Dallas Mavericks odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line – Page 2

Brooklyn Nets at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Brooklyn Nets at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Brooklyn Nets (4-6) take on the Dallas Mavericks (5-3) Monday at American Airlines Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:45 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Nets vs. Mavericks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Nets have strung together 2 straight wins despite not having G Kyrie Irving or G Ben Simmons available. Brooklyn’s latest victory was a 98-94 road triumph over the Charlotte Hornets where it pushed as a 4-point favorite.

The Mavericks are on a 3-game win streak. Dallas defeated the Toronto Raptors 111-110 Friday, failing to cover as a 4-point home favorite.

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Nets at Mavericks odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:39 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Nets +205 (bet $100 to win $205) | Mavericks -260 (bet $260 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Nets +6.5 (-115) | Mavericks -6.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 217.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Nets at Mavericks key injuries

Nets

G Kyrie Irving (team suspension) out
G Ben Simmons (knee) questionable
F T.J. Warren (foot) out

Mavericks

F Davis Bertans (knee) out
G Frank Ntilikina (ankle) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Nets at Mavericks picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 114, Nets 105

Moneyline

Considering the current odds, I’ll PASS on the moneyline in this game. The Mavericks (-260) should be able to take care of business at home against a shorthanded Nets squad, but the risk isn’t worth the reward.

Against the spread

Even if Simmons can return for the Nets, I like MAVERICKS -6.5 (-105) as they’ve looked better in recent games. Brooklyn won’t have any answers for G Luka Doncic, who has scored 31-plus points in each of his first 8 games of the season.

The Nets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a win.

Over/Under

OVER 217.5 (-108) is the ideal wager in this game, even with Irving suspended and Simmons possibly sidelined for the Nets again. The Nets and the Mavericks squared off Oct. 27 in a game where Dallas won 129-125 in overtime.

The Over is 4-0 for the Mavericks in their last 4 games following an ATS loss.

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Utah Jazz at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Utah Jazz at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Utah Jazz (6-2) square off against the Dallas Mavericks (3-3) on Wednesday at the American Airlines Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Jazz vs. Mavericks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Jazz continue to be 1 of the most surprising teams in the NBA and they are currently on a 2-game winning streak, with both wins over the Memphis Grizzlies. Utah is likely ecstatic with the early production they’ve gotten from F Lauri Markkanen as he’s averaging 22.6 points, 9.3 rebounds, 2.9 assists, and 1 block per game on 50.7% shooting from the field.

The Mavericks secured a 114-105 victory over the Orlando Magic on Sunday as they pushed as 9-point favorites at home. There’s no doubt that G Luka Doncic is firmly in the MVP race as he’s posting 36.7 points, 9.5 rebounds, 8.7 assists, and 1.7 steals per game on 50.3% shooting from the field.

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Jazz at Mavericks odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:26 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Jazz +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Mavericks -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Jazz +6 (-112) | Mavericks -6 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 221.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Jazz at Mavericks key injuries

Jazz

G Leandro Bolmaro (health & safety protocols) out
F Simone Fontecchio (health & safety protocols) out

Mavericks

F Davis Bertans (knee) out
G Frank Ntilikina (ankle) out
F Christian Wood (non-COVID illness) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Jazz at Mavericks picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 115, Jazz 107

Moneyline

With the Mavericks favored at home, just AVOID the moneyline in this game. The current odds for Dallas to win aren’t worth taking straight up as Utah has shown they can compete with some of the best teams in the NBA.

Against the spread

MAVERICKS -6 (-112) is where I’m leaning as the Jazz have to slow down at some point, right? Doncic is almost guaranteed to post a near triple-double every night, Dallas just needs some of its role players to step up to cover the spread.

The Jazz are 1-10 ATS in the last 11 meetings against the Mavericks and they are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Dallas.

Over/Under

The Mavericks own the best offensive rating while the Jazz have the 15th-best offensive rating in the NBA thus far. With the success these offenses have had to begin the season, OVER 221.5 (-112) is an enticing bet in this game.

