Tag: Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles odds predictions pick betting line spread

Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Detroit Tigers (81-74) and Baltimore Orioles (86-69) close out a 3-game series Sunday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is set for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Tigers vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Detroit leads 3-2

Detroit beat Baltimore 6-4 Saturday in 10 innings while covering as a +119 road underdog. After allowing the Orioles to tie the game in the bottom of the 9th, the Tigers twice in the 10th to win and inch closer to securing a playoff spot. Detroit is a half-game behind the Minnesota Twins for the last AL Wild Card spot and a game behind the Kansas City Royals for the 2nd spot.

Baltimore leads the Wild Card race by 4 1/2 games and is nearly a lock to make the playoffs. The Orioles are 5 games behind New York for the AL East crown.

Tigers at Orioles projected starters

Undecided vs. RHP Albert Suarez

No Detroit pitcher announced at time of publishing.

Saurez (8-6, 3.60 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 122 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 3 K in a 10-0 humiliation vs. San Francisco Giants Tuesday
  • First career start vs. Detroit

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Tigers at Orioles odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 6:08 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Tigers +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Orioles -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-200) | Orioles -1.5 (+185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Tigers at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 7, Orioles 6

Moneyline

LEAN TIGERS (+110).

Detroit is the hotter team, being 4-1 in its last 5 road ganes and 7-3 in its last 10 overall while Baltimore is only 2-3 in its last 5 at home and 4-6 in its last 10 overall. The Tigers have also played the Orioles very well lately, being 3-2 in the last 5 meetings.

This is a lean because Baltimore is the better team and because the Orioles are 6-4 in their last 10 vs. Detroit.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

With both teams fighting for playoff rights, I expect this to be a very close matchup, so I have the Tigers covering as +1.5 (-200) underdogs. However, this line is set very favorably towards Detroit, so betting on it is not worth the risk, bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

If you are comfortable with the risk here, you can divvy up units between here and the ML.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5 (-105).

The Over has hit in 5 straight games for Baltimore, which is 85-61-9 ATS  this season. For Detroit, the over is 3-2 in its last 5 road games. The Over has also hit in back-to-back meetings between these teams.

Be aware that the Over is only 5-5 in the last 10 meetings, 4-6 in Detroit’s last 10 games, and 5-5 in Baltimore’s last 10 games.

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Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Baltimore Orioles (85-68) welcome the Detroit Tigers (80-73) to Oriole Park at Camden Yards Friday for the 1st game of their 3-game series. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET (Apple TV+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Tigers vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tigers lead 2-1

The Tigers swept the Kansas City Royals in their last series, winning the finale 4-2 Wednesday. They closed as an underdog in 2 of the 3 games and ended up winning the 3 games byba combined 14-9. Detroit has won 4 straight games and 5 of its last 6. It is 41-37 on the road and 84-69 against the spread (ATS).

The Orioles beat the San Francisco Giants to close their 3-game series Thursday, winning 5-3 in the finale. They lost 2 of those 3 and have dropped 5 of their last 7. The Orioles are just 3-8 over their last 11 yet still sit 2nd in the AL East. They are 85-68 at home this season and 82-71 ATS.

Tigers at Orioles projected starters

RHP Keider Montero vs. RHP Corbin Burnes

Montero (6-6, 4.60 ERA) makes his 16th start and 17th career appearance. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 88 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 4-2 home win over the Orioles Sunday
  • 2024 away stats: 3-1, 5.34 ERA (32 IP, 19 ER), 1.44 WHIP, 6.5 K/9 in 6 starts
  • Career vs. Orioles: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (5 IP, 0 ER), 1.20 WHIP, 1.8 K/9 in 1 start

Burnes (14-8, 3.06 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 182 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 4-2 road win over the Detroit Tigers Saturday
  • 2024 home stats: 7-5, 3.16 ERA (94 IP, 33 ER), 1.31 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 in 16 starts
  • Career vs. Tigers: 2-0, 0.82 ERA (22 IP, 2 ER), 0.64 WHIP, 11.0 K/9 in 4 appearances (3 starts)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Tigers at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 8:18 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Tigers +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Orioles -19 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-140) | Orioles -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Tigers at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 4, Tigers 3

Moneyline

PASS.

