D.C. Defenders betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Arlington Renegades at DC Defenders odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Arlington Renegades at DC Defenders odds and lines, with expert UFL picks and predictions.

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The Arlington Renegades (2-7) and the DC Defenders (4-5) wrap up the regular season Sunday at Audi Field in Week 10. Kickoff is scheduled for noon ET (ABC/ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Renegades vs. Defenders odds and make our expert UFL picks and predictions.

The Renegades have come alive late in the season, posting 2 wins in the past 3 games, including a 36-22 win over the playoff-bound St. Louis Battlehawks in Week 9 to cover as a 3-point underdog. The Over (46) cashed in Week 9, and the total has gone high in 3 of the past 4 outings.

The Defenders also picked up a much-needed win last week in Memphis, posting a 36-21 victory as 5.5-point favorites. The Defenders are 3-1 against the spread (ATS) in the past 4 games, while going 4-2 ATS in the previous 6 outings after an 0-1-2 ATS start. The Over has hit in consecutive games, while going 5-3 in the past 8 outings.

These teams met in the XFL Championship last season with a 35-26 win, with QB Luis Perez securing MVP honors. DC avenged that loss with a 29-28 at Choctaw Stadium in Arlington back in Week 3, cashing as a 1-point favorite to push at most shops. The Over (43.5) easily came through, and is 2-0 in the previous 2 meetings.

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Renegades at Defenders odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:48 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Renegades +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Defenders -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
Against the spread: Renegades +1 (-110) | Defenders -1 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Renegades at Defenders key injuries

Renegades

RB Leddie Brown (undisclosed) injured reserve
RB Jeremy Cox (undisclosed) out
RB Dae Dae Hunter (undisclosed) injured reserve
WR JaVonta Payton (undisclosed) injured reserve

Defenders

TE Ben Bresnahan (undisclosed) out
DB Kentrell Brice (shoulder) out
QB Deondre Francois (undisclosed) injured reserve
WR Kelvin Harmon (hamstring) injured reserve
DB Nydair Rouse (hamstring) out
RB Abram Smith (knee) out
WR Monroe Young (undisclosed) out

Renegades at Defenders picks and predictions

Prediction

Defenders 29, Renegades 25

Moneyline

The Defenders (-125) will cost you a little more on the moneyline, and that doesn’t make sense. Laying the single point costs significantly less.

PASS.

Against the spread

When these teams meet, it’s generally close. But take the DEFENDERS -1 (-110) at home in front of the beer snake building fanbase.

DC erupted for 36 points last week in Memphis. The Defenders are a respectable 2-2 SU and 1-2-1 ATS at home this season. However, as a favorite, DC has won 3 in a row, while going 1-0-2 ATS in those outings.

The Renegades +1 (-110) surprised the Battlehawks last week, showing off the offense with 83 points in the past 2 home games. However, Arlington is 0-4 SU/1-3 ATS in 4 road contests, and it lost by 1 at home to DC in Week 3.

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Over/Under

OVER 46.5 (-110) is worth a look in this finale.

The Renegades and their vaunted pass attack has rolled up 36 or more points in 2 of the past 3 games, and 27 or more points in 3 of the past 4 outings. However, on the road, Arlington is averaging just 17.0 PPG in the past 3 trips, so be a little cautious.

The Defenders registered a season-high 36 points last week in Memphis, but its season-high in points at home came back in Week 2 against the lowly Houston Roughnecks in a 23-18 win. The Over is still the recommended play, but don’t be surprised if it takes some time to get across the finish line.

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DC Defenders at Memphis Showboats odds, picks and predictions

Beat the sportsbook: Analyzing Sunday’s DC Defenders at Memphis Showboats odds and lines, with expert UFL picks and predictions.

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Sunday’s Week 9 UFL schedule features the DC Defenders (3-5) on the road against the Memphis Showboats (1-7). Kickoff is at 2:30 p.m. ET from Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium (FOX). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Defenders vs. Showboats odds and make our expert UFL picks and predictions.

The Defenders have lost 2 games in a row and 4 of their last 5. Last week, they fell on the road 26-21 to the St. Louis BattleHawks, but covered the 7.5-point spread as underdogs. The Over (43.5) cashed in.

