Denver Nuggets odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line – Page 3

Denver Nuggets at Indiana Pacers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Denver Nuggets at Indiana Pacers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Denver Nuggets (7-3) take on the Indiana Pacers (5-5) Wednesday at Gainbridge FieldHouse. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Nuggets vs. Pacers odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Nuggets are currently on a 3-game win streak, with 2 victories over the San Antonio Spurs and a win against the Oklahoma City Thunder. Denver’s latest win was a 115-109 victory at San Antonio Monday where it failed to cover as a 7.5-point favorite.

The Pacers are on a 2-game win streak and they’ve won 4 of their last 5 games. Indiana was able to defeat the New Orleans Pelicans 129-122 Monday, covering as a 5-point home underdog.

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Nuggets at Pacers odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:03 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Nuggets -220 (bet $220 to win $100) | Pacers +175 (bet $100 to win $175)
Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets -5.5 (-105) | Pacers +5.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 235.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Nuggets at Pacers key injuries

Nuggets

None

Pacers

G Chris Duarte (ankle) out
F Aaron Nesmith (foot) questionable
C Daniel Theis (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Nuggets at Pacers picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 122, Pacers 118

Moneyline

Go ahead and AVOID taking the moneyline in this game considering the heavy odds for the Nuggets (-220) to win. The risk isn’t worth the return by taking Denver to win on the road against a competitive Indiana team.

Against the spread

Even though the Nuggets should be able to come away with a win, PACERS +5.5 (-115) is where I’m leaning in this game. Indiana has found ways to remain close in games and even win games. That should remain true Wednesday.

The Pacers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games and they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win.

Over/Under

OVER 235.5 (-112) is a fun wager in this game because who doesn’t like high-scoring contests? The Nuggets and the Pacers are top 7 in offensive rating this season, so points should be aplenty Wednesday.

The Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between the Nuggets and the Pacers in Indiana. The Over is also 10-4 in the last 14 meetings overall.

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Denver Nuggets at Utah Jazz odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Denver Nuggets at Utah Jazz odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Denver Nuggets will square off with the Utah Jazz at the Vivint Arena on Wednesday in the season opener for both teams. Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Nuggets vs. Jazz odds, and our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Nuggets are coming off a 2021-22 season in which they posted a 48-34 record while C Nikola Jokic won his 2nd straight NBA MVP award. Denver was able to perform well last season despite not having PG Jamal Murray available, so his return this season should give the team a massive boost.

The Jazz had an active offseason in terms of trading away their All-Star players in SG Donovan Mitchell and C Rudy Gobert. Utah went 49-33 a season ago and it will be hard to replicate that success with a much different roster this season.

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Nuggets at Jazz odds

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:31 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Nuggets -280 (bet $280 to win $100) | Jazz +215 (bet $100 to win $215)
Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets -7.5 (-110) | Jazz +7.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 224.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Nuggets at Jazz key injuries

Nuggets

PG Collin Gillespie (leg) out

Jazz

C Udoka Azubuike (ankle) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Nuggets at Jazz picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 111, Jazz 99

Moneyline

You can go ahead and PASS on the moneyline in this contest with Denver being heavy favorites on the road. The risk that comes with taking the Nuggets at their current odds to win is not worth the minimal return you’ll receive.

Against the spread

While I won’t take Denver’s moneyline, NUGGETS -7.5 (-110) seems like an ideal wager in this game. The Nuggets have the 2-time reigning MVP in Jokic and they have Murray returning to provide the team with more scoring.

On the other hand, the Jazz have a bunch of new pieces that are going to need time to get acclimated to begin the season. Even with scorers like SG Collin Sexton, SG Jordan Clarkson, and SF Lauri Markkanen, Utah likely doesn’t have enough to keep up with Denver.

Over/Under

The UNDER 224.5 (-110) seems like the bet in this matchup with the Nuggets and Jazz both being 20th or worse in pace a season ago. Denver prefers to run its half-court offense through Jokic, which should slow the game down on Wednesday.

