Tag: DFS daily fantasy football picks best bets sleeper and bargain plays

DFS Fantasy Football: Favorite Pro Plays – Week 4

WinDailySports’ CEO Jason Mezrahi checks in with his top Week 4 DFS fantasy football for FanDuel and DraftKings

Top-ranked daily fantasy sports pro Jason Mezrahi, founder and CEO of WinDailySports.com, breaks down his favorite DFS plays at various salary ranges for Week 4 of the NFL season.

Even though we have had great results in picking top DFS plays in this article every week, I’m going to let you in on a little secret: Our projection model at WinDailySports.com has been firing on all cylinders for the first three weeks so what I will do in this article is list some of our highest projected players based off raw points and our highest point per dollar plays based on DraftKings.com pricing.

These are some of the players Jason will be locking in his lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel for this weekend’s slate.

QUARTERBACKS

RUSSELL WILSON, SEA

$7,800 DRAFTKINGS, $9,000 FANDUEL

Call it what you want, but I can’t fade Russell Wilson at this point in the season. He won me another $5,000 in Week 3 and I’m going back to the well in Week 4. Check the game logs and that’s all you need to know as to why I will be hitting the lock button on Wilson in Week 4. He has thrown for 5 touchdowns in each of his past 2 games (could’ve been 6 if Metcalf walked into the endzone with the ball still in his hands) and has averaged 36.3 DraftKings points on the season.

On paper, this might be his best matchup of the year versus the Miami Dolphin defense. They are towards the bottom of the league in passing and total yards allowed per game. Wilson has the safest floor of the entire slate and the highest ceiling. Lock him in your cash lineups and go over the field in tournaments.

RYAN FITZPATRICK, MIA

$5,400 DRAFTKINGS, $7,100 FANDUEL

It was a close call here to either target Ryan Fitzpatrick or Cam Newton as my value starter in Week 4, but I give a slight lean to Fitzpatrick due to the discount and better overall matchup. Even though I like Cam’s running upside and will be using him in tournaments, I like the matchup better for Ryan.

The Seahawks have been in shootouts every week regardless of matchups and I believe that will continue in Week 4. Fitzpatrick has looked great outside of his Week 1 matchup versus a stingy Patriots defense. He bounced back with 27- and 25-point performance in the last 2 weeks and I believe the floor in this matchup is 20 with a ceiling of 30. If you need some salary relief, buy some shares of Fitzmagic in Week 4.

RUNNING BACKS

ALVIN KAMARA, NO

$8,000 DRAFTKINGS, $8,800 FANDUEL

Alvin Kamara is back to his old self after having a down year by his standards last year. He has dropped 23, 38, and 47 DraftKings points to start the season and now draws a matchup versus the 3rd worst run defense in the league.

The Detroit Lions have allowed 172 rushing yards per game and Kamara will gash them all day Sunday. He has been productive on the ground and through the air. I’m hitting the lock button on DraftKings in cash games and will have a nice share of ownership on him for tournaments. This will be the last week you can get Kamara at $8,000 so enjoy the discount!

KENYAN DRAKE, ARI

$6,000 DRAFTKINGS, $7,000 FANDUEL

I believe the field was one week too early on Drake. He was highly owned in what looked to be a good matchup in Week 3 and disappointed a ton of people at over 30% ownership in tournaments and even higher % in cash games. Typically after weeks like that, you will see ownership drop off dramatically and that’s the best time to hop on board.

We saw it last week with guys like Derrick Henry and it will be a repeat performance this week for Drake.

His price went down on both sites, his ownership will drop by half on both sites. Meanwhile, he is still good at football and the matchup got better than last week. Carolina is the 2nd worst at defending running backs and I can easily argue that they are the worst overall. If game script goes as planned and Kyler Murray doesn’t vulture touchdowns away I see a huge game coming here for Drake.

WIDE RECEIVERS

TYLER LOCKETT, SEA

$7,000 DRAFTKINGS, $7,500 FANDUEL

The saying goes “if it ain’t broke don’t fix it”. I had almost 100% shares of Lockett in Week 3 and I owe him a night out for drinks after his monster three-touchdown performance.

