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Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies (93-65) welcome the Chicago Cubs (81-77) to Citizens Bank Park Wednesday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 6:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Cubs vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 3-2

The Phillies, who have clinched the NL East, lost to the Cubs 10-4 Tuesday yet beat them to open the series 6-2 Monday.

Philadelphia has been a dynamic 53-27 at home this season. It is just 2-5 over its last 7, dropping 3 of 4 to the New York Mets in the series prior. The Phillies are 78-80 against the spread (ATS) this season and still battling the LA Dodgers for the best record in the NL.

The Cubs have won 4 of their last 6 games, beating the Washington Nationals in 3 of 4 prior to visiting the City of Brotherly Love. Chicago is 39-41 on the road this season and 75-83 ATS overall. It has been eliminated from the playoffs.

Cubs at Phillies projected starters

RHP Javier Assad vs. LHP Cristopher Sanchez

Assad (7-5, 3.34 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 142 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 7-6 home win over Nationals Thursday
  • 2024 away stats: 4-3, 4.17 ERA (73 1/3 IP, 34 ER), 1.36 WHIP, 7.7 K/9 in 14 starts
  • Career vs. Phillies: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (8 IP), 1.38 WHIP, 5.6 K/9 in 2 appearances (1 start)

Sanchez (11-9, 3.25 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 177 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 5 BB, 7 K in 12-2 road victory over Mets Friday
  • 2024 home stats: 7-3, 2.05 ERA (105 1/3 IP, 24 ER), 0.96 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 in 16 starts
  • Career vs. Cubs: 0-1, 1 road start (July 4), 4 IP, 7 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 10-2 defeat

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Cubs at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 9:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cubs +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Phillies -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-135) | Phillies -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Cubs at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 6, Cubs 3

Moneyline

PASS.

There’s no great value on the moneyline. The Phillies (-190) have something to play for and should come out on top. However, they aren’t worth taking at these odds. Avoid a moneyline play.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PHILLIES -1.5 (+110).

The Phillies have been the best team in MLB at home and also after a loss, both of which ring true in this game. They have won Sanchez’s last 5 starts and beat the Mets 12-2 in his last outing Sept. 20.

Philadelphia is 3-4 ATS in its last 7 home games. The Cubs are 4-3 in their last 7, but all 3 losses were by multiple runs. Chicago is just 2-4 ATS in its last 6 road games. At these odds and given the potential lack of motivation for the road side, back PHILLIES -1.5 (+110).

Over/Under

BET OVER 8 (-110).

The Cubs put up 10 runs on the Phillies Tuesday and have scored at least 5 in 2 of their last 3 games. They are 3-3-1 O/U in their last 7 games.

The Phillies are 4-1-1 O/U in their last 6 games and have scored at least 6 runs in 3 of the 6. Considering the recent trends, take OVER 8 (-110).

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Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Chicago Cubs (80-76) face the Philadelphia Phillies (92-64) in the Cubs’ final road series and the Phillies’ last homestand. First pitch Monday from Citizens Bank Park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Cubs vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 2-1

The Cubs won 3 of 4 from the Washington Nationals. On Sunday Cubs LHP Shota Imanaga threw 7 innings (0 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 4 K) and the bullpen completed the 5-0 shutout. Chicago hit 3 HRs in the win.

The Phillies are playoff bound, but they lost 3 of their last 4 games to the New York Mets,including 2-1 on Sunday. RHP Zack Wheeler lowered his ERA to 2.56 (7 IP, 7 H, 2 ER, 1 BB, 8 k), but the offense left 8 men on base and couldn’t score after a 1st inning RBI single by 3B Alec Bohm.

Cubs at Phillies projected starters

RHP Nate Pearson vs. RHP Aaron Nola

Pearson (2-2, 4.71 ERA) makes his 1st start after 57 relief appearances. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 63 IP.

  • 2024 road stats: 0-0, 5.20 ERA (27 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.33 WHIP, 11.1 K/9 in 26 appearances
  • Six of the 12 HRs he’s allowed have come on the 1st pitch
  • In his first 25 pitches he allows .838 OPS, then it drops to a .173 OPS later in the game.

Nola (12-8, 3.54 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 188 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No decision, 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 2-1 road loss to Milwaukee Brewers Wednesday.
  • 2024 home stats: 6-4, 3.31 ERA (98 IP, 36 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 in 16 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Cubs at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated Monday at 3:58 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cubs +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Phillies -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-125) | Phillies -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Cubs at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 6, Cubs 1

Moneyline

After a loss, Philadelphia posts the highest win rate, tied with the Dodgers, at 61.9%. Also against the NL, the Phillies are a respectable 66-44 (60%). But at the current odds its best to PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The Cubs have been good on the road against the spread. However, coming off a win they have the worst record in baseball at 32-47 (40.5%). Given the fact their season is over and they are starting a reliever, I don’t have much confidence in Chicago.

BET PHILLIES -1.5 (+105).

Over/Under

The Cubs have a strong Under record at 42-34-2 (55.3%). And the Phillies lean Under as a home favorite going 39-29-3 (57.4%).

The Cubs pitchers may not help keep the score down, but Philadelphia’s pitching should do the trick. In their last homestand they kept their opponent’s offense below 3 runs in 3 of those 6 games.

LEAN UNDER 8 (-105).

