Tag: Colorado Rockies vs. Atlanta Braves odds predictions pick betting line spread

Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Colorado Rockies (29-42) and Atlanta Braves (43-26) play the 2nd game of a 4-game set Friday at Truist Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rockies vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 1-0

The Rockies lost 8-3 as +222 underdogs at the Braves Thursday. Colorado has lost 8 of its last 11 games and is 5th in the NL West, 13 games back of the division-leading Arizona Diamondbacks.

The Braves closed as -248 home favorites in Thursday’s win. Atlanta has won 3 straight and leads the NL East by 5 games.

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Rockies at Braves projected starters

RHP Dinelson Lamet vs. LHP Jared Shuster

Lamet (1-3, 10.38 ERA) makes his 4th start and 16th appearance. He has a 2.31 WHIP, 7.1 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 21 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 5 K in a 5-4 win vs. San Diego Padres Sunday
  • Career vs. Braves: 1-1, 2.25 ERA (16 IP, 4 ER), 10 H, 2 HR, 4 BB, 22 K in 2 starts and 3 relief appearances

Shuster (3-2, 5.05 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 4.8 BB/9 and 5.3 K/9 in 35 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 0 K in a 6-4 win vs. Washington Nationals Saturday
  • First career start vs. Rockies

Rockies at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rockies +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Braves -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (+105) | Braves -1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Rockies at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 7, Rockies 4

Moneyline

PASS.

The Braves (-250) should beat the Rockies for the 4th straight time, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the ML when Atlanta should win by multiple runs. Bet the run line and/or the total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

BET BRAVES -1.5 (-130).

Atlanta has won 10 of its last 12 games and 11 of its last 13 wins have been by multiple runs. Colorado is 0-6 in its last 6 games vs. teams with a winning record and 15 of its last 18 losses have been by 2 or more runs.

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Over/Under

BET OVER 10.5 (-110).

The Over has hit in the Braves’ last 4 games and is 5-2 in their last 7 after a win. The Over has gone 22-10-1 in Atlanta’s last 33 at home and should hit again Friday with the inconsistent Lamet on the mound for Colorado.

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Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Colorado Rockies (29-41) and Atlanta Braves (42-26) will meet for the 1st time this season Thursday. First pitch from at Truist Park in Atlanta is  7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rockies vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Braves won 6 of 7 games in 2022

The Rockies took 2 of 3 from the Boston Red Sox in their most recent series and have won 3 of their last 4 games. They’re still 13 games back in the NL West, sitting 12 games below .500 as we approach the midway point of the season.

The Braves are riding a 2-game winning streak coming into this game, holding onto a 4.5-game lead over the Miami Marlins in the NL East. They’ve scored the 4th-most runs (355) and have the 8th-best team ERA (3.84) in MLB.

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Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves projected starters

LHP Kyle Freeland vs. RHP A.J. Smith-Shawver

Freeland (4-7, 3.91 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 5.8 K/9 in 76 innings.

  • Has allowed just 3 ER in 12 IP in June
  • Leads MLB with 14 starts; also has most losses (7) of any pitcher

Smith-Shawver (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 0.78 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 in 7 2/3 innings.

  • 20-year-old making just his 3rd career appearance and 2nd MLB start
  • First start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 3 H 2 R (0 ER), 1 BB, 3 K in 3-2 win over Washington Nationals on Friday

Rockies at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rockies +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Braves -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (+105) | Braves -1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Rockies at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 6, Rockies 4

Moneyline

The Rockies have played some decent baseball as of late, but they now get a tough opponent in the Braves, winners of 9 of their last 11 games. The Braves should win this game at home, where they’re 20-15, extending their winning streak to 3 games.

The problem is they’re -250 on the money line, which is heavily juiced. I would PASS on the ML at that number.

Run line/Against the spread

The Braves have covered the run line in 7 of their last 9 wins, beating their opponents by at least 2 runs in each of those contests. As for the Rockies, their last 3 wins have all been by 1 run each, so even when they’ve won, they haven’t done so convincingly.

I like the BRAVES -1.5 (-125) to win and cover the spread by beating the Rockies by at least 2 runs.

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Over/Under

According to Covers, the total has gone Over in each of the Braves’ last 5 home games against lefties. The total has gone Over in 7 of their last 10 overall, including the last 3 games.

BET OVER 9 (-120).

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Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Rockies at Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (56-75) square off with the Atlanta Braves (80-51) in the final game of a 3-game series Thursday at Truist Park. The game will begin at 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Braves lead 4-1

The Rockies enter Thursday’s matchup having won only 4 of their last 10 games. Colorado lost to Atlanta 3-2 Wednesday as rookie RF Michael Toglia was the lone supplier of offense for the Rockies. Toglia went 2-for-4 with a 2-run home run in the loss, hitting his 1st career HR, which came in the top off the 9th off of Braves closer Kenley Jansen.

