Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cleveland Guardians (52-29) and Kansas City Royals (46-39) conclude a 4-game series Saturday. First pitch from Kauffman Stadium is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Royals lead 3-2

The Guardians picked up a 7-2 victory Saturday as a slight favorite (-114) for their 1st victory in 3 tries in this 4-game set as the Over (7) cashed. Cleveland entered with 3 straight losses, and the Guardians avoided a season-high 4-game losing skid with the win.

The Over has cashed in 3 of the past 5 games, while going 8-4-1 in the past 13 outings, including the past 2 against the Royals.

The Royals saw their 3-game winning streak come to an end, and the Over has cashed in consecutive games following an 8-0-1 run to the Under. Despite the loss, Kansas City is still 5-2 in the past 7 games at home. The Royals are just 4-5 in the past 9 contests inside the division.

Guardians at Royals projected starters

LHP Logan Allen vs. RHP Seth Lugo

Allen (8-3, 5.72 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.55 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 78 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 IP, 6 ER, 9 H (3 HR), 1 BB, 5 K in 10-8 road win vs. Baltimore Orioles Tuesday
  • 2024 road splits: 5-3, 5.11 ERA (49 1/3 IP, 28 ER), 1.52 WHIP, .292 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 11 HR, 18 BB, 41 K in 10 starts
  • Career vs. Royals: 0-2, 5.27 ERA (13 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 1.61 WHIP, 3 HR, 7.2 K/9 in 3 starts

Lugo (10-2, 2.29 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 110 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 2-1 home loss vs. Miami Marlins Tuesday
  • 2024 home splits: 3-2, 2.74 ERA (49 1/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.18 WHIP, .251 OBA, 5 HR, 11 BB, 37 K in 8 starts
  • Career vs. Guardians: 0-0, 5.63 ERA (8 IP, 5 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 5.6 K/9 in 2 games (1 start)
  • 2024 vs. Guardians: No-decision, 6 IP, 5 ER, 6 H (2 HR), 1 BB, 6 K in 8-5 road loss June 4

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Guardians at Royals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:36 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Guardians +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Royals -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-190) | Royals -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Guardians at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 6, Guardians 2

Moneyline

The ROYALS (-135) are a solid play in the series finale, and it’s actually surprising that they’re not favored by quite a bit more considering the fact they have a 10-win pitcher in Lugo on the bump against a shaky Allen.

Perhaps it’s the win by the Guardians (+110) over the Royals when Lugo started in Cleveland a few weeks ago, although he simply took the no-decision.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re a little more adventurous, ROYALS -1.5 (+155) is a solid play for the chance to multiply up more than 1 1/2 times.

Kansas City has picked up 8 victories just since June 8, and the Royals have won by 2 or more runs in 5 of those outings. So, if you like the Royals, you should also like them to get the job done against the spread.

Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-105) is the lean, but with the Over cashing in the past 2 games, and Allen being a very giving pitcher for Cleveland, you’ll want to be careful. Go with a half-unit play at most.

The Over has cashed in 2 in a row for the Royals, but the Under is still 8-2-1 in the past 11 outings, and 11-4-1 in the previous 16 contests.

For the Guardians, the Over-Under has split in the past 4 games, while the Under is 7-4 in the past 11 outings on the road.

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Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cleveland Guardians (51-29) and Kansas City Royals (46-38) play the 3rd contest of a 4-game series Saturday. First pitch from Kauffman Stadium is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Royals lead 3-1

Cleveland lost 10-3 Friday in Kansas City, dropping a 3rd consecutive outing. The Guardians will try to avoid a season-high 4-game losing streak Saturday. The offense has dried up lately, plating just 6 runs in the past 3 outings.

The 10 runs allowed on Friday were the most since losing 11-7 at home against the Detroit Tigers May 7. It’s just the 3rd time all season Cleveland pitching has been dinged for a double-digit run total.

The Royals have won 3 in a row, their longest win streak since a season-best 8-game run May 17-25. Pitching has been on point for Kansas City lately, allowing just 8 runs in the past 5 games.

The Over (9.5) cashed Friday, and that was a rarity. The Under is still 8-1-1 in the past 10 games, and 11-3-1 across the past 15 outings dating back to June 13.