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Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Chicago Cubs (36-57) meet the Philadelphia Phillies (49-44) Saturday for the 2nd game of a 3-game set at Citizens Bank Park. First pitch is set for 6:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series:  The Cubs lead 1-0.

Who saw the Cubs winning 15-2 in Philadelphia Friday? Go ahead, I’ll wait. At least we nailed OF Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 total bases (+115) with a first-inning homer. Not much else went right for the Phils last night.

RHP Kyle Gibson ran out of gas, and the Cubs punched the Phillies for 6 runs in the 5th inning and 8 more in 8th and 9th. It was just the Cubs’ 2nd win in their last 10 games.

The day for Cubs OF Nelson Velazquez started with a spot on the bench. It ended with 2 homers and 5 RBI as he came into the game as a pinch-hitter and went yard in each AB. How does Philly respond Saturday? Ace RHP Zack Wheeler will try to have a say.

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Cubs at Phillies projected starters

RHP Marcus Stroman vs. RHP Zack Wheeler

Stroman (2-5, 4.69 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 55 2/3 IP.

  • Has been solid in 2 starts since returning from injury with 1 ER and 9 K over 8 1/3 IP against the New York Mets and Los Angeles Dodgers.
  • Had 5 starts against the Phillies in 2021 and went 2-3 with a 1.80 ERA and 22 K across 25 IP.

Wheeler (8-5, 2.89 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 through 99 2/3 IP.

  • Has been great at home with a 5-2 record, 1.62 ERA, 0.84 WHIP and 9.9 K/9 through 9 starts.
  • The Cubs roughed him up for 4 ER in 5 2/3 IP with 6 K last July. That team looked much different, though.

Cubs at Phillies odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:34 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Cubs +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Phillies -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-160) | Phillies -1.5 (+130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Cubs at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Cubs 3

Money line

I’m confident enough to put -170 on the Phillies behind Wheeler at home. If you wanna go a half-unit there because of the juice – that’s cool.

Stroman has been pitching well, but he didn’t get through the 5th inning in either of his 2 most recent starts, and Wheeler is superb at home. Here’s another option to couple with that: I like UNDER 4.5 FIRST 5 INNINGS TOTAL RUNS (-135), and I might sprinkle on UNDER 3.5 FIRST 5 INNINGS TOTAL RUNS (+125).

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Run line/Against the spread

Thirteen of the Phils’ last 15 wins have been by more than 1 run. With Wheeler on the bump and a likely angry home team, PHILLIES -1.5 (+130) is at a good value.

Over/Under

The wind is blowing out to right-center field again at 9 mph. Schwarber is 3-for-7 lifetime against Stroman with no home runs. When those prop bets pop up closer to game time, you might look at his total bases again. Eight runs is doable, but it might be close.

LEAN OVER 7.5 (-120).

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

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Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Chicago Cubs (35-57) open the second half against the Philadelphia Phillies (49-43) Friday in the 1st of a 3-game set at Citizens Bank Park. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series:  This is their first meeting of the year. Philadelphia won 5-2 last year.

The Cubs limped into the All-Star break as losers of 9 of their last 10 outings. They went 7-3 in the 10-game stretch before that, though. The trade winds will be swirling as we near the Aug. 2 dealing and we anticipate where All-Star C Willson Contreras will be playing. That takes a toll on a young team.

The Phillies hope to start the second half on a high note, and OF Kyle Schwarber would like to put his flame out in the Home Run Derby behind him. Watch him, as well as the other participants tonight, to see if the competition alters their swing path.

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Cubs at Phillies projected starters

LHP Justin Steele vs. RHP Kyle Gibson

Steele (3-6, 4.15 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 82 1/3 IP.

  • Has a 2.98 ERA over his last 7 starts.
  • Has unfavorable road splits with a 5.86 ERA, 1.52 WHIP away from home vs. 3.29 ERA and 1.35 WHIP at Wrigley Field.

Gibson (5-3, 4.35 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 97 1/3 IP.

  • Allowed just 1 ER through 13 IP across his last 2 starts.
  • He pitches a little better at home with a 4.01 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and 7.5 K/9 vs. 4.73 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 7.3 K/9 on road.
  • Current Cubbies are hitting .282 with a .801 OPS in 85 plate appearances against him.

Cubs at Phillies odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:37 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Cubs +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Phillies -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-175) | Phillies -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Cubs at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Cubs 3

Money line

Lefties hit .267 against Steele, whereas righties hit .243. With OF Bryce Harper still out, Schwarber is the only left-handed hitter that figures to pose a threat. Schwarbs is hitting just .193 against left-handers with a homer every 16 at-bats while hitting .213 with a homer every 10 ABs against righties.

It’s projected to be 95 degrees with the wind blowing out to right-center field at about 10 mph. That might neutralize the lefty-lefty advantage Steele has because Schwarber hits it out quite often when he puts it in the air. You might consider SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 TOTAL BASES (+115) along with the PHILLIES (-140).

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Run line/Against the spread

Thirteen of the Phillies’ last 15 wins have been by more than 1 run. Gibson has dazzled in his last 2 starts and I think it’s safe to play PHILLIES -1.5 (+140) for a solid return.

Over/Under

As noted, it’s hot and the wind is blowing out. Is that enough to nail a 10-spot, though? The Phillies might have to score 7 to cash this one with the way Gibson has dealt his last couple of outings. The Phils are 8-2 to the Under in their last 10 contests.

Let’s LEAN UNDER 9.5 (-130).

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Ryan Dodson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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