The Braves are 6-4 in their last 10 games. DH Ronald Acuna Jr. made his return Wednesday following a 3-game absence. The superstar OF went 1-for-4 with a home run to help Atlanta secure the win at home. The Braves enter Thursday only 3 games behind the New York Mets for the NL East lead.

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Rockies at Braves projected starters

RHP Chad Kuhl vs. RHP Spencer Strider

Kuhl (6-7, 5.17 ERA) makes his 22nd start of the season. He has a 1.51 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 in 108 IP.

  • Has given up 3 or more ER in 8 of his last 10 starts, including in 7 straight
  • June 3 at Braves: 6 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 3 K, no-decision in Colorado’s 3-1 loss

Strider (8-4, 2.87 ERA) makes his 17th start and 28th appearance. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 13.3 K/9 in 106 2/3 IP.

  • Has allowed just 1 ER or less in 9 of his last 11 starts
  • June 4 at Rockies: 4 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 5 BB, 5 K, no-decision in Atlanta’s 6-2 win

Rockies at Braves odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:35 p.m. ET

  • Money line (ML): Rockies +330 (bet $100 to win $330) | Braves -450 (bet $450 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +2.5 (-103) | Braves -2.5 (-117)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Rockies at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 7, Rockies 2

Money line

Strider has made a definitive case to be the NL ROY. The only other rookie who could prevent the hard-throwing pitcher from winning the award is OF Michael Harris Jr., who also happens to play for the Braves.

This could be a lopsided game given the pitching matchup, but PASS on wagering on the money line with Atlanta having -450 odds to win.

Instead, backing the BRAVES OVER 2.5 RUNS FIRST 5 INNINGS (-127) is a solid alternative.

Run line/Against the spread

It’s not every day you see a team favored by 2.5-plus runs, but BRAVES -2.5 (-117) is unquestionably plausible given the pitching matchup. You can also go with BRAVES -1.5 FIRST 5 INNINGS (-115) in case Atlanta’s bullpen surrenders a couple of runs later in the game.

Over/Under

Even with Strider likely shutting down the Rockies, OVER 7.5 RUNS (-125) is worth taking. The Braves should have no issue producing runs against Kuhl and the Colorado bullpen at home.

The Over is 5-0 in Kuhl’s last 5 road starts against a team with a winning record and the Over has hit in his last 6 road starts. On the other hand, the Over is 6-0-1 in Strider’s last 7 starts.

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Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (56-74) tangle with the Atlanta Braves (79-51) Wednesday in the 2nd game of a 3-game set at Truist Park. First pitch is set for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Braves lead 4-1

The Rockies took the opener Tuesday with a 3-2 victory on the heels of 4 scoreless innings by the bullpen and 12 strikeouts from the staff overall. Colorado has now won 2 games in a row in its NL East road trip, and is 5-5 over the last 10.

The Braves have now dropped 3 outings in a row. They really need to take the next 2 of the series. Fortunately for them, the New York Mets have lost 2 in a row, and Atlanta is just 3 games back.

One pressing issue to monitor is that star OF Ronald Acuna Jr. has been out of the lineup for 3 straight games due to soreness in his surgically repaired knee. The team said he’s responding well to treatment and that he’s day to day. His return could really lift them up.

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Rockies at Braves projected starters

RHP Ryan Feltner vs. RHP Kyle Wright

Feltner (2-5, 5.87 ERA) makes his 13th start and 14th appearance. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 61 1/3 IP.

  • Was torched for 6 ER on 7 H and 1 BB with 3 K in 3 IP June 5 against Atlanta in Colorado
  • Has horrific road numbers: 0-3, 6.19 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 7 starts

Wright (16-5, 2.99 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 147 2/3 IP.

  • Coming off a gem Aug. 24 at the Pittsburgh Pirates: 7 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 1 BB, 8 K
  • Hasn’t faced Colorado but is 10-2 with a 3.05 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 9.2 K/9 in 14 home starts

Rockies at Braves odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:35 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Rockies +250 (bet $100 to win $250) | Braves -320 (bet $320 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +2.5 (-125) | Braves -2.5 (+102)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Rockies at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 5, Rockies 3

Money line

The Braves are huge favorites at home with Wright, who’s tied for the NL lead in wins, on the mound. Feltner has allowed 3 ER in 5 of his 7 road starts this year, and this is a “get-right” game for Atlanta. Let’s go with  BRAVES OVER 2.5 TOTAL RUNS FIRST 5 INNINGS (-140) at a great price.

Run line/Against the spread

It takes a rare situation for me to take a 2.5-run RL, and this isn’t one with Feltner on the hill. The Rockies have only scored 11 runs on this 5-game road trip, and 6 came in one game.

With that in mind, I’d go with the chalky ROCKIES UNDER 3.5 TOTAL RUNS (-190) for a FULL UNIT. I’d also consider the riskier ROCKIES UNDER 2.5 TOTAL RUNS (+105) for a HALF UNIT.