The combination of Wilson to Lockett brought me to the promise land and I’m riding that same boat into Week 4.

As I stated above, the matchup is ideal versus Miami and the underlying numbers look great. Locket has hauled in 8, 7 and 9 receptions to start the season and I can see a double digit reception game out of him this Sunday. If you look at contests across the industry this weekend, you will see a bunch of Win Daily logos with Wilson/Lockett stacks in both cash games and tournaments.

JULIAN EDELMAN, NE

$5,700 DRAFTKINGS, $6,400 FANDUEL

Julian Edelman wasn’t needed much in Week 3 versus the Las Vegas Raiders, but the Patriots will need a massive game to out of him to stay within distance of the Kansas City Chiefs.

You want exposure to this game from the Patriot side because they should be playing catchup and Edelman will be the biggest beneficiary on this offense.

He is underpriced on both sites due to a down week and he provides great value because of it. The floor is safe here with Edelman and lets not forget about his 8-reception, 179-yard game in Week 2 versus Seattle. I can’t predict the same output, but I will have some shares of Edelman across both sites in Week 4.

TIGHT ENDS

MIKE GESICKI, MIA

$5,100 DRAFTKINGS, $5,700 FANDUEL

I typically look for discounts and red zone targets from my tight ends and I believe you get a little bit of both with Gesicki.

The Dolphins should be playing catchup throughout this game and I like a full game stack in tournaments where I run Wilson and Lockett with Gesicki.

The Seahawks have defended the tight end better this year than in years past, but still have allowed an average of 430 yards passing over the first 3 weeks. Not many tight ends provide the upside that Gesicki does, so get some shares of him in Week 4.

EVAN ENGRAM, NYG

$4,400 DRAFTKINGS, $5,600 FANDUEL

Evan Engram hasn’t had his breakout game yet in 2020 and it’s been a long time since he has shown his true talent. Injuries and inconsistencies have been his issue, so there is risk here with this play but we need upside and value at tight end and Engram has the talent to break a slate.

The Rams defense are 23rd in the league against tight ends and have allowed 253 passing yards per game, which will present opportunities for Engram. The Giants are building for the future and if Engram wants to be in that future he better start producing.

The motivation and matchup are there so don’t be surprised when he puts up 15+ points in Week 4.

DEFENSES

BALTIMORE RAVENS

$4,000 DRAFTKINGS, $5,000 FANDUEL

Lets keep this simple. The Ravens are coming off a bad loss to the Super Bowl Champion Chiefs and will be hungry to get back into the win column. Pair that with a matchup with Haskins and the Washington Football Team and they come in as one of the easier decisions to lock in on defense in Week 4. Whenever you have the salary lock in the Ravens do so in both cash and tournament lineups.

LOS ANGELES RAMS

$3,900 DRAFTKINGS, $4,800 FANDUEL

I like the Ravens slightly ahead of the Rams, but they are a close second. The Giants can’t protect Daniel Jones and Jones can’t protect the football. It’s been a turnover festival in NY and I don’t see this team getting better anytime soon.

The Rams have 7 sacks on the season and have caused 5 turnovers as well. I wouldn’t be surprised to see 5 sacks and 2 turnovers in Week 4 versus an offense Vegas has projected to score only 17 points. The Giants total is the second lowest on the board, with the Washington Football Team projected to score 16.

Jason Mezrahi has been a professional, top-ranked Daily Fantasy Player on FanDuel and DraftKings for more than eight years. He has won FanDuel’s $155,555 King of the Diamond competition and placed second in DraftKings’ Fantasy Basketball World Championship, earning him $300,000. He owns and operates WinDailySports.com, which supports the DFS and Sports Betting community with resources such as tools, projection models, expert chat, in-depth written analysis and podcasts, plus much more.

[lawrence-newsletter]

DFS Fantasy Football: Favorite Pro Plays – Week 3

WinDailySports’ CEO Jason Mezrahi checks in with his top Week 3 DFS fantasy football for FanDuel and DraftKings

Top-ranked daily fantasy sports pro Jason Mezrahi, founder and CEO of WinDailySports.com, breaks down his favorite DFS plays at various salary ranges for Week 3 of the NFL season.