Guardians at Royals projected starters

RHP Tanner Bibee vs. LHP Cole Ragans

Bibee (6-2, 3.50 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 in 87 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER (2 R), 5 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 3-2 victory at Baltimore Orioles Monday
  • 2024 road splits: 3-1, 2.66 ERA (44 IP, 13 ER), 1.09 WHIP, .218 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 5 HR, 12 BB, 53 K in 8 starts
  • Career vs. Royals: 0-0, 2.70 ERA (10 IP, 3 ER), 1.50 WHIP, 0 HR, 9.9 K/9 in 2 starts

Ragans (5-5, 3.03 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 in 98 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 11 K in 4-1 home victory vs. Miami Marlins Monday
  • 2024 home splits: 4-2, 2.96 ERA (54 2/3 IP, 18 ER), 1.17 WHIP, .216 OBA, 3 HR, 20 BB, 75 K in 10 starts (1 CG)
  • Career vs. Guardians: 0-1, 5.40 ERA (5 IP, 3 ER), 1.40 WHIP, 5.4 K/9 in 1 start in 2022

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Guardians at Royals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:54 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Guardians -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Royals -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+155) | Royals +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Guardians at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 3, Royals 2

Moneyline

The GUARDIANS (-105) are worth a look as short ‘dogs Saturday.

Cleveland hasn’t lost 4 or more games in a row at any point this season, and it enters on a 3-game skid.

The Royals (-115) have outscored the opposition 17-5 in their 3-game winning streak, including 2 victories over the Guardians. Kansas City pitching has allowed just 8 runs in the past 5 outings, so expect this to be a close shave.

Run line/Against the spread

The Royals +1.5 (-190) will cost nearly 2 times the potential return, if you want some insurance can’t bring yourself to take Kansas City straight up despite its recent hot play.

That’s too much risk for not nearly enough reward. If you like the Royals, just bet them straight up.

PASS.

Over/Under

UNDER 8 (-110) is a decent play in this matchup between Bibee and Ragans.

The Under has cashed in 3 in a row for the southpaw Ragans, while going 5-1 across hist past 6 outings. And, again, Kansas City has hit the Under at an 8-1-1 clip in the previous 10 contests.

The total has gone Under in 3 of the past 4 starts for Bibee, while going 8-3 across his past 11 starts.

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Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cleveland Guardians (51-28) and Kansas City Royals (45-38) play the 2nd contest of a 4-game series Friday. First pitch from Kauffman Stadium is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Royals lead 2-1

The Guardians suffered a 2-1 loss in the series opener Thursday as the Under (9) easily cashed. Cleveland has dropped 2 in a row, and the 3 runs scored are tied for their fewest in consecutive outings since May 2-3.

The Under is on a 4-2-1 run for the Guardians, and the total has gone low in each of the past 2 meetings with the Royals.

The Royals improved to 28-15 at home, and they’re 3-1 in the past 4 games since a 3-game sweep at Texas June 21-23.

Kansas City continues to be a favorite of total bettors as the Under has cashed in 6 straight, while going 8-0-1 in the past 9 outings. The Under is also 11-2-1 in K.C.’s previous 14 contests.

Make sure to check the weather before finalizing your bets. There is a 45% chance of precipitation from 7 p.m. CT through 10 p.m. CT.

Guardians at Royals projected starters

RHP Triston McKenzie vs. RHP Alec Marsh

McKenzie (3-4, 4.66 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 5.6 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 73 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 IP, 3 ER, 3 H (2 HR), 4 BB, 6 K in 6-5 home victory vs. Toronto Blue Jays Sunday
  • 2024 road splits: 1-2, 4.28 ERA (27 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.24 WHIP, .219 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 4 HR, 11 BB, 26 K in 5 starts
  • Career vs. Royals: 4-2, 3.19 ERA (62 IP, 22 ER), 1.06 WHIP, 8 HR, 9.1 K/9 in 10 starts and 2 relief appearances

Marsh (5-5, 4.40 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 75 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 4-0 setback at Texas Rangers Sunday
  • 2024 home splits: 3-1, 3.58 ERA (37 2/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.19 WHIP, .236 OBA, 3 HR, 12 BB, 33 K in 7 starts
  • Career vs. Guardians: 1-1, 9.00 ERA (7 IP, 7 ER), 2.14 WHIP, 6.4 K/9 in 1 start and 1 relief appearance

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Guardians at Royals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:21 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Guardians -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Royals +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+125) | Royals +1.5 (-150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Guardians at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 4, Royals 3

Moneyline

The GUARDIANS (-130) are minor favorites against the Royals (+105), who nipped Cleveland in the series opener Thursday.

