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The 15th-seeded Colgate Raiders (26-8) will battle the 2nd-seeded Texas Longhorns (26-8) Thursday in the 1st round of the NCAA Tournament. Tip from Wells Fargo Arena in Des Moines is set for 7:25 p.m. ET (TBS). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Colgate vs. Texas odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.
Colgate took down Lafayette 79-61 in the Patriot League Championship March 8 to cover as a 14-point favorite. The Raiders had an impressive final stretch of the season, winning their final 9 games. They’re 9-1 in their last 10 games and have only lost once in their last 21 contests. During the recent 9-game win streak, the Raiders are 7-2 against the spread (ATS) — they’re 17-16 ATS for the season.
Texas destroyed Kansas 76-56 to cover as a 2-point underdog in the Big 12 Championship Saturday — Kansas, the conference’s regular-season champ, is the No. 1 seed in the West Region.
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Texas enters Thursday on a 4-game win streak and is 7-3 in its last 10 games. In that span, the Longhorns are 7-3 ATS — they’re 17-17 ATS on the season.
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Colgate vs. Texas odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 10:35 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Colgate +625 (bet $100 to win $625) | Texas -1100 (bet $1,100 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Colgate +13.5 (-105) | Texas -13.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 147.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Colgate vs. Texas picks and predictions
Prediction
Texas 75, Colgate 57
Moneyline
PASS.
At 11 times the risk as the reward, there is no profit to be made on a moneyline play on Texas (-1100).
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Against the spread
LEAN TEXAS -13.5 (-115).
Texas is one of the hottest teams entering the tournament. With an impressive 20-point win in the Big 12 title game, it is fair to say the Longhorns are honed in and have their eyes on a NCAA Tournament run. The Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games including 3-0 ATS in neutral site games.
Their offense ranks 52nd in the nation in field-goal percentage (46.8%), according to NCAA.com. It should do well against a Colgate defense that ranks 278th in opponent’s FG percentage (45.3%).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 147.5 (-108).
The Under is 5-0 in Longhorns’ last 5 games, 4-0 in their last 4 games following an ATS victory and 4-0 in their last 4 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600. The Under is also 4-2 in the 6 neutral site games Texas has played this season.
For the Raiders, the Under is 4-0 in their last 4 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600 and 3-1 in their last 4 non-home games.
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