Colorado Avalanche at Dallas Stars odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Colorado Avalanche at Dallas Stars odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Colorado Avalanche (13-10-0) take on the division-rival Dallas Stars (13-8-0) Friday evening. Puck drop from American Airlines Center is set for 9 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Avalanche vs. Stars odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting; Avalanche won 3-1 in 2023-24 regular season; Dallas won 4-2 in second round of 2024 playoffs

The Avs survived in a 2-1 shootout against the visiting Vegas Golden Knights Wednesday as -156 favorites. RW Valeri Nichushkin scored his 2nd goal of the season and has a 3-game point streak after his late start to the season due to personal issues. The Avs have won 7 of 9 to right their season.

The Stars were embarrassed 6-2 in Chicago Wednesday as -218 favorites. C Matt Duchene scored his team-high 12th goal in the loss. The Stars, who are 6-4 in their last 10 games, have allowed 6 goals in consecutive games.

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Avalanche at Stars odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NHL odds. Lines last updated at 6:59 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Avalanche +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Stars -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Avalanche +1.5 (-225) | Stars -1.5 (+180)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Avalanche at Stars projected goalies

Alexandar Georgiev (7-5-0, 3.26 GAA, .875 SV%) vs. Jake Oettinger (11-4-0, 2.43 GAA, .912 SV%, 1 SO)

Georgiev got off to a miserable start to the season, but he has been much better in November, dropping his GAA more than 2 goals per game. He’s 6-1-0 with a 2.38 GAA and .910 SV% in 8 November games (7 starts). He was 3-1-0 with a 3.51 GAA and .892 SV% in 4 starts against Dallas last season.

Oettinger is coming off his one of his worst performances of the season, allowing 5 goals on 33 shots at Carolina Monday. In 9 starts this month, he has allowed 2 goals or fewer in 6 of them, though. He was 1-2-0 with a 4.74 GAA and .863 GAA in 3 starts against the Avs a season ago.

Avalanche at Stars picks and predictions

Prediction

Stars 6, Avalanche 4

Moneyline

The Stars beat the Avs in 6 games in the Stanley Cup Playoffs last year, but Colorado really took it to them during the regular season. The Avs won 6-3 and 5-4 in Dallas, 5-1 at home, and Dallas won the final meeting 7-4. So Colorado scored 20 goals in the 4 games.

That said, Dallas is 8-2-0 at home and 5-6-0 on the road. Oettinger has just a 1.98 GAA at home. I like the home side.

BET STARS (-130).

Puck line/Against the spread

I’m taking NATHAN MACKINNON ANYTIME GOAL SCORER (+130). He has not scored in 8 straight games and doesn’t have a point in 2 straight. He took 10 shots on goal in the last game! So you know he’s ready to put this slump to bed. If you’d prefer to play it safe, take NATHAN MACKINNON OVER 3.5 SHOTS (-140) as the same logic correlates there.

Over/Under

These matchups were slugfests in the regular season. The Stars just allowed 6 goals twice, and the Avs are finally hitting their stride with everyone back.

TAKE OVER 6.5 (-115).

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Colorado Avalanche at Dallas Stars Game 5 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Colorado Avalanche at Dallas Stars odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Colorado Avalanche and Dallas Stars meet Wednesday for Game 5 of their Western Conference 2nd round series. The opening puck drop from the American Airlines Center is slated for 8 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Avalanche vs. Stars odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Series: Stars lead 3-1

Colorado took the series opener 4-3 in overtime, storming back from a 3-0 deficit to do so. The Avs have been bludgeoned 14-5 since. including losing 5-1 in Monday’s Game 4.

The Stars have killed off 8 straight penalties in this series and have killed 85% of their penalties since April 24. That and a .925 SV% against Colorado have Dallas on the verge of a series win.

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Avalanche at Stars odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 9:53 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Avalanche +120 (bet $100 to win $100) | Stars -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Avalanche +1.5 (-210) | Stars -1.5 (+170)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Avalanche at Stars projected goalies

Alexandar Georgiev (38-18-5, 3.02 GAA, .897 SV%) vs. Jake Oettinger (35-14-4, 2.72 GAA, .905 SV%)

Georgiev allowed 4 goals on 33 shots Monday. He owns an .879 SV% in this series

Oettinger stopped 24 of 25 pucks in Game 4, and he owns a .923 SV% in 11 playoff games this spring.