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Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Clippers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Clippers and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Denver Nuggets (20-18) head to Crypto.com Arena Tuesday for a 10:30 p.m. ET game versus the Los Angeles Clippers (20-21). Below, we look at the Nuggets vs. Clippers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Denver has won back-to-back games against the Sacramento Kings 121-111 Friday and at the Oklahoma City Thunder 99-95 Sunday.

The Nuggets are 4-2 straight-up (SU), 3-3 ATS and 2-4 O/U over the last two weeks with the 10th-best non-garbage time net rating at plus-4.1 points per 100 possessions, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

L.A. snapped a three-game losing skid by rolling the Atlanta Hawks 106-93 at home Sunday afternoon as a 4-point favorite.

The Clippers are 3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS and 4-3 O/U in the last 14 days with the 21st-ranked non-garbage time net rating at minus-4.6 points per 100 possessions, per CTG.

The Nuggets squeaked past the Clippers 103-100 Dec. 26 as 4-point favorites. Denver big Nikola Jokic had an off-shooting night versus L.A. but put up 26 points with 22 rebounds and 8 assists.

Nuggets at Clippers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:12 p.m. ET.

Money line: Nuggets -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Clippers +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets -3.5 (-107) | Clippers +3.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 213.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Nuggets at Clippers key injuries

Nuggets

SG Will Barton (health and safety protocols) out

Clippers

SG Paul George (elbow) out
SG Luke Kennard (health and safety protocols) out

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Nuggets at Clippers odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 108, Clippers 101

Money line

PASS with a heavy “lean” to the Nuggets (-155) because I’m confident enough in Denver to just lay the points and don’t want to pay the extra vig for the money line.

However, I’d BET 1 unit on the NUGGETS (-135) FIRST-HALF WINNER. Over the last three games, Denver has a plus-7.7 first-half scoring margin while L.A. has a minus-6.7 first-half scoring margin.

But, the Nuggets have given games back in the second half recently. Denver has a minus-6.7 third-quarter scoring margin over the past three games while L.A. has a plus-4.7 third-quarter scoring margin during that span.

The Clippers outscored the Nuggets 28-15 in Denver’s 3-point victory over L.A. earlier this season, which was the only reason the Nuggets didn’t cover the spread in that game.

The NUGGETS (-135) FIRST-HALF WINNER is my favorite wager here.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the NUGGETS -3.5 (-107) because of Denver’s aforementioned third-quarter struggles.

The Nuggets are trending in a much better direction, mostly due to the Clippers’ injury woes and Denver has owned the L.A. in recent seasons.

Not only did Denver eliminate L.A. from the playoffs two seasons ago, but the Nuggets have beaten the Clippers in three straight meetings, all three in L.A., and covered in two of those games.

This is also just a bad spot for the Clippers who are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 outings following a SU win and 1-4 ATS in their last five versus a team with a winning record.

Over/Under

PASS with a heavy “lean” to the Under 213.5 (-115) because the Nuggets-Clippers look-ahead total was 218 so we’d be getting to the party too late on the Under.

Although the Over has become more popular now (according to Pregame.com) so perhaps there’s still some value in Under 213.5 (-110). Either way, I’m PASSING ON THE TOTAL.

For what it’s worth, Denver has gone Under the total in five of its last six road games and L.A. has the fourth-best adjusted defensive rating in the NBA (per CTG).

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Utah Jazz at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Utah Jazz at Denver Nuggets and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Utah Jazz (27-10) travel to the Mile High City Wednesday for a 10 p.m. ET tip-off with the Denver Nuggets (18-17) at Ball Arena. Below, we look at the Jazz vs. Nuggets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Utah has won six of its last seven games including the Jazz’s most recent victory over the New Orleans Pelicans 115-104 Monday as eight-point favorites.