The Mavericks have hit the Over in 5 straight games this season.

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Dallas Mavericks at Brooklyn Nets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Dallas Mavericks at Brooklyn Nets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (1-2) take on the Brooklyn Nets (1-3) Thursday at Barclays Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Mavericks vs. Nets odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Mavericks suffered a narrow 113-111 road loss to a shorthanded New Orleans Pelicans squad Tuesday as they failed to cover as 5.5-point favorites. Even though Dallas is only 1-2, G Luka Doncic is putting up MVP-type numbers thus far with 34.7 points, 9.0 rebounds, 7.7 assists and 1.7 steals per game on 50% shooting from the field.

The Nets are on the 2nd leg of a back-to-back Thursday after losing 110-99 at the Milwaukee Bucks Wednesday, failing to keep it close enough to cover the 3-point spread. Despite the slow start from Brooklyn, F Kevin Durant continues to excel on the offensive end with 32.3 points, 4.8 rebounds, 3.8 assists and 2.0 blocks per game on 52.4% shooting from the field.

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Mavericks at Nets odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:05 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mavericks -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Nets +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks -2.5 (-108) | Nets +2.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 226.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Mavericks at Nets key injuries

Mavericks

F Davis Bertans (knee) out
F Tim Hardaway Jr. (foot) questionable
G Frank Ntilikina (ankle) out

Nets

Not Yet Submitted

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Mavericks at Nets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 119, Nets 111

Moneyline

Take the MAVERICKS (-135) to win on the road coming off 1 day of rest while the Nets are on 2nd end of a back-to-back set. I’m expecting Doncic to be motivated to win after missing a potential game-winning 3-point shot Tuesday night against the Pelicans.

Against the spread

MAVERICKS -2.5 (-108) is the ideal choice, especially with all 3 losses by the Nets being double-digit losses. While Brooklyn will have Durant and G Kyrie Irving, the Nets haven’t had much scoring production from the other players on the roster to begin the season.

The Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games and the Nets are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a loss.

Over/Under

The Nets have a dismal defense that boasts the 2nd-worst defensive rating in the NBA while the Mavericks have the best offensive rating to begin the season.

With Dallas primed to score plenty of points, and Brooklyn having a duo in Durant and Irving that can score with ease, OVER 226.5 (-112) is the move in this game.

The Mavericks have hit the Over in 4 of their last 5 games overall and 4 of their last 5 games against a team with a losing record.

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Dallas Mavericks at New Orleans Pelicans odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Dallas Mavericks at New Orleans Pelicans odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (1-1) square off against the New Orleans Pelicans (2-1) Tuesday at Smoothie King Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Mavericks vs. Pelicans odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Mavericks bounced back in a big way following a season-opening loss by taking down the Memphis Grizzlies 137-96 Saturday, covering as 5.5-point home favorites.

It has been the G Luka Doncic and C Christian Wood show to begin the season for Dallas as they’re both averaging 25 or more points and 8 or more rebounds per game.

The Pelicans lost their 1st game of the season Sunday to the Utah Jazz 122-121 in overtime as they failed to cover as 8.5-point favorites at home. G CJ McCollum is leading the way for New Orleans with 23.3 points, 4.7 rebounds and 6.7 assists per game on 48.3% shooting from the field.

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Mavericks at Pelicans odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:17 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mavericks -190 ($190 to win $100) | Pelicans +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks -4.5 (-112) | Pelicans +4.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 219.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Mavericks at Pelicans key injuries

Mavericks

F Davis Bertans (knee) out
G Frank Ntilikina (ankle) out

Pelicans

F Brandon Ingram (concussion protocol) out
F Herbert Jones (knee) questionable
F Zion Williamson (hip/back) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Mavericks at Pelicans picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 114, Pelicans 107

Moneyline

AVOID the moneyline in this game with the Mavericks being favored on the road to beat a potentially shorthanded Pelicans squad. The odds aren’t worth taking Dallas straight up as you’ll receive little in return if the Mavericks escape with a victory.

