David Benavidez vs. Caleb Plant odds, picks and predictions

Breaking down Saturday’s David Benavidez vs. Caleb Plant super middleweight title fight, with boxing odds, picks and predictions.

In a 12-round WBC super middleweight championship bout, David Benavidez squares off with Caleb Plant at MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas on Saturday. The fight card is scheduled to begin at 9 p.m. ET, with the main event approximately at 11 p.m. ET (Showtime PPV). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Benavidez vs. Plant odds, and make our expert boxing picks and predictions.

Benavidez puts his WBC interim world super middleweight strap on the line Saturday in Las Vegas. He has recorded 3 consecutive TKO victories, with the most recent coming against David Lemieux at Gila River Arena in Glendale, Ariz. in May 2022.

Plant bounced back from a TKO loss against Saul “Canelo” Alvarez in Nov. 2021, taking care of Anthony Dirrell via knockout at Barclays Center in Brooklyn last time out in mid-October 2022. Just 1 of his past 5 fights has ended up going the distance.

Benavidez vs. Plant odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Benavidez -420 (bet $420 to win $100) | Plant +270 (bet $100 to win $270)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 rounds (Over -120 | Under -113)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +150 | No -230)

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Benavidez vs. Plant picks and predictions

Records: Benavidez (26-0-0, 23 KOs) | Plant (22-1-0, 13 KOs)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Playing Benavidez (-420) will cost you more than 4 times your potential return, and that’s way too expensive for a singular wager.

If you like the heavy favorite, look to the method of victory instead. BENAVIDEZ BY KO/TKO (-150) is a much better value. Only 3 of his 26 fights have ended up going the distance, while recording 23 knockout wins.

Over/Under (O/U)

No (-230): Fight to go the distance is much too expensive, costing more than 2 times your potential return.

Instead, let’s go with a round range bet. Plant will make Benavidez work, moving around frequently. This could be a very close fight early on. However, expect Benavidez to wear down his opponent as time goes on. Playing a round block of BENAVIDEZ TO WIN IN ROUNDS 10-12 (+310) for a chance to more than triple up is a solid play. As such, so is OVER 9.5 ROUNDS (-120).

Visit Boxing Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Plus, try out the USA TODAY Parlay Calculator and please gamble responsibly.

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