McKenzie has actually looked a lot more comfortable on the road, and his control is much better, too. As mentioned, the Cleveland right-hander has just 11 walks, a .219 OBA and 1.24 WHIP in 27 1/3 innings in 5 road starts, while issuing 35 free passes with 13 homers allowed and a 1.65 WHIP in 10 home outings.

Trust McKenzie to help the Guardians get back in the win column, especially if they are able to get the offense going again.

Run line/Against the spread

The ROYALS +1.5 (-150) aren’t priced out of line if you’d like a little bit of insurance, and you just cannot trust Kansas City straight up.

Kansas City is just 1-4 in the past 5 games as an underdog on the run line, so be careful and go with a half-unit play at most.

Over/Under

UNDER 10 (-115) is a solid play, and frankly, it’s shocking to see double digits on the board with the way the Royals have been going.

The Under has cashed in 6 straight games for Kansas City, while going 8-0-1 in the past 9 outings, and 11-2-1 in the past 14 contests. The Under has hit in 2 straight games against the Guardians, too.

The total has gone low in 3 of the past 4 games for Cleveland, while going Under in 9 of the previous 12 contests.

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Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cleveland Guardians (51-27) and Kansas City Royals (44-38) begin a 4-game series Thursday. First pitch from Kauffman Stadium is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Guardians won the 1st meeting 8-5 at home June 4 as moderate -128 favorites with the Over (8) cashing. The 2nd scheduled game, on June 5, was rained out and will be made up as part of a split doubleheader Aug. 26. The Royals won 4-3 in the June 6 meeting as +149 underdogs as the Under (7.5) hung on.

Cleveland was doubled up 4-2 in the series finale in Baltimore Wednesday, but the Guardians had won their previous 7 games. The Under (8.5) cashed Wednesday, but the Over is 6-3-1 across the past 10 contests.

Kansas City won 2 of 3 games in an interleague series against the Miami Marlins Monday through Wednesday, hitting the Under in each game. In fact, the Under is 5-0 in the Royals’ last 5 games and is 7-0-1 in the past 8 outings.

Guardians at Royals projected starters

RHP Ben Lively vs. RHP Michael Wacha

Lively (7-3, 3.03 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 65 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H (2 solo HR), 2 BB, 4 K in 6-3 home victory vs. Toronto Blue Jays Saturday
  • 2024 road splits: 3-3, 3.75 ERA (36 IP, 15 ER), 1.31 WHIP, .243 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 6 HR, 1.31 WHIP, 7.3 K/9 in 7 starts
  • Career vs. Royals: 1 road start in 2023, W, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 10 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 7-4 victory June 14, 2023

Wacha (4-6, 4.07 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 73 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H (1 solo HR), 1 BB, 5 K in 6-0 setback at Texas Rangers Saturday
  • 2024 home splits: 2-1, 4.28 ERA (27 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.35 WHIP, .286 OBA, 1 HR, 6.6 K/9 in 5 starts
  • Career vs. Guardians: 2-0, 1.02 ERA (17 2/3 IP, 2 ER), 0.91 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 in 3 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Guardians at Royals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:14 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Guardians -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Royals -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+140) | Royals +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Guardians at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 4, Royals 3

Moneyline

The GUARDIANS (-115) are a solid play on the road in this series opener between AL Central rivals.

Cleveland has been red-hot, winning 7 of the past 8 games, while going 13-8 in the previous 21 tries on the road.

While the Royals topped the lowly Marlins in 2 of 3 earlier in the week, they are still just 3-7 in the past 10 outings.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re a little more on the conservative side, and would like some insurance, the ROYALS +1.5 (-165) aren’t priced out of line.

These teams split the first 2 games in Cleveland. As an underdog, Kansas City is 3-4 in the past 7 games as an underdog on the road line, with 2 outright victories.

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Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (+100) is worth a look at even-money.

Both Lively and Wacha have posted respectable numbers this season, and this could be a surprising pitcher’s duel.

The total has gone low in 8 of the past 12 starts by Wacha. The Under is also on a 7-0-1 run in the past 8 for the Royals, while cashing low in 10-2-1 in the previous 13 contests.

For the Guardians, the Under holds a slight 3-2-1 edge in the past 6 contests.

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Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Guardians (70-64) looks to complete a 3-game road sweep of the Kansas City Royals (55-82) Wednesday. First pitch from Kauffman Stadium is at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Royals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Cleveland leads 8-4

The Guardians had lost 5 games in a row and 8 of their previous 10 before taking the first 2 games of this series. Cleveland has scored 10 runs in this series; it had scored 4 runs total over its previous 5 games.

