Dallas Mavericks betting odds lines ML ATS OU

Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Dallas Mavericks (5-5) and Golden State Warriors (8-2) meet Tuesday at Chase Center for an In-Season Tournament game. Tip-off is set for 10 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Mavericks vs. Warriors odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Mavericks swept 3-0 last season

The Mavericks enter on a 2-game losing streak, most recently falling 122-120 at the Denver Nuggets Sunday. Dallas pushed as a 2-point underdog, with the Over (233) hitting.

G Kyrie Irving shined, scoring 43 points on 6-of-8 shooting from three, adding 5 rebounds and 5 assists. Despite his efforts, Dallas couldn’t contain Denver’s perimeter shooting, as the Nuggets hit 14 of 29 shots (48.3%) from beyond the arc.

The Warriors capped their 5-game road trip with a 4-1 record, defeating the Oklahoma City Thunder 127-116 Sunday. They covered as 6.5-point underdogs, with the Over (228.5) hitting.

Golden State shot an impressive 48.8% from 3-point range (21 for 43). G Stephen Curry led with 36 points while G De’Anthony Melton contributed a double-double with 19 points and 10 rebounds.

Mavericks at Warriors odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 11:45 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mavericks +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Warriors -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +2.5 (-110) | Warriors -2.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 234.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mavericks at Warriors key injuries

Mavericks

G Luka Doncic (groin) probable
C Dereck Lively II (shoulder) questionable
F P.J. Washington (knee) doubtful

Warriors

F Andrew Wiggins (back) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Mavericks at Warriors picks and predictions

Prediction

Warriors 118, Mavericks 113

Moneyline

PASS.

This matchup features 2 of the Western Conference’s best, with the Warriors (-150) gaining momentum after a strong road trip. I’ll be taking them on the spread.

Against the spread

BET WARRIORS -2.5 (-110).

Mavericks G Klay Thompson’s return to Golden State adds extra intensity to this matchup.

The Warriors have covered the spread in 8 of 10 games and are 7-1 against Dallas with equal rest. Dallas may have won 3 of 4 last season, but Golden State has improved over the summer and the last 9 meetings have all ended within a 10-point margin, which makes this a close call. Both teams will bring their best, but Golden State’s form could give it the edge.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 234.5 (-115).

Despite the offensive talent on both sides, this matchup may not be the high-scoring affair many expect.

Golden State has averaged only 110.7 points at home, ranking 9th in the league. Dallas has also struggled with consistency, scoring 114.0 points per game, which is tied for 16th.

The Warriors have hit the Over in 70% of their games this season, but are just 1-2 O/U at home. Dallas sits at 4-6 to the Over, with a 1-5 record on 1 day of rest.

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Miami Heat at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Miami Heat at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (24-22) will try to snap their 3-game losing streak on Friday night when they host the Miami Heat (25-21) at American Airlines Center. Tip-off is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Heat vs. Mavericks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Heat crushed the New Orleans Pelicans in their last game Wednesday night, winning 124-98 on the road as 3.5-point favorites. It was their 4th win in the last 5 games, bouncing back from an 8-point loss to the Atlanta Hawks 2 nights before. Miami is tied for last in scoring this season, averaging just 109.2 points per game, but it is also allowing the 2nd-fewest points per game (108.6).

The Mavericks lost to the Hawks Wednesday night as 2.5-point favorites, falling at home, 130-122. PG Luka Doncic scored 30 points, 8 dimes and 4 boards. The Mavericks have now lost 3 games in a row, failing to cover the spread in all of those games.

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Heat at Mavericks odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 11:25 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Heat -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Mavericks +105 (bet $105 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Heat -1.5 (-112) | Mavericks +1.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 219.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Heat at Mavericks key injuries

Heat

PF Udonis Haslem (Achille’s) probable
F Duncan Robinson (finger) out

Mavericks

G Tim Hardaway Jr. (ankle) probable
PF Maxi Kleber (hamstring) out
PF Christian Wood (thumb) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Heat at Mavericks picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 110, Mavericks 105

Moneyline

The Mavericks have been struggling lately, losing their last 3 games by an average of 14 points. They’re just 4-6 in their last 10, though they have played well at home; they’re 16-7 at American Airlines Center.