Even though we have had great results in picking top DFS plays in this article every week, I’m going to let you in on a little secret: Our projection model at WinDailySports.com has been firing on all cylinders for the first two weeks so what I will do in this article is list our highest projected player based off raw points and our highest point per dollar play based on DraftKings.com pricing.

These are some of the players Jason will be locking in his lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel for this weekend’s slate.

QUARTERBACKS

KYLER MURRAY, ARI

$6,800 DRAFTKINGS, $8,400 FANDUEL

In the case of QB Kyler Murray, who has the top spot on the board, is looking like the 2020 version of 2019 Lamar Jackson.

Over the first two games, he has averaged 30.2 DraftKings points and already has three rushing touchdowns. The rushing floor and upside he provides in a plus matchup versus a weak Lions defense has him ahead of a stacked QB position so lock him in as both your cash QB and GPP play of the week.

MITCHELL TRUBISKY, CHI

$5,700 DRAFTKINGS, $7,500 FANDUEL

Mitchell “The Truth” Trubisky (I can’t even type this with a straight face) is coming in on our model as the best point-per-dollar quarterback in the Week 3 DraftKings main slate.

  1. Is he a top 10 Quarterback? No
  2. Is he an elite Quarterback? No
  3. Did I think he was going to be the starting Quarterback to start the season? No
  4. Does he have one of the best matchups on the board? Yes
  5. Am I playing him at $5,700 in Week 3? Yes

The Atlanta Falcons defense is one of the worst I have ever seen. The only thing that can make this defense worse is if Jameis Winston was the quarterback of the offense.

The story line won’t change and every week for the near future you will see me targeting offensive players versus the Atlanta Falcons and the Carolina Panthers no matter who the opposing team is. For that reason I feel confident in locking in Trubisky on DraftKings.

RUNNING BACKS

DERRICK HENRY, TEN

$7,800 DRAFTKINGS, $8,200 FANDUEL

After a somewhat disappointing Week 2, both DraftKings and FanDuel lowered Henry’s prices by $100. I truly appreciate the discount and due to the fact he burned a lot of people last week, he will come in at lower ownership. There is nothing better than playing an elite player once everyone else jumped off the bandwagon after one bad week.

Derrick Henry is still one of the best running backs in the league and this matchup versus the Vikings is ideal. The touches and talent are there and in Week 3 the yardage and touchdowns will follow.

MILES SANDERS, PHI

$6,400 DRAFTKINGS, $7,400 FANDUEL

It is time to price enforce an error in the pricing model of both sites. This matchup is too juicy, and Miles Sanders is too talented not to exploit it. We recently saw what the combination of Chubb and Hunt destroy Cincinnati and I expect a repeat showing by Miles in Week 3.

Sanders had a good start to his season in Week 2 in a tougher matchup versus the Rams. He is coming in as the best value on the board at running back in Week 3, so lock him into both cash games and tournaments.

WIDE RECEIVERS

DEANDRE HOPKINS, ARI

$7,900 DRAFTKINGS, $8,500 FANDUEL

I will admit when I’m wrong. I was off of DeAndre Hopkins in season long due to the fact that the receiving core is a crowded space in Arizona and I thought there would be a negative effect due to a shortened off season. I was wrong, Kyler Murray has progressed to another level and the rapport he built already with Hopkins is elite.

I love the stack of Murray to Hopkins in a dream matchup versus the Lions. Hopkins may be highly owned in Week 3 but he is coming in with the highest ceiling and raw projection. He should be as safe as it gets for your cash games at wide receiver.

ALLEN ROBINSON, CHI

$6,200 DRAFTKINGS, $6,900 FANDUEL

After back to back disappointing weeks, I hope the ownership stays low on Robinson in Week 3. He is currently popping as our best point per dollar play and a nice value stack paired with Trubisky.

I will repeat it once more the Atlanta Falcons are terrible on defense.

They couldn’t punch their way out of a wet paper bag and they won’t be able to stop the second-tier combination of Trubisky and Robinson at a discounted rate. Ride the value that Robinson provides and take advantage of lower ownership due to all the boxscore watchers avoiding him.