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Avalanche at Stars picks and predictions

Prediction

Avalanche 4, Stars 3

Moneyline

Colorado has in most ways outplayed Dallas in 5-on-5 action, but the Stars have prevailed on special teams and between the pipes.

But the Avalanche do have 3 wins on road ice in these playoffs, and they won twice at the American Airlines Center in the regular season.

It’s difficult to see on the surface with the way the last 2 games played out, but the value here is on COLORADO (+120).

Puck line/Against the spread

PASS: Too much juice to overcome.

Over/Under

The Over is 7-2-1 in the last 10 series meetings (regular plus postseason). In Colorado’s playoff games, the Over has gone 6-2-1.

The Avs figure to get something going on the power play. And Georgiev may just be slumping at the wrong time. He registered a .917 SV% in the playoffs a year ago; he’s got an .887 figure this spring.

BET THE OVER 6.5 (+100).

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Colorado Avalanche at Dallas Stars Game 2 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Colorado Avalanche at Dallas Stars odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Colorado Avalanche and Dallas Stars meet Thursday for Game 2 of their Western Conference 2nd round series. Puck drop from American Airlines Center is slated for 9:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Avalanche vs. Stars odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Series: Avalanche lead 1-0

Colorado took Tuesday’s series opener 4-3 in overtime. The Avs ceded a 3-0 1st-period lead to the Stars, battled back to tie the game 3-3 early in the 3rd and win it with an OT goal by LW Miles Wood.

The Stars were shorthanded just twice in the opener, but a penalty-killing unit ranked 8th in the regular season was undone by 2 Colorado goals in those situations.

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Avalanche at Stars odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:11 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Avalanche +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Stars -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Avalanche +1.5 (-250) | Stars -1.5 (+200)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Avalanche at Stars projected goalies

Alexandar Georgiev (38-18-5, 3.02 GAA, .897 SV%) vs. Jake Oettinger (35-14-4, 2.72 GAA, .905 SV%)

Georgiev stopped 19 of 22 shots in Tuesday’s lid-lifter. He owns an .895 SV% over 6 games in these playoffs and a .908 mark across 15 career playoff starts.

Oettinger stopped 22 of 26 pucks in Game 1, and he owns a .915 SV% in 8 playoff games this spring. He owns a .917 SV% across 36 career playoff games.

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Avalanche at Stars picks and predictions

Prediction

Avalanche 4, Stars 3

Moneyline

Colorado is 7-2-0 across its last 9 games vs. Dallas (regular season and playoffs), and the Avs have won 3 in a row on Dallas ice.

The Avalanche had the smoother trip through the 1st round, with the Stars going a full 7 games — with a lot of tied and 1-goal action — in their series win against the Vegas Golden Knights.

The Avs should have all the confidence in the world after going 2-for-2 on the power play and coming back from a 3-0 deficit in the opener. Colorado’s 5-on-5 analytics in these playoffs are top notch.

BACK COLORADO (+110).

Puck line/Against the spread

PASS: Too much juice to overcome.

Over/Under

The Over is 6-1 in the last 7 series meetings. In these playoffs, Colorado games have hit the Over 5 times in 6 games.

Five-on-five analytics point to Colorado having even more offense in the tank and Dallas’ defense being a bit too far out over its skis. Both sides have done credible work setting up high-danger chances in numbers. Plus, the Avs are 8 for 18 (44.4%) on the power play in the playoffs.

BET OVER 6.5 (+100).

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Colorado Avalanche at Dallas Stars Game 1 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Colorado Avalanche at Dallas Stars odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Colorado Avalanche and Dallas Stars meet in Game 1 of a best-of-7 Western Conference, 2nd-round series Tuesday. Puck drop from American Airlines Arena is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Avalanche vs. Stars odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Colorado scored 20 goals in 4 regular-season meetings between these teams, winning 3 of them. Dallas snapped a 4-game losing streak vs. Colorado as it topped the Avs 7-4 at Ball Arena April 7.