The Royals are just 8-16 since Aug. 12. Kansas City pitching has especially had trouble on the mound of late. The Royals own a 5.83 ERA over their last 11 games.

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Guardians at Royals projected starters

RHP Cody Morris vs. RHP Zack Greinke

Morris (0-1, 9.00 ERA) is penciled in for his 2nd start since making his MLB debut Friday at home vs. the Seattle Mariners. The rookie is expected to serve as an opener Wednesday.

  • Friday vs. Seattle: Loss, 2 IP in opener role, 3 R (2 ER), 4 H, 1 HR, 2 BB, 3 K in 6-1 defeat
  • Rookie LHP Kirk McCarty, (5.55 ERA, 24 1/3 IP, 15 ER, 1.48 WHIP, 10 BB, 17 K, 7 games, 2 starts) is expected to get bulk innings behind Morris

Greinke (4-8, 4.14 ERA) makes his 22nd start of the season. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 5.3 K/9 through 108 2/3 IP. The veteran is coming off a short IL stint to start this one.

  • Hasn’t pitched since Aug. 21 due to a forearm injury
  • Owns 3.34 ERA (35 IP, 13 IP) over last 7 starts
  • Held current Cleveland batters to aggregate .548 OPS
  • Owns a 1.98 ERA (54 2/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.12 WHIP at home in 10 starts

Guardians at Royals odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:14 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Guardians -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Royals +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+120) | Royals +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 0.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Guardians at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 5, Guardians 4

Money line

There are some club analytics leaning slightly toward Kansas City and slightly fading Cleveland. That will have to do here, where one pitcher is coming off an injury and the other is making his 2nd big-league appearance. There just isn’t much input from that (important) part of the betting equation.

Peg the ROYALS (+120) as being worth a partial-unit play.

Run line/Against the spread

KANSAS CITY +1.5 (-145) makes for a small-to-moderate lean. Consider splitting a play half and half (and maybe a quarter unit each) on the Royals ML and Royals RL.

Over/Under

Signals line up shading this number higher and lower. With the recent injury stuff for Greinke, just STEER CLEAR and fight the totals elsewhere.

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Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Guardians (69-64) and Kansas City Royals (55-81) meet Tuesday as they continue a 3-game set. First pitch is set for 8:10 p.m. ET at Kauffman Stadium. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Royals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Cleveland leads 7-4

The Guardians had lost 5 games in a row and 8 of their previous 10 before winning Monday’s series opener 6-5 in 10 innings. Cleveland had 3 extra-base hits Monday; it hadn’t had more than 2 in a game since Aug. 26.

The Royals are just 8-15 since Aug. 12. Kansas City pitching has especially had trouble on the mound of late. The Royals own a 5.52 ERA over their last 10 games.

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Guardians at Royals projected starters

RHP Shane Bieber vs. LHP Kris Bubic

Bieber (8-8, 3.06 ERA) has registered a 1.08 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 through 159 IP across 25 starts.

  • Tied a season-high with 11 K in his last start; made 104 pitches in that start. That total marks his highest in a single game since June 14.
  • Owns a 2.88 ERA on the road
  • Has held current K.C. batters to a strikeout-laden .640 OPS

Bubic (2-10, 5.47 ERA) owns a 1.67 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 105 1/3 IP in 23 games (22 starts).

  • Facing a Cleveland lineup that ranks 29th in OPS against left-handers (.628)
  • Owns a 7.45 ERA and 2.17 WHIP over his last 4 starts

Guardians at Royals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:33 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Guardians -205 (bet $205 to win $100) | Royals +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (-115) | Royals +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Guardians at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 5, Royals 4

Money line

The Royals are a lean but not an actionable one at this price. There’s a lot of juice obscuring an underdog play here. AVOID.

Run line/Against the spread

Bubic has been hurt by a .330 batting average on balls in play. Recent starts have been even more unlucky. He’s also backed by a bullpen with a fatigue edge.

With the way the Royals have hit at home and with the Guardians scuffling a bit lately, BACK THE ROYALS +1.5 (-105).

Over/Under

TAKE THE OVER 7.5 (-102).

Peg the Kansas City offense as being a value — especially at home.

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Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Guardians (68-64) and Kansas City Royals (55-80) will tussle Monday as they open a 3-game set. First pitch is set for 8:10 p.m. ET at Kauffman Stadium. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Royals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Cleveland leads 6-4

The Guardians have lost 5 games in a row and 8 of their last 10. Cleveland has a slightly below-average offense on the season (4.15 runs per game) and the club has filed a .520 OPS while scoring just 1.60 RPG over its last 10 games.

