ER), 1.13 WHIP, .225 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 6 BB, 22 K in in 4 starts

Stone (4-1, 3.27 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 in 44 innings.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 10-2  win at San Francisco Giants May 14
• 2024 home splits: 2-0, 2.89 ERA (28 IP, 9 ER), 1.25 WHIP, .255 OBA, 8 BB, 20 K in 5 starts

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Diamondbacks at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:44 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Dodgers -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-150) | Dodgers -1.5 (+125)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Diamondbacks at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Diamondbacks 3

Moneyline

The DODGERS (-160) are a solid play as moderate favorites as they’ve been rolling at home lately. The Diamondbacks (+135) made a strong comeback against the Los Angeles bullpen Monday’s but came up just short.

The Dodgers have won 11 of the past 12 at home, and even when they’re not at their best, the Dodgers still find a way to get the job done.

Run line/Against the spread

The DIAMONDBACKS +1.5 (-150) are worth a look if you’re a little more of a conservative bettor who doesn’t trust Stone and the Dodgers -1.5 (+125) to win by more than 1 run.

Arizona has been a thorn in the side of Los Angeles recently, actually winning 4 of the past 7 games outright, including last season’s stunning 3-game playoff series sweep.

Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-105) is worth a look at this short price.

You’ll be going against the grain a little as Arizona has cashed the Over in 4 straight outings, although the total has gone low at a 7-3-1 clip in the past 11 games on the road.

The Dodgers have split the Under in the past 6 games, while going 2-1 in the past 3 against the D-backs despite Monday’s Over.

Go lightly, with a half-unit play at most.

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (22-25) and Los Angeles Dodgers (32-17) open a 3-game series Monday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 2-1

The Diamondbacks picked up a 6-4 win in the interleague series finale Sunday against the Detroit Tigers, salvaging something out of the 3-game set. The Over cashed in all 3 games, and the total has gone high at a 6-2 clip across the previous 8 outings.

The Dodgers dropped the opener in a 4-game set with the Reds on Thursday, but Los Angeles stormed back to take the final 3 outings of the series, while outscoring Cincinnati 14-5. The Under has cashed in the past 2 games, while going 3-2 in the past 5 games at home for L.A.

These teams met April 29-May 1 in Phoenix, with the Dodgers winning 2 of 3 games. Arizona outscored Los Angeles 19-8 in the 3-game set, with the Under cashing twice.

Diamondbacks at Dodgers projected starters

LHP Joe Mantiply vs. RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto

Mantiply (2-1, 4.67 ERA) makes his 1st start and 22nd appearance. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 17 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 1 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 11-7 home loss vs. Texas Rangers Oct. 31, 2023, in Game 4 of the World Series
• 2024 road splits: 2-0, 0.00 ERA (7 1/3 IP, 0 ER), 0.55 WHIP, .083 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 2 BB, 4 K in 10 relief appearances

Yamamoto (4-1, 3.21 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 47 2/3 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 1 HR, 2 BB, 6 K in 6-4 road win in 10 innings vs. San Francisco Giants last Monday
• 2024 home splits: 1-1, 4.68 ERA (25 IP, 13 ER), 1.00 WHIP, .232 OBA, 3 BB, 27 K in 5 starts

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Diamondbacks at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:49 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Dodgers -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (+100) | Dodgers -1.5 (-120)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Diamondbacks at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Diamondbacks 2

Moneyline

The Dodgers (-250) will cost you 2 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not enough reward. Even as part of a multi-team parlay, including Los Angeles sucks all of the value out of your ticket.

PASS, and look to the run line instead.

Run line/Against the spread

The DODGERS -1.5 (-120) are much more reasonably priced laying the run and a half.

While Los Angeles won by just a single run in Sunday’s series finale with Cincinnati, the Dodgers have won by 2 or more runs in 10 of the past 11 games. If you like the Dodgers to win, you should also like them to cash on the run line.

Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-115) is a solid play in Monday’s series opener in the desert.

The Under has cashed in the past 2 games for Los Angeles, as the Dodgers averaged just 3.5 runs per game in the past 2 outings, while allowing just 2 total runs. The Under has a 3-2 edge in the past 5 home games for L.A., too.

For the Snakes, not only did they cash low in 2 of 3 games against the Dodgers this season, Arizona has cashed the Under at a 7-2-1 clip in the past 10 road games.

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The Arizona Diamondbacks and Los Angeles Dodgers meet Monday night in Game 2 of their best-of-5 NL Division Series. First pitch at Dodger Stadium is slated for 9:07 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s  lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Series: Arizona leads 1-0

The Diamondbacks banged out 4 home runs in their Wild Card sweep of the Milwaukee Brewers 2-0 last week. Arizona hit 4 HRs in Friday’s Game 1 win, an 11-2 shellacking of LHP Clayton Kershaw and a Dodgers lineup that produced just 4 hits.