Over/Under

There’s a slight wind at 3 mph going out to left-center field, which really shouldn’t make much of a difference. These teams could easily amass 9 runs to go over this total, but neither offense is clicking. The Braves are 6-3-1 O/U the last 10 despite the struggles, though. This one is too risky. PASS.

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Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (68-78) and Atlanta Braves (76-68) clash in a Thursday matinee as they close out a three-game series at Truist Park. First pitch is slated for 12:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Rockies vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP German Marquez is the projected starting pitcher for the Rockies. He is 12-10 with a 3.93 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 through 167 IP spanning 29 starts.

  • Coming off 6 scoreless innings in a Friday start at the Philadelphia Phillies. Had carded a 7.77 ERA over his previous five outings.
  • Has pitched better at home this season with a 3.16 ERA compared to a 4.93 ERA on the road.
  • Current Atlanta batters own a 1.009 OPS against him. The Braves are seeing Marquez for a second time this month. He logged 5 IP against Atlanta Sept. 4 and allowed 4 runs (2 earned) on 5 hits and a walk.

RHP Ian Anderson is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves. He is 7-5 with a 3.61 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 and 3.9 BB/9 over 109 2/3 IP across 21 starts.

  • Scuffled in a Sept. 4 start at Coors Field with 4 ER on 5 H and 4 BB over 3 IP.
  • Benefits from a .279 batting average on balls in play.
  • Owns a 5.63 ERA over his last four starts and has averaged just 4 innings per turn over that stretch.

Rockies at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rockies +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Braves -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (-135) | Braves -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Prediction

Rockies 5, Braves 4

Money line (ML)

Colorado has won three games in a row, including the first two games of this set. The Rockies have won five of their last six, and they are a solid 16-12 since Aug. 16. One caution flag: six of Colorado’s last seven wins were of the one-run variety.

Atlanta’s offense has sputtered a bit at home over the second half of the season. The Braves are a top-10 attack overall, but they own a mere .718 OPS over their last 25 games at Truist Park.

The calculation for this one has an improving Colorado nine being attractively priced against a fade candidate in Ian Anderson.

TAKE THE ROCKIES (+155).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Although the Braves aren’t a great team at home (37-36), the Rockies are no great shakes away from Coors at 23-51.

With the Rockies being 79-67 against the run line, consider a COLORADO +1.5 (-135) insurance play paired with the above.

Over/Under (O/U)

Cross signals here, fading both Anderson and the Atlanta bats. PASS.

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Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (67-78) and Atlanta Braves (76-67) meet Wednesday for the second game of their three-game series at Truist Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Rockies vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Rockies RHP Antonio Senzatela (4-9, 4.11 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 through 138 IP.

  • Has a 2.54 ERA over 39 IP through his last six starts, including holding the Braves to 3 ER on 6 H over 7 IP Sept. 3, in Colorado.
  • Ranks in the 15th percentile or worse in average exit velocity, hardhit%, expected batting average, K% , whiff% and chase rate.

Braves RHP Huascar Ynoa (4-5, 3.22 ERA) makes his 14th start in his 15th appearance. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 72 2/3 IP.

  • Owns a 3.54 ERA over 28 IP across five starts since returning from the injured list Aug. 17. He allowed 4 ER on 5 H and 1 BB in Colorado opposite Senzatela Sept. 3.
  • Benefited from a below-average .246 BABIP and above-average 79.0% left on base rate.

Also see: World Series odds

Rockies at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rockies +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Braves -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (-120) | Braves -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

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Prediction

Braves 5, Rockies 3

Money line (ML)

There aren’t a lot of enormous differentiators between these two teams lately.  They’ve played similarly, both recording 5-5 records through their last 10 games, and the Rockies have actually posted a marginally better record across their last 20 outings. These squads split a four-game series Sept. 2-5 in Colorado.

The Braves hit right-handed pitching better than the Rockies when considering OPS, wRC+ and wOBA. Atlanta has also been more efficient at the plate over the last two weeks.

This game is teetering near the reasonable cut-off point for a money line wager. You can lay a partial-unit bet on the BRAVES (-220) to mitigate risk or parlay them with another similarly priced favorite to make the most of the line.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

I’m anticipating a rebound performance from Atlanta after dropping Tuesday’s series-opener 5-4.

The Rockies remain second to last in scoring on the road, with just 3.42 runs per game, despite some resurgent play away from Coors Field in recent weeks. On the other hand, the Braves are one of the league’s more prolific teams at home with 5.12 runs per game.

Both bullpens have performed similarly over the last two weeks, but Atlanta has a slight edge in xFIP, SIERA and K-BB% across that span.

There is some value here with the even money on the BRAVES -1.5 (+100) to get back on track from Tuesday’s series-opening loss.

Over/Under (O/U)

These teams have struggled to generate offense in bunches recently, and on a rainy, wind-in day at Truist Park, I’m not anticipating a breakout game.

With some hope that Ynoa and Senzatela can continue to benefit from their low BABIPs and high LOB%, I’m going to lean to the UNDER 8.5 (-102).

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