The Royals are just 8-14 since Aug. 12. However, Kansas City is back at home where it is s a respectable 18-12 since July 8. K.C. has logged a fine .756 OPS over those last 30 games.

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Guardians at Royals projected starters

RHP Triston McKenzie vs. RHP Brady Singer

McKenzie (9-11, 3.18 ERA) owns a 0.97 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 152 2/3 IP across 24 starts and 1 relief appearance.

  • Has clocked a 2.48 ERA and 0.86 WHIP over his last 5 turns
  • Owns a 2.54 ERA over his last 5 starts against the Royals

Singer (7-4, 3.33 ERA) has appeared as a starter 19 times and as a reliever 3 times. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 121 2/3 IP.

  • Has registered a 2.45 ERA over his last 7 starts
  • Has benefited from a .266 batting average on balls in play over his last 5 starts

Guardians at Royals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:26 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Guardians -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Royals +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+130) | Royals +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Guardians at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 5, Guardians 4

Money line

Singer is coming off a bit of a clunker in his last outings, but he has been solid over recent home starts. McKenzie has ridden a .231 BABIP this season, and he’s also been fortunate in clutch situations. So much so that his expected ERA figures as being much closer to 4.00.

With the way the Royals have hit at home and with the Guardians scuffling, BACK THE ROYALS (+110).

Run line/Against the spread

TAKE THE ROYALS +1.5 (-160), but perhaps only as a partial-unit undercard addition to the above play.

Over/Under

There is a bit of an Over lean here — fading pitching and liking the Royals for more offense. However, a pitchers’ breeze is in the forecast. STEER CLEAR of this one unless the Over 7.5 gets priced at +100 or better.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Guardians (41-41) take the field against the Kansas City Royals (31-52) Sunday at the Kauffman Stadium for the finale of a 3-game set. First pitch is set for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Royals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Cleveland leads 6-3.

KC stole the first game 4-3 with a walkoff situation Friday night. That inflamed the Guardians as they dished out a 13-1 whooping Saturday. The win ended a 5-game losing streak for the Guardians, who are just 3-7 over the last 10.

The Royals have traded wins and losses over the last 10 with a 5-5 mark. They have been surprisingly good in tight games with a 9-8 record in 1-run games. So you have to get on them early and keep them down.

Guardians at Royals projected starters

RHP Zach Plesac vs. RHP Zack Greinke

Plesac (2-6, 3.80 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 85 1/3 IP.

  • Has been awesome his last 4 starts with a 1.50 ERA, though he’s 0-2 during the stretch.
  • In 2 starts against KC this year, he has allowed 1 ER with 8 K in 11 2/3 IP.
  • He’s 1-4 with a 4.67 ERA and 1.20 WHIP on the road vs. 1-2 with a 2.85 ERA and 1.27 WHIP at home.

Greinke (2-5, 4.85 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 4.5 K/9 in 68 2/3 IP.

  • He allowed 1 ER on 5 hits and a walk with 1 K in 5 2/3 innings in a no-decision in the 3-1 Opening Day win against Cleveland.
  • He’s 2-1 with a 2.14 ERA and 1.04 WHIP at home vs. 0-4 with a 7.46 ERA and 1.57 WHIP on the road.

Guardians at Royals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:19 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Guardians -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Royals +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+125) | Royals +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

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Guardians at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 3, Guardians 2

Money line

I don’t know if Greinke wants to be traded, but he’s on a 1-year, $13 million deal, and KC is going nowhere. Odds are he goes and his audition for other teams starts Sunday. He got knocked around by his former team in Houston last time out for 6 ER on 10 hits in 5 IP, but he allowed just 1 ER in each of his previous 2 starts. That was a wakeup call. Greinke deals, and KC wins a tight one at home. Take the ROYALS +105.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Royals +1.5 (-155) isn’t out of the realm, but they have been so good in 1-run games it almost behooves you to PASS on the run line and put that hedge fund on the ML.

Over/Under

The Under is 4-0 in Plesac’s last 4 starts. The Under is 7-0 in Greinke’s last 7 home starts. There is more evidence for the Under, but that Greinke home stat is poignant. Both pitchers are hot, let’s ride the UNDER 8.5 (-102).