Against the spread

The Pelicans will already be without Ingram Tuesday and there’s a chance that Jones and Williamson are also sidelined. With the uncertainty surrounding some of New Orleans’ starters, give me MAVERICKS -4.5 (-112).

Dallas is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 road meetings against New Orleans and 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings overall.

Over/Under

Even with the injuries to New Orleans, OVER 219.5 (-112) is an enticing wager in this game. The Mavericks are the No. 1 team in offensive rating while the Pelicans are the No. 3 team in offensive rating to begin the season.

The Mavericks have hit the Over in 7 of their last 8 games against a team with a winning record while the Pelicans have hit the Over in each of their last 4 games. The Over is also 11-4 in the last 15 meetings between these teams in New Orleans.

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Dallas Mavericks at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Dallas Mavericks at Memphis Grizzlies and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The white-hot Memphis Grizzlies (30-14) host the Dallas Mavericks (22-19) Friday at FedExForum for a 10 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Mavericks vs. Grizzlies odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Memphis won its 11th consecutive game Thursday when it beat the Minnesota Timberwolves 116-108 as a 3-point favorite. It was also Memphis’s eighth straight cover.

The Grizzlies have the best non-garbage time net rating at plus-13.0 and the second-best ATS margin at plus-12.0 over the last two weeks, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Dallas had its six-game win streak snapped Wednesday when it lost at the New York Knicks 108-85 as a 2.5-point favorite.

The Mavs are second in non-garbage time net rating at plus-12.9 and fourth in ATS margin at plus-6.6 in the last 14 days, per CTG.

Each team is 1-1 straight-up (SU) and ATS in the first two Mavericks-Grizzlies meetings this season with the road team winning and covering both.

Mavericks at Grizzlies odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:17 a.m. ET.

Money line: Mavericks +133 (bet $100 to win $133) | Grizzlies -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +3.5 (-108) | Grizzlies -3.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 216.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Mavericks at Grizzlies key injuries

Mavericks

PF Kristaps Porzingis (health and safety protocols) out

Grizzlies (not officially submitted)

C Steven Adams (non-COVID illness) questionable
SG Dillon Brooks (ankle) out

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Mavericks at Grizzlies odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 113, Grizzlies 108

Money line

PASS with a heavy “lean” towards the Mavs (+133) because this is a scheduled loss for the Grizzlies who are playing their fifth game in seven days.

Memphis played the Clippers and Lakers in Los Angeles Saturday and Sunday. The Grizzlies then flew all the way back home to host the Golden State Warriors Tuesday in what turned out to be a pressure cooker.

Then Memphis played Minnesota in a seesaw battle Thursday. That’s a lot of basketball in one week while the Mavericks have only played once since Sunday.

My issues with the Mavs at the current price are that I’m higher on the Grizzlies this season and Memphis is much better in clutch situations (defined by games with a 5-point margin with five minutes remaining in regulation).

Dallas is 7-11 SU and dead-last in net rating in clutch situation games while Memphis is 13-5 SU with the sixth-best net rating.

However, I’d wait because the public will bet this surging Grizzlies team and we could get a better number with the Mavs closer to tip-off.

If Dallas’s money line gets to +145 or higher then I’d “sprinkle” on the Mavs outright because I like taking an underdog’s money line when betting them to cover the spread.

Against the spread

BET the MAVERICKS +3.5 (-108) for 1.25 units because of Memphis’s aforementioned hectic schedule and the Grizzlies will have a tough time executing their style in this matchup.

Memphis likes to force turnovers, get out in transition and crash the glass on offense, but Dallas is fifth in offensive turnover rate, third in defensive rebounding rate and plays at the second-slowest pace.

The Mavs also play pretty good transition defense (Dallas ranks 10th in defensive efficiency in transition) and Memphis plays bad defense versus 3-pointers. The Mavs have the seventh-highest 3-point attempt rate and can get hot from deep and the Grizzlies are 25th in defensive 3-point percentage.