The Showboats, after a season-opening win, have lost their last 7 games. Last week, they lost 24-18 to the Michigan Panthers, covering the 8.5-point spread as road dogs. The Under (47.5) cashed in.

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Defenders at Showboats odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:39 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Defenders -240 (bet $240 to win $100) | Showboats +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
Against the spread (ATS): Defenders -5.5 (-110) | Showboats +5.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Defenders at Showboats key injuries

Defenders

CB Michael Joseph (calf) out
S Santos Rivera (concussion) out

Showboats

QB Case Cookus (chest) probable
DL Dillon Faamatau (personal) out
S Jarey Elder (hamstring) probable
LB Jordan Ferguson (shoulder) probable
WR Lee Morris (shoulder) probable
LB Malik Lawal (illness) out
QB Troy Williams (finger) probable
LB Vontae Diggs (hamstring) probable

Defenders at Showboats picks and predictions

Prediction

Showboats 21, Defenders 17

Moneyline

The Defenders struggle offensively. Their 142 points are the 2nd-fewest in the league. They have only surpassed 20 points twice this season and averaged 11 points per game over the 3 weeks prior to scoring 21 in their loss to St. Louis.

After allowing 32 or more points in 5 straight games, the Showboats limited Michigan to 24. They themselves have averaged 20 points per game over their last 4 contests.

The Defenders are 1-3 on the road and the Showboats are winless at home.

This is upset week.

BET SHOWBOATS (+200).

Against the spread

The Showboats covered the spread in their loss last week after 5 straight weeks losing to the spread. They are 3-5 ATS this season while the Defenders are 2-3-2 ATS.

But since we like the Showboats to win the game outright at +200, there is no need to bet the spread.

PASS.

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Over/Under

Both teams average under 19 points per game.

The Defenders’ last 3 games and 4 of their last 5 have not reached 46 total points.

And while the Showboats allowed over 30 points in 5 consecutive weeks, DC’s offense just isn’t capable of that.

BET UNDER 45.5 (-ufl110).

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Michigan Panthers at DC Defenders odds, picks and predictions

Beat the sportsbook: Analyzing Sunday’s Michigan Panthers at DC Defenders odds and lines, with expert UFL picks and predictions.

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Week 7 in the UFL continues with 2 Sunday games. The 1st of them has the Michigan Panthers (4-2) on the road taking on the DC Defenders (3-3). Kickoff is at noon ET at Audi Field (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Panthers vs. Defenders odds and make our expert UFL picks and predictions.

The Panthers have won 2 straight games and 3 of their last 4 overall. They beat the Arlington Renegades last week 28-27 at home, but failed to cover the 5.5-point spread as favorites, with the Over (45) cashing in.

The Defenders snapped a 2-game losing streak last week, beating San Antonio 18-12 at home, covering the 1.5-point spread as favorites and the Under (42.5) cashing in.

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Panthers at Defenders odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:18 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Panthers +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Defenders -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Panthers +1.5 (-110) | Defenders -1.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 43 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Panthers at Defenders key injuries

Panthers

WR John Hightower (ankle) out

Defenders

T Jarrid Williams (pec) out
DE Derick Roberson (chest) out
CB Gareon Conley (groin) out

Panthers at Defenders picks and predictions

Prediction

Panthers 27, Defenders 20

Moneyline

The Panthers have scored 28 or more in 3 of their last 4 games, all wins.

The Defenders have not scored more than 18 in their last 3 games. They are 2-1 at home.

The Panthers are 1-1 on the road.

BET PANTHERS (+100).

Against the spread

Both teams are even ATS this season. The Panthers are 3-3 ATS while DC is 2-2-2 ATS.

Since we have the underdog Panthers winning outright, the better play is the even-money bet on the moneyline, while leaving the spread alone.

PASS.

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Over/Under

Three of the Panthers’ last 4 games have had totals in the 50s. Despite a 9-point game 3 weeks ago, they have averaged 26.5 points per game over their last 4.

Two of the last 4 for the Defenders have finished in the 50s.

BET OVER 43 (-115).

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St. Louis Battlehawks at DC Defenders odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s St. Louis Battlehawks at DC Defenders odds and lines, with expert UFL picks and predictions.

