Tag: Dayton Flyers betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Cincinnati vs. Dayton odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Cincinnati vs. Dayton odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The No. 20 Cincinnati Bearcats (8-1) and the No. 24 Dayton Flyers (10-2) meet Friday at the Heritage Bank Center in Cincinnati in what is technically a neutral-site game. Tip-off is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (ESPNU). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Cincinnati vs. Dayton odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

This game is being played in Cincinnati, but it is not included in either team’s season-ticket package, and technically considered a neutral-site game.

The last time Cincinnati was ranked while facing another ranked team was in 2019 with the Bearcats topping then-No. 11 Houston 69-57 in the AAC title game. The Bearcats haven’t faced a ranked team this season.

Dayton will be playing a ranked team for the fifth time this season. It has losses against ranked North Carolina Tar Heels and Iowa State Cyclones teams, while it has topped Big East powers in the Marquette Golden Eagles and UConn Huskies.

UC is coming off a 68-65 win over the Xavier Muskateers in the Skyline Chili Crosstown Shootout last Saturday, but the Bearcats have failed to cash in 4 straight outings. The Under is 7-1 in the past 8 games, too.

For the Flyers, they topped UNLV Rebels 66-65 on Tuesday despite the fact they were favored by 10.5 points. Dayton has won 5 in a row, but it is just 2-2 against the spread (ATS) in the past 4 outings. The Under has hit in the previous 2 games.

– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll

Stream select live college basketball games and full replays: Get ESPN+

Cincinnati vs. Dayton odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds. Lines last updated at 6:28 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cincinnati -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Dayton +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Against the spread: Cincinnati -3.5 (-110) | Dayton +3.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 138.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Cincinnati vs. Dayton picks and predictions

Prediction

Dayton 70, Cincinnati 66

Moneyline

While yes, this game is technically in the Queen City, DAYTON (+135) is easily the more battle-tested team this season. The Flyers won’t be fazed by playing in Cincinnati (-165), and it’s rather surprising to see the team with the better resume as the underdog. Take advantage.

Against the spread

BACK DAYTON +3.5 (-110) catching the points if you can’t trust it straight up. The window isn’t huge, but there is a little wiggle room in the result of a close Cincinnati -3.5 (-110) victory.

Dayton is 6-2 ATS in the past 8 games, and 8-3 ATS on the season, while Cincinnati has failed to cover the past 4 outings. In addition, the Flyers won 82-68 in last season’s resumption of the series, winning outright as a 5.5-point underdog, so there’s that.

Over/Under

UNDER 138.5 (-105) is the lean, but only go with a half-unit play at best.

The Under has dominated for the Flyers, cashing in 7 of the past 8 since an Over result in the opener against the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions.

The Under has hit in the past 2 games for the Bearcats, too, although the Over has dominated for UC for the most part.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:
Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / Duke / Florida / Florida State / Georgia / Iowa / Kentucky / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / UCLA / USC / Washington / Wisconsin / Recruiting / Transfer portal / College Football Playoffs / College Sports Wire / High School

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UNLV at Dayton odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s UNLV at Dayton odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (5-4) and the No. 24 Dayton Flyers (9-2) meet Tuesday at UD Arena. Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the UNLV vs. Dayton odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

UNLV picked up a 72-65 win over the visiting Pacific Tigers Saturday, but it failed to cover as a 12.5-point favorite while the Under (139) hit. The Rebels have been struggling against the number, going 0-5 against the spread (ATS) in the past 5 games, while going 1-7-1 ATS in the past 9 outings. The Under is 5-1 in the past 6 contest, too.

Dayton surprised the Marquette Golden Eagles last time out on Saturday, winning 71-63 as a 1-point home favorite while the Under (149) cashed. The Flyers have been on fire against the number, going 6-1 ATS in the past 7 games, while going 8-2 ATS this season. The Over is 5-1 in the past 6 outings, while cashing at a 7-2-1 clip this season.

– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll

Stream select live college basketball games and full replays: Get ESPN+

UNLV at Dayton odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds. Lines last updated at 8:18 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): UNLV +525 (bet $100 to win $525) | Dayton -750 (bet $750 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: UNLV +11.5 (-110) | Dayton -11.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 141.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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UNLV at Dayton picks and predictions

Prediction

Dayton 79, UNLV 65

Moneyline

Dayton (-750) will cost you 7½ times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not enough reward. Even as part of a multi-leg parlay, including UD sucks all of the value out of your ticket.

AVOID.

Against the spread

Play DAYTON -11.5 (-110) is a strong play laying the double digits at home.

For UNLV +11.5 (-110), it has failed to cover in a 5 in a row, while going 1-7-1 ATS in 9 games this season. As a double-digit underdog, UNLV lost 83-65 at Creighton Dec. 7, and you can expect a similar result in this battle.

On the flip side, Dayton is 6-1 ATS in the past 7 games, and it is 2-1 ATS in the past 3 games as a double-digit favorite.

The Flyers have only lost to North Carolina and Iowa State in Hawaii, while they topped UConn by 18 points Nov. 28.

Over/Under

OVER 141.5 (-105) is worth a look in this battle in Ohio.

Dayton has been on fire with the Over cashing in 5 of the past 6 games, going for 74 or more points in 8 of the past 9 games. The Flyers hit field goals at a 49.8% clip, among the best marks in the nation.

Be careful not to get carried away, though, as UNLV has cashed low in 5 of the past 6 outings. UNLV has coughed up 80 or more points in 2 of the past 4 games.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:
Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / Duke / Florida / Florida State / Georgia / Iowa / Kentucky / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / UCLA / USC / Washington / Wisconsin / Recruiting / Transfer portal / College Football Playoffs / College Sports Wire / High School

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Marquette at Dayton odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Marquette at Dayton odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Marquette Golden Eagles (9-1) and Dayton Flyers (8-2) clash in a Saturday showdown at UD Arena. The opening tip-off will be at 7 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Marquette vs. Dayton odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

Marquette, which is No. 4 in the USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll, lost 81-70 at No. 3 Iowa State Dec. 4 but bounced back with an 88-74  comeback win over then-No. 11, now-No. 22 Wisconsin Dec. 7. The Eagles covered as 6.5-point home favorites vs. the Badgers, dominating the final 20 minutes after trailing 39-37 at the half.

Dayton has also been off for 7 days following an 86-62 home win vs. Lehigh 86-62 as a 22-point favorite. The Flyers, who have not lost at home since Feb. 25, 2023, are taking on their fourth ranked foe this season. Included in that set of games is an 85-67 late-November triumph over then-No. 2 UConn in Maui.

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Marquette at Dayton odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds. Lines last updated at 3:01 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Marquette +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Dayton -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Marquette +1.5 (-120) | Dayton -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 150.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Marquette at Dayton picks and predictions

Prediction

Marquette 79, Dayton 76

Moneyline

BET MARQUETTE (+100).

These are a couple high-quality programs, and the advantage is small here but it is a lean on the visiting Marquette 5. Dayton has played a schedule especially light on tough opposing defenses. Saturday, the Flyers will see a Marquette defense BartTorvik pegs as 16th in the nation in efficiency.

The Eagles have a big size advantage, and that should loom as a key against a Flyer squad that likes to shoot from the perimeter or drive the lane. The UD finishes on those drives could be a frustrating disadvantage for the home side.

Marquette has shot well from distance in road/neutral games, and the Eagles take good care of the basketball (as does Dayton).

Dayton is getting some credit because of its 23-game home winning streak. Expect a close game, but one that sees the visitors edge the Flyers by 3-6 points.

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Against the spread

PASS … unless you want the insurance of taking 1.5 points with Marquette, but it comes with -120 juice.

Over/Under

The Over has cashed in 5 straight Dayton games and is 3-1 across Marquette’s last 4.