Utah is 6-1 SU, 2-4-1 ATS and 4-3 O/U over the last two weeks, with the fourth-best adjusted net rating at plus-8.9 points per 100 possessions, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Denver had its three-game win streak snapped and failed to cover as a 3-point underdog its last time out when it lost 103-89 at the Dallas Mavericks Monday.

The Nuggets are 3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS and 1-5 O/U in the last 14 days with the 19th-ranked adjusted net rating at minus-1.5 points per 100 possessions, per CTG.

The Jazz hammered the Nuggets 122-110 as 7.5-point favorites for their third win over the last four meetings with Denver. Utah is 3-1 ATS versus Denver in those games and the Over has cashed in three straight Jazz-Nuggets meetings.

Jazz at Nuggets odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:06 p.m. ET.

Money line: Jazz -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Nuggets +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
Against the spread (ATS): Jazz -2.5 (-115) | Nuggets +2.5 (-107)
Over/Under (O/U): 222.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Jazz at Nuggets key injuries

Jazz

SG Donovan Mitchell (back) probable
SG Jordan Clarkson (back) probable
SF Bojan Bogdanovic (finger) questionable
PF Royce O’Neal (knee) questionable
C Rudy Gobert (shoulder) questionable
C Hassan Whiteside (concussion) questionable
SF Joel Ingles (health and safety protocols) out

Nuggets

PG Monte Morris (health and safety protocols) out
PF Jeff Green (health and safety protocols) out

Jazz at Nuggets odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 112, Jazz 109

Money line

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Nuggets (+120) because I like Denver plus the points in this spot and generally will sprinkle on an underdog’s money line when betting them to cover the spread.

However, I’d need Denver’s money line to be priced north of +150 before taking a shot with the Nuggets to win outright.

Also, the Jazz are by far the best road team at 13-3 SU in away games with the best offensive and defensive efficiency and the second-best ATS margin.

Against the spread

BET the NUGGETS +2.5 (-107) because there’s been significant line movement from the look-ahead number, which was the Jazz favored by 6 points.

The reason for this line movement is because Utah has four starters on the injury report and defending Sixth Man of the Year, Clarkson, and Sixth Man of the Year finalist, Ingles.

Furthermore, both of the Jazz’s bigs — Gobert and Whiteside — are on the injury report, which is a major factor when facing the defending MVP in Denver C Nikola Jokic.

On top of that, Utah is 2-3 ATS on the road vs. teams with a winning record and 3-10-1 ATS in its last 14 visits to Denver.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the UNDER 222.5 (-107) for a half-unit because the Under is 4-0-1 in Utah’s last five as a road favorite, the Under is 5-1 in Denver’s last six overall and this is a Pros vs. Joe’s game in the betting market for the total.

More money is on the Under whereas more bets have been placed on the Over according to pregame.com. Generally, it’s profitable to follow the money especially when it’s flowing in the opposite direction as the public.

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Denver Nuggets at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Denver Nuggets at Dallas Mavericks and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (18-18) host the Denver Nuggets (18-16) Monday at the American Airlines Center for an 8:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Nuggets vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Denver has won three consecutive road games, going 2-1 against the spread (ATS). The Nuggets won at the Los Angeles Clippers, Golden State Warriors and Houston Rockets.

Since Dec. 22, the Nuggets are 3-2 straight-up (SU), 2-3 ATS and 1-4 O/U with the 13th-best non-garbage time net rating at plus-1.3 points per 100 possessions, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Dallas has won back-to-back road games, winning at the Sacramento Kings 112-96 Friday and, in PG Luka Doncic‘s return, at the Oklahoma City Thunder 95-86 Sunday.

Since Dec. 21, the Mavs are 4-3 SU, 4-3 ATS and 3-4 O/U with the 10th-best non-garbage time net rating at plus-10.0 points per 100 possessions.

This is the regular-season rubber match between these teams as the home side won and covered the first two meetings with the O/U going 1-1.

Nuggets at Mavericks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:34 p.m. ET.