The Heat are finally healthy and have the edge over the Mavericks with their defense. They’ve historically done a good job against Doncic, too, holding him to just 20.8 points per game in his career.

Bet the HEAT (-125) to win outright on the road.

Against the spread

The spread and money lines aren’t much different in this game, with the spread sitting at Heat -1.5 with a line of -105. The Heat are 5-4 when favored by 1-2.5 points this season, while the Mavericks are only 0-1-1 as 1-2.5-point underdogs, according to Covers.

I would PASS on the spread and just take the Heat on the moneyline.

Over/Under

The Heat boast one of the best defenses in the NBA and both teams play at a slow pace; they’re tied for 28th with an average of 100.8 possessions per game.

The Over/Under is obviously accounting for that, with the line set at just 218.5, but I still like the Under in this one. If the Heat can slow down Luka and limit his chances, this game should be on the lower-scoring side.

Bet UNDER 219.5 (-115).

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NBA spread outlook: The Grizzlies are streaking. Who can trip them up?

The only thing more impressive than the Grizzles’ winning streak is their run against the spread

No NBA team is hotter than the Memphis Grizzlies right now. Amid an impressive 11-game winning streak—featuring victories over heavyweights like the Suns, Nets, and Warriors—Memphis is doing it all. Ja Morant looks like the NBA’s next great superstar while a third-ranked offense (112.3 points per game) is humming along, unimpeded.

Morant knows his team has got something special cooking.

However, an old adage remains true: Good teams win, but great teams cover. And that’s a test a young Memphis team has also passed with flying colors of late.

In addition to that glowing winning streak, the Grizzlies have covered the spread in eight straight games against the Spurs, Nets, Cavaliers, Pistons, Clippers, Lakers, Warriors, and Timberwolves. It’s actually been so long that Memphis has not failed to cover a spread since last year (get it?).

11 of em . let's keep it rolling 🐻

— Ja Morant (@JaMorant) January 14, 2022

What’s been particularly eye-opening is how few and far between the close calls have been. Save for a narrow 110-106 road win over the Cavaliers where they just barely covered a +3.5 spread; the Grizzlies have paced themselves so far ahead of everyone else. Even big underdog bets like +6.5 on the road against Brooklyn simply haven’t mattered.

But, as they tend to do, all good things must eventually end. There will come a time in the coming days where the Grizzlies, as good as they are, do fail to cover the spread. Morant might have an off night. An opposing sixth man might go nuclear. It happens, especially in a night-to-night league like the NBA. And while the Grizzlies will still undoubtedly be a good team, we might have to, at least temporarily, revoke that coveted “great” label.

Such is the nature of the sports betting beast.

The main reason the Grizzlies’ exceptional eight-game cover streak might soon come to an end? A daunting upcoming schedule. It starts tonight at home against Luka Doncic’s Mavericks (-2.5 at Tipico.)

At 22-19, Dallas has been far from what anyone would call a juggernaut this season. But the Mavs are always dangerous as long as they have a talent like Doncic at the helm. With more of a mediocre defense compared to their high-powered offense, it’s quite possible the creative Doncic alone drives a dagger into the Grizzlies’ streak.

Unfortunately, it doesn’t get any easier after Doncic and company leave Memphis because the East-leading Bulls come to town on Monday. Guards DeMar DeRozan and Zach Lavine are playing like sure All-Stars, if not potential starters in the All-Star Game. Factor in an otherwise deep lineup centering around big man Nikola Vucevic, point guard Lonzo Ball, and microwave scorer Coby White, and Memphis should have its hands full there, too.

Two days later, on Wednesday, the Grizzlies go to Milwaukee to play the defending NBA champion Bucks. Now, there are litmus tests and benchmarks to surpass, and then there’s covering a spread against the last team to win the final game of the entire season. Call it a hunch, but one has to think reigning Finals MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo will want to send a message in what could certainly prove to be a Finals preview when all is said and done.

Ja Morant’s Grizzlies have arrived, and then some. If they can somehow continue to cover the spread against one of the league’s best players and two Eastern Conference heavyweights, then they deserve even more shine.

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