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The St. Louis Battlehawks (3-1) take on the DC Defenders (2-2) Sunday at Audi Field at noon ET (ABC/ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Battlehawks vs. Defenders odds and make our expert UFL football picks and predictions.

This is a rivalry game as the Battlehawks lost both games to the Defenders in the XFL last season. St. Louis packed the Battle Dome and dismantled the Memphis Showboats 32-17 in Week 4. Their offense is proving to be lethal after putting up 31 and 32 points over the past 2 weeks. QB A.J. McCarron was 35-for-45 for 222 yards, 3 TDs and 1 INT. RB Jacob Saylors also posted 100 yards on the ground.

The Defenders fell 20-18 on the road against the Birmingham Stallions in Week 4. QB Jordan Ta’amu was 12-for-22 for 160 yards and 2 TDs, but the ground game was pretty lackluster. The Defenders ran 26 times for 91 yards and didn’t reach the end zone. The Stallions dominated the ball with 35 minutes of possession and just 25 minutes for DC.

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Battlehawks at Defenders odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:01 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Battlehawks -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Defenders +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
Against the spread (ATS): Battlehawks -3 (-120) | Defenders +3 (+100)
Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Battlehawks at Defenders key injuries

Battlehawks

RB Mataeo Durant (toe) out
CB Tim Harris (ankle) out
LB Callahan O’Reilly (toe) out
WR Darrius Shepherd (hamstring) out
LB Pita Taumoepenu (ankle) probable

Defenders

LB Francis Bernard (hamstring) out
WR Brandon Smith (groin) out

Battlehawks at Defenders picks and predictions

Prediction

Battlehawks 27, Defenders 21

Moneyline

The Battlehawks will be without Sheppard, who leads the league with 724 all-purpose yards. They still have a lot of firepower with WR Hakeem Butler, WR Jahcour Pearson, McCarron and Saylors. The Defenders aren’t as potent on offense and will struggle to keep up.

That said, you can’t drop -180 on the Battlehawks on the road.

PASS.

Against the spread

The Battlehawks have covered in each of their 3 wins and have topped 30 points in 2 straight. Meanwhile, the Defenders have been inconsistent with 12, 23, 29 and 18 points in their 4 games.

Take the BATTLEHAWKS -3 (-120).

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Over/Under

The Battlehawks have been crushing some Overs thanks to their dynamite offense. This one will be close, and St. Louis will probably need all 27 to cash the Over here. I think it squeaks by, though.

LEAN OVER 46.5 (-110).

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Houston Roughnecks at D.C. Defenders odds, picks and predictions

Beat the sportsbook: Analyzing Sunday’s Houston Roughnecks at D.C. Defenders odds and lines, with expert UFL picks and predictions.

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The Houston Roughnecks (0-1) and D.C. Defenders (0-1) meet Saturday at Audi Field. Kickoff is scheduled for 4 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Roughnecks vs. Defenders odds and make our expert football picks and predictions.

The Roughnecks suffered an 18-12 loss last Sunday against the visiting Memphis Showboats, who won as 1.5-point underdogs as the Under (39.5) connected.

Memphis dominated time of possession at 39:32, to just 20:28 for Houston, while running 62 total plays, to just 37 for the Roughnecks. Houston did manage 4.7 yards per play, to just 3.7 for Memphis. The Roughnecks did a good job in rushing defense, too, holding the Showboats to just 1.8 yards per rush. Unfortunately, Houston lost 3 fumbles, and it was a minus-1 in turnover differential.

The Defenders went on the road and suffered a 27-12 loss to the San Antonio Brahmas last Sunday. Washington was actually favored by 6, but it came nowhere near threatening to cover as the Under (43.5) connected.

Washington held its own in total yards, posting 253 yards on 62 total plays, but it struggled in red-zone offense, going without a touchdown in 3 trips inside the opponents’ 20-yard line. The Defenders allowed 75 rushing yards and a rushing score while managing just 44 rushing yards on their own.

