Cleveland Cavaliers at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Cleveland Cavaliers at Miami Heat odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cleveland Cavaliers (43-27) take on the Miami Heat (38-32) Sunday with tip-off from Kaseya Center set for 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cavaliers vs. Heat odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Heat lead 2-1

The Cavs dropped their 3rd game in the last outings Friday, 104-91 to the Minnesota Timberwolves. G Donovan Mitchell had surgery to repair a nasal fracture and will be re-evaluated next week. G Darius Garland has 20 and 19 points in the last 2 games in his absence. The Cavs sit in 3rd place in the Eastern Conference.

The Heat were extinguished 111-88 by the New Orleans Pelicans Friday. C Bam Adebayo was held to 12 points to snap a 3-game streak of 20+. It was their 2nd loss in the last 3 games. The Heat are in 7th place, 1 1/2 games behind the Indiana Pacers to skip the play-in tournament.

Cavaliers at Heat odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:04 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cavaliers +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Heat -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Cavaliers +4.5 (-115) | Heat -4.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 202.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Cavaliers at Heat key injuries

Cavaliers

  • G Ty Jerome (ankle) out
  • G Donovan Mitchell (nose) out
  • Evan Mobley (ankle) questionable
  • G Max Strus (knee) out
  • F Dean Wade (knee) out

Heat

  • G Tyler Herro (foot) out
  • F Jaime Jaquez (ankle) questionable
  • F Kevin Love (heel) out
  • G Caleb Martin (knee) questionable
  • F Duncan Robinson (back) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Cavaliers at Heat and predictions

Prediction

Heat 105, Cavaliers 103

Moneyline

Both teams are banged up, and it’s not out of the question for Cleveland to take this game. The Heat beat them in Cleveland 107-104 just 4 days ago without Adebayo. That said, I’m not paying -175 for the Heat to get it done.

Instead, I’m riding with Garland, who will be assertive with Spida Mitchell out. Take DARIUS GARLAND ALTERNATE OVER 20 POINTS (-135).

Against the spread

The Cavs are 21-13 on the road this season, and I give them a chance to take this game outright. So I’m good with them on the spread.

Take the CAVALIERS +4.5 (-115).

Over/Under

This total is too small and paying too much attention to the players who are out. We had 211 points in this matchup just 4 days ago with Adebayo out.

Take the OVER 202.5 (-115).

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Cleveland Cavaliers at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Cleveland Cavaliers at Miami Heat odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cleveland Cavaliers (42-26) battle the Miami Heat (35-32) Friday. Tip from Miami-Dade Arena is set for 8 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Cavaliers vs. Heat odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Cleveland is 2-1 straight up and 2-1 against the spread (ATS) this season against Miami. It beat the Heat 104-100 Wednesday, covering as a 1.5-point favorite. The Under has connected in all 3 meetings.

The Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games but just 4-5 ATS over their last 9 outings. They are 36-29-3 ATS on the season and 32-36 O/U. Cleveland allows the league’s fewest points per game (106.5).

The Heat are 2-8 ATS over their last 10 games and have lost 7 of them outright. They are 24-41-2 ATS this season and 30-37 O/U. They allow the second-fewest points per game (109.1).

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Cavaliers at Heat odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cavaliers -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Heat +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Cavaliers -1.5 (-115) | Heat +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 214.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Cavaliers at Heat key injuries

Cavaliers

  • None

Heat

  • Kevin Love (rib) probable
  • G Kyle Lowry (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Cavaliers at Heat picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 108, Cavaliers 105

Moneyline

BET HEAT (+100).

The Heat are 21-13 at home this season, and the Cavaliers — while a top team in the league — are still just 14-19 on the road. Miami should also be in desperation mode as it’s been struggling lately and should be competing at a higher intensity.

The Cavs are just 1-3 in their last 4 road games as well, and they forced Miami into 22 turnovers on Wednesday. Expect the Heat to take better care of the ball in the rematch.

Against the spread

PASS.

I prefer the even-money odds on the Heat at home instead of taking the single point of insurance.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 214.5 (-108).

The total is 0-3 O/U in these two teams’ matchups this season, and neither plays at a high tempo and both have defense-first mindsets.

With F Evan Mobley and C Bam Adebayo, the paint should be protected, and it will be difficult to get easy buckets. The Heat are 2-5 O/U in their last 7 while the Cavs are 2-3 O/U in their last 5.

Back the UNDER 214.5 (-108).

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Cleveland Cavaliers at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Cleveland Cavaliers at Miami Heat odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cleveland Cavaliers (41-26) kick off a 4-game road trip, and a back-to-back set, against the Miami Heat (35-31) Wednesday. Tip-off from Miami-Dade Arena is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Cavaliers vs. Heat odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Cavaliers nipped the Boston Celtics 118-114 in overtime on Monday as the Over (219) connected. Cleveland is 3-1 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) over its last 4 games. The Over and Under have alternated in each of the previous 5 outings.

The Heat signed PF Kevin Love in late February after agreeing to a buyout by the Cavaliers, so he faces his former team for the first time — maybe. He has been dealing with an injury to his ribs, and he is officially listed as questionable.

Miami is coming off a 2-game sweep of the Atlanta Hawks, splitting ATS, most recently winning 130-128 but failing to cover as a 2.5-point home favorite Monday. The Heat are just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games on a single day of rest.

