Tag: Colorado Avalanche vs. Tampa Bay Lightning odds predictions pick betting line spread

Colorado Avalanche at Tampa Bay Lightning odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Colorado Avalanche at Tampa Bay Lightning odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Colorado Avalanche (27-18-4) visit the Tampa Bay Lightning (32-16-2) in the first game of their 2-game season series. Face-off from Amalie Arena is set for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Avalanche vs. Lightning odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Avalanche enter after taking a 2-1 OT loss Tuesday vs. Pittsburgh. That loss marked their 2nd in their last 3 games but only their 2nd in their last 9, moving to 7-2 in their last 9. Colorado now sits in 3rd in the Central division.

Tampa Bay is coming off a Tuesday night OT loss as well, as they suffered a 4-3 OT loss vs. San Jose. That loss marked their 2nd in a row, and they are now 3-2 in their last 5 and 6-4 in their last 10. They now sit in 3rd in a stacked Atlantic division, 17 points behind first-place Boston.

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Avalanche at Lightning odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Avalanche +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Lightning -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Avalanche +1.5 (-230) | Lightning -1.5 (+180)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: +105 | U: -125)

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Avalanche at Lightning projected goalies

Alexandar Georgiev (20-11-3, 2.60 GAA, .920 SV%, 2 SO) vs. Andrei Vasilevskiy (23-13-1, 2.63 GAA, .916 SV%)

This is Georgiev’s 1st start since the All-Star break. He was very good going into it with a 5-3-0 record, a 2.39 GAA and .933 SV% in January. He hasn’t faced the Lightning in the last 3 years.

Vasilevskiy was knocked around in that Monday loss to Florida, allowing 7 goals on 49 shots. He was great in 2 other starts against Florida this season, stopping 60 of 63 shots in the victories.

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Avalanche at Lightning picks and predictions

Prediction

Lightning 3, Avalanche 2

Moneyline

Tampa is a dominant 20-4-2 at home this year with an angry goalie. Not only did he allow 7 goals in his last start, but this is his first chance at revenge from the Game 6 loss in the Stanley Cup Finals. Tampa is too good at home with intangibles on its side.

LEAN LIGHTNING -125.

Puck line/Against the spread

PASS.

Both sides of the puck line are too risky. Let’s focus on a prop bet instead. C Steven Stamkos has 5 and 4 shots on goal in the first 2 games since the break. The Lightning have lost 2 straight, and he’ll be itching to light the lamp. Take STAMKOS OVER 3.5 SHOTS ON GOAL (-115).

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 6.5 (-125). 

While the Over seems to be the better bet for the recent matchups between these teams, the Under is by far the safer bet for both teams individually.

For the Avalanche the Under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 overall and 8-1-1 in their last 10 after scoring 2+ goals in their previous game.

For Tampa the Under is 2-0-3 in their last 5 overall games vs. the Central division.

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Colorado Avalanche at Tampa Bay Lightning Game 6 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Colorado Avalanche at Tampa Bay Lightning Stanley Cup Final Game 6 odds, with expert picks and predictions.

The Colorado Avalanche try again to put away the Tampa Bay Lightning in Game 6 of the Stanley Cup Final Sunday at Amalie Arena in Tampa. The Avalanche lead the best-of-7 series 3-2. Puck drop is set for 8 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN+). Below, we look at the Avalanche vs. Lightning Stanley Cup Final Game 6 odds and lines, and make our expert NHL picks, predictions and bets.

Tampa quieted the Colorado crowd in Game 5 and won 3-2 in what was an awesome performance by G Andrei Vasilevskiy. The officiating was really strict, which worked against Colorado, who may have been beneficiaries of some lax officiating in the previous tilt. Tampa adjusted its game, and Colorado was 0-for-2 on the power play after scoring on 50% of its PPs in the previous 3 games.

Colorado will have to play a better 5-on-5 game. The Avs got caught for too many men on the ice (in ironic fashion) with under 3 minutes to go, which really hamstrung their chances to get the extra attacker on. This was a close game. We were able to come away with a +155 winner on Tampa’s ML but missed on the Over in Game 5. Tampa hit a couple of posts, and Avs C Nathan MacKinnon had Vassy beat on a breakaway, but shot between his legs and wide of the net.