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Roughnecks at Defenders odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:30 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Roughnecks +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Defenders -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Roughnecks +5 (-110) | Defenders -5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 40.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Roughnecks at Defenders key injuries

Roughnecks

WR Steven Dunbar Jr. (groin) out
QB Nolan Henderson (undisclosed) out
WR Isiah Hennie (undisclosed) out
TE Clint Sigg Jr. (undisclosed) out
RB Mark Thompson (knee) out

Defenders

QB Jalan McClendon (undisclosed) out
RB Abram Smith (knee) out
WR Vyncint Smith (elbow) out
RB Pooka Williams (undisclosed) out

Roughnecks at Defenders picks and predictions

Prediction

Defenders 25, Roughnecks 19

Moneyline

The Defenders (-230) will cost you almost 2 1/2 times your potential return as D.C. looks to bounce back after a disappointing opening weekend. Still, that’s way too much risk for not enough reward after losing last time out by a sizable margin.

AVOID.

Against the spread

The DEFENDERS -5 (-110) are worth playing lightly. Neither team really did anything to instill confidence for bettors, as both sides lost outright as a favorite.

Still, D.C. did some good things last week, while the Roughnecks +5 (-110) were just too turnover prone. If the Defenders get on the ball in red-zone offense, they will be able to grab the win and cover in front of their home fans and beer snakes.

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Over/Under

OVER 40.5 (-110) is the lean, but again, go very lightly with a half-unit at most.

D.C. racked up 253 total yards of offense, and it could be even better on its home field, spurred on by its raucous crowd.

Houston did a decent job in rushing defense last week, so that is the concern with not going more aggressively on the Over.

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XFL Championship: Arlington Renegades vs. D.C. Defenders odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Arlington Renegades vs, D.C. Defenders XFL Championhip odds and lines, with expert picks and best bets.

The 2023 XFL season comes to a close Saturday with the championship game between the Arlington Renegades and D.C. Defenders. Kickoff at the Alamodome in San Antonio is at 8 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Renegades vs. Defenders odds, and make our expert XFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Renegades finished 4-6 in the regular season and lost 4 of their final 5 games before the postseason. But they defeated the South Division champion Houston Roughnecks in the semifinal game 26-11 as 6.5-point underdogs.

The Defenders went 9-1 in the regular season, had the best record in the league and blew out the Seattle Sea Dragons 37-21 in the semifinal game as 3-point favorites.

The Defenders beat the Renegades 28-26 in the regular season.

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Renegades vs. Defenders odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 6:16 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Renegades +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Defenders -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Renegades +6.5 (-105) | Defenders -6.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 47.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Renegades vs. Defenders key injuries

Renegades

WR Rannell Hall (foot) questionable

Defenders

CB Michael Joseph (abductor) questionable

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Renegades vs. Defenders picks and predictions

Prediction

Defenders 32, Renegades 22

Moneyline

The Defenders enter the title game having won 4 games in a row while the Renegades have 2 wins in their last 6.

The Defenders were the highest-scoring team in the XFL at 29.8 points per game while the Renegades were 8th averaging 14.6.

The Renegades scored 26 in their win over Houston and 26 against the Defenders, but in 6 games they did not score more than 16.

The Defenders have been the best team in the league all season and should win the title, but at -275 on the moneyline, it isn’t worth the action.

PASS.

Against the spread

D.C. won its semifinal game by 16 points, but the Defenders won their final 4 games of the regular season by no more than 2 points.

Four of the Renegades’ 6 losses were by at least 9 points.

BET DEFENDERS -6.5 (-115).

Over/Under

The last 9 games for the Defender have had at least 48 total points while only one of the Renegades’ games all season reached 48 points and that was against the Defenders.

BET OVER 47.5 (-115).

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Seattle Sea Dragons at D.C. Defenders XFL semifinal odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Seattle Sea Dragons at D.C. Defenders semifinal odds and lines, with expert XFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The 2nd of the XFL’s 2 semifinal games has the Seattle Sea Dragons (7-3) on the road against D.C. Defenders (9-1) to determine who moves on to the championship game. Sunday’s kickoff at Audi Field in Washington, D.C. is at 3 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Sea Dragons vs. Defenders odds, and make our expert XFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Sea Dragons, after losing their 1st 2 games of the season, closed the season winning 7 of their last 8. They defeated the Vegas Vipers 28-9 in the regular-season finale, covering the 10-point spread as home favorites.

The Defenders ended the season with a 3-game winning streak following the 6-game winning streak they had to start the season. They closed the regular season with a 29-28 road win over the San Antonio Brahmas, failing to cover the 3-point spread as favorites.