Dating back to the regular season, Los Angeles had won 5 in a row against the Snakes until Friday. The Dodgers now turn to rookie RHP Bobby Miller after Kershaw lasted just 1/3 of an inning in the series opener.

Diamondbacks at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Zac Gallen vs. RHP Bobby Miller

Gallen went 17-9 with a 3.47 ERA across 34 regular-season starts. He logged a 1.12 WHIP, 2 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 210 innings.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 5 H, 2 R, 3 BB, 4 K in 5-2 home win vs. Milwaukee Brewers in Wednesday’s NL Wild Card Game 2; has allowed just 4 ER in last 18 1/3 IP
• 2023 road stats: 5-6, 4.42 ERA in 108 IP across 18 starts
• Last 5 starts vs. Dodgers: 1-2, 3.90 ERA in 30 IP; allowed 11 R in 10 IP in 2023 regular season
• Last week’s turn vs. Milwaukee marked his 1st postseason action

Miller went 11-4 with a 3.76 ERA across 22 regular-season starts. He logged a 1.1 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 124 1/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 4 K in 5-2 win at San Francisco Giants Oct. 1
• 2023 home stats: 5-3, 4.55 ERA in 57 1/3 IP across 10 starts
• Career starts vs. Diamondbacks: 1-0, 3.00 in 12 IP in 2 starts this season
• Monday’s turn will mark his postseason debut

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Diamondbacks at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines updated at 7:38 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Diamondbacks +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Dodgers -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-160) | Dodgers -1.5 (+135)
  Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Diamondbacks at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 5, Dodgers 4

Moneyline

Monday’s pitching match-up swings this play in favor of the visitors, but with this pricing, just by the slimmest of margins.

Gallen has pitched quite well down the stretch, and he’s quite tough on lefty bats which is a big key against Los Angeles. Miller is a rookie making his postseason debut after a 7-day layoff. And that rest is an interesting point of comparison in this mound match-up.

Gallen makes this start on 4-day rest. He logged a 2.41 ERA in such situations during the regular season. That’s his best interval. Miller last started Oct. 1; 6-plus days is his worst interval (6.14 ERA).

Miller has also had some fortunate rates around the margins that have somewhat artificially tamped down his ERA. His batting average on balls in play was a .277. In high-leverage situations, it was a .238.

The Dodgers have the better offense and the better bullpen, but the Snakes counter with the better defense.

But again the pricing here doesn’t make for much leverage at all. Consider a partial-unit play on ARIZONA (+125).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The game has an Over lean, and that takes some air out of an Arizona-plus-1.5 play that already has pricing issues.

Over/Under

Both bullpens have been terrific over recent weeks. But they have filed some surface numbers that put them too far out over their skis.

Add in some solid scoring conditions at Dodger Stadium.

TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (-120), but again, consider a partial-unit play unless a better tag avails itself. The public is dialed in on this game, especially considering the nature of the Dodgers as a public team.

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The Arizona Diamondbacks and Los Angeles Dodgers meet Saturday as they swing into their best-of-5 NL Division Series. First pitch under the lights at Dodger Stadium is slated for 9:20 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s  lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers won 8-5

Arizona went 84-78 in the regular season, finishing 16 games behind Los Angeles in the NL West standings but earning an NL Wild Card berth.  The Diamondbacks banged out 4 home runs in sweeping the Milwaukee Brewers 2-0 in their best-of-3 Wild Card set during the week.

The Dodgers went 100-62 during the regular season. They outscored the Diamondbacks 72-47 over 13 regular-season contests. Dating back to Aug. 8, Los Angeles has won 5 in a row against the Snakes.

Diamondbacks at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Merrill Kelly vs. LHP Clayton Kershaw

Kelly went 12-8 with a 3.29 ERA in 30 starts during the regular season. He has registered a 1.19 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 177 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 5 H, 1 R, 2 BB, 5 K in 1-0 home loss vs. Houston Astros last Saturday
• 2023 road stats: 7-3, 4.07 ERA in 84 IP
• Last 5 starts vs. Dodgers: 0-3, 4.78 ERA in 26 1/3 IP
• Has not pitched in the postseason before

Kershaw went 13-5 with a 2.46 ERA in 24 regular-season starts. He notched a 1.06 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 across 131 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 5 H, 2 R, 2 BB, 5 K in 2-1 loss at San Francisco Giants last Saturday
• 2023 home stats: 7-1, 1.58 ERA in 57 IP
• Last 5 starts vs. Diamondbacks: 4-1, 2.10 ERA in 30 IP
• Postseason: 13-12, 4.22 ERA in 194 IP (2008-22)

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Diamondbacks at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines updated at 7:38 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Diamondbacks +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Dodgers -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-125) | Dodgers -1.5 (+105)
  Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Diamondbacks at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Diamondbacks 3

Moneyline

The Dodgers underperformed in 1-run games during the season (16-15), and they figure to be a tad better than what shows in their overall record. Some of that is due to a small sample size: the Dodgers play many more games where they have a commanding lead. L.A. went 45-19 in games decided by 5-plus runs.

