The No. 6 Colorado State Rams (25-5) are 2.5-point underdogs to move on to the second round of the NCAA Tournament when they take on the No. 11 Michigan Wolverines (17-14) on Thursday. Here are some insights into this 6-11 matchup in the South Regional Region bracket that starts at 12:15 PM.
Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
Michigan has compiled a 13-17-0 record against the spread this season, while Colorado State is 14-15-1. The Wolverines are 17-13-0 and the Rams are 10-20-0 in terms of going over the point total. The teams score an average of 146.7 points per game, 7.2 more points than this matchup’s total. Michigan has a 5-5-0 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall in the past 10 games. Colorado State has gone 4-5-1 against the spread and 8-2 overall in its last 10 contests.
Before watching this matchup, here is everything you need to know about Thursday’s college hoops action.
Michigan at Colorado State odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list.
- Spread: Michigan -2.5
- Total: 139.5
- Moneyline: Michigan -141, Colorado State +119
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Michigan at Colorado State odds, spread, & more
Prediction
Michigan 71, Colorado State 70
Moneyline
- The Wolverines have won 12 of the 21 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (57.1%).
- Michigan has an 11-7 record (winning 61.1% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -141 or shorter.
- Based on this game’s moneyline, the Wolverines’ implied win probability is 58.5%.
- The Rams have won two of the four games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
- This season, Colorado State has won one of its two games when it’s the underdog by at least +119 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win by the Rams based on the moneyline is 45.7%.
Against the spread
- The Wolverines average 73 points per game, 7.3 more points than the 65.7 the Rams give up.
- Michigan is 13-7 against the spread and 15-6 overall when scoring more than 65.7 points.
- When Colorado State gives up fewer than 73 points, it is 10-8 against the spread and 19-1 overall.
- The Rams’ 73.7 points per game are only 3.8 more points than the 69.9 the Wolverines allow.
- Colorado State is 11-7 against the spread and 17-2 overall when it scores more than 69.9 points.
- Michigan is 11-7 against the spread and 14-4 overall when it allows fewer than 73.7 points.
- The Wolverines have out-scored their opponents by a total of 98 points this season (3.1 points per game on average), and the Rams have put up 240 more points than their opponents on the year (eight per game).
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Over/Under
- The average implied total for the Wolverines this season is 74.2 points, 3.2 more points than their implied total of 71 points in Thursday’s game.
- So far this season, Michigan has scored more than 71 points in a game 19 times.
- The average implied point total on the season for the Rams (74.9) is 5.9 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (69).
- So far this season, Colorado State has put up more than 69 points in 18 games.
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