Tag: Cubs Reds odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

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The Chicago Cubs (51-57) visit the Cincinnati Reds (51-55) on Tuesday. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cubs vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Reds lead 6-2

The Cubs had a 2-game winning streak snapped on Monday with a 7-1 loss against the Reds while failing to cover as -109 road favorites. 1B Michael Busch had the team’s only RBI with a solo HR while RHP Jameson Taillon allowed 6 ER in 4 1/3 innings to take the loss.

Cincinnati snapped a 2-game losing streak with the win as a +101 home underdog. CF TJ Friedl had a 3-run HR and LF Will Benson had a 2-run shot. RHP Carson Spiers allowed 0 ER in 5 innings to pick up the win.

Cubs at Reds projected starters

LHP Justin Steele vs. TBD

Steele (2-4, 3.08 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 2.15 BB/9 and 8.50 K/9 in 96 1/3 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 3-2 loss against Milwaukee Brewers Wednesday.
• Career vs. Reds: 2-4, 5.75 ERA (40 2/3 IP, 26 ER), 56 H, 15 BB, 45 K in 8 starts

The Reds had not named a starter at time of publication.

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Cubs at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:13 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Cubs -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Reds +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs -1.5 (+125) | Reds +1.5 (-155)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Cubs at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 4, Cubs 3

Moneyline

BET REDS (+105).

The Reds have dominated their season series against the Cubs 6-2 thus far while going 4-1 at home. They have won 4 of their last 6 games and rebounded from their road trip with a 7-run game Monday. Expect Cincinnati to continue to gain momentum against the division-worst Cubs on Tuesday.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is no value on the Reds run line in this matchup.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 9 (-105).

The Cubs have hit the Under in 8 of their last 10 while the Reds have hit the Under in 7 of their last 10. Chicago has scored 3 runs or fewer in 8 of its last 10 and 2 runs or fewer in 4 of its last 10 while Cincinnati has scored 3 runs or less in 3 of its last 4.

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The Cincinnati Reds (50-55) welcome the Chicago Cubs (51-56) to Great American Ball Park Monday for the 1st contest of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Cubs vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Reds lead 5-2

Chicago won at the Kansas City Royals 7-3 Sunday, closing as a +161 underdog. The Cubs took the final 2 games of the 3-game set, tallying 16 total runs in the 2 wins. The Cubs are 24-31 on the road this season and 7-3 in their last 10 away games. Chicago is 51-56 against the spread (ATS).

The Reds lost at the Tampa Bay Rays 2-1 Sunday as -107 underdogs. They were underdog in all 3 games against the Rays, losing Saturday and Sunday after taking Friday’s opener. Cincinnati has won 3 of its last 5 and is 8-7 over its last 13. This is Cincinnati’s 1st homestand after the All-Star break — they went 3-5 on an 8-game trip to start the 2nd half. Cincy is 5-2 over its last 7 home games — they are 25-28 at Grate American Ball Park and 57-48 ATS overall.

Cubs at Reds projected starters

RHP Jameson Taillon vs. RHP Carson Spiers

Taillon (7-5, 2.96 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 100 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 7 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 1-0 home defeat vs. Milwaukee Brewers Tuesday
• 2024 away splits: 2-2, 3.28 ERA (46 2/3 IP, 17 ER), 1.16 WHIP, 6 HR, 5.8 K/9 in 8 starts
• Career vs. Reds: 5-5, 4.79 ERA (88 1/3 IP, 47 ER), 1.36 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 in 16 starts
• First time facing Reds this season

Spiers (3-2, 3.83 ERA) makes his 6th start and 11th appearance. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 through 47 innings.

• Last start: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 9 K in 7-4 home win over Miami Marlins July 12
• 2024 home splits: 2-1, 3.94 ERA (32 IP, 14 ER), 1.38 WHIP, 4 HR, 8.2 K/9 in 7 appearances (3 starts)
• Career vs. Cubs: 0-0, 2.79 ERA (9 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 1.24 WHIP, 13 K/9 in 2 appearances (1 start)
• 2024 vs. Cubs: 1 relief outing, 5 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 4-2 home loss June 9

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Cubs at Reds odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 9:33 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Cubs -112 (bet $112 to win $100) | Reds -104 (bet $104 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs -1.5 (+142) | Reds +1.5 (-172)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -122)

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Cubs at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 5, Reds 3

Moneyline

BET CUBS (-112).