Also see: Prop bet payday: 3 prop bet predictions for Game 6

Avalanche at Lightning odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:31 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Avalanche -115 (bet $115 to win $105) | Lightning -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Avalanche -1.5 (+195) | Lightning +1.5 (-280)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

Avalanche at Lightning projected goalies

Darcy Kuemper (9-4-0, 2.69 GAA, .898 SV%, 1 SO – postseason) vs. Andrei Vasilevskiy (14-8, 2.54 GAA, .921 SV%, 1 SO – postseason)

Kuemper stopped 26 of 29 shots in Game 5 and looked pretty good early on. He let a bit of a soft goal go in from D Jan Rutta on a slapshot from the point, and that seemed to unnerve him. He has been OK at best this series, allowing 2+ goals in 4 of 5 outside of the Game 2 shutout in which he only faced 16 shots. He’ll need to be better than an .898 SV% goalie to win this one.

Vasilevskiy really only allowed 1 goal in Game 5, and it was a fluky one. He made a save that took an awkward bounce, and he couldn’t find the puck. The Avs were right there for the rebound. The second goal went off his own player’s skate into the 5-hole. Beyond that, he was amazing and has put his team on his back. The Avs will keep coming, though.

[tipico]

Avalanche at Lightning picks and predictions

Prediction

Avalanche 3, Lightning 2

Money line

This same scenario happened in the conference semifinals for Colorado as St. Louis entered the gauntlet in Game 5 and made it to the other side. Colorado disposed of them in Game 6 in St. Louis. The same thing happens here, but in Tampa Bay. Colorado is too talented, and nothing shakes its confidence. A Game 7 would, and the Avs will do anything to avoid having to play that game. Look for them to fire 35-40 shots on net and overwhelm the Lightning defense to hoist the Cup for the first time since 2001. Take the AVALANCHE (-115).

Against the spread

We haven’t had a single empty-net goal in this series, and I don’t see the Avs running away with this one. So I can’t suggest Avs -1.5 (+195) in all its enticing glory. The Avs scored first in the first 3 games of this series, and Tampa made some adjustments to break through first in Games 4 and 5. Colorado does the same in Game 6 and gets on the board early. Take AVALANCHE FIRST GOAL (-119).

Over/Under

The previous 2 games have been Under 5.5, and we’re still looking at a +105 for the Under in this one. It feels like a trap. Games 1-3 had totals of 7, 7 and 8. While I don’t expect a total that high, I would like some wiggle room, and 6 feels like a good number. LEAN to the ALTERNATE TOTAL GOALS UNDER 6.5 (-165).

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Tampa Bay Lightning at Colorado Avalanche Game 5 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Tampa Bay Lightning at Colorado Avalanche Stanley Cup Final Game 5 odds, with expert picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Lightning return to the Mile High City to face the Colorado Avalanche for Game 5 of the Stanley Cup Final Friday at Ball Arena in Denver. The Avalanche lead the best-of-7 series 3-1. Puck drop is set for 8 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN+). Below, we look at the Lightning vs. Avalanche Stanley Cup Final Game 5 odds and lines, and make our expert NHL picks, predictions and bets.

The Avalanche stunned the Lightning 3-2 in overtime Wednesday, in what many consider a controversial goal after Colorado was spotted with 6 men on the ice just before the game-winner. The 2-time defending champion Lightning will have to muster a great forecheck because they got smoked 7-0 Game 2 in Denver.

The Lightning HAVE to stay out of the penalty box because the Avs are 5-for-10 on the power play in the last 3 games. Keeping this a 5-on-5 game will be Tampa’s only shot.

Also see: Prop bet payday: 3 prop bet predictions for Game 5

Lightning at Avalanche odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:31 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Lightning +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Avalanche -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Lightning +1.5 (-175) | Avalanche -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -135 | U: +110)

Lightning at Avalanche projected goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (13-8, 2.57 GAA, .920 SV%, 1 SO – postseason) vs. Darcy Kuemper (9-3-0, 2.66 GAA, .898 SV%, 1 SO – postseason)

Vasilevskiy allowed 11 goals on 68 shots in the 2 games in Colorado in the series. He’ll face another onslaught Friday as the Avs utilize the biggest home-ice advantage in the thin Mile High air.

Kuemper allowed 3 goals on 39 shots in the 2 home games earlier in the series. He really wasn’t tested. He may face 39 shots Friday as the Lightning empty the tank to try to stay alive.

[tipico]

Lightning at Avalanche picks and predictions

Prediction

Lightning 5, Avalanche 4

Money line

Colorado isn’t a sure thing here. They had trouble closing out the St. Louis Blues last series, even after injuring their goalie, and they had to come back to St. Louis to win in 6. I think that’s what happens here. It won’t be a popular take, but Tampa has back-to-back losses just twice in the last 3 playoffs. It has the better goalie, more experience and a heavy chip on its shoulder. TAKE THE LIGHTNING (+155).