TIGHT ENDS

ZACH ERTZ, LAC

$5,100 DRAFTKINGS, $6,200 FANDUEL

The Eagles are once again down to scraps at the receiver position and all hope will be on their tight ends. I had a tough decision on which tight end to choose from because both Ertz and Goedert have been producing, and are in identical spots.

I will be leaning on the pedigree of Ertz, but will have shares of both tight ends and I believe you should do the same. I would not be surprised to see both tight ends find their way into the end zone and for tournaments running a stack with both is not out of the question.

DARREN WALLER, OAK

$5,700 DRAFTKINGS, $6,600 FANDUEL

A lot of the fantasy industry didn’t buy into the hype of Darren Waller coming into this season. I think that all changed after his recent performance Monday night.

Waller is one of the fastest tight ends in the league and he is the number one target in this offense. He received 8 targets in Week 1 and 16 in Week 2. If we fall in the middle in Week 3, you best believe Waller will smash again. Derek Carr and this offense looked impressive and on the other end this is not the same Patriots defense from last year. Waller is the way to go if you have the salary to pay up at tight end this week.

DEFENSES

LOS ANGELES CHARGERS

$3,600 DRAFTKINGS, $5,000 FANDUEL

They come in as the top defense due to the simple fact that the Panthers have struggled to get anything going on offense and now they are without their best weapon in Christian McCaffrey. This Charger defense did a great job against the most explosive offense in the league so I can only imagine what they do to this Carolina team. I wouldn’t be shocked to see them keep the Panthers under 10 points in this game.

LAS VEGAS RAIDERS

$2,300 DRAFTKINGS, $3,000 FANDUEL

With defense being one of the toughest positions to predict, I love finding an extreme value defense each week for tournaments. This Raiders team is legit and just stifled Drew Brees and the Saints; I am not fully bought into the Patriots offense. They are lacking a true running game and Cam Newton can only do so much. If you stop Cam this entire offense stalls. Give me Gruden and the Raiders at an extreme value in Week 3.

Jason Mezrahi has been a professional, top-ranked Daily Fantasy Player on FanDuel and DraftKings for more than eight years. He has won FanDuel’s $155,555 King of the Diamond competition and placed second in DraftKings’ Fantasy Basketball World Championship, earning him $300,000. He owns and operates WinDailySports.com, which supports the DFS and Sports Betting community with resources such as tools, projection models, expert chat, in-depth written analysis and podcasts, plus much more.

[lawrence-newsletter]

DFS Fantasy Football: Favorite Pro Plays – Week 2

WinDailySports’ CEO Jason Mezrahi checks in with his top Week 2 DFS fantasy football for FanDuel and DraftKings

Top-ranked daily fantasy sports pro Jason Mezrahi, founder and CEO of WinDailySports.com, breaks down his favorite DFS plays at various salary ranges for Week 2 of the NFL season.

These are some of the players Jason will be locking in his lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel for this weekend’s slate.

QUARTERBACKS

DAK PRESCOTT, DAL
$6,800 DRAFTKINGS, $8,300 FANDUEL

Coming off a tough loss and heading back to Dallas to face off against a bad Atlanta defense is what Dak needs to right the ship. The matchup wasn’t ideal in Week 1, but his weapons are at full strength. The addition of CeeDee Lamb gives him three above-average receivers and the threat of Ezekiel Elliot should torment this Atlanta defense. Russell Wilson picked apart the Falcons secondary and I see the same thing happening when Dak gets under center. Add some rushing upside and Dak will present a nice floor for cash games and high upside for your tournaments.

TOM BRADY, TBB
$6,500 DRAFTKINGS, $7,600 FANDUEL

It didn’t work out so well last week against a tough defense in New Orleans, but I am ready to double down on Tom Brady. In a bad game by his standards, Brady still threw for 2 touchdowns and ran one in. Tom Brady the dual-threat quarterback! While I am not in the business of predicting Brady’s next rushing touchdown, I can tell you that the matchup versus Carolina is great. Their defense is one of the worst in the league and the discount you get with Brady on FanDuel is too much to pass on. This a spot to price enforce and secure a nice floor at the quarterback position.

