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The Colorado Rockies (12-28) open a 9-game road trip on Monday starting with the 1st game of a 3-game series against the San Diego Padres (22-21). First pitch from Petco Park is at 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rockies vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 2-2
The Rockies have won 4 games in a row, finishing 4-2 on their homestand. They swept the Texas Rangers in their last series, taking the finale 3-1 on Sunday. They had lost 9 of their 10 games previous to the streak.
The Padres have won 8 of their last 11 games and took 2 out of 3 in their last series against the Los Angeles Dodgers, shutting them out 4-0 on Sunday.
Rockies at Padres projected starters
RHP Dakota Hudson vs. RHP Randy Vasquez
Hudson (0-6, 6.35 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.79 WHIP, 5.8 BB/9 and 5.3 K/9 in 34 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 4 R, 5 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 5-0 home loss to San Francisco on Tuesday
- Allowed 4+ ER in 4 of last 5 starts
Vasquez (0-1, 4.50 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.58 WHIP, 3 BB and 11 K in 12 IP.
- Last start: No decision, 4 1/3 IP, 1 R, 5 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 3-2 road loss to Chicago Cubs last Tuesday
- Allowed 4 runs in each of 2 previous starts
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Rockies at Padres odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:10 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Rockies +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Padres -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (-115) | Padres -1.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Rockies at Padres picks and predictions
Prediction
Padres 5, Rockies 3
Moneyline
The Padres are only 10-13 at home, but the Rockies are 3-16 on the road, the worst mark in baseball. They have won only 1 of their last 13 games away from Coors Field.
The Padres have held opponents to 3 or fewer runs in 8 of their last 10 games. But betting the Padres at -225 isn’t a worthwhile bet. You will get better value with the run line.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
In 18 of the Padres’ 22 wins this season, they have done so by 2 or more runs while 6 of the Rockies’ last 9 losses have been by 2 or more runs. So if you like the Padres to win, there is a high likelihood they will cover the spread.
BET PADRES -1.5 (-105).
Over/Under
The Padres have held opponents to 3 or fewer runs in 8 of their last 10 games.
In 4 of the Rockies’ last 5 road games, the total did not reach 8 runs.
But with Colorado’s opponents scoring 5 or more runs in 5 of Hudson’s 7 starts, exactly 8 runs seems reasonable. Not looking for a push, here the alternate total of 8.5 is a little safer bet with reasonable odds.
BET ALTERNATE TOTAL UNDER 8.5 (-130).
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