Furthermore, this is a good spot for Dallas since it’s 12-6 ATS following a loss with a plus-5.5 ATS margin and 12-10 ATS on the road.

Most importantly, Mavs All-Star G Luka Doncic is 3-1 SU versus Grizzlies PG Ja Morant in their careers and Luka typically gets up for big games and this is a national TV game on ESPN.

BET the MAVERICKS +3.5 (-108).

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 216.5 (-112) because I have a hunch Dallas will shoot well Friday and the Over has cashed in four of the last five Mavericks-Grizzlies meetings in Memphis.

That said, it’s only a “LEAN” due to Dallas’s slow pace and good defensive rating, the Mavs have played the highest rate of Unders at 13-26-2 O/U with a minus-5.6 total margin.

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Dallas Mavericks at New York Knicks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Dallas Mavericks at New York Knicks and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (22-18) head to the Big Apple Wednesday for a 7:30 p.m. ET game with the New York Knicks (20-21) at Madison Square Garden. Below, we look at the Mavericks vs. Bulls odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Dallas has won six consecutive games (5-1 ATS) with the most recent being a 113-99 beatdown of the Chicago Bulls as 2-point home favorites Sunday.

Over the past two weeks, the Mavs have the second-best non-garbage time net rating at plus-16.2 points per 100 possessions and the second-best spread differential at a plus-10.4 ATS margin, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

New York has won three of its past four games, including the latest, which was a 111-96 waxing of the San Antonio Spurs Monday as 7.5-point home favorites.

In the last 14 days, the Knicks are 4-3 overall, 4-3 ATS and 2-5 O/U with the 17th-ranked non-garbage time net rating at minus-1.2 points per 100 possessions, per CTG.

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA January 12 breakdown

Mavericks at Knicks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:15 p.m. ET.

Money line: Mavericks -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Knicks +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks -2.5 (-108) | Knicks +2.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 204.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Mavericks at Knicks key injuries

Mavericks

PF Kristaps Porzingis (health and safety protocols) out

Knicks

C Taj Gibson (wrist) questionable
C Nerlens Noel (reconditioning) questionable
PG Kemba Walker (knee) questionable
PG Derrick Rose (ankle) out

Mavericks at Knicks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Knicks 103, Mavericks 98

Money line

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Knicks (+110) because I like their spread and generally will sprinkle on an underdog’s money line when betting them to cover the spread.

However, I cannot get there with the Knicks outright because I’d like New York’s money line to be priced north of +150. It might get there before tip-off since money is pouring in on Dallas.

But, at the moment, PASS ON THE MONEY LINE.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the KNICKS +2.5 (-112) for a half-unit because this feels like a trap spot for the Mavericks -2.5 (-108), who are seemingly cheap given how well they’ve played recently and how inconsistent New York has been at home.

Furthermore, Dallas has been terrible in clutch situations, which is defined by a game that has a 5-point margin entering the final five minutes. In those situations, the Mavs are 7-11 SU with the worst net rating (minus-31.6).

Granted, the Knicks aren’t much better (11-11 SU) with the 22nd-ranked net rating at a minus-10.5.

That said, in this game priced as a coin-flip, I “LEAN” to the KNICKS +2.5 (-112) since the Mavs are terrible late in games.

Over/Under

BET the UNDER 204.5 (-108) since Dallas plays at the second-slowest pace in the NBA and New York plays at the slowest pace.

Also, both teams have a below-average offensive effective field goal percentage (eFG%) and an above-average defensive eFG%.

Plus both teams play more to the Under in non-conference games and in their location-based splits.

Lastly, there’s some reverse line movement headed south of the total. According to Pregame.com, nearly 85% of the action is on the Over, but the Mavericks-Knicks total has been lowered from the 206.5-point opener.

It should be a red flag whenever we see sportsbooks make the more popular side cheaper. And for what it’s worth, the UNDER 204.5 (-108) is my favorite wager in this game.