RUNNING BACKS

EZEKIEL ELLIOTT, DAL
$8,200 DRAFTKINGS, $8,600 FANDUEL

I could settle this in one sentence: He is a bell cow running back going against one of the worst defenses in the league. But lets look a little deeper. Ezekiel Elliott is a stud worth paying up for in both cash games and tournaments. Just like Chris Carson in Week 1, this matchup versus the Falcons has shootout written all over it. I have Elliott as the top running back on the slate with a equal rating to Christian McCaffrey. This could easily be a 2-3 touchdown game for Elliott, and I am playing it safe and paying up for this stud in Week 2.

DERRICK HENRY, TEN
$7,900 DRAFTKINGS, $8,300 FANDUEL

The story is the same with Derrick Henry, he is workhouse going against a weak defense. The Indianapolis combination of Mack, Hines and Taylor gashed the Jaguars all day and my assumption is that all those fantasy points that were split between the Colts backs will all gravitate toward Henry in Week 2. Henry was handed the ball 31 times in a tough matchup versus Denver and with that same workload versus the Jaguars defensive line we can see 150+ rushing yards and two-plus touchdowns in Week 2. A lot of the field will look to value running backs like they did in Week 1 and I will be trying to avoid that by locking in Henry and Elliott this week.

WIDE RECEIVERS

DAVANTE ADAMS, GBP
$8,100 DRAFTKINGS, $8,600 FANDUEL

If we look back at least week’s article this is how I started to breakdown the wide receiver position:

“Lets keep this one simple. Who is else will Aaron Rodgers throw the ball to?”

I hope everyone listened because I went overweight on Adams and it led me to a $25,000 payday on DraftKings. If I got .5 more points (yes, just 5 yards) it would of been worth $50,000. Adams is, and will be, the main guy in Green Bay for the rest of this year and, unlike other wide receivers, he shouldn’t be competing for target shares. Both sites raised his price slightly but at what price can we fade Adams? Similar to Michael Thomas last year, I will be hitting the lock button on Adams moving forward.

MARVIN JONES JR., DET
$5,700 DRAFTKINGS, $6,400 FANDUEL

With Kenny Golladay still questionable and hobbled, I will look to Marvin Jones Jr. against the Green Bay Packers. Coming off a terrible loss to the Bears, the Lions will have to put up points to keep pace with the Packers. I see this game going over the 49 point total Vegas has predicted with the Lions trailing for most of the game. If I am right that means a lot of garbage time and soft coverage for Jones Jr. to rack up points. The discount provided should allow Jones Jr. to exceed value.

TIGHT ENDS

JACK DOYLE, IND
$3,600 DRAFTKINGS, $5,300 FANDUEL

I always try my best to find the safe value plays at the tight end position in order to pay up elsewhere, and Jack Doyle fits that mold. He is more of a DraftKings only play for me but I don’t mind the play on FanDuel as well. On FanDuel I would probably lean on the upside of Tyler Higbee, Eric Ebron or T.J. Hockenson. Philip Rivers loves to target the tight end and I think in each week moving forward you will see him rely more and more on Doyle. Coming off a 3 reception week for 49 yards, I expect a repeat performance and 7-8 DraftKings points to be his average production. If he sneaks in a touchdown this week we can smash value at his $3,600 price tag.

T.J. HOCKENSON, DET
$5,200 DRAFTKINGS, $5,600 FANDUEL

Opposite to Jack Doyle, Hockenson provides greater value on FanDuel than he does on DraftKings. He hauled in five of five targets and scored a touchdown in Week 1; he is rolling into Week 2 with a better matchup in what could be a higher scoring game. As stated above, Golladay may sit another game out and the Lions could be playing from behind most of the game, which should mean more receptions for Hockenson. Hockenson has thrived whenever Stafford has been on the field so feel confident rolling him versus the Packers in Week 2.

DEFENSES

ARIZONA CARDINALS
$3,000 DRAFTKINGS, $3,600 FANDUEL

We will see a pattern in my articles of targeting the weaker offenses and streaming defenses against teams like the Washington Football Team, the New York Jets, and any team that Vegas projects to be the lowest scoring teams on the slate. The Cardinals are coming off an impressive win in Week 1 versus the 49ers, where they held them to only 20 points. Now they get a home matchup versus a young quarterback surrounded with minimal weapons. Arizona provides a safe floor with upside against a weak offense at a very fair price on both sites.