Money line: Nuggets +122 (bet $100 to win $122) | Mavericks -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets +2.5 (-105) | Mavericks -2.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 213.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Nuggets at Mavericks key injuries

Nuggets

SF Vlatko Cancar (nasal fracture) probable
PF Jeff Green (health and safety protocols) out
PG Bones Hyland (health and safety protocols) questionable
PG Monte Morris (health and safety protocols) out

Mavericks

PG Trey Burke (health and safety protocols) out
C Boban Marjanovic (health and safety protocols) out
PG Frank Ntilikina (thigh) questionable
PF Kristaps Porzingis (health and safety protocols) out
G Isaiah Thomas (health and safety protocols) out

Nuggets at Mavericks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 107, Nuggets 102

Money line

PASS with a “lean” to the Mavericks (-150) because I only “lean” toward Dallas laying the points and would much prefer to bet the Mavs outright.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the MAVERICKS -2.5 (-120) because they are a lot healthier than the Nuggets.

Don’t sleep on the absence of Morris for Denver. He is second on the Nuggets in adjusted on/off net rating at plus-14.5 points per 100 possessions (per CTG), which grades out in the 95th percentile of point guards.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 213.5 (-115) for 1 unit because there’s some reverse line movement in the betting market of the total.

According to Pregame.com and the Yahoo! Sports app, a vast majority of the market is betting the Over in this game, but the total has been lowered from 214 on the look-ahead line.

Both teams rank in the bottom 10 of points per game, the top 10 of points per game allowed and the bottom eight of pace.

Also, Dallas has gone Under the total in its past seven games as a favorite and Denver have gone Under the total in four of its past five games overall.

UNDER 213.5 (-115) is my favorite wager in this game.

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Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Golden State Warriors (27-7) play their final game of 2021 Thursday night against the Denver Nuggets (17-16). Tip-off is 9:30 p.m. ET at Ball Arena. Below, we look at the Warriors vs. Nuggets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

This is the second straight game for the Warriors against the Nuggets. They lost to the Nuggets 89-86 Tuesday night at home in their worst offensive output of the season. They were missing F Draymond Green due to COVID protocols. They have won six of their last eight games.

The Nuggets have won two straight games but have lost their last two home games. Nikola Jokic had a big game against the Warriors on Tuesday, scoring 22 points and grabbing 19 rebounds. They have to opportunity to win more than two in a row for just the second time this season.

Warriors at Nuggets odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:40 a.m. ET.

Money line: Warriors -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Nuggets +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
Against the spread (ATS): Warriors -4.5 (-110) | Nuggets +4.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 214.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Warriors at Nuggets key injuries

Warriors

F Draymond Green (health and safety protocols) out
G Damion Lee (health and safety protocols) out
G Klay Thompson (Achilles) out
C James Wiseman (knee, health and safety protocols) out

Nuggets

F Vlatko Cancar (illness) questionable
G P.J. Dozier (knee) out
F Aaron Gordon (hamstring) questionable
G Monte Morris (knee) questionable
G Jamal Murray (knee) out
F Michael Porter Jr. (back) out
G Austin Rivers (thumb) questionable

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Warriors at Nuggets odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Warriors 108, Nuggets 101

Money line

The Warriors have not lost consecutive games all season.

The Nuggets have not won more than two games in a row except for a five-game winning streak from Nov. 6-14. However, Golden State is at a disadvantage with the matchup against Jokic.

Take the WARRIORS (-190).

Against the spread

The loss on Tuesday snapped a three-game cover streak for the Warriors. They are 21-11-2 ATS, the second-best ATS record in the league.

The win and cover over the Warriors ended a four-game streak of failing to cover the spread for Denver. The Nuggets are 14-19 ATS and 6-8 ATS at home this season.

Take the WARRIORS -4.5 (-110).

Over/Under

The last four games for the Nuggets have stayed Under the projected total. Opponents have scored 102.3 points per game in that stretch. They are averaging only 98.3 points per game in their last four.

The 86 points the Warriors scored on Tuesday were the fewest all season, although it was the third time in nine games they were held to 100 or fewer points. Before Tuesday’s game, they had scored 113 or more in three straight games.