Looking at the tempo numbers, this matchup features slightly-slower-than-average UD against slightly-faster-than-average MU. We should expect a high rim-and-3 rate for the Eagles and a decent number of tosses from the charity stripe from the Flyers. Both teams can launch it from distance and go on quick 8-2 runs at any point.

BACK OVER 150.5 (-105).

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College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:
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UConn vs. Dayton odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s UConn vs. Dayton odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The No. 2 UConn Huskies (4-2) battle the Dayton Flyers (5-2) on Wednesday in the seventh-place game of the Maui Invitational. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the UConn vs. Dayton odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

UConn has lost back-to-back games after being upset 73-72 by the Colorado Buffaloes on Tuesday and failing to cover as a 14.5-point favorite a day after losing 99-97 in overtime to the Memphis Tigers. F Liam McNeeley led all scorers with 20 points while the Huskies shot 48.1% from the field.

Dayton has dropped back-to-back games after losing 89-84 against the Iowa State Cyclones on Tuesday, but covering as a 9.5-point underdog. G Malachi Smith‘s team-high 22 points led 4 Flyers’ starters scoring in double figures.

– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll

Stream select live college basketball games and full replays: Get ESPN+

UConn vs. Dayton odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds  Lines last updated at 12:26 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): UConn -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | Dayton +240 (bet $100 to win $240)
  • Against the spread (ATS): UConn -6.5 (-120) | Dayton +6.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 147.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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UConn vs. Dayton picks and predictions

Prediction

UConn 81, Dayton 73

Moneyline

PASS.

There is no value on UConn (-300) to win on Wednesday.

Against the spread

LEAN UCONN -6.5 (-120).

The Huskies are a heavy favorite in this matchup, but after losing back-to-back games they have started to lose the confidence of bettors. They face a Dayton team that has lost by 5 points to a top-10 Iowa State team and 12 points to a top-20 UNC team. Dayton has covered in each of its last 3 games.

Over/Under

BET OVER 147.5 (-110).

The Flyers have scored 90 and 84 points in back-to-back games against 2 solid teams while allowing 92 and 89. The Huskies have hit the Over in back-to-back games and have scored at least 72 points in every game this season.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:
Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / Duke / Florida / Florida State / Georgia / Iowa / Kentucky / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / UCLA / USC / Washington / Wisconsin / Recruiting / Transfer portal / College Football Playoffs / College Sports Wire / High School

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Iowa State vs. Dayton odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Iowa State vs. Dayton odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Iowa State Cyclones (3-1) and Dayton Flyers (5-1) are lined up for a Maui Invitational losers’-bracket battle Tuesday in Lahaina, Hawaii. The opening tip-off at the Lahaina Civic Center is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (ESPNU). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Iowa State vs. Dayton odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

Iowa State, which is No. 6 in the USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll, lost to No. 3 Auburn 83-81 (ISU cover as a +3.5) in a Monday first-round tournament game. The Cyclones — who had previously routed 3 teams outside the BartTorvik top 200 — led for much of the top-10 tussle but were undone by an 11-2 Tigers run beginning at the 6:42 mark of the second half. Senior G Keshon Gilbert went 8-for-10 from the field and scored a game-high 23 points.

Dayton gave a game effort against No. 13 North Carolina in the last contest on the Monday Maui slate. The Flyers maintained a lead in the teens for much of the middle of the game, but favored-by-9.5 UNC pulled off a come-from-behind 92-90 victory. UD made a season-high 14 triples in the uptempo contest; the Flyers have shot 39% from distance over their last 3 games.

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Iowa State vs. Dayton odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds  Lines last updated at 11:25 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Iowa State -400 (bet $400 to win $100) | Dayton +310 (bet $100 to win $310)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Iowa State -8.5 (-115) | Dayton +8.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 142.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Iowa State vs. Dayton picks and predictions

Prediction

Iowa State 74, Dayton 65

Moneyline

No interest. PASS.