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS                                      $4,000 DRAFTKINGS, $5,00 FANDUEL

If you have the salary, pay up for the 49ers. The Jets are a very, very, very bad offense. We saw the Bills dismantle the Jets and the same thing will occur when the Niners enter town. The 49ers should have a chip on their shoulder after coming off a tough loss to Cardinals and the Jets will see a very motivated team. I expect the 49ers to come out of the gate strong and bring the pressure to Sam Darnold and the Jets.

Jason Mezrahi has been a professional, top-ranked Daily Fantasy Player on FanDuel and DraftKings for more than eight years. He has won FanDuel’s $155,555 King of the Diamond competition and placed second in DraftKings’ Fantasy Basketball World Championship, earning him $300,000. He owns and operates WinDailySports.com, which supports the DFS and Sports Betting community with resources such as tools, projection models, expert chat, in-depth written analysis and podcasts, plus much more.

[lawrence-newsletter]

DFS Fantasy Football: Favorite Pro Plays – Week 1

WinDailySports’ CEO Jason Mezrahi checks in with his top Week 1 DFS fantasy football for FanDuel and DraftKings

Top-ranked daily fantasy sports pro Jason Mezrahi, founder and CEO of WinDailySports.com, breaks down his favorite DFS plays at various salary ranges for Week 1 of the NFL season.

These are some of the players Jason will be locking in his lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel for this weekend’s slate.

QUARTERBACKS

MATT RYAN, ATL
$6,700 DRAFTKINGS, $7,800 FANDUEL

This may be the best offensive weaponry that Matty Ice has ever had. If you have followed my show on SiriusXM Fantasy, I was pushing all of our listeners at Win Daily to get shares of this offense and specifically Matt Ryan. He now has an upgrade at running back with the addition of Todd Gurley, which should open things up even more.

I believe TE Hayden Hurst is and upgrade over Austin Hooper (now with the Cleveland Browns) at the tight end position. Add a more mature Calvin Ridley — paired with Julio Jones — giving Ryan the upside at lower ownership than the other quarterbacks in his pricing tier.

The upgrades on offense, combined with a soft matchup against the average at best Seahawks defense, inside a dome is a nice spot to be in Week 1.

TOM BRADY, TBB
$6,500 DRAFTKINGS, $7,500 FANDUEL

I don’t believe I wrote up Brady one time all of last year in my articles and maybe played him once or twice in DFS. The old man, aka the GOAT, has moved to Tampa Bay and now has the best offense on paper that he has ever had. Weapons galore across the field!

The only difficult part for me is to figure out who to pair him with. At this current point, I feel comfortable playing him “naked,” which means not stacking him with a receiver or tight end. Ownership will be down on Brady and most players will opt for Drew Brees or other quarterbacks in this price range. This is a statement game for Brady and I believe he has a chip on his shoulder to show the world he can win without Bill Belichick. Give me Brady in Week 1 and lets hope he still has more left in the tank.

RUNNING BACKS

AUSTIN EKELER, LAC
$7,000 DRAFTKINGS, $7,700 FANDUEL

If there was a mini version of Christian McCaffrey, it is Ekeler. By all means play McCaffrey in any lineup you can afford him and lock him into your cash games. McCaffrey is very good at football.

In most cases I will have both McCaffrey and Ekeler paired as my two running backs, but let me tell you why I like Ekeler: Some people may view Tyrod Taylor as a downgrade to Philip Rivers, which has a negative impact on Ekeler… but I think he will be just fine. With Taylor not being a downfield passer as much as Rivers was, I see even more targets for Ekeler. Once he gets the ball in space, he can turn any catch into a touchdown. He is a three-down back who catches a ton of passes and game script says the Chargers should be leading in this game, which should mean even extra work for Ekeler.