Take UNDER 212.5 (-107).

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Denver Nuggets at Brooklyn Nets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Denver Nuggets at Brooklyn Nets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Denver Nuggets (15-14) stop by Barclays Center Sunday for a 7:30 p.m. ET game against the Brooklyn Nets (21-9). Below, we look at the Nuggets vs. Nets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Brooklyn has been crippled by the NBA’s health and safety protocols. The Nets are missing 10 players due to COVID. This includes recently reactivated Kyrie Irving, who’s set to return for road games only due to still being unvaccinated.

The Nets had their four-game winning streak snapped last night (Saturday) in a 100-93 loss to the Orlando Magic.

Denver pummeled the Atlanta Hawks 133-115 as 3.5-point road underdogs Friday. The Nuggets are 4-3 overall, 4-3 ATS and 6-1 O/U with the 13th-ranked non-garbage time net rating (plus-0.3 points per 100 possessions) over the past two weeks, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Nuggets at Nets odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:25 a.m. ET.

Money line: Nuggets -550 (bet $550 to win $100) | Nets +400 (bet $100 to win $400)
Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets -9.5 (-105) | Nets +9.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): None at the time of publishing.

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Nuggets at Nets key injuries

Nuggets

None.

Nets

PF Blake Griffin (knee) questionable
C Nicolas Claxton (wrist) questionable
SF Kevin Durant (health and safety protocols) out
SG James Harden (health and safety protocols) out
PG Kyrie Irving (health and safety protocols) out
PF Paul Millsap (health and safety protocols) out
C LaMarcus Aldridge (health and safety protocols) out
PF James Johnson (health and safety protocols) out
SG Joe Harris (ankle) out

Nuggets at Nets odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 120, Nets 99

Money line

PASS even though I don’t see any way the Nets (+400) win this game suiting up a bunch of G-League players.

But, the Nuggets (-550) is still too expensive at the moment just based on the chance Denver has players randomly test positive for COVID.

If the game tips off with the projected starting lineups on the floor, then I’d be comfortable parlaying the Nuggets (-550) with another money line favorite or I guess laying it outright.

Against the spread

TAKING the NUGGETS -9.5 (-105) is the only way to bet this game.

Denver lit up a mostly healthy Atlanta team its last time out and the Nuggets offense has improved lately hence the Over being 5-0 in Denver’s last five as a favorite.

It would take a career game from Nets PG Patty Mills, a throwback performance out of Blake Griffin and a complete no-show from the Nuggets for Brooklyn to have any shot in this one.

Over/Under

No total listed at the time of publishing. You might not see a total until closer to game time when there’s more clarity on who’s available to play.

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Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Timberwolves (12-15) travel to the Ball Arena Wednesday to play the Denver Nuggets (14-13) at 9 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Timberwolves vs. Nuggets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Minnesota ended a five-game losing skid Sunday with a 116-111 win at the Portland Trail Blazers as 3-point road underdogs.

In December, the T-Wolves are 1-5 straight-up (SU), 2-3 ATS and 4-1 O/U with the third-worst efficiency differential (minus-12.2 points per 100 possessions), according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Denver has won back-to-back games at the San Antonio Spurs this past weekend and vs. the Washington Wizards Monday. The Nuggets are 4-3 SU, 4-3 ATS and 6-1 O/U with the 13th-ranked efficiency differential (plus-2.3 points per 100 possessions) this month, per CTG.

The Nuggets have beaten the T-Wolves in 12 straight games, including their first meeting this season, 93-91, Oct. 30 as 1.5-point road underdogs.

Timberwolves at Nuggets odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:25 p.m. ET.

Money line: Timberwolves +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Nuggets -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves +4.5 (-110) | Nuggets -4.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 223.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Timberwolves at Nuggets key injuries

Timberwolves

None.