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Chicago Bulls at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Chicago Bulls at Dallas Mavericks and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (21-18) host the Chicago Bulls (26-10) Sunday at the American Airlines Center for a 7:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Bulls vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Chicago has won nine straight games (5-4 ATS) with the latest outing being a 130-122 at home over the Washington Wizards as 5.5-point home favorites.

In the last 14 days, the Bulls have the seventh-best adjusted net rating at plus-6.5 points per 100 possessions and ninth-best spread differential at a plus-1.7 ATS margin, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Dallas has won five in a row (4-1 ATS), which includes a victory over the second-place Golden State Warriors Wednesday in former Mavs great Dirk Nowitzki’s jersey retirement ceremony.

Over the past two weeks, Dallas is 6-1 overall, 5-2 ATS and 2-5 O/U with the best adjusted net rating in the NBA at plus-17.9 points per 100 possessions, per CTG.

The Bulls (-3.5) beat the Mavs in their first meeting this season in Chicago 117-107, Nov. 10. In fact, the Bulls have won and covered four straight meetings with the Mavs and the total is 2-2 O/U in those contests.

Bulls at Mavericks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:50 a.m. ET.

Money line: Bulls -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Mavericks +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
Against the spread (ATS): Bulls -2.5 (-108) | Mavericks +2.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 217.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Bulls at Mavericks key injuries

Bulls

SG Alex Caruso (health and safety protocols) out

Mavericks

PG Luka Doncic (ankle) questionable
PF Kristaps Porzingis (health and safety protocols) out

Bulls at Mavericks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Bulls 115, Mavericks 109

Money line

PASS with a heavy “lean” towards the Bulls (-135) because I like Chicago to win this game handily, but I’m so confident in the Bulls here that I’ll just lay the points.

Chicago outshot Dallas from everywhere on the floor in their first meeting, out-rebounded them, was better in three of the “four factors” and had a better assist-to-turnover ratio.

Furthermore, the Mavs will be without their leading scorer and rebounder from that game, Porzingis, who also led the starting 5 in plus/minus in that game.

Against the spread

BET the BULLS -2.5 (-108) despite the Mavericks +2.5 (-112) having a better non-garbage time net rating over the past two weeks even though both teams are in the midst of winning streaks.

The bottom line is this is just a better spot for Chicago. For instance, the Bulls are 7-4 ATS as a road favorite and 8-4 ATS versus Western Conference foes. While the Mavs are 4-5 ATS at home versus teams with a winning record and 2-9 ATS versus Eastern Conference opponents.

Also, Chicago handled Dallas earlier this season despite Bulls wing DeMar DeRozan having an off-night against a Dallas team he’s played very well against recently.

Last season, while playing for the San Antonio Spurs, DeRozan averaged 30.7 points per on 51.6% shooting with 8.3 assists per in three games versus the Mavs.

BET the BULLS -2.5 (-108).

Over/Under

PASS since the situation-based trends point in opposite directions and the total is split 2-2 O/U in the past four Bulls-Mavericks meetings.

If anything, I “lean” to the Under 217.5 (-110) because the Mavs are 4-13-1 O/U in Dallas with a minus-6.7 total margin.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and, soon, IA. Bet now!

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Golden State Warriors at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Golden State Warriors at Dallas Mavericks and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Golden State Warriors (29-7) roll into American Airlines Center Wednesday for a 7:30 p.m. ET tip-off with the Dallas Mavericks (19-18). Below, we look at the Warriors vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Golden State has won back-to-back games at the Utah Jazz 123-116 on New Year’s Day and versus the Miami Heat 115-108 Monday.

The Warriors are 4-1 straight-up (SU), 3-2 ATS and 4-1 O/U over the past two weeks with the eighth-best adjusted net rating at plus-5.8 points per 100 possessions, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Dallas has won three straight at the Sacramento Kings 112-96 Friday, at the Oklahoma City Thunder 95-88 Sunday and the Denver Nuggets 103-89 Monday.

The Mavs are 4-3 SU, 4-3 ATS and 2-5 O/U in the last 14 days with the second-best adjusted net rating at plus-10.2 points per 100 possessions, per CTG.