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Cavaliers at Heat odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cavaliers -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Heat +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Cavaliers -2.5 (-110) | Heat +2.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 212.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Cavaliers at Heat key injuries

Cavaliers

  • None

Heat

  • F Kevin Love (ribs) questionable
  • Kyle Lowry (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Cavaliers at Heat picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 109, Cavaliers 105

Moneyline

The HEAT (+115) are a solid value at home as short ‘dogs against the Cavaliers.

Miami holds a 5-3 SU edge in the previous 8 meetings in this series, with the home team winning 7 of the past 10 overall. In addition, Cleveland has been dumped in each of its last 3 games on the road.

Against the spread

HEAT +2.5 (-110) is not as great of a value, but if you feel the Cavaliers are going to win by just 1 or 2 points, then skip the moneyline and take Miami with the insurance.

However, you’ll be going against the grain a little here. Miami has covered at just a 10-25-1 ATS clip across the past 36 games at home while going 2-7 ATS in the previous 9 against winning teams.

Of course, Cleveland is just 3-13 ATS in the past 16 trips to Miami and 5-13 ATS in the past 18 meetings overall in the series.

Over/Under

OVER 212.5 (-110) is the lean, ever so slightly.

The Over has dominated for the Cavs lately, going 4-0 in the past 4 on the road and 6-2 in the past 8 games overall.

While the Heat has cashed the Under in 6 of the past 7 against winning sides, the Over is 7-1 in the previous 8 meetings with Cleveland at home.

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Cleveland Cavaliers at Miami Heat odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Cleveland Cavaliers at Miami Heat NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Cleveland Cavaliers (17-31) travel to meet the Miami Heat (25-24) at American Airlines Arena in Miami Saturday at 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Cavaliers-Heat odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

The Cavaliers are on a skid again, dropping four straight. They were buried 114-94 by the Philadelphia 76ers at home, and they were pounded 114-75 in their most recent road game March 29 at the Utah Jazz.

The Heat head into this one on a three-game win and cover streak, including a 116-109 victory over the Golden State Warriors at home on Thursday as three-point favorites. The defense has allowed just 94.7 PPG across the win streak.

Cavaliers at Heat: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:03 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cavaliers +600 (bet $100 to win $600) | Heat -900 (bet $900 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cavaliers +12.5 (-110) | Heat -12.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 203.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Cavaliers at Heat: Key injuries

Cavaliers

  • C Jarrett Allen (concussion) out
  • PF Larry Nance Jr. (illness) out
  • SG Dylan Windler (knee) out

Heat

  • PG Goran Dragic (back) probable
  • SG Gabe Vincent (knee) probable
  • SF KZ Okpala (health and safety protocols) out

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Cavaliers at Heat: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Heat 115, Cavaliers 96

Money line (ML)

The Heat (-900) are just too expensive on the money line, as you have to put up nine times your potential return. Over the long haul that’s a terrible betting strategy. PASS, and look to the spread instead.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The HEAT -12.5 (-110) have been favored by double digits just twice this season. They’re 1-1 ATS, and the cover was against the Cavaliers +12.5 (-110) as 11-point favorites on March 16 at the Triple-A, winning 113-98. Look for a similar result here against the skidding Cavs.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 203.5 (-115) is a good play, as this line is super low in this day and age. Yes, the Cavs have hit the Under in six in a row, and they’re have scored 105 or fewer points in each of the outings.

However, they have allowed 114 in each of the past two. This won’t be confused with a track meet, but it will end up Over thanks to Miami’s offense.

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Cleveland Cavaliers at Miami Heat odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Tuesday’s Cleveland Cavaliers at Miami Heat NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Cleveland Cavaliers (14-24) travel to meet the Miami Heat (21-18) at American Airlines Arena Tuesday for an 8 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Cavaliers-Heat odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Cavaliers at Heat: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cavaliers +400 (bet $100 to win $400) | Heat -550 (bet $550 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cavaliers +10.5 (-110) | Heat -10.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 208.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Cavaliers at Heat: Key injuries

Cavaliers

  • PG Matthew Dellavedova (abdominal) out
  • C Andre Drummond (personal) out
  • PF Kevin Love (calf) doubtful
  • SF Taurean Prince (shoulder) out

Heat

  • C Bam Adebayo (knee) probable
  • SG Avery Bradley (calf) questionable
  • PF Meyers Leonard (suspension) out
  • SG Tyler Herro (shoulder) probable

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Place a $1 bet on either team’s money line, WIN an additional $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a 3-pointer during the game today. Promotion available in CO, IN, MI, NJ, TN, VA and WV. IA and PA residents, don’t miss BetMGM‘s risk-free, first-bet offer!

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Cavaliers at Heat: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Heat 111, Cavaliers 97

Money line (ML)

The Heat (-550) will cost you five and a half times your potential return, and that’s just way too risky even though Miami is at home against a mediocre opponent.

AVOID, and look to the spread.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The HEAT -10.5 (-110) are worth a light wager against the skidding Cavaliers.

Miami enters on a four-game win streak and has rattled off 10 victories in its last 11 outings while going 8-3 ATS during the span. On the flip side, the Cavs scored just 82 points in each of their past two games while allowing 108.0 points per game, and they have lost three in a row.

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 208.5 (-110) is the play, with the Under going 2-0 in the past two for Cleveland, and 8-2 across their past 10 games.

Points have been at a premium for the Cavs lately. Miami has also hit the Under in five of its past six outings, allowing 99 or fewer points in five of its last six.

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