Nuggets

PF Aaron Gordon (back) probable
SG Will Barton (illness) probable

Timberwolves at Nuggets odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 116, Timberwolves 108

Money line

PASS because the Nuggets (-190) is too expensive for an NBA regular-season favorite – even if Denver has won 12 straight over Minnesota. Also, I only “lean” to the Nuggets laying the points so I wouldn’t risk nearly two-to-one for an outright victory.

Furthermore, the T-Wolves actually have the most efficient 5-man lineup in the NBA (CTG), and it hasn’t been confirmed if Barton and Gordon can play yet for the Nuggets.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the NUGGETS -4.5 (-110) for a half-unit because they’ve owned the T-Wolves since the beginning of 2018-19 and continue to match up very well against Minnesota.

For instance, the T-Wolves attempt the second-most 3-pointers per game and have the 23rd-best 3-point percentage. While the Nuggets are eighth in both 3-pointers allowed per game and 3-point shooting percentage.

Moreover, Minnesota crashes the glass on misses and has the fourth-highest offensive rebounding rate in the Association. But, Denver has the fifth-highest defensive rebounding rate and allows the fewest second-chance points per game.

Most importantly, the T-Wolves looked like a feisty, up-and-coming team entering December but lost their first five games this month, all against teams with a winning record.

Not only is Denver trending better than Minnesota but the Nuggets could also be getting a little healthier for this game.

“LEAN” to the NUGGETS -4.5 (-110) and I’d upgrade that to a “like” if Barton and Gordon are active Wednesday.

Over/Under

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 223.5 (-112) because I much prefer the Denver side more than the total, and we are getting to the party way late. According to Pregame.com, the lookahead line for this total was 218 and has already been steamed up by “sharp money“.

Also, the Over has cashed in Minnesota’s last four games and in Denver’s last four games as a favorite. Plus both teams grade below the 50th percentile in transition offense so I don’t expect an up-and-down game.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Washington Wizards at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Washington Wizards at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Washington Wizards (15-12) travel to the Mile High City Monday to play the Denver Nuggets (13-13) at Ball Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Wizards vs. Nuggets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Washington is 2-5 straight-up (SU), 1-5-1 ATS and 5-1-1 O/U with the 26th-ranked non-garbage time net rating over the past two weeks, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG). The Wizards were trounced 123-98 Saturday at home by the Utah Jazz in their last outing.

In the last 14 days, Denver is 4-3 SU/ATS and 6-1 O/U with the 16th-ranked non-garbage time-efficiency differential. The Nuggets split a back-to-back with the San Antonio Spurs Thursday and Saturday, winning the second meeting 127-112.

The Wizards have beat and covered against the Nuggets in four of their last five meetings, including three straight win/covers.

Wizards at Nuggets odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:01 p.m. ET.

Money line: Wizards +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Nuggets -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Wizards +3.5 (-107) | Nuggets -3.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 216.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Wizards at Nuggets key injuries

Wizards

PF Kyle Kuzma (health and safety protocols) out

Nuggets

SG Will Barton (illness) questionable
PF Aaron Gordon (back) questionable
PF JaMychal Green (ankle) doubtful

Wizards at Nuggets odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 109, Wizards 101

Money line

PASS since I’m on Denver to win and cover, but I’m not confident enough to lay it with the Nuggets (-170) especially if Barton misses the game. Barton is the only Nuggets player aside from C Nikola Jokic who can create his own look.

Against the spread

“LEAN” NUGGETS -3.5 (-115) because the Wizards have the second-worst road cover rate at 4-10-1 ATS with a minus-2.8 spread differential.

Washington has begun to fall back down to earth recently and it isn’t as good as its record indicates.

Also, Washington has the second-highest win differential at plus-2.9 wins, which basically means the Wizards have three more wins than their efficiency differential suggests.

The Nuggets play better at home and are probably eager to get back in front of their home crowd following a seven-game road trip. Denver is 7-4 SU at home with a plus-2.9 points per 100 possessions in non-garbage time and the 10th-best ATS margin, per CTG.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 216.5 (-110), which is my favorite wager in this game because there’s a “line freeze” in the betting market and the officiating crew assigned to this game has a combined 8-22 O/U record.