Against the spread

Iowa State is 6-3 ATS over its last 9 games when lined as a single-digit favorite.

Peg the Cyclones as having enough edge in the rim-and-3 and free-throw frequency departments to edge Dayton by nearly 10 points in this one. But the betting edge is a slim one. Consider a partial-unit play on IOWA STATE -8.5 (-115).

Over/Under

For Iowa State, the Over 144.5 cashed in Monday’s game against uptempo Auburn. But dating back to last season, the Cyclones had played 5 straight games landing as Unders.

Dayton’s Monday game did a fly-by on a total of 158.5, but the Flyers — 280th in BartTorvik’s adjusted pace rating through 6 games — are a perennial bottom-third team when it comes to tempo.

Shot analytics peg ISU’s early offense as being a bit too overcooked. And UD’s offense may be getting a tad too much love after the Monday race with the Tar Heels.

BACK THE UNDER 142.5 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:
Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / Duke / Florida / Florida State / Georgia / Iowa / Kentucky / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / UCLA / USC / Washington / Wisconsin / Recruiting / Transfer portal / College Football Playoffs / College Sports Wire / High School

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Dayton vs. North Carolina odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Dayton vs. North Carolina odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Dayton Flyers (5-0) and No. 12 North Carolina Tar Heels (3-1) meet Monday in a first-round game of the holiday-week Maui Invitational in Honolulu. The opening tip at the Lahaina Civic Center is slated for 11:30 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Dayton vs. North Carolina odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

Dayton last played on Wednesday, clocking a home-floor triumph over the 15.5-point underdog New Mexico Lobos. The Flyers drained a season-high 10 triples and were a rebounding plus-9 in winning 74-53. A high-frequency team when it comes to launching 3s, Dayton shot just 27.8% from distance over its first 3 games; they have connected on 36% of their treys in 2 games since.

North Carolina has already played a game in Hawaii. On Friday night (Saturday 12:30 a.m. ET start time), the Tar Heels covered a -15.5 spread in knocking off Hawaii 87-69. UNC survived an iffy rebounding night, allowing 15 UH offensive boards, by shooting 56.5% (effective) from the field, getting to the foul line 34 times and logging a plus-8 in turnover margin.

– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll(*-new rankings to be released Monday afternoon)

Stream select live college basketball games and full replays: Get ESPN+

Dayton vs. North Carolina odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds. Lines last updated at 1:29 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Dayton +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | North Carolina -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Dayton +7.5 (-115) | North Carolina -7.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 155.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Dayton vs. North Carolina picks and predictions

Prediction

North Carolina 80, Dayton 70

Moneyline

No interest. PASS.

Against the spread

North Carolina is 6-2 ATS over its last 8 November games. Over its last 5 games when lined as an underdog of 5 points or more, Dayton is 1-3-1.

The Flyers’ 3-point shooting has been better in its last 2 games, but 1 of those games was against a D-III foe (Capital on Nov. 16) and UD’s overall perimeter game has not been what the smaller five needs to compete at a perhaps-top-25 level. Dayton enters Monday’s tilt shooting just 30.1% from distance. UD has also been leaving some points on the board when launching uncontested 15-footers: the Flyers have shot just 62% from the free-throw line.

UNC does not need the perimeter game cranking to be a highly effective offense. And the Tar Heels have a big size advantage in this matchup. They also have a few days’ advantage when it comes to the travel acclimation for this game.

Dayton has often played in these high-profile, resort-town tournaments in November, but usually the Flyers have played a slightly tougher early slate to perhaps be a bit more up to speed. That’s not the case this November. UD’s toughest foe so far has been KenPom No. 62 Northwestern (Nov. 9), and the Flyers trailed the Wildcats heading into the last 8 minutes of a home game against them before winning 71-66.

Up-tempo North Carolina has enough of a chance to bang out a double-digit win here that the value is on that side.

BACK THE TAR HEELS -7.5 (-105).

Over/Under

The last 11 times Dayton has been an underdog, the Under has gone 9-2.