Against the spread

We’re going to PASS here and look to the total.

Over/Under

This is a glaring total. These teams scored 7 goals in each of the first 2 games in Colorado. In fact they’ve gone way over this number in 3 of the 4 games this series. Tampa has to score 3 or 4 to win, and Colorado is coming with at least 2 or 3. HAMMER OVER 5.5 (-135).

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Colorado Avalanche vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Game 4 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Colorado Avalanche at Tampa Bay Lightning Stanley Cup Final Game 4 odds and lines, with expert picks and predictions.

The Colorado Avalanche and Tampa Bay Lightning meet for Game 4 of the Stanley Cup Final Wednesday at Amalie Arena in Tampa, Fla., with the Avalanche leading the best-of-7 series 2-1. Puck drop is set for 8 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN+). Below, we look at the Avalanche vs. Lightning Stanley Cup Final Game 4 odds and lines, and make our expert NHL picks, predictions and bets.

After dropping the first 2 games in Denver, the Lightning responded at home in Game 3 behind a 6-2 victory Monday.

The Avs started out well enough in Game 3 as LW Gabriel Landeskog opened the scoring with a power-play goal (PPG) in the opening period. But they were outscored 6-1 from that point forward as the Lightning has made a series of it.

The Lightning defended its home ice, and took advantage of the electric crowd at Amalie Arena. Tampa is now 11-4 in the past 15 games overall, and 41-15 in the previous 56 at home.

Avalanche at Lightning odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:16 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Avalanche -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Lightning -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Avalanche +1.5 (-290) | Lightning -1.5 (+200)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: +122 | U: -155)

Avalanche at Lightning projected goalies

Darcy Kuemper (8-3-0, 2.76 GAA, .892 SV%, 1 SO – postseason) vs. Andrei Vasilevskiy (13-7-0, 2.57 GAA, .920 SV%, 1 SO – postseason)

Kuemper, who posted a shutout in Game 2 behind 16 saves, allowed 5 goals on just 22 shots before getting pulled in favor of Pavel Francouz midway through the second period of Game 3.

Vasilevskiy was back in business in Game 3, allowing just 2 Landeskog PPG on 39 shots. That was the most rubber Vasilevskiy has faced since making 49 saves in a 2-0 shutout win in Game 4 of the Florida series May 23.

[tipico]

Avalanche at Lightning picks and predictions

Prediction

Lightning 4, Avalanche 2

Money line

The LIGHTNING (-110) are a strong play on home ice as the 2-time defending Stanley Cup champs look to even the series 2-2 and head back to Denver looking to seize home-ice advantage. But a lot has to happen before that is even a thought.

Tampa Bay looked good with 5 even-strength goals and a power-play marker in Game 3, chasing Kuemper in the process. If Vasilevskiy can retain his Game 3 form, watch out.

Against the spread

TAMPA BAY -1.5 (+200) is worth playing as a small-unit wager for the chance to double up. The Lightning covered the puck line in Game 3 as favorites and covered the puck line in Game 1 as underdogs.

I expect this game to be closer. However, for Tampa to win by 2 goals, we might have to sweat it out in the end, looking for the empty-net goal to inch us across the finish line.

Over/Under

The lean is to the UNDER 6.5 (-155).

With this kind of juice, as well as the fact the Over has cashed in each of the first 3 games, I would only play this total lightly, or not at all.

It could be worth waiting to see if the O/U line drops to 6 and then a small Over wager is the way to go.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Colorado Avalanche vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Game 3 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Colorado Avalance at Tampa Bay Lightning Stanley Cup Final Game 3 odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Colorado Avalanche and Tampa Bay Lightning meet for Game 3 of the Stanley Cup Final Monday at Amalie Arena in Tampa, Fla. The Avalanche lead the series 2-0. Puck drop is set for 8 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN+). Below, we look at the Avalanche vs. Lightning Stanley Cup Final Game 3 odds and lines, and make our expert NHL picks, predictions and bets.

The Avalanche streak into Game 3 with a pair of victories in Denver in the first 2 games. Colorado nipped Tampa Bay 4-3 in overtime in Wednesday’s series opener before routing the Lightning in Game 2 Saturday by a 7-0 count.

The Lightning have now dropped 2 of their last 3 playoff games following a loss after rebounding successfully in 18 consecutive postseason setbacks prior to Game 2 against the New York Rangers in the Eastern Conference Finals.