That type of cushion is the better play in this opening game which has an Over lean.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

According to ESPN.com, current Los Angeles bats own a robust .882 OPS against Kelly, who had a couple shaky starts down the stretch. One of those — 5 IP at the Dodgers Aug. 29 — saw the Arizona righty yield 7 runs on 12 hits.

The Arizona offense is better against right-handed pitching. They clocked a .710 OPS during the regular season against southpaws.

The last 4 Arizona-Los Angeles games have been Dodger victories by an average margin of 5.0 runs.

BACK THE DODGERS -1.5 (+105).

Over/Under

Both starters had some kind peripheral rates during the season (batting average on balls in play, for example: Kershaw .250, Kelly .278). Both have also had favorable clutch numbers. especially with runners in scoring position.

Both bullpens have been terrific over recent weeks. But again, they too have filed some surface numbers that put them too far out over their skis.

Add to that some loud contact allowed in recent starts for Kershaw and likely some solid scoring conditions at Dodger Stadium.

TAKE THE OVER 8 (-110).

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (69-64) and Los Angeles Dodgers (82-49) wrap up a 3-game set Wednesday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 7-5

The Diamondbacks lost 9-1 as +153 underdogs in the 2nd game of the series Tuesday. Arizona had won 12 of 15 entering this series, but has now dropped back-to-back games at the Dodgers. The Diamondbacks are a half-game behind the San Francisco Giants for the final NL Wild Card spot.

Dodgers OF Mookie Betts hit his career-high 36th HR in Tuesday’s win. Los Angeles improved to 23-4 in August and owns a 13½-game lead over the 2nd-place Giants in the NL West.

Diamondbacks at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Brandon Pfaadt vs. RHP Ryan Pepiot

Pfaadt (1-6, 5.91 ERA) makes his 14th start. The rookie has a 1.36 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 67 innings.

• Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 10-8 home victory vs. Cincinnati Reds Friday
• 2023 road stats: 0-2, 4.20 ERA (30 IP, 14 ER) in 5 starts
• Career vs. Dodgers: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 1 start, a 5-4 home loss Aug. 8

Pepiot (0-0, 2.00 ERA) makes his 1st start and 3rd appearance. The rookie has a 0.78 WHIP, 1.0 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 in 9 innings.

• Last outing: No-decision, 4 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 6 K in relief during 9-3 victory at Cleveland Guardians Thursday
• Only outing at Dodger Stadium in 2023: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 5 K in relief during 3-1 Aug. 19 win vs. Miami Marlins
• Career vs. Diamondbacks: 1-0, 3.18 ERA(11 1/3 IP, 4 ER) in 2 starts and 1 relief appearance — last faced Arizona in 2022

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Diamondbacks at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:55 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Dodgers -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-135) | Dodgers -1.5 (+110)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Diamondbacks at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 7, Diamondbacks 4

Moneyline

The Dodgers (-185) should sweep the 3-game series, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the moneyline when Los Angeles should win by multiple runs.

PASS. Bet the run line and/or the total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

The Dodgers’ last 8 wins have been by multiple runs. While Pepiot is not a lock at starting pitcher, Los Angeles’ No. 2-ranked offense (5.65 runs/game in 2023) should be able to do most of the heavy lifting in this one.

Pfaadt is coming off his 1st career win and should struggle to contain this Dodgers offense that put up 9 runs on Tuesday.

BET DODGERS -1.5 (+110).

Over/Under

The Over is 75-49-7 (60.5%) in Dodgers games this season, according to TeamRankings.com.

The Over has hit in 4 of the last 6 meetings between these teams and should hit again Wednesday with 2 rookies on the mound.

BET OVER 9.5 (-110).

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (69-63) and Los Angeles Dodgers (81-49) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set Tuesday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 6-5

The Diamondbacks lost 7-4 as +134 underdogs in the series opener Monday. Arizona holds a half-game lead over the San Francisco Giants for the final NL Wild Card spot.

The Dodgers hit 4 HRs in Monday’s win, including back-to-back homers from RF Jason Heyward and CF James Outman in the 6th inning. The Dodgers have won 22 of 26 outings this month and have increased their lead in the NL West over the 2nd-place Diamondbacks to 13 games.