According to Pregame.com and the Yahoo! Sports app, a vast majority of the market is betting the Over, yet the total hasn’t budged off the opener.

Typically, sportsbooks will adjust the lines according to their liability. But since the House seemingly wants more pro-Over money, I say we go the other way and BET UNDER 216.5 (-110).

Also, both of these teams play at a bottom-six pace and fewer possessions mean fewer points, generally.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Denver Nuggets at Chicago Bulls odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Denver Nuggets at Chicago Bulls odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Denver Nuggets (11-11) visit the Windy City Monday for an 8 p.m. ET tip-off at United Center with the Chicago Bulls (16-8). Below, we look at the Nuggets vs. Bulls odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

This is Denver’s fourth game of a seven-game road trip and the Nuggets are 2-1 overall and ATS thus far. Reigning MVP Nikola Jokic returned from a strained wrist injury to start the road swing. The Nuggets are 9-13 ATS and 11-11 O/U with the 16th-best net rating.

Chicago has won four of the past five games including three straight over the Charlotte Hornets, New York Knicks and Brooklyn Nets. The Bulls are 16-8 ATS and 11-13 O/U with the fourth-best net rating.

The Bulls beat the Nuggets 114-108 in their first meeting of the season (Nov. 19), but Jokic didn’t suit up for that game. Chicago’s two leading scorers—Zach LaVine and DeMar DeRozan—combined for 62 points against Denver earlier this season.

Nuggets at Bulls odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:36 a.m. ET.

Money line: Nuggets +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Bulls -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets +3.5 (-105) | Bulls -3.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 217.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Nuggets at Bulls key injuries

Nuggets

SG Austin Rivers (health and safety protocols) out

Bulls

SG Alex Caruso (hamstring) doubtful
PG Coby White (health and safety protocols) out

Nuggets at Bulls odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Bulls 117, Nuggets 106

Money line

PASS with a heavy “lean” toward the Bulls (-175) because they match up very well against the Nuggets and this is on the fringe of my price range for an NBA regular-season money line favorite.

However, the Bulls match up so well with the Nuggets that I’ll chase the value with Chicago’s spread instead of spending extra for the pricey money line.

Against the spread

BET BULLS -3.5 (-120) because there are a few strength-on-weaknesses edges for Chicago.

The Bulls can pick-and-roll the Nuggets to death. Chicago runs the fifth-most pick-and-roll action through both the ball handler and the roll man. Denver’s pick-and-roll defense vs. the roll man grades in the 34.5th percentile and 27.6th percentile vs. the ball handler.

According to ShotQuality.com, Chicago generates the fourth-most shots out of pick-and-roll screens, while Denver’s defense allows the second-worst shot quality vs. pick-and-roll screens.

Also, the Bulls should feast in the mid-range. Chicago’s top-two scorers (LaVine and DeRozan) operate in the mid-range and the Bulls attempt the sixth-highest volume of mid-range jumpers, per CleaningTheGlass.com. Denver is 26th in defensive field-goal percentage vs. mid-range field goals.

The only hesitation I have with the BULLS -3.5 (-120) is the significant “reverse line movement” in Denver’s direction. A vast majority of the market is hammering Chicago here but the Bulls are getting cheaper. It’s a red flag whenever sportsbooks make the more popular side cheaper.

Chicago’s edges over Denver in this matchup are too overwhelming to pass on the BULLS -3.5 (-120).

Over/Under

PASS because the Over 217.5 (-108) is my preferred play on the total but we’d be getting to the party too late. The Nuggets-Bulls game opened with a 214-point total but has been steamed up by the market.

The basketball logic for the Over is Chicago will get buckets through pick-and-roll action and mid-range jumpers. But Denver runs a lot of post plays and is highly efficient in post-up offense whereas Chicago’s defense can struggle vs. post-up offense.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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