The Mavs have won six of their last seven meetings with the Warriors and have covered eight of the last 10.

Warriors at Mavericks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:30 p.m. ET.

Money line: Warriors -220 (bet $220 to win $100) | Mavericks +175 (bet $100 to win $175)
Against the spread (ATS): Warriors -5.5 (-110) | Mavericks +5.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 214.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Warriors at Mavericks key injuries

Warriors

SF Andre Iguodala (knee) questionable
SG Klay Thompson (Achilles) out

Mavericks

PG Trey Burke (health and safety protocols) questionable
PF Kristaps Porzingis (health and safety protocols) out
C Boban Marjanovic (health and safety protocols) out

Warriors at Mavericks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Warriors 117, Mavericks 114

Money line

PASS with a heavy “lean” towards the Mavericks (+175) since I’m taking the points with Dallas and generally will sprinkle on an underdog’s money line when betting them to cover the spread.

However, it’s tough fading the almighty Warriors, especially because Dallas has been crushed versus quality competition this season.

The Mavs are 1-9 SU against teams in the top-10 of efficiency differential with the 24th-ranked adjusted net rating at minus-9.0 points per 100 possessions and the 20th-ranked ATS margin, per CTG.

Against the spread

BET the MAVERICKS +5.5 (-110) for 1 unit because they’ve performed really well against the Warriors since drafting G Luka Doncic.

As mentioned previously, since 2018-19 (Luka’s rookie season), Dallas is 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS versus Golden State.

Luka is averaging 28.6 points per game on 64.5% true shooting (.485/.451/.753), 7.8 rebounds per game and 7.7 assists per game with a plus-13 net rating in 10-career games versus the Warriors.

The total of Warriors-Mavericks is also suspiciously low, which suggests the oddsmakers think this will be a rock-fight.

This Warriors-Mavericks total (214.5) is 10 points less than the previous four meetings. If the sportsbooks are projecting a lower-scoring affair then that nudges me towards a 5.5-point underdog.

Especially a Mavs team that’s played very well against the Warriors in recent years. Dallas has scored at least 124 points in six of the past seven meetings with Golden State.

BET the MAVERICKS +5.5 (-110).

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 214.5 (-108) because the total has been steamed up from the 212.5-point opener, which suggests the Over is the sharp play.

More importantly, the Over has cashed in 10 of the last 12 Warriors-Mavericks meetings and Golden State has gone Over the total in five of their last six games.

That said, the reason I only “LEAN” to the OVER 214.5 (-108) is that, again, it’s suspiciously low. It’s almost like Vegas is begging you to take the Over here.

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If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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Denver Nuggets at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Denver Nuggets at Dallas Mavericks and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (18-18) host the Denver Nuggets (18-16) Monday at the American Airlines Center for an 8:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Nuggets vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Denver has won three consecutive road games, going 2-1 against the spread (ATS). The Nuggets won at the Los Angeles Clippers, Golden State Warriors and Houston Rockets.

Since Dec. 22, the Nuggets are 3-2 straight-up (SU), 2-3 ATS and 1-4 O/U with the 13th-best non-garbage time net rating at plus-1.3 points per 100 possessions, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Dallas has won back-to-back road games, winning at the Sacramento Kings 112-96 Friday and, in PG Luka Doncic‘s return, at the Oklahoma City Thunder 95-86 Sunday.

Since Dec. 21, the Mavs are 4-3 SU, 4-3 ATS and 3-4 O/U with the 10th-best non-garbage time net rating at plus-10.0 points per 100 possessions.

This is the regular-season rubber match between these teams as the home side won and covered the first two meetings with the O/U going 1-1.

Nuggets at Mavericks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:34 p.m. ET.