These are 2 veteran teams that take good care of the basketball. The pace comparison makes for a sharp contrast with slow and deliberate UD up against quick-trigger UNC.

But Dayton’s defense looks to be ahead of its offense so far. With the neutral floor and perhaps some schedule-induced reasoning for throttling back late in the game, the UNDER 155.5 (-105) is the value side here.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:
Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / Duke / Florida / Florida State / Georgia / Iowa / Kentucky / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / UCLA / USC / Washington / Wisconsin / Recruiting / Transfer portal / College Football Playoffs / College Sports Wire / High School

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March Madness: Dayton vs. Arizona odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Dayton vs. Arizona odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Dayton Flyers (25-7) and Arizona Wildcats (26-8) start off Saturday’s NCAA Tournament 2nd-round action. Tip-off from the Delta Center in Salt Lake City is slated for 12:45 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dayton vs. Arizona odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Dayton, the 7th seed in the West Region, rallied from a 17-point deficit to beat 10th-seeded Nevada 63-60 in the 1st round Thursday. UD trailed 56-39 with 7:15 to go in the 2nd half before going on a 24-4 run to close the game  and stun the Wolf Pack, who went ice-cold from the field down the stretch.

The Flyers hit 45.7% from the field, and 42.1% (8 of 19) from behind the 3-point line, while converting 13 of 15 free throws (86.7%). F DaRon Holmes scored 8 of his game-high 18 points during the final run. Dayton was a 1-point underdog and the Under (137) hit.

Arizona, the No. 2 seed, scorched 15th-seeded Long Beach State 85-65 Thursday — the Wildcats pushed as 20-point favorites and the Under (163) cashed. Despite the push, Arizona is a healthy 7-3-2 against the spread (ATS) in the past 12 games, while the Under has connected in 4 in a row, and 7 of the past 9 outings.

The Wildcats had 5 players — all starters — go for double-digit scoring totals, led by G Kylan Boswell’s 20 points, including 4 3-pointers. Arizona was 37.1% behind the arc, hitting 13 of 35 attempts.

Arizona is No. 9 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll, while Dayton fell out of the Top 25 following a A-10 quarterfinal loss to Duquesne — the Flyers had been ranked most of the season, climbing as high as No. 16.

Dayton vs. Arizona odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook’s; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 5:49 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dayton +375 (bet $100 to win $375) | Arizona -500 (bet $500 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Dayton +9.5 (-105) | Arizona -9.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 149.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Dayton vs. Arizona and predictions

Prediction

Arizona 80, Dayton 63

Moneyline

Arizona (-500) costs too much to play straight up. One would have to risk 5 times the potential profit. As a long-term betting strategy, that’s just a losing way to go.

Dayton (+375) cannot be trusted for the big upset. It is lucky to be here and probably shouldn’t even be in this game, but Nevada played not to lose once it had a big lead Thursday, rather than playing to win.

Don’t get me wrong. The Flyers are a talented team which made noise at times, but the Wildcats are just too strong from top to bottom, and size will make a huge difference.

PASS.

Against the spread

ARIZONA -9.5 (-115) is a strong play laying the points. The Wildcats took care of business in their opener against Long Beach State, not playing down to the competition, but playing their game and dictating the tempo. The Wildcats have been a team playing free, letting talent take over, and not worrying about adjusting to the style of the opponent.

Dayton dug itself out of a deep hole against Nevada in the 1st round. That’s great, and it was a solid effort and comeback. The Flyers can’t afford to do that against the ‘Cats, or they will get buried by a more talented squad.

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Over/Under

UNDER 149.5 (-110) might be the best play on the board.

The Under has hit in 4 straight games for the Wildcats as the defense has picked up the pace. Arizona has allowed 67 or fewer points in those 4 outings, and in 6 of the past 8. Arizona has tremendous size in the interior, and it is likely to push Dayton around a bit.