The winner will play for the title against the Arlington Renegades, a 26-11 winner over the Houston Roughnecks on Saturday.

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Sea Dragons at Defenders odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:39 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Sea Dragons +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Defenders -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Sea Dragons +3 (-110) | Defenders -3 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 48.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Sea Dragons at Defenders key injuries

Sea Dragons

WR Blake Jackson (shoulder) questionable
OL Josh Seltzner (illness) doubtful
CB Linden Stephens (ankle) doubtful
WR Damion Willis (shoulder) doubtful

Defenders

All expected to play

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Sea Dragons at Defenders picks and predictions

Prediction

Sea Dragons 32, Defenders 30

Moneyline

Two of the Sea Dragons’ 3 losses all season were to the Defenders, but they lost by a combined 5 points in the 2 games. Their only road loss was to D.C. in Week 1.

The Defenders have been playing on a tightrope in their games. They closed the season with 3 straight wins by no more than 2 points. They have allowed an average of 28.0 points per game in their last 5.

Seattle has averaged 28.4 points per game over the last 5 games,

BET SEA DRAGONS (+145).

Against the spread

D.C. has not won a game by more than 2 points since Week 6 while the only time Seattle lost by more than 3 was Week 1.

Expecting an outright Seattle win, I’m taking the +145 moneyline, but if you prefer the spread to give yourself some points to play with, the spread isn’t a bad play.

BET SEA DRAGONS +3 (-110).

Over/Under

The last meeting between the 2 teams had 67 combined points. The Defenders’ last 5 games and 7 of their last 8 had more than 48 points. The other had exactly 48.

BET OVER 48.5 (-110).

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D.C. Defenders at Orlando Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s D.C. Defenders at Orlando Guardians Week 7 odds and lines, with expert XFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The XFL’s Week 7 schedule continues Saturday with the D.C. Defenders (6-0) on the road against the Orlando Guardians (0-6) Kickoff is Saturday at 6 p.m. ET at Camping World Stadium (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Defenders vs. Guardians odds, and make our expert XFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Defenders are undefeated this season. They improved to 6-0 last week with a 37-26 win over the Houston Roughnecks. QB Jordan Ta’amu had 2 touchdown passes and 245 passing yards, while RB Abram Smith rushed for 95 yards and a score.

Orlando lost its 6th straight game with a 26-19 loss at home to the Seattle Sea Dragons, covering the 9.5-point spread as favorites. In a losing effort, RB Devin Darrington had 82 yards and 2 touchdowns on 7 rushing attempts.

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Defenders at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:05 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Defenders -500 (bet $500 to win $100) | Guardians +375 (bet $100 to win $375)
Against the spread (ATS): Defenders -9.5 (-110) | Guardians +9.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Defenders at Guardians key injuries

Defenders

WR Jequez Ezzard (hamstring) out

Guardians

OL David Moore (knee) out
OL Fred Lauina (calf) questionable

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Defenders at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Defenders 32, Guardians 19

Moneyline

PASS.

This is an undefeated team against a winless team. Nothing the Guardians have done this season suggests they can pull off an outright win over the undefeated Defenders.

Meanwhile, to bet the Defenders, you would have to wager 5 times what you can win.

Against the spread

Not only is D.C. undefeated, the Defenders are 5-1 ATS this season, having won by double digits 3 times this season

The Guardians are 3-3 ATS this season and allowed 30 or more points.

BET DEFENDERS -9.5 (-110),

Over/Under

The Guardians have allowed 26 or more points in 5 straight games.

The Defenders average 25.3 points per game. Three of their last 4 games have had totals of more than 45 points.

Two of the last 3 for the Guardians have had more than 45 total points.

BET OVER 45.5 (-110).

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Houston Roughnecks at D.C. Defenders odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Houston Roughnecks at D.C. Defenders Week 6 odds and lines, with expert XFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Houston Roughnecks (4-1) come to the nation’s capital to face the D.C. Defenders (5-0) on Monday at 7 p.m. ET at Audi Field (ESPN2). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Roughnecks vs. Defenders odds, and make our expert XFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Defenders are the last undefeated team in the XFL and they are taking on a Houston teams that’s best in the South Division.