There’s no great value here.

The Orioles should come out on top, and Burnes has been an ace for most of the season. However, they have struggled as of late and aren’t worth playing as an expensive favorite.

Run line/Against the spread

BET TIGERS +1.5 (-140).

The Orioles have struggled to win over the last few weeks, and they also haven’t won in decisive fashion either. They haven’t won by more than 2 runs since Sept. 3. Burnes has been a strong option for them, but he is just 2-4 in his last 6 home games and 2-4 in his lat 6 games overall.

Baltimore is 2-5 ATS over its last 7. The Tigers have been among the best covering teams in the MLB and are 5-1 ATS over their last 6. They have covered in Montero’s last 3 starts. Take TIGERS +1.5 (-140).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-105).

The Tigers have gone Under in 2 straight and in 6 of their last 7. They have allowed 2 or fewer runs in 3 of their last 4 games while scoring 4 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 7 games.

The Orioles are 3-5 O/U in their last 8 games and have gone Under in Burnes last 2 starts, allowing a combined 4 runs throughout those 2 games. With that in mind, back UNDER 7.5 (-105).

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Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Detroit Tigers (56-60) are looking for a series sweep against the Baltimore Orioles (38-74) Wednesday. The first pitch is set for 4:05 p.m. ET at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Let’s analyze the lines around the Tigers vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Tigers RHP Matt Manning (2-5, 6.33 ERA) is making his 10th start of the season. He has a 1.55 WHIP, 4.9 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 through 42.2 innings pitched.

  • The rookie right-hander is 1-4 over his last seven starts and he’s coming off a 4-inning outing in which he allowed 10 hits and 6 runs against the Cleveland Indians.
  • Went 5 2/3 innings and gave up 7 hits and 5 runs (2earned) July 31 against the Orioles.

Orioles LHP John Means (5-3, 2.79 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 0.92 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9, and 8.1 K/9 through 93 2/3 IP.

  • Means held the Tigers to 1 run on 4 hits over 6 innings July 31 for his first win since no-hitting the Seattle Mariners May 5.

Tigers at Orioles odds, lines, picks, and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Tigers +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Orioles -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Tigers +1.5 (-170) | Orioles -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under: 10.5 (O: -115 | U: -115)

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Prediction

Tigers 6, Orioles 4

Money line (ML)

The Orioles are on a six-game losing skid and are 30-29 against the spread in their road games as well.

Detroit will look to build on their 5-2 win over the Orioles Wednesday, as 1B Miguel Cabrera and OF Niko Goodrum each had two RBIs with Cabrera going 3-for-4 with a solo home run.

Lean slightly toward the TIGERS (+120).

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Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Detroit Tigers (55-60) seek a second straight win Wednesday against the Baltimore Orioles (38-73). First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Let’s analyze the lines around the Tigers vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Tigers LHP Tarik Skubal (7-10, 4.32 ERA) is making his 21st start and 23rd appearance. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 through 110 1/3 IP.

  • Skubal has really cut down on the walks lately, allowing a total of 4 free passes in his last six starts spanning 32 2/3 IP. However, home runs have been on the rise over that time. He has allowed 9 through that stretch including 3 against Baltimore July 30th.
  • Skubal has been a much better pitcher at home than on the road since debuting last year. He has posted a 6.25 ERA and 3.4 HR/9 on the road despite a .255 BABIP, compared to 3.46 ERA and 1.3 HR/9 at home.

Orioles RHP Matt Harvey (6-10, 6.13 ERA) left his last outing early after tweaking his knee but has been cleared to make his 23rd start of the season. He has a 1.53 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 through 98 1/3 IP.

  • Prior to his last start when he surrendered 2 ER in 4 IP, Harvey had tossed three consecutive scoreless outings, including a 6 IP, 5 K performance against Detroit. He struck out just 11 batters in 18 1/3 IP across that stretch while benefiting greatly from a .189 BABIP.
  • Harvey hasn’t been good home or away this season but has at least kept the ball in the park on the road. He has posted an ugly 6.75 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 and 1.7 HR/9 through 10 home starts.

