Over/Under: Projecting Dallas Cowboys QB Dak Prescott’s stats

Projecting Dak Prescott’s 2020 passing statistics and how they match up with the over/under betting odds.

Looking forward to the 2020 NFL season, it’s time to start breaking down how individual players will do statistically. Below, we focus on Dallas Cowboys QB Dak Prescott‘s projected passing numbers and how they match up against future odds at BetMGM sportsbook.

Dak Prescott’s stats history

For the first three years of his career, Prescott was a fairly low-volume passer. While his efficiency was always above average, he never put up big yardage or touchdown totals. From 2016-2018, Prescott averaged 3,625 yards per season along with 22.3 passing touchdowns.

Prescott had a breakout 2019 season with new offensive coordinator Kellen Moore. The Cowboys opened up their passing attack and Prescott threw for a career-high 4,902 yards with 30 passing touchdowns against 11 interceptions. The secret to Prescott’s improvement was a more vertical passing game featuring wide receivers Amari Cooper and Michael Gallup stretching the field.


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Dak Prescott’s projected stats and odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Odds last updated Thursday, April 23 at 9 am ET.

Passing Yards: 4,299.5  / OVER: -110 / UNDER: -110

Passing Touchdowns: 26.5 / OVER: -110 / UNDER: -110

The Over/Under on passing yards for Prescott is set at 4,299.5, which would be the second-highest total of his career. With Mike McCarthy now the team’s head coach, the Cowboys are expected to be more pass-happy than ever.

If Prescott can continue to average around eight yards per attempt, the Over looks like a pretty safe bet. This also requires Prescott to average around 270 passing yards per game, which doesn’t feel too hard given all of the weapons around him. Take the OVER (-110) on passing yards for Prescott in 2020.

As for passing touchdowns, that’s where things get a little thicker. Prescott set a career-high in touchdowns at 30 last season, but the team was often behind in games and that forced him to be more aggressive in the red zone. Dallas also has one of the best goal-line runners in the NFL in Ezekiel Elliott and they will be sure to give him his touches as well. It’s also important to remember Prescott is a dangerous runner in his own right, as he has scored 21 rushing touchdowns in his career.

Expect Prescott to come close to the 26.5 passing touchdown total in 2020, but for the UNDER (-110) to ultimately hit.

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How to Watch Cowboys vs. Patriots, NFL Week 12 Live Stream, Schedule, TV Channel, Start Time

Stream Cowboys vs. Patriots Live Online.

The NFC East-leading Dallas Cowboys (6-4) hit the road to take on the AFC East-leading Patriots (9-1) in a showdown between two of the NFL’s best teams. These two teams have combined for 11 NFL Championships. The Cowboys lead the all-time series, 7-5 including victories in the last five meetings. 

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Cowboys vs. Patriots

When: Sunday, November 24

Time: 4:00 p.m. ET

TV: FOX

Live Stream: fuboTV (watch for free)

When you mention Dallas, the first place you start is with its offense, which ranks first overall (444.6 YPG). The Cowboys beat the Lions last week 35-27 behind a strong showing from quarterback Dak Prescott, who threw for 444 yards and three touchdowns. Prescott leads the league with 3,221 total yards this season. Michael Gallup and Randall Cobb both totaled over 100 yards receiving, while All-Pro Amari Cooper was limited to just three balls for 38 yards. Cooper is fourth in receiving with 886 total yards. Running back Ezekiel Elliott has struggled in the last two games, with under 50 yards on the ground in both. Elliott and Cooper will need to step up against the Patriots defense. 

While the Cowboys offense gets a lot of the credit, their defense is ranked in the Top 10 in points allowed, total yards allowed and passing yards allowed. The unit had three sacks against the Lions and has excellent linebackers in Jaylon Smith and Leighton Vander Esch, who have 90 and 72 total tackles, respectively. Defensive end Robert Quinn has eight-and-a-half sacks this season. Can this group make Tom Brady and the offense uncomfortable? We know what Dallas’ offense can do, but its defense can be the difference maker in this game.

The New England Patriots are 9-1, but Tom Brady was frustrated after their 17-10 win against the Eagles last weekend. Why you ask? Brady threw for 216 yards and no touchdowns, the team had 72 total yards on the ground and both Julian Edelman and Ben Watson barely broke 50 yards. Plain and simple, the offense wasn’t very good and he realized that. Dallas can put points on the scoreboard and the New England offense will have to do its part to reach the end zone in this game as well. 

New England’s top-ranked defense vs. Dallas’ top-ranked offense is the main storyline in this one. The toughest contest of the year for the Patriots was its game against the Ravens and the team lost. Dallas hasn’t faced a slew of difficult teams either. This one will be a litmus test of where each is at. Last weekend against the Eagles, the New England defense carried the team. It recorded five sacks on quarterback Carson Wentz. Danny Shelton led the team with seven tackles and one interception. Should Prescott look to air it out to Amari Cooper and company, he better be cautious. The Patriots boast the second-best passing defense (152.6 YPG) and a top-notch secondary that includes Devin McCourty, who is tied for the league lead with five interceptions this season.

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