The Roughnecks lost for the 1st time this season last week, 21-14 to the Seattle Sea Dragons. Houston forced 4 turnovers, but was held scoreless until the 4th quarter.

The Defenders beat the St. Louis Battlehawks 28-20 behind a solid run game. While QB Jordan Ta’amu did not throw a TD, RB Abram Smith ran for 3 scores.

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Roughnecks at Defenders odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 6:45 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Roughnecks +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Defenders -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Roughnecks +2.5 (-110) | Defenders -2.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 42.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Roughnecks vs. Defenders picks and predictions

Prediction

Roughnecks 18, Defenders 15

Moneyline

The Roughnecks are a TD machine, leading the league with 18 scores, 4 more than the Defenders. Where they really get you is from the deep ball. The Roughnecks have 7 passes of at least 40 yards, and no other team has more than 3; the Defenders have 1.

LEAN ROUGHNECKS +125.

Against the spread

Both of these teams not only win but cover as well. Last week’s loss was the only time Houston did not cover and D.C. is 5-0 ATS. Since I am riding Houston, you can bet BET ROUGHNECKS +2.5 (-110), although the moneyline is a better value.

Over/Under

The Roughnecks and Defenders are 1-2 in interceptions and 1-2 in the number of kickoff returns per game. I expect field goals, but not touchdowns.

LEAN UNDER 42.5 (-110).

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Vegas Vipers at D.C. Defender odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Vegas Vipers at D.C. Defenders Week 4 odds and lines, with expert XFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The XFL Week 4 schedule wraps up Sunday night with the winless Vegas Vipers (0-3) visiting the undefeated D.C. Defenders (3-0). Kickoff at Audi Field in Washington, D.C. is 7 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Vipers vs. Defenders odds, and make our expert XFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Vipers gave up 15 points in the 4th-quarter last week in a 30-26 home loss to the Seattle Sea Dragons as 3.5-point underdogs. Vegas allowed 4 TD passes by Seattle QB Ben DiNucci.

The Defenders sent the St. Louis BattleHawks to their first loss of the year in a 34-28 home win as 2.5-point favorites. They outscored St. Louis 20-14 in the 2nd half and withstood 4 A.J. McCarron TD passes, intercepting him twice.

The Defenders beat the Vipers 18-6 in Vegas in Week 2.

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Vipers at Defenders odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:17 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Vipers +210 (bet $100 to win $210) | Defender -270 (bet $270 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Vipers +6 (-108) | Defender -6 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -110 | U: _110)

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Vipers at Defenders key injuries

Vipers

DB Deontay Anderson (Achilles) questionable
QB Brett Hundley (thigh) questionable
OL Kahill McKenzie (toe) out
OL Mike Miller (lower leg) questionable
TE Sean Price (abdomen) questionable
LB Martrell Spaight (thigh) questionable
DB Adam Spark (shoulder) questionable
OL Isaiah Williams (ankle) questionable
DB Nijuel Hill (ankle) questionable

Defenders

C Mike Maetti (illness) questionable
C Ty Clary (knee) out
TE Ethan Wolf (knee, ankle) out

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Vipers at Defenders picks and predictions

Prediction

Defenders 26, Vipers 22

Moneyline

The Defenders will be missing 2 key defenders as LB Francis Bernard and DL Gabe Wright were both suspended for their involvement in an altercation in the game against St. Louis.

The Vipers will have a new offensive playcaller after OC Duane Taylor was fired on Friday. Vegas is averaging 17.3 points per game. The Defenders have averaged 24.6 points per game through 3 weeks.

I expect a D.C. home win but PASS on the moneyline because the better value is the spread.

Against the spread

The Defenders are 3-0 ATS on the season, covering the spread in both games in which they have been favored. The Vipers have not covered the spread in their last 2 games but did in Week 1.

In this matchup, the Defenders’ defensive losses will impact the game. Six points is just too much to lay up this week.

BET VIPERS +6 (-108).

Over/Under

The 1st matchup in Week 2 had only 24 total points, but that is the only game the Vipers have had with a total under 40.

The Defenders’ game last week was their 1st that had more than 40 points.

BET OVER 41.5 (-110).

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Plus, try out the USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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