Tigers at Orioles odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Tigers -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Orioles +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Tigers -1.5 (+125) | Orioles +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Prediction

Orioles 6, Tigers 5

Money line (ML)

The Orioles have lost six games in a row and are a league-worst 17-35 at home this season. Harvey has gotten better results lately, although the skills have remained pretty weak.

Skubal has really been hurt by the long ball on the road and faces a tough test in a Baltimore offense that is 4th in wRC+ vs lefties. Neither starting pitcher is a great bet to have a great deal of success in this game but given Skubal’s road woes and the tough matchup we’ll lean slightly to ORIOLES (+100).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

This sets up to be a pretty close game, one in which both offenses score their fair share of runs. There doesn’t seem to be much value on either side of the run line so PASS.

Over/Under (O/U)

Skubal has been bad on the road and is facing a team that hits left-handed pitching very well. The Tigers should also get to Harvey whose recent success hasn’t been supported by his skills. Though the final score was 4-3 when these pitchers squared off in late July, OVER 9.5 (-130) is a great play here.

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Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Detroit Tigers (54-60) are in Maryland Tuesday to start a three-game set with the Baltimore Orioles (38-72). First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Tigers vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Tigers RHP Casey Mize (6-6, 3.57 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 116 IP.

  • Allowed 1 run (0 earned) over 7 innings with 2 BB and 2 K against the Orioles July 29.
  • Has a 3.48 ERA through four starts since the All-Star break.

Orioles LHP Keegan Akin (0-5, 7.66 ERA) makes his ninth start and 16th appearance. He has a 1.74 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 51 2/3 IP.

  • Making his first start since July 16 and just his third start since June 26.
  • Is 0-5 with an 8.82 ERA and 1.99 WHIP over 33 2/3 IP across eight starts.

Tigers at Orioles odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Tigers -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Orioles +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Tigers -1.5 (+120) | Orioles +1.5 (-150)
  • Over/Under: 10.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Prediction

Tigers 6, Orioles 3

Money line (ML)

The Tigers have had their share of difficulties on the road this season but Mize hasn’t been the reason and the Orioles are no formidable opponent. Mize is 3-3 both at home and on the road while posting a nearly identical ERA and slightly better WHIP and K/9 numbers away from Comerica Park.

Detroit hits left-handed pitchers at a very middle of the pack rate, but that’s still considerably better than how Baltimore hits righties; the Orioles rank 28th in OPS and 25th in WRC+ against right-handers. Furthermore, Akin is not a southpaw to be feared as indicated by his numbers as a starter above.

Akin appeared in just one game of the recent Tigers-Orioles series and lasted just 1/3 IP while giving up 2 hits and generating just one swinging strike across the three batters he faced.

Be leery of this line getting more juiced up as we near first pitch but at the current number you can back DETROIT (-130)

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

This game marks just the second time this season the Tigers will be an away favorite, but Baltimore has lots of experience as a home underdog and is 17-27 ATS.

The two teams split a four-game series as July turned to August, but both of the Tigers’ wins were by 4 runs. It’s not inconceivable they get out to a good start against Akin and even if they don’t run it up on him they should get to the bullpen early, as he pitched beyond the fifth inning in only one of his starts.

The Orioles bullpen is dead last in the league with a -0.9 WAR, 9.66 ERA and 6.29 xFIP over the last two weeks.

The “LEAN” here is to the TIGERS -1.5 (+120).

Over/Under (O/U)

The 10.5-run total is a hefty number to overcome, especially considering the Tigers are 5-14-2 O/U in Mize’s starts.

While there is a decent wind out to left field and things are expected to be balmy tonight in Baltimore it still feels like a lot of pressure on the Tigers to produce the bulk of this action.

It may be too much to ask from a team averaging just 3.8 runs per game on a .674 OPS over its last 10 games.

BACK the UNDER 10.5 (-120)

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