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Guardians (40-41) and the Kansas City Royals (31-51) play the middle contest of a 3-game set at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Royals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Guardians lead series 5-3

The Guardians saw their 4-game win streak in this series snapped with a 4-3 walk-off win by the Royals Friday night in the series opener.

The Royals have won 3 of the 5 meetings against the Guardians at Kauffman Stadium this season, although Kansas City is just 10-21 in the past 31 overall at home.

Guardians vs. Royals projected starters

RHP Triston McKenzie vs. RHP Jonathan Heasley

McKenzie (5-6, 3.71 ERA) makes his 15th start of the season, and 16th overall performance. He has a 0.98 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 87 1/3 IP.

  • Is 3-5 with a 3.72 ERA and .211 opponents’ batting average in 58 IP across 9 road starts and 1 relief appearance this season.
  • Allowed 2 ER, 2 H and 2 BB in just 3 IP in a loss at Kansas City April 7 in his first outing of the season.

Heasley (1-4, 4.76 ERA) makes his 11th start of the season. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 through 51 IP.

  • Has managed a 1-3 record, 5.40 ERA and .256 opponents’ batting average across 21 2/3 IP in 4 home outings.
  • Yielded 3 ER, 6 H and 3 BB across 6 IP in a no-decision at Cleveland May 30.

Guardians vs. Royals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Guardians -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Royals +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+125) | Royals +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Guardians vs. Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 5, Royals 2

Money line

The GUARDIANS (-130) are a strong play on the road behind McKenzie, a.k.a. “Sticks”. The right-hander twirled 7 scoreless IP with just 1 H and 1 BB allowed with 7 K in a win over the New York Yankees last time out.

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Run line/Against the spread

The GUARDIANS -1.5 (+125) are worth a roll of the dice with a small-unit play. All 5 of Cleveland’s victories against Kansas City this season were by 4 or more runs. So if you like the Guardians to win, you should feel confidence in playing the run line.

Over/Under

The UNDER 8.5 (+105) is the lean and a value at plus-money.

There is a little concern with the Royals using the inconsistent Heasley, but Kansas City should have issues scoring on McKenzie. The Under has cashed in 3 of the past 4 meetings in this series, too, including Friday’s series opener.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Guardians (40-40) and Kansas City Royals (30-51) open a 3-game series Friday at 8:10 p.m. ET at Kauffman Stadium. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Royals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Cleveland leads 5-2.

The Guardians are coming off a busy, rather unsuccessful stretch. Prior to an off day Thursday, Cleveland played 18 games in 16 days. The Guardians went 6-12 in those 18 games and were bludgeoned 109-58 on the scoreboard.

The Royals are just 6-14 in their last 20 games at home. Pitching has been the problem. The Royals have carded a 5.70 ERA, 1.61 WHIP, and 6.4 K/9 over those 20 games.

Guardians at Royals projected starters

RHP Aaron Civale vs. RHP Brady Singer

Civale (2-5, 7.04 ERA) has made 10 starts this season. He has a 1.54 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 46 IP.

  • Owns a 9.90 ERA in 20 road innings.
  • Has made 4 career starts against the Royals (2020-22) with a 5.75 ERA in 20 1/3 IP.

Singer (3-3, 4.30 ERA) has appeared in 12 games (9 as a starter). He has a 1.21 WHIP, 1.99 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 58 2/3 IP.

  • Allowed 8 runs in 13 1/3 IP across 3 starts against Cleveland last season.
  • Owns a 5.21 career ERA at Kauffman Stadium (vs. a 4.07 ERA on the road).

Guardians at Royals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 11:54 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Guardians +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Royals -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Guardians +1.5 (-190) | Royals -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +105)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Guardians at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 4, Guardians 3

Money line

Consider a PARTIAL-UNIT PLAY ON KANSAS CITY (-135). Civale tied a season-high with 99 pitches his last time out. The last time he hit 99 he was roughed up for 6R in the following game.

The Cleveland offense owns a .590 OPS in its last 16 games. The Guardians bullpen has clocked a Boeing 7.69 ERA in the last 2 weeks.

Consider a full-unit play at -125 or better.

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Run line/Against the spread

LAYING OFF the run line due to an Under lean.

Over/Under

THE STRONGEST PLAY FOR THIS CONTEST IS THE UNDER 8.5 (+105). Both starters have been dinged by unkind rates around the margins, and Cleveland’s offense (4.26 runs per game) is not fully supported by underlying numbers.

An inward breeze — helping the pitching on both sides — is in the forecast.

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If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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