Diamondbacks at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Merrill Kelly vs. LHP Clayton Kershaw

Kelly (10-5, 2.97 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 136 1/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 12 K in 3-2 home victory vs. Cincinnati Reds Thursday
• 2023 road stats: 7-1, 2.98 ERA (63 1/3 IP, 21 ER) in 11 starts
• 2023 vs. Dodgers: 0-1, 1.17 ERA (15 1/3 IP, 2 ER) in 3 starts — Most recent: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 2-0 home loss Aug. 9
• Career vs. Dodgers: 0-10, 5.03 ERA (78 2/3 IP, 44 ER) in 15 starts

Kershaw (11-4, 2.52 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 107 1/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 2 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 6-1 victory at Cleveland Guardians Wednesday
• 2023 home stats: 5-1, 1.72 ERA (47 IP, 9 ER) in 8 starts
• 2023 vs. Diamondbacks: 1-1, 3.75 ERA (12 IP, 5 ER) in 2 starts — Most recent: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 6-3 road loss April 7
• Career vs. Diamondbacks (regular season): 21-12, 2.75 ERA (262 IP, 80 ER) in 43 starts

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Diamondbacks at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:24 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Dodgers -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-135) | Dodgers -1.5 (+110)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Dodgers at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Diamondbacks 3

Moneyline

The Dodgers (-185) should win for the 23rd time in 27 games in August, but they’re being slightly overvalued on the moneyline.

PASS. Bet the run line and/or the total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

Kelly has been dominant vs. the Dodgers this season, despite having an 0-10 record vs. them in his career. While I know Kelly is capable of recording a win vs. the Dodgers, it’s more likely that he just keeps this game close enough for Arizona to cover the run line.

The Diamondbacks are 24-16 on the run line this season as road underdogs and should bounce back after getting blown out in the series opener.

BET DIAMONDBACKS +1.5 (-135).

Over/Under

It’s tough to bet the Under when the Dodgers play since the Over has hit at a 60.2% rate (74-49-7) in their games this season. However, each game that Kelly has started vs. the Dodgers this season has stayed under 7.5 total runs, and Kershaw has gone 8 straight starts without allowing 3 or more earned runs.

LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-105).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Corey Scott on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (69-62) and Los Angeles Dodgers (80-49) open a 3-game set Monday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: tied 5-5

The Diamondbacks won 5-2 as -119 home favorites vs. the Cincinnati Reds Sunday. Arizona has won 12 of its last 15 outings and owns a 1½-game lead over the San Francisco Giants and the Reds for the final NL Wild Card spot.

The Dodgers won 7-4 as -112 favorites at the Boston Red Sox Sunday. The Dodgers have won 22 of their last 27 outings and are 12 games ahead of the 2nd-place Diamondbacks in the NL West.

Diamondbacks at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Zac Gallen vs. RHP Bobby Miller

Gallen (14-5, 3.11 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 168 IP.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 11 K in 6-3 home victory vs. Texas Rangers Tuesday
• 2023 road stats: 3-4, 4.46 ERA (82 2/3 IP, 41 ER) in 14 starts
• 2023 vs. Dodgers: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 1 start, an 8-2 road loss March 30 (Opening Day)
• Career vs. Dodgers: 1-3, 2.88 ERA (59 1/3 IP, 19 ER) in 10 starts

Miller (7-3, 3.86 ERA) makes his 16th start. The rookie has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 81 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 6 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 8-3 loss at Cleveland Guardians Tuesday
• 2023 home stats: 3-2, 5.17 ERA (38 1/3 IP, 22 ER) in 7 starts
• Career vs. Diamondbacks: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 1 start, a 2-0 road victory Aug. 9

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Diamondbacks at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:21 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Dodgers -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-165) | Dodgers -1.5 (+140)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Diamondbacks at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Diamondbacks 5

Moneyline

The DODGERS (-145) are 43-19 this season as home favorites, according to TeamRankings.com, and have been slightly hotter than the Diamondbacks over a larger sample size. Miller has allowed 4 or more earned runs in just 4 of his 15 career starts and should get the run support needed from MLB’s 2nd-best offense (5.61 runs/game).

Gallen has been a different pitcher on the road this season and has struggled in his career to get wins vs. the Dodgers.

BET DODGERS (-145).

Run line/Against the spread

The Diamondbacks have gone 8 straight games without losing by multiple runs. Arizona +1.5 (-165) will probably hit, but there’s no need to play the run line when you can get Los Angeles ML at a cheaper price.

PASS. Bet the moneyline and/or the total instead.

Over/Under

The Over is 73-49-7 (59.8%) in Dodgers games this season. Gallen has struggled on the road this year and should help the Over cash as he faces 1 of the most dangerous offenses in the league in the Dodgers.

BET OVER 8.5 (-105).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Corey Scott on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

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