The Cubs haven’t played overly well on the road, but they will have the pitching advantage. Meanwhile, the Reds are also one of the worst teams in the majors as home underdogs at 6-11 straight up and 8-9 ATS.

Cincinnati hasn’t played at home since July 14, and it has gone 5-5 in its last 10 at GABP. Spiers hasn’t pitched well as of late either, having allowed 3 or more runs in 4 of his last 5 starts.

Considering the trends, BACK CUBS (-112).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s no good value here. The Reds (+1.5) as home underdogs are too expensive to take at -172, and the Cubs (-1.5, +142) are too risky, especially considering how poorly they’ve played on the road.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 9 (-122).

The Cubs are 3-5 O/U in Taillon’s last 8 starts, and they have gone Under in 6 of their last 8. Chicago has scored 3 or fewer in 6 of 8 as well, so it hasn’t had an overly consistent offense. The Cubs are 45-58-4 O/U on the season.

The Reds, who are 46-55-4 O/U on the season, have gone Under in 3 straight and in 5 of their last 6 games. Cincinnati has scored 4 runs in its last 3 games — 1 total run in its last 2.

Neither team is batting well right now. TAKE UNDER 9 (-122).

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The Chicago Cubs (31-33) and Cincinnati Reds (31-33) play the 3rd game of a 4-game NL Central series Saturday. First pitch at Great American Ball Park is slated for 4:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cubs vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cincinnati leads 4-1

The Cubs lost Friday’s game 3-2 and are 2-9 with a 4.85 ERA over their last 11 outings away from Wrigley Field.

The Reds have taken the 1st 2 games of this series and are 6-0 since June 2. Cincinnati is 9-3 with a plus-18 run differential over its last 12 games.

Cubs at Reds projected starters

RHP Ben Brown vs. LHP Andrew Abbott

Brown (1-2, 3.33 ERA) is tabbed for his 8th start and 15th appearance. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 in 51 1/3 IP.

• Last outing: Loss, 5 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 5-2 home setback vs. Reds Sunday (1st career game vs. Cincinnati)
• Owns a 2.83 ERA as a starter

Abbott (4-5, 3.39 ERA) is tabbed for his 13th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 69 IP.

• Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 13-3 victory at Colorado Rockies Monday
• Career vs. Cubs: 0-0, 4.66 ERA (9 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 9 H, 5 BB, 10 K in 2 starts

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Cubs at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:02 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Cubs +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Reds -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-200) | Reds -1.5 (+150)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Cubs at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 6, Reds 4

Moneyline

Cincinnati is 6-2 over the last 8 series meetings. The CUBS (+100) are 2-9 across their last 11 road games.

At 4.41 runs per game and 4.16 RPG allowed, Cincy figures to be a better-than-.500 club. The Reds have been a good betting proposition of late and will likely be a solid one in the immediate future. But the pitching match-up changes the equation for Saturday.

Abbott has been quite fortunate to pitch through the lessened traffic of a .246 batting average on balls in play, and per ESPN, current Chicago batters own an aggregate .775 OPS against him.

Aside from his Sunday clunker against the Reds (which figures to be recency bias overestimated by bettors), Brown has been sharp in this, his rookie campaign. The 24-year-old has fanned 34 batters in his last 23 2/3 IP, and the Reds own a low-contact .673 OPS against righties.

Consider a partial-unit play on CHICAGO (+100).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS: The ML option injects less juice and teases out more leverage.

Over/Under

Some overall team batting and pitching gravity pegs both clubs as being Over leans in general: The NL Central clubs figure to be higher-scoring teams with gettable pitching.

With some added fade of Abbott in particular and with the game being in hitter-friendly Great American with a daytime start, the OVER 9 (-110) has value.

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The Chicago Cubs (31-32) and Cincinnati Reds (30-33) meet Friday as they continue a 4-game NL Central series. First pitch at Great American Ball Park is slated for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cubs vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cincinnati leads 3-1

The Cubs dropped Thursday’s series opener 8-4. Chicago lost 2-0 and 4-3 leads in the contest in seeing its team ERA since May 29 rise to 5.61.

The Reds are back at home after a 4-1 road trip which opened by taking 2 of 3 against these Cubs at Wrigley Field last weekend. Cincinnati is 8-3 with a plus-17 run differential over its last 11 games.

Cubs at Reds projected starters

LHP Justin Steele vs. LHP Nick Lodolo

Steele (0-2, 4.10 ERA) is tabbed for his 8th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 37 1/3 IP.

• Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 4 BB, 5 K in 7-5 win vs. Cincinnati Reds Sunday
• Career vs. Reds: 2-3, 6.68 ERA (33 2/3 IP, 25 ER), 51 H, 14 BB, 38 K in 9 games (7 starts)

Lodolo (5-2, 3.11 ERA) is making his 9th start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 46 1/3 IP.

• Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 5-2 win at Chicago Cubs Sunday
• Career vs. Cubs: 1-1, 4.02 ERA (15 2/3 IP, 7 ER), 16 H, 10 BB, 14 K in 3 starts

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Cubs at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:07 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Cubs -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Reds -115 (bet $100 to win $115)
• Against the spread (ATS): Cubs -1.5 (+155) | Reds +1.5 (-190)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Cubs at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 6, Cubs 4

Moneyline

Cincinnati is 5-2 over the last 7 series meetings. The Cubs are 2-8 across their last 10 road games.

Per ESPN, Reds current batters own an aggregate .904 OPS against Steele. At 4.43 runs per game and 4.19 RPG allowed, Cincy figures to be a better-than-.500 club. Bettors are likely undervaluing the Reds somewhat.

BACK CINCINNATI (-115).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS: Look to the ML for the best leverage in this matchup.

Over/Under

The Over cashed Thursday and is 3-0-1 across the last 4 series meetings.

Cincinnati is at its best against port-siders, and both lineups saw these same hurlers last week. Expect some good swings backed by that familiarity, against both the starters and bullpens.

On a breeze-blowing-out night at a home-run ballpark, TAKE THE OVER 9 (-105).

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The Chicago Cubs (31-31) and Cincinnati Reds (29-33) meet Thursday as they swing into a 4-game NL Central series. First pitch at Great American Ball Park is slated for 7:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cubs vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cincinnati leads 2-1

The Cubs are coming off back-to-back 7-6 triumphs over the Chicago White Sox and are 3-1 across their last 4 games after enduring a rough 1-8 stretch at the end of May.

The Reds are back at home after a 4-1 road trip which opened by taking 2 of 3 against these Cubs at Wrigley Field last weekend. Cincinnati is 8-3 with a plus-17 run differential over its last 11 games.

Cubs at Reds projected starters

RHP Javier Assad vs. RHP Hunter Greene

Assad (4-1, 2.27 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 63.1 IP.

• Last outing: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 5-4 loss vs. Cincinnati Reds Friday
• Career vs. Reds: 0-1, 2.30 ERA (31 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 29 H, 12 BB, 32 K in 6 games (4 starts)
• Has benefited from a .256 batting average on balls in play in inning lead-off situations and a .154 BABIP in high-leverage scenarios

Greene (3-2, 3.44 ERA) is making his 13th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 70.2 IP.

• Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 5 ER, 3 H, 5 BB, 5 K in 5-4 loss vs. Cincinnati Reds Friday
• Career vs. Cubs: 3-1, 4.33 ERA (27 IP, 13 ER), 14 H, 12 BB, 35 K in 5 starts
• Makes this start on 4 days’ rest: has yielded just a .655 OPS on such rest over his career

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Cubs at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:06 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Cubs +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Reds -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-175) | Reds -1.5 (+145)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Cubs at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 6, Cubs 4

Moneyline

The Cubs are 1-5 over their last 6 road games. The Reds are 4-2 across the last 6 series meetings.

Peg Cincinnati as having a bit of an unfortunate record with its 4.37 runs per game against 4.19 allowed. The Reds’ bullpen is in good shape after an off day, and Chicago’s relief corps is in fatigue territory. The back end of that Chicago pen has multiple bodies likely unavailable Thursday.

Chicago batters own a .614 OPS since May 13. Cincinnati has won 5 straight series openers and is a value in this spot. BACK THE REDS (-125).

Run line/Against the spread

Some lean toward the home team here, but figure the return on the Reds minus a cushion being a tad light. PASS.

Over/Under

The last 8 Cubs games have cashed Over tickets 7 times. The total has gone Over in 12 of Cincinnati’s last 17 games against Chicago.

Both starters have expected-ERA figures that would indicate they are most likely overrated in their effect on tamping down scores. Mix in a breeze-blowing-out forecast in home-run favorable Great American Ball Park and a fatigued back end of the Chicago bullpen, and the OVER 9.5 (-105) is the play here.

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