Money line: Nuggets +122 (bet $100 to win $122) | Mavericks -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets +2.5 (-105) | Mavericks -2.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 213.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Nuggets at Mavericks key injuries

Nuggets

SF Vlatko Cancar (nasal fracture) probable
PF Jeff Green (health and safety protocols) out
PG Bones Hyland (health and safety protocols) questionable
PG Monte Morris (health and safety protocols) out

Mavericks

PG Trey Burke (health and safety protocols) out
C Boban Marjanovic (health and safety protocols) out
PG Frank Ntilikina (thigh) questionable
PF Kristaps Porzingis (health and safety protocols) out
G Isaiah Thomas (health and safety protocols) out

Nuggets at Mavericks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 107, Nuggets 102

Money line

PASS with a “lean” to the Mavericks (-150) because I only “lean” toward Dallas laying the points and would much prefer to bet the Mavs outright.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the MAVERICKS -2.5 (-120) because they are a lot healthier than the Nuggets.

Don’t sleep on the absence of Morris for Denver. He is second on the Nuggets in adjusted on/off net rating at plus-14.5 points per 100 possessions (per CTG), which grades out in the 95th percentile of point guards.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 213.5 (-115) for 1 unit because there’s some reverse line movement in the betting market of the total.

According to Pregame.com and the Yahoo! Sports app, a vast majority of the market is betting the Over in this game, but the total has been lowered from 214 on the look-ahead line.

Both teams rank in the bottom 10 of points per game, the top 10 of points per game allowed and the bottom eight of pace.

Also, Dallas has gone Under the total in its past seven games as a favorite and Denver have gone Under the total in four of its past five games overall.

UNDER 213.5 (-115) is my favorite wager in this game.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and, soon, IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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Dallas Mavericks at Sacramento Kings odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Dallas Mavericks at Sacramento Kings odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (16-17) face the Sacramento Kings (14-21) Wednesday night for the first of two games in three days against them on the road. Tip-off for Wednesday’s game is at 10:30 p.m. ET at Golden 1 Center. Below, we look at the Mavericks vs. Kings odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Mavericks split the first two games of their five-game road trip, most recently beating the Portland Trail Blazers 132-117 Monday night. But they have lost four of their last six games and are missing G Luka Doncic.

The Kings are on the fourth game of their homestand and picked up a 117-111 win Tuesday night over the Oklahoma City Thunder. It ended a three-game losing streak. G Tyrese Haliburton had 24 points and 10 assists, and G Buddy Hield added 21 points in the win.

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA December 29 breakdown

Mavericks at Kings odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 2:40 p.m. ET.

Money line: Mavericks -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Kings +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks -2.5 (-110) | Kings +2.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 220.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Mavericks at Kings key injuries

Mavericks

G Trey Burke (health and safety protocols) out
C Willie Cauley-Stein (personal) out
G Luka Doncic (health and safety protocols) out
G Tim Hardaway Jr. (health and safety protocols) out
F Maxi Kleber (health and safety protocols) out

Kings

C Alex Len (health and safety protocols) questionable
G Davion Mitchell (health and safety protocols) out

Deposit $10 or more, get $100 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Mavericks at Kings odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 108, Kings 103

Money line

Before the Mavs’ win on Monday, their previous two victories were followed up by two losses. They are 2-4 in their last six games.

But the Kings have only three wins in their last 10 games. The Mavericks won their first matchup 105-99 Oct. 31.

Take the MAVERICKS (-140).

Against the spread

The Kings have not covered the spread in any loss since Nov. 2. Over that span, every win has been a cover and every loss has not.

The Mavericks have covered the spread in six of their last eight games despite only being 16-17 ATS overall. They are 8-7 ATS when favored.

Since I expect a Dallas win straight up and the spread is so small, you have to take the same team to cover or you are predicting a one-point win.

Take the MAVERICKS -2.5 (-110).

Over/Under

Four of the last five games for Dallas have gone Over the projected total. However, they have the third-lowest Over percentage in the league at 38.7%.

Seven of the last 11 for the Kings have hit the Over but prior to their win Tuesday night, they had averaged only 96.3 points in their previous three games.

Dallas allows the sixth-fewest points in the league.

Take UNDER 220.5 (-115).

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and, soon, IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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