Avalanche at Lightning odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:47 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Avalanche -112 (bet $112 to win $100) | Lightning -108 (bet $108 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Avalanche -1.5 (+200) | Lightning +1.5 (-290)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

Avalanche at Lightning projected goalies

Darcy Kuemper (8-2-0, 2.44 GAA, .901 SV%, 1 SO – postseason) vs. Andrei Vasilevskiy (12-7-0, 2.60 GAA, .918 SV%, 1 SO – postseason)

Kuemper picked a tremendous time for his best performance of the postseason. The Canadian goaltender turned aside each of the 16 shots he faced in Game 2 for his 1st shutout of the playoffs and the 2nd postseason shutout of his career.

Vasilevskiy was buried for 7 goals on 30 shots in Game 2, and he has yielded 11 total goals on just 68 shots in this series. He has also allowed 3 or more goals in 4 of his last 8 outings.

[tipico]

Avalanche at Lightning picks and predictions

Prediction

Lightning 3, Avalanche 2

Money line

The LIGHTNING (-108) are short dogs on home ice, and that likely is for two reasons. One, the Avalanche manhandled them in Game 2, and two, Colorado has won all 7 of its postseason games on the road. All good things come to an end, however. Vasilevskiy will be vastly improved in Game 3 after getting blitzed for 7 markers Saturday, and he will be the reason Tampa makes this a series.

Against the spread

The Lightning +1.5 (-290) will cost nearly three times your potential return, and there is just no value there. If you like Tampa on home ice, just play it straight up.

PASS.

Over/Under

The Over has cashed in the first two games of this series, but UNDER 5.5 (-130) is the way to go in Game 3.

Tampa Bay should be better defensively on home ice, feeding off its crowd for a much-needed boost. Look for Vasilevskiy to get back to his world-class self in this one, which will be the lowest-scoring game of the series.

Watch: ESPN+ has become a must-have for hockey fans. Get access to more than 1,000 out-of-market NHL games, 75 weekly national games, and more all season. Sign up for ESPN+ now!

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Colorado Avalanche at Tampa Bay Lightning odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Colorado Avalanche at Tampa Bay Lightning odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Colorado Avalanche (1-3-0) faces the Tampa Bay Lightning (2-2-0) Saturday at Amalie Arena in Tampa Bay, Florida. Puck drop is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Avalanche vs. Lightning odds and lines, and make our expert NHL picks, predictions and bets.

The Avalanche dropped a third consecutive game at Florida Thursday night behind backup goaltender Jonas Johansson. Colorado has really struggled defensively, yielding 15 goals during the three-game skid.

Like Colorado, Tampa is coming off a 4-1 setback against the Panthers last time out. So far, the Lightning have a pair of overtime road wins, while going 0-2 in two outings at home. Tampa Bay is averaging just 1.5 goals per game and allowing 5.0 goals per contest at home

Avalanche at Lightning odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Avalanche +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Lightning -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Avalanche +1.5 (-280) | Lightning -1.5 (+195)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

Watch: ESPN+ has become a must-have for hockey fans. Get access to more than 1,000 out-of-market NHL games, 75 weekly national games, and more all season. Sign up for ESPN+ now!

Avalanche at Lightning projected goalies

Darcy Kuemper (1-2-0, 3.79 GAA, .890 SV%) vs. Andrei Vasilevskiy (2-2-0, 3.22 GAA, .893 SV%)

Kuemper had the night off in Sunrise against the Panthers, and Johansson really struggled in his stead. The regular starter will be back in there, and hopefully, a night of rest snaps him back on track.

Vasilevskiy has struggled in three of his four outings so far, yielding three or more goals in three games. That includes both losses at home, as he has stopped just 57 of 63 shots.

Avalanche at Lightning odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Lightning 4, Avalanche 3

Money line

The LIGHTNING (-120) and Avalanche (+100) have each struggled out of the gates. A lot of people figured this could be an early Stanley Cup Final preview based on preseason predictions, but neither side has been championship caliber to date. Tampa is going to get it done at home here, but it might require overtime or a shootout to determine a winner.

Against the spread

The Avalanche +1.5 (-280) will cost you nearly three times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk just for a little insurance.

AVOID and play the money line instead.

Over/Under

OVER 5.5 (-130) is a little on the expensive side, but we should see plenty of goals with these two powerhouse offenses. The goaltenders will catch up eventually, but right now it’s all about the Over for both of these clubs.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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