RW Valeri Nichushkin and LW Artturi Lehkonen scored goals in every game of the 1st-round series vs. the Winnipeg Jets but astonishingly do not lead the Avalanche in points thus far. C Nathan MacKinnon, RW Mikko Rantanen and D Cale Makar are atop the team leaderboard all with 9, as each has 2 goals and 7 assists.

C Wyatt Johnston leads the way for Dallas in goals (4) and points overall (7) after its 7-game series vs. the Vegas Golden Knights. The 20-year-old scored in a Game 7 for the 2nd straight postseason, and Stars coach Pete DeBoer moved to 8-0 all-time in Game 7s during his coaching tenure with 4 different teams.

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Avalanche at Stars odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:55 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Avalanche +106 (bet $100 to win $106) | Stars -128 (bet $128 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Avalanche +1.5 (-230) | Stars -1.5 (+188)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Avalanche at Stars projected goalies

Alexandar Georgiev (4-1, 3.03 GAA, .900 SV%) vs. Jake Oettinger (4-3, 1.95 GAA, .925 SV%)

In 10 career games vs. Dallas, Georgiev is 6-3 with a 2.93 GAA and .907 SV%. The 28-year-old won 4 straight with a 2.00 GAA and .940 SV% after losing Game 1 vs the Jets.

Oettinger has taken on Colorado 8 times in his career, and the 25-year-old is 4-3-1 with a 3.06 GAA and a .915 SV%. The 25.67% of shot attempts blocked by Otter’s teammates is the highest mark in the Western Conference amongst goalies who have started at least 3 games in the playoffs.

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Avalanche at Stars picks and predictions

Prediction

Dallas 4, Colorado 3

Moneyline

BET STARS (-128).

Dallas is 1st among postseason teams in limiting turnovers in the defensive zone (30%) and boasts the most takeaways from its opponent (57).

Colorado has not played this month after taking down Winnipeg in 5 games, so I am expecting a little rust like we saw with the Florida Panthers in Game 1 vs. the Boston Bruins after the Panthers had their week-long layoff.

Puck line/Against the spread

Consider playing Avalanche +1.5 (-230) in a parlay.

This is too much juice to lay to take the Avalanche +1.5 (-230) on a straight bet. However, if you are into building parlays and want to spread out action, adding the New York Rangers +1.5 (-260 vs. Carolina Hurricanes, 7 p.m. ET) in a 2-leg parlay pays out -101.

Over/Under

BET OVER 6.5 (-110).

Dallas LW Jamie Benn scored in Game 1 vs. VGK and leads Dallas in high-danger unblocked shot attempts (5), an area Georgiev struggled (.709 SV%) during the regular season.

Expect Stars veterans like Benn and C Joe Pavelski, along with young contributors like Johnston and D Miro Heiskanen, to contribute on the score sheet and this game to go Over for the 6th time in 7 meetings.

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Colorado Avalanche at Dallas Stars odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Colorado Avalanche at Dallas Stars odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Colorado Avalanche (34-20-5) visit the Dallas Stars (33-16-13) at American Airlines Center Saturday. Puck drop is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. (ABC/ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Avalanche vs. Stars odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Avalanche are coming off a wild 7-5 loss at home against the New Jersey Devils Wednesday, a setback which snapped a 6-game winning streak and 8-game point streak. Despite the high-scoring game last time out, the Under is 4-2-1 across Colorado’s last 7 games.

The Stars routed the Chicago Blackhawks 5-2 Thursday. Dallas has picked up at least a point in 4 straight outings after an ugly 0-3-2 skid from Feb. 11-22. The Over is 3-1-1 in the past 5 games for the Stars.

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Avalanche at Stars odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:05 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Avalanche -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Stars -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Avalanche +1.5 (-260) | Stars -1.5 (+210)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -125 | U: +105)

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Avalanche at Stars projected goalies

Alexandar Georgiev (26-12-4, 2.57 GAA, .921 SV%, 3 SO) vs. Jake Oettinger (25-8-10, 2.29 GAA, .923 SV%, 4 SO)

Georgiev turned aside all 31 of the shots he faced Monday against the Vegas Golden Knights for his 3rd shutout of the season. He finished off February with 5 consecutive wins, while going 6-1-1 with a 2.45 GAA and .929 SV% in 8 starts in the month.