The Flyers won a Under game against the Wolf Pack in the 1st round, and the Under cashed an vs. Duquesne in the A-10 Tournament loss. Prior to the conference tournament, the Over was on a 6-0 run for Dayton to close out the regular season. But the Flyers are facing much better teams in the postseason. Look for the total to go Under again in Round 2.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:
Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / Florida / Georgia / Iowa / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / USC / Wisconsin /
College Sports Wire: Men’s hoops / Women’s hoops / High School

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March Madness: Nevada vs. Dayton odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Nevada vs. Dayton odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Nevada Wolf Pack (26-7) and Dayton Flyers (24-7) meet Thursday for an NCAA Tournament first-round game. Tip-off from the Delta Center in Salt Lake City is scheduled for approximately 4:30 p.m. ET (TBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nevada vs. Dayton odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Nevada, the 10th seed in the West Region, won the final 7 games of the regular season, but it lost 85-78 against Colorado State in the 1st game of the Mountain West Tournament. Still, the Wolf Pack have posted an impressive 6-2 against the spread (ATS) mark in the past 8 games while going 9-3 ATS in the previous 12 outings. The Over has cashed in 6 in a row for the Pack.

No. 7 seed Dayton was stunned in the Atlantic 10 Tournament in the 1st game by Duquesne, which eventually went on to win the tourney. Still, UD has managed just a 3-3 straight up (SU) mark across the past 6 outings while going 2-5 ATS in the past 7 contests. The Over is on a 6-1 run for the Flyers.

This is the 1st time in school history that these teams have met each other on the hardwood.

– Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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Nevada vs. Dayton odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook’s; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 10:40 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nevada -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Dayton +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Nevada -1.5 (-105) | Dayton +1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 136.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Nevada vs. Dayton and predictions

Prediction

Nevada 75, Dayton 70

Moneyline

NEVADA (-120) is worth playing straight up, if you don’t want to fool around with the small amount of points.

The Wolf Pack are the lower seed, but the slight favorites. Nevada has been playing arguably better basketball than the Flyers, going 7-1 SU in the past 8 games, while going 10-2 SU in 12 games dating back to Feb. 2.

Dayton (+100) limped to the finish line of the regular season, dropping 3 of the final 8 games, while getting ousted by Duquesne in the A-10 quarterfinals last Thursday.

Against the spread

NEVADA -1.5 (-105) is slightly cheaper laying the little bit of points. Unless you’re dead set on Nevada winning, but only by a single point, then betting the moneyline over the spread makes sense. If not, save a little bit, and take Nevada to cover.

Dayton +1.5 (-115) is just 2-5 ATS in the past 7 games, while Nevada has managed an impressive 6-2 ATS mark in the previous 8 outings.

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Over/Under

OVER 136.5 (-110) might be the best play on the board.

The Over has connected in 6 consecutive games for the Wolf Pack, with UNR going for 74 or more points in each of the past 7 contests.

The Over has been a frequent occurrence for the Flyers, too, cashing in 6 of the past 7 games, while going 10-4-1 in the past 15 outings.

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VCU at Dayton odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s VCU at Dayton odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The VCU Rams (19-11, 11-6 A-10) and Dayton Flyers (23-6, 13-4) meet Friday in the regular-season finale in Atlantic-10 Conference play. Tip-off at UD Arena will be at 7 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the VCU vs. Dayton odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Virginia Commonwealth is coming off a sloppy Tuesday home loss to Duquesne and has lost 2 in a row. VCU was outscored 28-18 over the final 15 minutes of a 69-59 setback to the Dukes, who were 5-point underdogs.

Dayton scored a season-high 100 points in covering a 9 1/2-point spread at Saint Louis Tuesday. Riding an 18-of-33 performance from beyond the arc, the Flyers defeated the Billikens 100-83 and snapped a 3-game road losing skid that began at VCU Feb. 9.

The Rams defeated the Flyers 49-47 as a 2-point underdog in that game last month. VCU is 3-1 straight up and 3-1 against the spread (ATS) across the last 4 series meetings.

– Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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VCU at Dayton odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:29 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: VCU +290 (bet $100 to win $290) | Dayton -375 (bet $375 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): VCU +7.5 (-105) | Dayton -7.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 137.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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VCU at Dayton picks and predictions

Prediction

Dayton 69, VCU 63

Moneyline

No value here; move along. PASS.

Against the spread

The Rams are 11-6 ATS in league play. Dayton has gone 4-8 ATS when looking to earn back-to-back A-10 straight-up wins.

VCU has had the Flyers’ number in recent years. Against the number, the Rams are 3-1 since 2023 and 7-2 since 2021. At UD Arena, Virginia Commonwealth is 4-1 ATS across its last 5 visits.

The Rams are solid defensively, especially defending the outside shot. That figures to loom large in this contest.

Expect a Dayton win in the 5-to-8-point range. So, the leverage here isn’t great, but VCU +7.5 (-105) is on the value side of the ledger.

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Over/Under

The Under is 6-2 across VCU’s 8 road games. And the Under is 5-1 in the last half-dozen games of this series.

The Under 135 easily cashed in the Feb. 9 meeting. And recent VCU games against the A-10’s best teams have resulted in a decided Under lean.

Friday’s Rams-Flyers tilt seems destined for a slow pace and dogged attention to shooters along the perimeter.

TAKE THE UNDER 137.5 (-110).

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Dayton at Saint Louis odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Dayton at Saint Louis odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Dayton Flyers (22-6, 12-4 Atlantic-10) and Saint Louis Billikens (11-18, 4-12) tussle Tuesday night. Tip-off from Chaifetz Arena will be at 9 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dayton vs. Saint Louis odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Dayton lost at Loyola-Chicago Friday and has dropped out of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll after spending 7 weeks mostly ranked in the teens. The favored-by-1 Flyers were undone by 20 turnovers in a 77-72 loss to the Ramblers. UD has lost 3 straight road games.

Saint Louis snapped a 4-game against-the-spread (ATS) losing streak Saturday. The Billikens, who were 2½-point underdogs, won 94-91 at the Rhode Island Rams.

SLU heads into Tuesday’s contest looking to avenge a 70-65 loss in Dayton Jan. 16.

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Dayton at Saint Louis odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:35 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Dayton -500 (bet $500 to win $100) | Saint Louis +375 (bet $100 to win $375)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Dayton -8.5 (-110) | Saint Louis +8.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 151.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Dayton at Saint Louis picks and predictions

Prediction

Dayton 81, Saint Louis 67

Moneyline

Avoid the extra juice here; PASS.

Against the spread

SLU covered as a +12 in the Jan. 16 contest at UD and defeated these Flyers 65-61 at home March 3, 2023. But the public looks to be overvaluing the Billikens in this spot and over-weighing Dayton’s recent road setbacks.

Across its last 20 games against teams with losing records, UD is 14-6 ATS. SLU is 5-11 ATS in A-10 games and 0-5 ATS when looking to avenge a road loss.

The 3 recent road losses for the Flyers are marked — in order — by outlier poor distance shooting, outlier poor shooting inside the arc and outlier ballhandling. After its last 3 road losses, Dayton has responded with an ATS win.

Recent double-digit home losses to VCU Feb. 16 and Richmond Wednesday don’t bode well for Saint Louis. The Rams and Spiders are outside the KenPom top 75; UD currently sits at No. 27.

BACK THE FLYERS -8.5 (-110).

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Over/Under

This series has seen 3 straight Unders and the Under going 5-1 across the last 6 meetings.

SLU plays at a fast pace, and UD plays at a slow one. Both teams can drill 3s at a healthy rate, but peg the Billikens as being due some accuracy regression in that department. Look for the Flyers to button up on turnovers, especially against a Saint Louis 5 that ranks as bottom 60 in frequency of turnovers forced, according to BartTorvik.com.

Consider a partial-unit play on the UNDER 151.5 (-110).

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