ANTONIO GIBSON, WAS
$4,000 DRAFTKINGS, $4,600 FANDUEL

Antonio Gibson is one of your best Week 1 values. I truly hope is ownership is not through the roof; but, either way, the savings is too much to pass up.

As I am writing this, we don’t know his workload or complete role but we do know the Washington Football Team let go of Adrian Peterson and Gibson was a major reason why. Gibson was a highlight reel in college and was used in various roles as a pass catching back and receiver. This is a great matchup versus the Eagles; we could see a shootout, or a solid amount of garbage time dump offs to Gibson.

WIDE RECEIVERS

DAVANTE ADAMS, GBP
$7,300 DRAFTKINGS, $8,400 FANDUEL

Lets keep this one simple. Who is else will Aaron Rodgers throw the ball to?

Adams is, and will be, the main guy in Green Bay for the rest of this year and, unlike other wide receivers, he shouldn’t be competing for target shares. Adams is a stud and is priced lower than the top tier.

I love the discount we get on DraftKings! On FanDuel I can make the case for both Julio Jones and Michael Thomas, which are both in play. Similar to the next guy I’m going to mention below, this will be the cheapest price you see on Adams all season on DraftKings. Enjoy the short-lived savings.

KENNY GOLLADAY, DET
$6,200 DRAFTKINGS, $7,900 FANDUEL

This is a pricing mistake and you have to enforce it. Golladay is a true number 1 receiver. Whoever decided to price him on DraftKings should check his resume.

Golladay is a beast and he put up numbers with one of the worst combination of quarterbacks last year after QB Matthew Stafford went down. Golladay now has his leader back and is setup for nice game at home in the dome. Lets lock in Golladay for 100+ yards receiving and a TD.

TIGHT ENDS

ZACH ERTZ, PHI
$5,800 DRAFTKINGS, $6,600 FANDUEL

With all of the injuries the Eagles have on offense, Ertz is the safe way to attack this Washington defense.

Ertz will be getting the majority of targets in the passing game and is the first option whenever they get in the red zone. He has the upside to double the points of most of the tight ends on the slate. He comes in as my safest tight end play in Week 1, due to the combination of a fair price and the target share he is in line to receive.

HUNTER HENRY, LAC
$5,300 DRAFTKINGS, $6,000 FANDUEL

Henry is another safe play at tight end at a nice price.

This matchup looks good and, with the uncertainty of Mike Williams, should see a rise in targets for Henry in Week 1. The best time to play Henry is when he’s healthy, so lock him in after a long offseason to rest up. With Tyrod Taylor now at quarterback the combination of Ekeler and Henry should be his outlets.

DFS EXTRA PRO TIP: In lineups I lock Ekeler in, I will be pivoting off Henry and vice versa.

DEFENSES

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
$3,200 DRAFTKINGS, $4,600 FANDUEL

As you will see week to week, defenses are tough to project out because a pick-six is impossible to get right every week. What we will be doing is picking on weak offenses, turnover prone quarterbacks, and teams who let up a bunch of sacks.

With the Patriots facing Miami in Week 1, it looks like we have some opportunities to lock in a nice floor with some upside because we know Dolphins QB Ryan Fitzpatrick loves to force balls into tight coverage. If we get a repeat performance of last year’s version of the Patriots defense, we should be looking pretty in Week 1.

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
$3,000 DRAFTKINGS, $3,700 FANDUEL

I don’t believe in Jacksonville Jaguars QB Gardner Minshew, I don’t believe in the Jaguars offense, and the organization as a whole. Besides WR DJ Chark, the talent on offense is missing and the Colts should have a field day and comfortable lead to apply pressure to Minshew.

With no real running back threat, all the pressure will be on Minshew and I believe that leads to turnovers and fantasy points for the Colts defense in Week 1.

Jason Mezrahi has been a professional, top-ranked Daily Fantasy Player on FanDuel and DraftKings for more than eight years. He has won FanDuel’s $155,555 King of the Diamond competition and placed second in DraftKings’ Fantasy Basketball World Championship, earning him $300,000. He owns and operates WinDailySports.com, which supports the DFS and Sports Betting community with resources such as tools, projection models, expert chat, in-depth written analysis and podcasts, plus much more.

[lawrence-newsletter]