Oettinger allowed 2 goals on 20 shots in a 4-2 victory against the Arizona Coyotes Wednesday, kicking off March on a high note. He is looking to carry over the momentum from February when he was 3-1-3 with a 2.48 GAA and .921 SV% in 7 starts.

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Avalanche at Stars picks and predictions

Prediction

Avalanche 4, Stars 2

Moneyline

The AVALANCHE (-110) are worth a look in this road game in the Metroplex.

Colorado topped the Stars in Dallas back on Nov. 21 in a 3-2 shootout victory, and the Avs belted Dallas 4-1 in Denver on Nov. 26 — and that’s when the Avalanche weren’t playing as well. Colorado is rounding into championship form lately, and the Stars will not offer much resistance here.

Puck line/Against the spread

The Avalanche +1.5 (-260) will cost you more than 2 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s quite expensive if you require a little bit of insurance.

If you like Colorado, just bet it straight up.

PASS.

Over/Under

The OVER 5.5 (-125) is a little bit expensive, and the Under has cashed in each of the first 2 meetings.

However, Colorado has scored 3 or more goals in 9 straight games, going for 38 total goals during the span, or 4.2 goals per game (GPG).

It’s been all about the Under for Dallas lately, but the Over is 3-1-1 in the past 5 meetings against Western Conference opponents.

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Colorado Avalanche at Dallas Stars odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Colorado Avalanche at Dallas Stars odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Colorado Avalanche (10-5-1) and Dallas Stars (11-5-2) meet Monday at American Airlines Center. Puck drop is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Avalanche vs. Stars odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Avalanche are shooting for a sweep of their 3-game road trip. The Avs topped the Carolina Hurricanes 3-2 in overtime Thursday and shut out the Washington Capitals 4-0 Saturday behind G Alexandar Georgiev.

The Stars have been rolling on offense lately, going for 4 or more goals in each of the past 5 outings, and 8 of the past 9 games overall. Dallas topped the visiting New York Islanders 5-2 last time out on Saturday.

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Avalanche at Stars odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:20 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Avalanche -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Stars -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Avalanche +0.5 (-105) | Stars -0.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: +110 | U: +115)

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Avalanche at Stars projected goalies

Alexandar Georgiev (8-2-1, 2.45 GAA, .930 SV%, 1 SO) vs. Jake Oettinger (7-2-1, 2.21 GAA, .927 SV%, 1 SO)

Georgiev has been red-hot lately, posting a 4-1-0 record, 2.01 GAA, .944 SV% and a shutout in his 5 games in November. He is coming off a 32-save shutout in Washington on Saturday.

Oettinger turned aside 27 of the 29 shots he faced in a win over the Islanders Saturday. He was a little shaky after returning from a 2-week absence due to injury, but he appears to be back on track after allowing just 4 goals on 50 shots in his past 2 appearances.

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Avalanche at Stars picks and predictions

Prediction

Avalanche 5, Stars 4

Moneyline

The AVALANCHE (-105) are solid value play on the road, where they are 35-16 in the past 51 games. In addition, Colorado has won 11 of the past 15 games inside the Central Division.

Colorado doesn’t have a case of the Mondays, either, going 18-5 in the past 23 appearances on the day. More importantly, the road team has won 4 of the past 5 in this series.

Puck line/Against the spread

There is no puck line available in this game at the time of publishing, as the line is listed as a pick ’em.

AVOID.

Over/Under

OVER 6.5 (+110) might be the best play on the board here.

Yes, the Under has dominated for the Avalanche lately — and in this series. It’s 4-0 in the past 4 for Colorado, and 6-1 in its last 7 on the road. It’s also 4-1 in the past 5 in this series, and 10-2 in the past 12 meetings in Dallas.

However, Dallas is scoring goals at a feverish pace lately, and the Over is 8-1-2 in its last 11 games overall while going 4-0 in the past 4 at home.

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