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Indianapolis Colts (9-4) vs Houston Texans (4-9) Game Preview

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Why Houston Texans Will Win

Deshaun Watson has to go off.

The Texans flat-out didn’t show up again Chicago last week – the team had its heart ripped out on a late fumble in the loss to the Colts a few weeks ago.

The passing game went for close to 400 yards and the team had its shot late before the misfire, and now Watson has to do it all again. The Indianapolis secondary has been solid all year, but but it has allowed over 300 yards in three of the last four games. It has to happen again.

Why Indianapolis Colts Will Win

The Colts have a running game again.

Philip Rivers has gutted it out though a toe injury, but he hasn’t had to carry the offense with the ground game working. It rolled well enough against Houston a few weeks ago and it dominated the Raiders with over 200 yards. The Colts have hit the 100-yard mark in six of the last seven games, the defense is taking the ball away, and all of a sudden, they’re getting big performances from …

Fantasy Football Player To Watch

RB Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis
Who’s that running back who’s coming through late and carrying teams through the final weeks? After waiting all year for Taylor to come through, he’s doing it over the last three games. The O line is great, Philip Rivers is loving to hand the ball off, and Taylor is on with 90 rushing yards or more in the last three games with two touchdowns last week and a receiving score two weeks ago.

What’s Going To Happen

Houston made it a fight the first time around, but a few weeks later it’s not going to have as much fun. Watson will be Watson as he and the passing game try to bounce back from the Chicago debacle, but the defense won’t handle the Colt offensive balance.

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans Prediction, Line

Indianapolis 30, Houston 20
Bet on Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans with BetMGM
Indianapolis -7, o/u: 51
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3.5

Must See Rating: 2.5

5: Mank
1: Saved By The Bell

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The Indianapolis Colts (6-4) and Houston Texans (6-4) are tied atop the AFC South and will meet in Week 12 for a game with huge playoff implications. The winner will be in the driver’s seat in the division, while the loser could fall out of the playoff picture.

Kickoff from NRG Stadium in Houston will be at 8:20 p.m. ET on Thursday night.

Colts at Texans: Week 12 preview, betting trends and notes

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The Texans were blown out by the Ravens on Sunday, losing 41-7 as 4.5-point underdogs. It was the third time this season they’ve failed to win a third straight game.
The Colts took care of the Jaguars in Week 11, winning 33-13 at home. It ended a two-game losing skid following losses to the Steelers and Dolphins.
The Colts are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven road games against Houston. They’ve won three straight vs. the Texans, too, dating back to last December.
Houston is 14-4 straight up in its last 18 games against the AFC South.
The Colts are 6-0 ATS in their last six against the AFC South, and are 3-0 this season.
In their last 11 games against teams above .500, the Colts are 10-1 ATS.

Colts at Texans: Key injuries

Colts RB Marlon Mack left Sunday’s game with a hand injury and will miss the game. WR T.Y. Hilton (calf) and TE Eric Ebron (ankle) are expected to play. WR Parris Campbell (hand) is less certain.

Texans WR Will Fuller (hamstring) remains questionable.

Colts at Texans: Odds, betting lines and prediction

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Texans 24, Colts 21

Moneyline (?)

The Colts being without Mack is a big factor in this one. The Texans have the advantage of being at home, too, and they should bounce back from an embarrassing loss to the Ravens.

Bet the TEXANS (-189) to win outright on Thursday night. Deshaun Watson is a more dynamic quarterback than Jacoby Brissett and that’ll make a huge difference.

New to sports betting? A $10 wager on the Texans to win outright would return a profit of $5.29.

Against the Spread (?)

The Texans enter as 3.5-point favorites at home, despite losing by 34 points to the Ravens on Sunday. The Colts have been excellent against the spread when facing the Texans and the AFC South in recent years, going 3-0 against the division this year alone.

Bet the COLTS (-110) to cover the 3.5-point spread.

Over/Under (?)

Thursday night games typically lead to some sloppy play early in the contest, which could be the case this week. The Over/Under is set at 46.5 points, and in 12 of the Colts’ last 18 road games, the total has gone under.

Take the UNDER (-115) in this matchup as both teams will take a little while to knock off the short-week rust.

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